Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 05 Jul 2025

We’re Expecting BVB to Cover the Line

The final Club World Cup semi-finalist will be decided when Real Madrid go up against Borussia Dortmund at the MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford.

We’re going for Dortmund on the Asian Handicap +1 at -125 and feel confident that the underdogs can win or draw when clashing with Real. However, a one-goal defeat would see our stake refunded.

Tight Wins for Both Teams in Round of 16 Clashes

Group H winners Real Madrid edged Juventus 1–0 at Hard Rock Stadium to advance from the Round of 16. Xabi Alonso's side had most of the ball recording 57% possession and eleven shots on target, with Gonzalo Garcia getting the all-important goal in the 54th minute.

Borussia Dortmund, winners of Group F, booked their place in the quarter-finals with a 2-1 victory over Monterrey at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. BVB had just 35% possession and recorded three shots on goal, with Serhou Guirassy finding the net twice.

FIFA Club World Cup		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Dortmund	3	2	1	0	5	3	2	5:3	7
1	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	7	2	5	7:2	7

View Full Table

Real have 8 wins and 2 losses, averaging 1.9 goals from 7.6 shots on goal and 18.6 attempts. Los Merengues have averaged 60.5% possession, 569.5 passes and 8.9 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.1 goals from 4.0 shots on goal, 11.2 attempts and 3.7 corners.

Kylian Mbappe is the top scorer with 11 goals, while Jude Bellingham and Arda Guler each have 2. Vinicius Junior has the most assists with 3, while goalies Thibaut Courtois and Andriy Lunin collectively have 5 clean sheets.

Dortmund have won 7, lost 2 and drawn 1, with an average of 2.6 goals from 15.6 attempts and 5.8 shots on goal. The German Bundesliga outfit average 55.0% possession, 521.5 passes, 6.1 corners in their favour and 3.9 corners against, while conceding 1.3 goals from 12.2 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal.

Serhou Guirassy has scored 7 goals, followed by Karim Adeyemi on 4 and Maximilian Beier with 3. Julian Brandt has clocked up 5 assists, with Gregor Kobel keeping 2 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Betting Tips

There’s a case for siding with Dortmund +1 at odds of -125 for this Club World Cup quarter-final. This Asian Handicap bet looks really attractive based on the latest stats and we’re happy with the line and price for the underdogs.

The team at Sportsgambler.com are right across the latest injuries and suspensions and the form guide also informs our Club World Cup predictions. This data is combined with the latest stats.

Key Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Club World Cup & league stats:

• The +1 line has been covered by BVB in 12 consecutive games.
• The +1 line has been covered by BVB in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Real in 15 of their last 20 games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Real in 6 of their last 10 games.

BVB +1 Probability

The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 55.6% likelihood of this pick landing a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 60-65%. This is why we can recommend this wager.

A bigger price can be landed by going down the Bet Builder route where BVB to cover the line is one of several options. Add various legs until you’re satisfied with the odds.

Our Match Prediction

Dortmund Asian Hcp +1 @ -125 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Real Madrid 1 - 1 Dortmund

Our prediction for the correct score is for the teams to play out a 1-1 draw and this is available at +650. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Felix Nmecha Over 0.5 Shots On Target +205

Felix Nmecha (Dortmund) has recorded one or more shots on goal in one of his past five games. We think that some value can be landed by wagering on Shots on Target and you can secure +205 that he goes over the line.

Latest Felix Nmecha Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+650

First

+1800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-455

Shots

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

---

Julian Brandt to Score +600

Julian Brandt (Dortmund) has netted two goals in his past ten games. Based on the numbers, we are looking to bet the +600 for him to find the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Julian Brandt Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+600

First

+1500

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+163

Under 0.5

-333

Shots

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Corners Prediction

Under 10.5 Corners -125

It has now been five consecutive Dortmund games where the 10.5 Total Corners line has not been covered. The Total Corners line looks to be too high given the stats and -125 is available to wager.

