Real Madrid vs Athletic Club Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 20 Apr 2025

Back Real to Have the Edge

We’ve identified a value bet in the form of Real Madrid who are trading at odds of -154. There’s plenty of juice in the price when it comes to this Full-Time Result selection and they can beat Athletic Club.

7 Triumphs for Real in Previous 10 H2H Clashes

Real Madrid won their last La Liga game 1-0. This was a road win against Deportivo Alavés at Estadio Mendizorroza. Los Merengues had three shots on target and 44% possession, with Eduardo Camavinga netting the winner in the 34th minute.

On Wednesday night, Real were beaten 2-1 (5-1 loss on aggregate) when hosting Arsenal in the second leg of the Champions League quarter-final stage.

Athletic Club secured a 3-1 home win over Rayo Vallecano at San Mames in their previous league game. The Basque Country outfit boasted 55% possession and recorded four shots on goal, with Oihan Sancet on the scoresheet twice and Nico Williams also finding the net.

Last time out, Athletic beat Rangers 2-0 (2-0 win on aggregate) at home in the second leg of the Europa League quarter-final tie.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Athletic overcame Real at home when the teams last played. It was a 2-1 scoreline at San Mames. In the previous 10 H2H matches, we have seen seven Real victories, two Athletic wins and one draw.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Athletic Club	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
15	Real Madrid	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

Real have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 6.0 shots on goal and 16.6 attempts. Carlo Ancelotti's team have averaged 59.3% possession, 582.2 passes and 5.8 corners per match, conceding 1.1 goals and 5.0 corners from 4.0 shots on goal and 12.2 attempts.

Kylian Mbappe is the top goalscorer with 7, Vinicius Junior has 3, with Eduardo Camavinga and two other players on 1. Leading assistor is Federico Valverde with 2, while goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois has 2 clean sheets.

Athletic have 4 victories, 1 defeat and 5 draws, with an average of 5.4 shots on goal, 14.3 attempts and 1.8 goals. Los Leones average 51.4% possession, 414.4 passes, 5.5 corners awarded and 3.5 corners against, while 0.7 goals have been conceded from 9.0 attempts and 3.3 shots on goal.

Oihan Sancet is the leading scorer with 8 goals, followed by Nico Williams on 4, with Yeray Alvarez and two others bagging 1. Alex Berenguer has been the top assist maker on 3, with Unai Simon notching 4 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Real Madrid confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Thibaut Courtois (GK), Federico Valverde, Raul Asencio, Antonio Ruediger, Eduardo Camavinga, Aurelien Tchouameni, Luka Modric, Daniel Ceballos, Jude Bellingham, Rodrygo, Vinicius Junior.

Athletic Club confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Unai Simon (GK), Andoni Gorosabel, Unai Nunez, Aitor Paredes, Adama Boiro, Benat Prados, Mikel Vesga, Alvaro Djalo, Unai Gomez, Alex Berenguer, Gorka Guruzeta.

Real Madrid vs Athletic Club Prediction & Betting Tips

If you agree with our verdict that Real Madrid will have the edge in this La Liga clash, then you can back the home team at -154. We’re expecting a nice potential return with this match winner bet.

In order to come up with the best football predictions, we like to know the team news and study the latest form. There are also plenty of numbers to crunch from the available stats.

Key Real Madrid vs Athletic Club league stats:

• Real have won 4 of their last 5 games.
• Real have won 16 of their last 20 games at home.
• Real have won 7 of their last 10 games against Athletic.

Real to Win Probability

The betting sites are estimating that there is a 60.6% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be closer to 70%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

A betting alternative to supporting Madrid is the Double Result. You can get bigger odds by siding with them to lead at the halfway phase before running out winners.

Our Match Prediction

Real To Win @ -154 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Real Madrid 2 - 0 Athletic

There are odds of +700 available that Real Madrid land a 2-0 win. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -120

There has been four straight Real Madrid home games where 9.5 Total Corners has been covered, while it has been two consecutive Athletic away matches where the same thing has happened. If you concur with our viewpoint that the Total Corners line can be covered, then you can secure odds of -120 that this outcome happens.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Real Madrid

Total

10.80 5.80 5.00

Home

11.40 7.80 3.60

Away

8.90 4.00 4.90

Athletic

Total

9.00 5.50 3.50

Home

8.80 6.20 2.60

Away

8.70 5.10 3.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-120

Under 9.5

-120

Real Madrid Corners

Over 5.5

+110

Under 5.5

-150

Athletic Corners

Over 4.5

+110

Under 4.5

-150

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Real Madrid vs Athletic Club Odds

The Real Madrid betting odds have been priced up by the bookies and they are -167 favourites to land victory in this La Liga encounter which means a 63% chance of winning. The market suggests that Athletic Club are least likely to win at +450.

The Over 2.5 Goals option is currently favourite on the Total Goals market.

To combine various La Liga selections within the same match, you will find football betting sites offer a Bet Builder. Start adding the picks you fancy until you’re happy with the overall payout.

Full-Time Result

1

-167

X

+310

2

+450

Half-Time Result

1

+120

X

+130

2

+450

Double Chance

1X

-699

12

-450

X2

+130

Draw No Bet

1

-450

2

+300

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1

+105

2 Hcp +1

-118

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-100

Over 2.5

-125

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-125

No

-105

Real Madrid vs Athletic Club Lineups & Team News

Make sure you know the lineups ahead of kick-off, with injuries also playing a part when it comes to Real vs Athletic team news.

The La Liga squads highlight the star players operating for every team in the division.

Real Madrid Team Page Athletic Club Team Page