Real Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 26 Oct 2025

La Liga Betting Preview: Real Madrid vs Barcelona

League leaders Real Madrid host second-placed Barcelona in the first El Clásico of the 2025-26 season at Santiago Bernabéu, with kick-off set for 10:15 on Sunday 26 October. Our Spanish La Liga betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Real Good Value against Barca

We’ve identified a value bet in the form of Real Madrid who are trading at odds of -104. There’s plenty of juice in the price when it comes to this Full-Time Result selection and they can beat Barcelona.

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Barca Edged Real 4-3 in Previous El Clásico

Real Madrid have now won four La Liga home games in a row. In their most recent league outing, they earned a 1-0 win on the road against Getafe at Estadio Coliseum. Xabi Alonso's team recorded an incredible 76% of possession and managed ten shots on target, with Kylian Mbappe bagging a late winning goal.

On Wednesday night, Real secured a 1-0 Champions League victory at home to Juventus.

Barcelona beat Girona 2-1 in the Catalan derby at Estadio Olímpico Lluís Companys in their most recent La Liga match. The Catalan club racked up nine shots on goal and boasted 68% possession, with Pedri and Ronald Araujo on the scoresheet.

Five days ago, Barca triumphed 6-1 when hosting Olympiacos in the Champions League.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Barca have three consecutive wins against Real. In the last clash, home side Barca claimed a 4-3 victory at Estadio Olimpico Lluis Companys. The previous 10 games involving these sides have featured six Barca wins and four Real triumphs.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Real Madrid	9	8	0	1	20	9	11	20:9	24
2	Barcelona	9	7	1	1	24	10	14	24:10	22

View Full Table

Real have 9 wins and 1 loss, averaging 2.2 goals from 7.0 shots on goal and 18.7 attempts. Los Merengues have averaged 63.3% possession, 595.6 passes and 5.7 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 0.9 goals from 2.6 shots on goal, 9.0 attempts and 3.4 corners.

Top goalscorer Kylian Mbappe has found the net 12 times, with Vinicius Junior and Arda Guler scoring 5 and 3 respectively. Leading assistor is Vinicius Junior with 5, while goalkeepers Thibaut Courtois and Andriy Lunin have collectively recorded 5 clean sheets.

Barca have 8 victories, 1 defeat and 1 draw, with an average of 2.7 goals from 8.3 shots on goal and 20.2 attempts. There’s been an average of 71.3% possession, 654.2 passes, 7.3 corners awarded and 3.9 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.0 goals from 3.0 shots on goal and 7.4 attempts.

Robert Lewandowski is top of the team’s scoring charts with 6, Ferran Torres is on 4 and Raphinha on 3. Lamine Yamal and Marcus Rashford are top assists providers with 4, while Joan Garcia has recorded 3 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Real Madrid predicted lineup (4-1-2-1-2): Thibaut Courtois (GK), Federico Valverde, Éder Militão, Dean Donny Huijsen, Álvaro Fernández Carreras, Aurelien Tchouameni, Arda Güler, Eduardo Camavinga, Jude Bellingham, Kylian Mbappe, Vinícius Júnior.

Barcelona predicted lineup (4-3-3): Wojciech Szczesny (GK), Ronald Araujo, Pau Cubarsí, Eric García, Álex Balde, Pedri, Fermín López, Frenkie De Jong, Lamine Yamal, Ferrán Torres, Marcus Rashford.

Real Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction & Betting Tips

We cover the key Real Madrid vs Barcelona betting angles, showcasing our expert match prediction, best corners pick, correct score selection, top player props and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

We think that Real Madrid can win this La Liga game and we’re drawn to the odds of -104 which look like value. Our pick is appealing and we’re confident this selection will be on the money.

The La Liga experts at Sportsgambler.com always keep close tabs on team news. We also use a form guide for our football betting tips along with checking out the stats that are going to help inform our final decision.

Key Real Madrid vs Barcelona league stats:

• Real have won 8 consecutive games at home.
• Real have won 9 of their last 10 games.
• Real have won 17 of their last 20 games.

Real to Win Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 51% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

For bettors anticipating the net bulging at both ends along with Madrid winning, then why not combine this pick with BTTS Yes and get yourself a bigger price as part of the deal.

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Our Match Prediction

Real To Win @ -104 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Real Madrid 2 - 1 Barcelona

A 2-1 win in favor of Real Madrid can be backed at odds of +800. We like placing a bet on correct score due to the fun element and the big potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Marcus Rashford Over 2.5 Shots -133

Marcus Rashford (Barcelona) has fired over 2.5 shots in five straight La Liga matches. We recommend backing the -133 that he is able to cover the line, with this Player Shots wager hopefully providing a return.

Latest Marcus Rashford Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+230

First

+650

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

+130

Shots

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-

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Ferran Torres to Score +230

Ferran Torres (Barcelona) has registered four goals in his past seven La Liga matches on the road. We think this is the pick of the player props, with a generous +230 available when it comes to backing him to score at any time.