FIFA Club World Cup & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Real Madrid

Total

12.50 7.70 4.80

Home

13.50 9.40 4.10

Away

9.80 4.50 5.30

Dortmund

Total

8.40 4.30 4.10

Home

9.40 6.30 3.10

Away

9.50 4.70 4.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-135

Under 10.5

-105

Real Madrid Corners

Over 6.5

-103

Under 6.5

-143

Dortmund Corners

Over 4.5

+102

Under 4.5

-154

Most Corners

1

-217

X

+600

2

+205

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Make Real Most Likely Winners

The Full-Time Result odds of -152 suggest that Real Madrid are likely victors and there’s a 60% probability that the favourites win this Club World Cup quarter-final. Borussia Dortmund are the outsiders at +390 which suggests a lower likelihood of winning.

Real can be backed alternatively on the Half-Time Result market and that means getting +108. However, Dortmund are +360 and the draw is +160 if you want to take a different option.

For those expecting a high-scoring contest, Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest price. Both Teams to Score is one of the top markets and the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -204.

For those wanting hundreds of football markets, it’s great that the top betting sites are on hand to offer this service. When it comes to every Club World Cup game, go for the pick which stands out the most.

Full-Time Result

1

-152

X

+310

2

+390

Half-Time Result

1

+108

X

+160

2

+360

Double Chance

1X

-588

12

-435

X2

+116

Draw No Bet

1

-385

2

+240

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-123

2 Hcp +0.75

-102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+155

Over 2.5

-204

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-204

No

+143

Kylian Mbappé Favourite to Score the First Goal

The First Goalscorer favourite is Kylian Mbappé at +290. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to register the last goal.

Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)

First

-106

Anytime

+290

Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid)

First

+114

Anytime

+340

Sehrou Guirassy (Dortmund)

First

+148

Anytime

+440

Gonzalo García (Real Madrid)

First

+170

Anytime

+380

Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid)

First

+245

Anytime

+600

Arda Guler (Real Madrid)

First

+300

Anytime

+700

Federico Valverde (Real Madrid)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Karim Adeyemi (Dortmund)

First

+335

Anytime

+800

Trent Alexander-Arnold (Real Madrid)

First

+540

Anytime

+1400

Julian Brandt (Dortmund)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Dean Huijsen (Real Madrid)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Felix Nmecha (Dortmund)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Marcel Sabitzer (Dortmund)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Ramy Bensebaïni (Dortmund)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Pascal Gross (Dortmund)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Federico Valverde (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

+133

Gonzalo García (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

+116

Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-137

Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-137

Karim Adeyemi (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-143

Arda Guler (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-116

Under 0.5

-159

Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-200

Sehrou Guirassy (Dortmund)

Over 1.5

+116

Under 1.5

-222

Julian Brandt (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+163

Under 0.5

-333

Trent Alexander-Arnold (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-455

Felix Nmecha (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-455

Marcel Sabitzer (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-476

Pascal Gross (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-588

Dean Huijsen (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

+265

Under 0.5

-714

Ramy Bensebaïni (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+285

Under 0.5

-833

Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)

Over 4.5

+112

Under 4.5

-

Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid)

Over 3.5

+104

Under 3.5

-

Sehrou Guirassy (Dortmund)

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

-

Gonzalo García (Real Madrid)

Over 2.5

+123

Under 2.5

-

Federico Valverde (Real Madrid)

Over 2.5

-132

Under 2.5

-

Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Arda Guler (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Karim Adeyemi (Dortmund)

Over 1.5

-139

Under 1.5

-

Dean Huijsen (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

+165

Under 1.5

-

Trent Alexander-Arnold (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Julian Brandt (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Felix Nmecha (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Marcel Sabitzer (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-

Ramy Bensebaïni (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-

Pascal Gross (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

Latest Club World Cup and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Real Madrid Stats

Borussia Dortmund Stats

Full-Time Result

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the previous 10 matches
• 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 2.60 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 3.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.70 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 8.90 corners awarded and 3.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 10.10 corners awarded and 3.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 12.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 13.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 6.10 corners awarded and 3.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 4.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 60.50% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 62.70% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 9 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 55.00% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 57.60% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 away matches

Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Lineups & Team News

Double-check the Real vs Dortmund team news before placing your bets. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Club World Cup along with the latest injury news.