Real Madrid vs Benfica Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 25 Feb 2026

Champions League Betting Preview: Real Madrid vs Benfica

Spanish La Liga giants Real Madrid host Portuguese Primeira Liga side Benfica at Santiago Bernabéu in the second leg of this Champions League play-off tie, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Wednesday 25 February.

We think Real Madrid will beat Benfica by two goals or more. This leads us to back Los Merengues -1.25 on the Asian Handicap at odds of -109, with a one goal victory meaning half the stake comes back.

Real Madrid suffered a surprise 2-1 defeat in their last game, losing away to Osasuna at the Estadio El Sadar in La Liga. Alvaro Arbeloa's team boasted 61% possession and recorded five shots on target, with Vinicius Junior being the goalscorer.

Benfica won their previous game which was at home. It was a 3-0 Primeira Liga triumph at Estadio da Luz against AVS. The Eagles had nine shots on goal and boasted 65% possession, while Alexander Bah, Enzo Barrenechea and Rafa Silva found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Real won the first leg, recording a 1-0 away victory over Benfica at the Estadio da Luz. Real enjoyed 56% possession and won the shots on target 8-3, with Vinicius Junior scoring the decisive goal in the 50th minute.

Champions League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
9	Real Madrid	8	5	0	3	21	12	9	21:12	15
24	Benfica	8	3	0	5	10	12	-2	10:12	9

View Full Table

Real have 8 wins and 2 losses, averaging 2.7 goals from 6.5 shots on goal and 16.8 attempts. Los Merengues have averaged 59.6% possession, 597.3 passes and 6.8 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.0 goals from 3.6 shots on goal, 12.7 attempts and 4.7 corners.

Kylian Mbappe leads the way with 9 goals, while Vinicius Junior and Gonzalo Garcia have 6 and 4 respectively. Federico Valverde is the leading assists maker on 5, with goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois keeping 4 clean sheets.

Benfica have 7 victories, 2 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 2.0 goals from 18.7 attempts and 6.8 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 56.1% possession, 475.4 passes, 7.9 corners in their favour and 2.6 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.8 goals from 8.4 attempts and 2.9 shots on goal.

Vangelis Pavlidis has top scored with 7 goals, while Andreas Schjelderup and Anisio Cabral are next on 3 and 2. Sidny Lopes Cabral and Vangelis Pavlidis have had 2 assists in the previous 10 games, while Anatoliy Trubin has 4 clean sheets to his name.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Real Madrid predicted lineup (4-4-2): Thibaut Courtois (GK), Trent Alexander-Arnold, Antonio Ruediger, Dean Huijsen, Alvaro Carreras, Federico Valverde, Arda Guler, Aurelien Tchouameni, Eduardo Camavinga, Kylian Mbappe, Vinicius Junior.

Benfica predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Anatoliy Trubin (GK), Amar Dedic, Tomas Araujo, Nicolas Otamendi, Samuel Dahl, Leandro Barreiro, Fredrik Aursnes, Dodi Lukebakio, Rafa Silva, Andreas Schjelderup, Vangelis Pavlidis.

Real Madrid vs Benfica Prediction & Betting Tips

Be fully equipped for Real Madrid vs Benfica with our betting guide, offering a key match prediction, a correct score recommendation, valuable corners advice, top player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

This Champions League match has the makings of a one-sided affair and we’re backing Real Madrid -1.25 at -109. There’s a large degree of confidence that the hosts can win by a decent margin.

The football betting tips are only provided once we have a handle on the team news and the latest form guide. We are also on point when it comes to the most valuable Champions League stats.

Key Real Madrid vs Benfica Champions League & league stats:

• The -1.25 line has been covered by Real in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -1.25 line has been covered by Real in 6 of their last 10 games.

According to the odds, there’s a 52.1% likelihood of our pick winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

If you’re looking for bigger odds about Madrid covering the line, then why not combine this pick with some of the other available betting markets in a Bet Builder.

Ready to wager? First, explore top-tier betting promo codes, free bets, and welcome bonuses with our expert bonus guide.

Our Match Prediction

Real Asian Hcp -1.25 @ -109 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 23, 21:59). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Real Madrid 2 - 0 Benfica

A 2-0 win in favor of Real Madrid can be backed at odds of +700. We like placing a bet on correct score due to the fun element and the big potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Vinicius Junior Over 3.5 Shots +115

Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid) has fired over 3.5 shots in back-to-back games. He should be capable of covering the line when it comes to this player prop and odds of +115 are now available.

Latest Vinicius Junior Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+190

First

+575

Shots

Over 3.5

+115

Under 3.5

-

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Kylian Mbappé To Score -152

Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) can be backed to find the net at -152. It’s worth a play that he is Anytime Goalscorer as there’s lots of value for these betting odds.

Latest Kylian Mbappé Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

-152

First

+250

Shots

Over 5.5

-119

Under 5.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Benfica Over 3.5 Corners -105

The 3.5 corners line has been covered by Benfica in ten consecutive away matches, with Real Madrid conceding over 3.5 corners in their past three home games. Benfica should be capable of covering the line when it comes to Team Corners and odds of -105 are on offer.

