RB Leipzig vs Mainz Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 31 Jan 2026

Bundesliga Betting Preview: RB Leipzig vs Mainz

RB Leipzig welcome Mainz to Red Bull Arena, with kick-off set for 10:30 on Saturday 31 January.

We’re wagering Mainz +1 on the Asian Handicap when they play Leipzig at -106. Money is returned for a one goal defeat and we will see a healthy payout from this pick if the visitors win or draw.

RB Leipzig drew away from home in their last game. A 1-1 scoreline was played out against St. Pauli at Millerntor-Stadion. The Saxony side had five shots on target and boasted 54% possession, while Yan Diomande registered the goal.

Mainz 05 claimed a home win in their previous game. A 3-1 victory occurred against Wolfsburg at MEWA Arena. The 05ers had nine shots on goal and recorded 59% possession, with Phillip Tietz, Stefan Bell and Nadiem Amiri all on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 1-0 in favour of away side Leipzig when they last played Mainz, with the clash taking place at MEWA Arena. The previous 10 H2H matches have ended up with five Mainz wins, three Leipzig victories and two draws.

Bundesliga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	RB Leipzig	26	14	5	7	48	35	13	48:35	47
13	Mainz 05	26	6	9	11	31	41	-10	31:41	27

View Full Table

4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.8 goals from 6.2 shots on goal and 16.0 attempts. Leipzig have had 55.5% possession, 536.5 passes and 5.1 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.5 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 10.4 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.8 corners.

Top goalscorer Yan Diomande has found the net 5 times, with David Raum, Romulo Cruz and Xaver Schlager scoring 2 each. Christoph Baumgartner has the most assists with 4, while goalie Peter Gulacsi has recorded 5 clean sheets.

Mainz have won 2, lost 4 and drawn 4, averaging 9.7 attempts, 3.4 shots on goal and 1.1 goals. Urs Fischer's team average 42.0% possession, 356.3 passes, 5.4 corners in their favour and 4.5 corners against, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 5.2 shots on goal and 15.2 attempts.

Nadiem Amiri is the leading scorer with 3 goals, followed by Stefan Bell on 2, with Phillip Tietz and two others bagging 1. Jae-Sung Lee has clocked up 2 assists, with Daniel Batz keeping one clean sheet in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

RB Leipzig confirmed lineup (4-4-1-1): Peter Gulacsi (GK), Ridle Baku, Willi Orban, El Chadaille Bitshiabu, David Raum, Yan Diomande, Nicolas Seiwald, Xaver Schlager, Antonio Nusa, Romulo Cruz, Conrad Harder.

Mainz confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Daniel Batz (GK), Stefan Posch, Stefan Bell, Kacper Potulski, Danny da Costa, Nadiem Amiri, Kaishu Sano, Jae-Sung Lee, Silvan Widmer, Phillip Tietz, Benedict Hollerbach.

RB Leipzig vs Mainz Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve lined up expert RB Leipzig vs Mainz betting tips, from our match prediction and correct score call to corners betting insight, best player prop picks and bet builder advice. Read on for the full breakdown.

Match Prediction

We’re siding with Mainz on the Asian Handicap +1 and expect them to win or draw this Bundesliga clash. We think there’s a tremendous amount of value when it comes to odds of -106.

The football experts at Sportsgambler.com check injury updates regularly and combine this with the form guide. We’re also able to consult a database of Bundesliga stats and present the key numbers to our readers.

Key RB Leipzig vs Mainz league stats:

• The +1 line has been covered by Mainz in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +1 line has been covered by Mainz in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Leipzig in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Leipzig in 12 of their last 20 games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Leipzig in 8 of their last 10 games against Mainz.

If you go by the top bookies, there’s a 51.5% likelihood of our pick winning. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

Looking for more juice from your selection? By moving the line, you are able to get bigger betting odds although you will need to take a riskier bet.

Don’t place a bet without checking our comprehensive guide to today’s best free bets and welcome bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Mainz Asian Hcp +1 @ -106 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 29, 16:38). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Leipzig 1 - 1 Mainz

Let’s go for the game to end in a 1-1 scoreline, a wager which is available at +650. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Antonio Nusa Over 2.5 Shots -139

Antonio Nusa (Leipzig) has covered the 2.5 shots total in five consecutive Bundesliga matches. The numbers imply that he can succeed with our Overs bet and we’re delighted to take the -139 available.

Latest Antonio Nusa Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+260

First

+750

Shots

Over 2.5

-141

Under 2.5

-

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Yan Diomande to Score +180

Yan Diomande (Leipzig) has scored three goals in his past four Bundesliga games on home soil. He looks like an attractive wager to be on the scoresheet and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer selection at odds of +180.

Latest Yan Diomande Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+185

First

+480

Shots

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 10.5 Corners -143

We’ve seen an average 7.80 corners in the past five Mainz away matches, while the last five Leipzig games have averaged 8.80. There are odds of -143 for this Total Corners wager and we think the line is too high.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Leipzig

Total

9.90 5.10 4.80

Home

10.90 5.70 5.20

Away

9.60 5.10 4.50

Mainz

Total

9.90 5.40 4.50

Home

9.80 6.50 3.30

Away

9.30 4.20 5.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

+106

Under 10.5

-149

Leipzig Corners

Over 5.5

-127

Under 5.5

-112

Mainz Corners

Over 3.5

-164

Under 3.5

+112

Most Corners

1

-189

X

+700

2

+185

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

RB Leipzig vs Mainz Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The RB Leipzig betting odds are -192 which means that they’re favourites to land victory in this Bundesliga encounter. It’s also suggested by the bookies that this team have a 66% chance of winning. Mainz 05 are seen as the most unlikely winner at +475.

