RB Leipzig vs Mainz Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 31 Jan 2026

Bundesliga Betting Preview: RB Leipzig vs Mainz

RB Leipzig welcome Mainz to Red Bull Arena, with kick-off set for 09:30 on Saturday 31 January.

We’re wagering Mainz +1 on the Asian Handicap when they play Leipzig at -106. Money is returned for a one goal defeat and we will see a healthy payout from this pick if the visitors win or draw.

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RB Leipzig drew away from home in their last game. A 1-1 scoreline was played out against St. Pauli at Millerntor-Stadion. The Saxony side had five shots on target and boasted 54% possession, while Yan Diomande registered the goal.

Mainz 05 claimed a home win in their previous game. A 3-1 victory occurred against Wolfsburg at MEWA Arena. The 05ers had nine shots on goal and recorded 59% possession, with Phillip Tietz, Stefan Bell and Nadiem Amiri all on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 1-0 in favour of away side Leipzig when they last played Mainz, with the clash taking place at MEWA Arena. The previous 10 H2H matches have ended up with five Mainz wins, three Leipzig victories and two draws.

Bundesliga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	RB Leipzig	19	11	3	5	37	25	12	37:25	36
16	Mainz 05	19	3	6	10	21	32	-11	21:32	15

View Full Table

4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.8 goals from 6.2 shots on goal and 16.0 attempts. Leipzig have had 55.5% possession, 536.5 passes and 5.1 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.5 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 10.4 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.8 corners.

Top goalscorer Yan Diomande has found the net 5 times, with David Raum, Romulo Cruz and Xaver Schlager scoring 2 each. Christoph Baumgartner has the most assists with 4, while goalie Peter Gulacsi has recorded 5 clean sheets.

Mainz have won 2, lost 4 and drawn 4, averaging 9.7 attempts, 3.4 shots on goal and 1.1 goals. Urs Fischer's team average 42.0% possession, 356.3 passes, 5.4 corners in their favour and 4.5 corners against, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 5.2 shots on goal and 15.2 attempts.

Nadiem Amiri is the leading scorer with 3 goals, followed by Stefan Bell on 2, with Phillip Tietz and two others bagging 1. Jae-Sung Lee has clocked up 2 assists, with Daniel Batz keeping one clean sheet in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

RB Leipzig predicted lineup (4-3-3): Peter Gulacsi (GK), Ridle Baku, Willi Orban, El Chadaille Bitshiabu, David Raum, Xaver Schlager, Nicolas Seiwald, Christoph Baumgartner, Yan Diomande, Romulo Cruz, Antonio Nusa.

Mainz predicted lineup (3-5-2): Daniel Batz (GK), Stefan Posch, Stefan Bell, Lennard Maloney, Danny da Costa, Paul Nebel, Kaishu Sano, Jae-Sung Lee, Silvan Widmer, Benedict Hollerbach, Phillip Tietz.

RB Leipzig vs Mainz Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve lined up expert RB Leipzig vs Mainz betting tips, from our match prediction and correct score call to corners betting insight, best player prop picks and bet builder advice. Read on for the full breakdown.

Match Prediction

We’re siding with Mainz on the Asian Handicap +1 and expect them to win or draw this Bundesliga clash. We think there’s a tremendous amount of value when it comes to odds of -106.

The football experts at Sportsgambler.com check injury updates regularly and combine this with the form guide. We’re also able to consult a database of Bundesliga stats and present the key numbers to our readers.

Key RB Leipzig vs Mainz league stats:

• The +1 line has been covered by Mainz in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +1 line has been covered by Mainz in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Leipzig in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Leipzig in 12 of their last 20 games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Leipzig in 8 of their last 10 games against Mainz.

If you go by the top bookies, there’s a 51.5% likelihood of our pick winning. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

Looking for more juice from your selection? By moving the line, you are able to get bigger betting odds although you will need to take a riskier bet.

