Real Madrid vs Marseille Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Sep 2025

Champions League Betting Preview: Real Madrid vs Marseille

Spanish La Liga outfit Real Madrid host French Ligue 1 side Marseille in this Champions League match at Santiago Bernabéu, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Tuesday 16 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

The Value Lies With Real

We are not only backing Real Madrid to triumph but taking them on the Asian Handicap against Marseille. They can cover a -1.5 shortfall at odds of -122 which means we need the favourites to win by two goals or more.

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Both Teams Victorious in Last Game

Real Madrid won their last game. It was on the road in La Liga where Real Sociedad were beaten 2-1 at Reale Arena. Los Merengues ended up with just 36% possession and had six shots on target, while Kylian Mbappe and Arda Guler scored one goal each.

Marseille won their previous game, beating Lorient at home in Ligue 1. It was a 4-0 win at Stade Vélodrome. Roberto De Zerbi's team enjoyed an impressive 72% of possession and had eight shots on goal, while Mason Greenwood, Benjamin Pavard, Angel Gomes and Nayef Aguerd were all on target.

Champions League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Marseille	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
1	Real Madrid	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

9 wins and 1 loss, averaging 2.1 goals from 7.4 shots on goal and 18.8 attempts. Real have had 58.0% possession and 7.8 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 0.9 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 11.3 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.3 corners.

Top goalscorer Kylian Mbappe has found the net 13 times, with Arda Guler and Vinicius Junior scoring 4 and 2 respectively. Vinicius Junior is top assists maker with 4, while goalies Thibaut Courtois and Andriy Lunin have kept 5 clean sheets between them.

Marseille have won 6, lost 3 and drawn 1, averaging 5.8 shots on goal, 14.1 attempts and 2.6 goals. OM average 60.3% possession, 562.0 passes, 6.6 corners awarded and 3.0 corners against, while 1.3 goals have been conceded from 9.5 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal.

Mason Greenwood has top scored with 7 goals, while Amine Gouiri and Adrien Rabiot are next on 6 and 3. Mason Greenwood has been top assists provider with 5 in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Real Madrid predicted lineup (4-1-2-3): Thibaut Courtois (GK), Trent Alexander-Arnold, Éder Militão, Dean Donny Huijsen, Álvaro Fernández Carreras, Aurelien Tchouameni, Federico Valverde, Arda Güler, Franco Mastantuono, Kylian Mbappe, Vinícius Júnior.

Marseille predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Gerónimo Rulli (GK), Amir Murillo, Benjamin Pavard, Nayef Aguerd, Facundo Medina, Angel Gomes, Pierre Emil Højbjerg, Mason Greenwood, Bilal Nadir, Timothy Weah, Amine Gouiri.

Real Madrid vs Marseille Prediction & Betting Tips

We bring you the complete Real Madrid vs Marseille betting insight, including our top match prediction, correct score forecast, key corners pick, player prop advice and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

Rather than back Real Madrid to win, we’re going to take the -122 that the favourites overcome -1.5 on the Asian Handicap for this Champions League match. They could prove too strong over ninety minutes.

The football betting tips are only provided once we have a handle on the team news and the latest form guide. We are also on point when it comes to the most valuable Champions League stats.

Key Real Madrid vs Marseille Champions League & league stats:

• The +1.5 line hasn’t been covered by OM in 5 of their last 10 games on the road.

Real -1.5 Probability

When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 54.9% chance of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

If you’re hunting for greater odds, then a Bet Builder could be the perfect way to go. Combine Madrid to cover the line with other picks until you’re happy with the overall price.

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Our Match Prediction

Real Asian Hcp -1.5 @ -122 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Real Madrid 2 - 0 Marseille

We’ve picked out a correct score of 2-0 being landed by Real Madrid. You can secure odds of +650 and this provides an alternative way to place a wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Amine Gouiri Over 0.5 Shots On Target +107

Amine Gouiri (OM) has chalked up at least one shot on goal in six consecutive games away from home. We think it’s achievable that he will cover the Shots on Target line and there are odds of +107 available.