Latest Ferran Torres Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+230

First

+650

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

+120

Shots

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Real Madrid Over 5.5 Corners -120

Real Madrid have averaged 9.20 corners in the past 10 home matches, with the corner count against Barcelona going over 5.5 in their previous three away games. If you’re in agreement with our opinion that the Real Team Corners line is on the low side, take the odds of -120 that they go over.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Real Madrid

Total

9.10 5.70 3.40

Home

11.80 9.20 2.60

Away

9.90 4.70 5.20

Barcelona

Total

11.20 7.30 3.90

Home

11.30 8.80 2.50

Away

11.10 6.70 4.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-139

Under 9.5

-102

Real Madrid Corners

Over 5.5

-120

Under 5.5

-120

Barcelona Corners

Over 4.5

-110

Under 4.5

-125

Most Corners

1

-135

X

+650

2

+150

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Real Madrid vs Barcelona Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest 1x2 Odds Suggest Real Victory

With an approximate 51% chance of succeeding, the bookies are being cautious with their -105 betting odds for Real Madrid triumphing in this La Liga encounter. The +220 means that Barcelona are seen as having the lowest probability of succeeding.

The Asian Handicap -0.5 option is the same as a win on the 1x2 market. Real are -104 when it comes to this selection, with their opponents Barca +0.5 at -119 which means the draw is also included with this pick.

The Total Goals odds suggest that Over 2.5 is a strong probability in this contest. If both teams to score is something you think will happen, there’s an opportunity to wager Yes at -345 on the BTTS market.

For those wanting hundreds of football markets, it’s great that the top betting sites are on hand to offer this service. When it comes to every La Liga game, go for the pick which stands out the most.

Full-Time Result

1

-105

X

+310

2

+220

Half-Time Result

1

+138

X

+175

2

+225

Double Chance

1X

-303

12

-435

X2

-125

Draw No Bet

1

-200

2

+140

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-104

2 Hcp +0.5

-119

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+255

Over 2.5

-357

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-345

No

+240

Kylian Mbappé Heads First Goalscorer Market

Kylian Mbappé is available at -182 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer, with the favourite priced at odds of +240 to find the net first.

Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)

First

-182

Anytime

+240

Lamine Yamal (Barcelona)

First

+165

Anytime

+500

Raphinha (Barcelona)

First

+210

Anytime

+600

Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid)

First

+210

Anytime

+650

Marcus Rashford (Barcelona)

First

+230

Anytime

+650

Ferran Torres (Barcelona)

First

+230

Anytime

+650

Gonzalo García (Real Madrid)

First

+250

Anytime

+700

Roony Bardghji (Barcelona)

First

+250

Anytime

+750

Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid)

First

+290

Anytime

+900

Endrick Moreira de Sousa (Real Madrid)

First

+310

Anytime

+750

Rodrygo (Real Madrid)

First

+320

Anytime

+950

Franco Mastantuono (Real Madrid)

First

+340

Anytime

+1000

Arda Guler (Real Madrid)

First

+370

Anytime

+1100

Fermín López (Barcelona)

First

+380

Anytime

+1150

Brahim Díaz (Real Madrid)

First

+550

Anytime

+1600

Federico Valverde (Real Madrid)

First

+600

Anytime

+1900

Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

+138

Raphinha (Barcelona)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

+132

Marcus Rashford (Barcelona)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

+130

Ferran Torres (Barcelona)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

+120

Roony Bardghji (Barcelona)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

+107

Gonzalo García (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-141

Under 0.5

-114

Fermín López (Barcelona)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-125

Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-122

Endrick Moreira de Sousa (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-143

Rodrygo (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-156

Franco Mastantuono (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-154

Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-172

Arda Guler (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

+118

Under 0.5

-189

Lamine Yamal (Barcelona)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-204

Brahim Díaz (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-357

Federico Valverde (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-345

Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)

Over 4.5

+102

Under 4.5

-

Lamine Yamal (Barcelona)

Over 3.5

-133

Under 3.5

-

Raphinha (Barcelona)

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-

Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

Marcus Rashford (Barcelona)

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-

Ferran Torres (Barcelona)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Roony Bardghji (Barcelona)

Over 2.5

+138

Under 2.5

-

Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid)

Over 2.5

+123

Under 2.5

-

Franco Mastantuono (Real Madrid)

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-

Arda Guler (Real Madrid)

Over 2.5

+133

Under 2.5

-

Fermín López (Barcelona)

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-

Gonzalo García (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

Endrick Moreira de Sousa (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Rodrygo (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

-109

Under 1.5

-

Real Having a Purple Patch at Home

Real Madrid have secured ten straight victories at Santiago Bernabéu.

Barca have racked up eight victories, one draw and one defeat in the previous 10 away games, netting an average of 2.30 goals per match and conceding 1.10.

The past meeting at Santiago Bernabéu saw Barca defeat Real 4-0. Barca have won five of the past 8 H2H games at Santiago Bernabéu, with Real claiming three wins.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Real Madrid Home Stats		10-0-0	2.50	1.90	0.60	5	5	5	5
Barcelona Away Stats		8-1-1	3.40	2.30	1.10	7	3	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Real Madrid vs Barcelona Lineups & Team News

Before placing any bets on Real vs Barca, check the team news first. We’ll have the predicted and confirmed La Liga lineups for you plus all the latest on player injuries.

Real Madrid Team Page Barcelona Team Page