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Our Match Prediction

Mainz Asian Hcp +1 @ -106 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Leipzig 1 - 1 Mainz

Let’s go for the game to end in a 1-1 scoreline, a wager which is available at +700. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Yan Diomande to Score +180

Yan Diomande (Leipzig) has managed three goals in his past four Bundesliga home matches. When it comes to him finding the net, we believe the +180 available is appealing when backing him on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Yan Diomande Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+180

First

+475

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 10.5 Corners -143

We’ve seen an average 7.80 corners in the past five Mainz away matches, while the last five Leipzig games have averaged 8.80. There are odds of -143 for this Total Corners wager and we think the line is too high.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Leipzig

Total

9.90 5.10 4.80

Home

10.90 5.70 5.20

Away

9.60 5.10 4.50

Mainz

Total

9.90 5.40 4.50

Home

9.80 6.50 3.30

Away

9.30 4.20 5.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-100

Under 10.5

-143

Leipzig Corners

Over 5.5

-132

Under 5.5

-109

Mainz Corners

Over 3.5

-167

Under 3.5

+115

Most Corners

1

-192

X

+700

2

+185

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

RB Leipzig vs Mainz Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The RB Leipzig betting odds are -192 which means that they’re favourites to land victory in this Bundesliga encounter. It’s also suggested by the bookies that this team have a 66% chance of winning. Mainz 05 are seen as the most unlikely winner at +475.

If you want to back the favourites to be ahead by the break, then Leipzig are -103 on the Half-Time Result market. Alternatively, Mainz are +400 and the draw is priced at +165.

If you want to bet on three goals or more, then Over 2.5 is the shortest odds. If you think that both sides will end up scoring, then the Both Teams to Score Yes option can be backed at -179.

Bettors love the flexibility that hundreds of markets provide and that is for every Bundesliga game. The best football betting sites ensure that their customers always have plenty of options.

Full-Time Result

1

-192

X

+340

2

+475

Half-Time Result

1

-103

X

+165

2

+400

Double Chance

1X

-769

12

-500

X2

+140

Draw No Bet

1

-526

2

+300

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1

-116

2 Hcp +1

-106

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+155

Over 2.5

-204

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-179

No

+133

There’s the chance to back Tidiam Gomis at +430 to be the First Goalscorer, with the favourite on this market available at similar odds to find the net last.

Tidiam Gomis (Leipzig)

First

+150

Anytime

+430

Rômulo Cardoso da Cruz (Leipzig)

First

+150

Anytime

+430

Conrad Harder (Leipzig)

First

+170

Anytime

+500

Yan Diomande (Leipzig)

First

+180

Anytime

+475

Christoph Baumgartner (Leipzig)

First

+210

Anytime

+650

Antonio Nusa (Leipzig)

First

+240

Anytime

+700

Johan Bakayoko (Leipzig)

First

+250

Anytime

+750

Benedict Hollerbach (Mainz)

First

+280

Anytime

+900

Phillip Tietz (Mainz)

First

+320

Anytime

+950

Nelson Weiper (Mainz)

First

+340

Anytime

+950

Ezechiel Banzuzi (Leipzig)

First

+350

Anytime

+1000

Paul Nebel (Mainz)

First

+360

Anytime

+1050

Armindo Sieb (Mainz)

First

+370

Anytime

+1050

Nadiem Amiri (Mainz)

First

+400

Anytime

+1200

Ridle Baku (Leipzig)

First

+400

Anytime

+1200

Jae-sung Lee (Mainz)

First

+400

Anytime

+1200

Willi Orbán (Leipzig)

First

+420

Anytime

+1300

Xaver Schlager (Leipzig)

First

+420

Anytime

+1300

William Bøving (Mainz)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Silas Katompa Mvumpa (Mainz)

First

+450

Anytime

+1300

Arnaud Nordin (Mainz)

First

+450

Anytime

+1300

David Raum (Leipzig)

First

+500

Anytime

+1500

Nicolas Seiwald (Leipzig)

First

+600

Anytime

+1900

Lukas Klostermann (Leipzig)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Silvan Widmer (Mainz)

First

+700

Anytime

+2200

Leipzig have recorded eight victories and two defeats in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 2.50 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

Mainz haven’t tasted victory in the previous seven away matches. The 05ers have recorded five defeats, three draws and two victories in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 2.00.

When the sides last met at Red Bull Arena, Mainz beat Leipzig 2-1. In the previous 6 H2H meetings at Red Bull Arena, there have been three Leipzig wins, two Mainz victories and a draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
RB Leipzig Home Stats		8-0-2	3.70	2.50	1.20	7	3	6	4
Mainz Away Stats		2-3-5	3.50	1.50	2.00	8	2	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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RB Leipzig vs Mainz Lineups & Team News

Double-check the Leipzig vs Mainz team news before placing your bets. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Bundesliga along with the latest injury news.

RB Leipzig Team Page Mainz 05 Team Page

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