Champions League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Real Madrid

Total

11.50 6.80 4.70

Home

11.00 7.20 3.80

Away

10.40 6.40 4.00

Benfica

Total

10.50 7.90 2.60

Home

8.60 5.70 2.90

Away

11.70 7.60 4.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-104

Under 10.5

-137

Real Madrid Corners

Over 6.5

-106

Under 6.5

-133

Benfica Corners

Over 3.5

-118

Under 3.5

-120

Most Corners

1

-303

X

+750

2

+275

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Real Madrid vs Benfica Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Some will want to go ahead and back Real Madrid at -233 to win this Champions League encounter. After all, this betting price suggests a 70% chance that the favourites end up succeeding. Benfica are the underdogs at +575 which implies a lesser percentage prospect of winning.

If you fancy Real to be leading at the interval, then you can secure odds of -114. Alternatively, there’s the chance to wager on Benfica at +460 on the Half-Time Result, with the draw trading at +170.

The Over 2.5 pick is trading as the favourite when it comes to betting on Total Goals. Punters anticipating that both teams will find the net are able to land -167 for the BTTS Yes option.

Hundreds of markets for every Champions League match await you, with the best football betting sites providing a huge range of choice. A first-class service awaits whether you’re betting pre-match or In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

-233

X

+390

2

+575

Half-Time Result

1

-114

X

+170

2

+460

Double Chance

1X

-1000

12

-588

X2

+170

Draw No Bet

1

-667

2

+360

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.25

-109

2 Hcp +1.25

-114

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+170

Over 2.5

-213

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-167

No

+128

Kylian Mbappé can be backed to find the net anytime at -152. There is the chance to back the market leader to score the first goal at +250.

Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)

First

-152

Anytime

+250

Gonzalo García (Real Madrid)

First

+160

Anytime

+450

Vangelis Pavlidis (Benfica)

First

+180

Anytime

+550

Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid)

First

+190

Anytime

+575

Federico Valverde (Real Madrid)

First

+280

Anytime

+850

Arda Guler (Real Madrid)

First

+310

Anytime

+850

Rafa Silva (Benfica)

First

+360

Anytime

+1050

Franco Mastantuono (Real Madrid)

First

+380

Anytime

+1100

Franjo Ivanovic (Benfica)

First

+400

Anytime

+1150

Dodi Lukébakio (Benfica)

First

+430

Anytime

+1300

Brahim Díaz (Real Madrid)

First

+480

Anytime

+1300

Henrique Araújo (Benfica)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Andreas Schjelderup (Benfica)

First

+525

Anytime

+1500

Armindo ''Bruma'' Bangna (Benfica)

First

+550

Anytime

+1600

Georgiy Sudakov (Benfica)

First

+600

Anytime

+1800

Eduardo Camavinga (Real Madrid)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Gianluca Prestianni (Benfica)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Antonio Rüdiger (Real Madrid)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Dean Huijsen (Real Madrid)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Raúl Asencio del Rosario (Real Madrid)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

David Jiménez (Real Madrid)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Trent Alexander-Arnold (Real Madrid)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Ferland Mendy (Real Madrid)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Fran García (Real Madrid)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Aurélien Tchouaméni (Real Madrid)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)

Over 5.5

-119

Under 5.5

-

Vangelis Pavlidis (Benfica)

Over 3.5

+102

Under 3.5

-

Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid)

Over 3.5

+115

Under 3.5

-

Federico Valverde (Real Madrid)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-

Gonzalo García (Real Madrid)

Over 2.5

-147

Under 2.5

-

Henrique Araújo (Benfica)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Gianluca Prestianni (Benfica)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-

Georgiy Sudakov (Benfica)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Armindo ''Bruma'' Bangna (Benfica)

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-

Dodi Lukébakio (Benfica)

Over 1.5

-139

Under 1.5

-

Franjo Ivanovic (Benfica)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-

Franco Mastantuono (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

+114

Under 1.5

-

Rafa Silva (Benfica)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Arda Guler (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

Fran García (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

+114

Under 0.5

-

David Jiménez (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-119

Under 0.5

-

Ferland Mendy (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Trent Alexander-Arnold (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-

Andreas Schjelderup (Benfica)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Raúl Asencio del Rosario (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

+104

Under 0.5

-

Antonio Rüdiger (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

Eduardo Camavinga (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-

Brahim Díaz (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Aurélien Tchouaméni (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

-

Latest Champions League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Real Madrid Stats

Benfica Stats

Full-Time Result

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the previous 10 matches
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 2.70 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.80 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 3.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.70 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 2.00 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.70 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 6.80 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 7.20 corners awarded and 3.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 11.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 11.00 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 7.90 corners awarded and 2.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 7.60 corners awarded and 4.10 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 11.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 59.60% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 55.00% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 10 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 56.10% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 55.80% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 away matches

Real Madrid vs Benfica Lineups & Team News

Make sure you're up to date on the Real vs Benfica team news before betting. We’ll keep you posted with predicted and confirmed lineups for the Champions League and all current injury news.

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