If you want to back the favourites to be ahead by the break, then Leipzig are -102 on the Half-Time Result market. Alternatively, Mainz are +410 and the draw is priced at +160.

If you want to bet on three goals or more, then Over 2.5 is the shortest odds. If you think that both sides will end up scoring, then the Both Teams to Score Yes option can be backed at -172.

Bettors love the flexibility that hundreds of markets provide and that is for every Bundesliga game. The best football betting sites ensure that their customers always have plenty of options.

Full-Time Result

1

-192

X

+330

2

+475

Half-Time Result

1

-102

X

+160

2

+410

Double Chance

1X

-769

12

-476

X2

+138

Draw No Bet

1

-500

2

+295

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1

-114

2 Hcp +1

-109

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+145

Over 2.5

-192

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-172

No

+128

There’s the chance to back Rômulo Cardoso da Cruz at +430 to be the First Goalscorer, with the favourite on this market available at similar odds to find the net last.

Rômulo Cardoso da Cruz (Leipzig)

First

+150

Anytime

+430

Tidiam Gomis (Leipzig)

First

+160

Anytime

+420

Conrad Harder (Leipzig)

First

+170

Anytime

+500

Yan Diomande (Leipzig)

First

+185

Anytime

+480

Christoph Baumgartner (Leipzig)

First

+210

Anytime

+650

Antonio Nusa (Leipzig)

First

+260

Anytime

+750

Johan Bakayoko (Leipzig)

First

+270

Anytime

+700

Benedict Hollerbach (Mainz)

First

+290

Anytime

+900

Phillip Tietz (Mainz)

First

+310

Anytime

+900

Nelson Weiper (Mainz)

First

+320

Anytime

+900

Armindo Sieb (Mainz)

First

+350

Anytime

+1100

Paul Nebel (Mainz)

First

+370

Anytime

+1100

Ezechiel Banzuzi (Leipzig)

First

+380

Anytime

+1000

Nadiem Amiri (Mainz)

First

+400

Anytime

+1200

Jae-sung Lee (Mainz)

First

+400

Anytime

+1200

Ridle Baku (Leipzig)

First

+420

Anytime

+1200

Silas Katompa Mvumpa (Mainz)

First

+420

Anytime

+1200

Xaver Schlager (Leipzig)

First

+430

Anytime

+1300

Willi Orbán (Leipzig)

First

+440

Anytime

+1300

Arnaud Nordin (Mainz)

First

+450

Anytime

+1300

William Bøving (Mainz)

First

+475

Anytime

+1300

David Raum (Leipzig)

First

+500

Anytime

+1500

Silvan Widmer (Mainz)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Nicolas Seiwald (Leipzig)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

El Chadaille Bitshiabu (Leipzig)

First

+700

Anytime

+2200

Castello Lukeba (Leipzig)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Kosta Nedeljkovic (Leipzig)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Lukas Klostermann (Leipzig)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Rômulo Cardoso da Cruz (Leipzig)

Over 2.5

-133

Under 2.5

-

Tidiam Gomis (Leipzig)

Over 2.5

-115

Under 2.5

-

Conrad Harder (Leipzig)

Over 2.5

-108

Under 2.5

-

Yan Diomande (Leipzig)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Antonio Nusa (Leipzig)

Over 2.5

-141

Under 2.5

-

Benedict Hollerbach (Mainz)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Phillip Tietz (Mainz)

Over 2.5

+143

Under 2.5

-

Silas Katompa Mvumpa (Mainz)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-

Jae-sung Lee (Mainz)

Over 1.5

-106

Under 1.5

-

Nadiem Amiri (Mainz)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

Nelson Weiper (Mainz)

Over 1.5

-141

Under 1.5

-

Paul Nebel (Mainz)

Over 1.5

-112

Under 1.5

-

Armindo Sieb (Mainz)

Over 1.5

-128

Under 1.5

-

William Bøving (Mainz)

Over 1.5

+132

Under 1.5

-

Johan Bakayoko (Leipzig)

Over 1.5

-116

Under 1.5

-

Silvan Widmer (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

-

David Raum (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Ezechiel Banzuzi (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Willi Orbán (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Xaver Schlager (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

-

Ridle Baku (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Nicolas Seiwald (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

Leipzig have recorded eight victories and two defeats in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 2.50 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

Mainz haven’t tasted victory in the previous seven away matches. The 05ers have recorded five defeats, three draws and two victories in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 2.00.

When the sides last met at Red Bull Arena, Mainz beat Leipzig 2-1. In the previous 6 H2H meetings at Red Bull Arena, there have been three Leipzig wins, two Mainz victories and a draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
RB Leipzig Home Stats		8-0-2	3.70	2.50	1.20	7	3	6	4
Mainz Away Stats		2-3-5	3.50	1.50	2.00	8	2	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

RB Leipzig vs Mainz Lineups & Team News

Double-check the Leipzig vs Mainz team news before placing your bets. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Bundesliga along with the latest injury news.

RB Leipzig Team Page Mainz 05 Team Page

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