Latest Amine Gouiri Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+380

First

+1000

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-167

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Franco Mastantuono To Score +280

Franco Mastantuono (Real Madrid) can be backed to find the net at +280. He looks like a value bet to find the net and we recommend backing this Anytime Goalscorer pick.

Latest Franco Mastantuono Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+280

First

+750

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-120

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Corners Prediction

Marseille Over 3.5 Corners -120

Marseille have had over 3.5 corners in ten consecutive games, with Real Madrid conceding over 3.5 corners in the past two matches. The number of Marseille corners might be larger than the line implies and that means a bet at odds of -120.

Champions League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Real Madrid

Total

12.10 7.80 4.30

Home

13.00 9.70 3.30

Away

11.60 4.90 6.70

Marseille

Total

9.60 6.60 3.00

Home

8.70 6.70 2.00

Away

10.80 7.60 3.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

+104

Under 10.5

-149

Real Madrid Corners

Over 6.5

-100

Under 6.5

-138

Marseille Corners

Over 3.5

-110

Under 3.5

-125

Most Corners

1

-333

X

+850

2

+330

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Real Madrid vs Marseille Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Real Heavy Favourites to Win

Real Madrid are overwhelming -313 favourites to win this Champions League clash based on the latest betting odds. The bookmakers afford them a 76% probability of claiming the spoils. If you’re interested in wagering Marseille, you can get +750 for the underdog.

There’s sometimes a case for betting on the Half-Time Result market, with Real available at -135 and Marseille at +525. The third option is the draw which is priced at +190.

There’s a high probability that Over 2.5 Goals will be netted according to the current prices. If you think both teams will score, then you can back BTTS Yes at -147.

If you’re betting on Champions League matches, we recommend heading to the top football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

-313

X

+480

2

+750

Half-Time Result

1

-135

X

+190

2

+525

Double Chance

1X

-1429

12

-769

X2

+225

Draw No Bet

1

-909

2

+475

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.5

-122

2 Hcp +1.5

-102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+200

Over 2.5

-263

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-147

No

+108

Kylian Mbappé Top of First Goalscorer List

Kylian Mbappé is the First Goalscorer favourite at +145. Alternatively, there’s the opportunity to simply back him to find the net anytime at -333.

Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)

First

-333

Anytime

+145

Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid)

First

+175

Anytime

+480

Endrick Moreira de Sousa (Real Madrid)

First

+230

Anytime

+550

Franco Mastantuono (Real Madrid)

First

+280

Anytime

+750

Rodrygo (Real Madrid)

First

+285

Anytime

+800

Mason Greenwood (OM)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Arda Guler (Real Madrid)

First

+330

Anytime

+900

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (OM)

First

+335

Anytime

+850

Amine Gouiri (OM)

First

+380

Anytime

+1000

Federico Valverde (Real Madrid)

First

+420

Anytime

+1200

Robinio Vaz (OM)

First

+450

Anytime

+1100

Brahim Díaz (Real Madrid)

First

+450

Anytime

+1150

Hamed Traorè (OM)

First

+525

Anytime

+1500

Matt O'Riley (OM)

First

+575

Anytime

+1600

Trent Alexander-Arnold (Real Madrid)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Dean Huijsen (Real Madrid)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Nadir Bilal (OM)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Darryl Bakola (OM)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Timothy Weah (OM)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Endrick Moreira de Sousa (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+115

Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)

Over 2.5

-141

Under 2.5

-120

Mason Greenwood (OM)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-114

Franco Mastantuono (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-120

Rodrygo (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-128

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (OM)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-143

Arda Guler (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-154

Amine Gouiri (OM)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-167

Federico Valverde (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-167

Robinio Vaz (OM)

Over 0.5

+132

Under 0.5

-233

Brahim Díaz (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-227

Hamed Traorè (OM)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-263

Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

+165

Under 1.5

-263

Matt O'Riley (OM)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-270

Trent Alexander-Arnold (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-417

Nadir Bilal (OM)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-500

Dean Huijsen (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-526

Darryl Bakola (OM)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-526

Timothy Weah (OM)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-556

Latest Champions League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Real Madrid Stats

Marseille Stats

Full-Time Result

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the previous 10 matches
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 2 wins, 7 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 2.10 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.90 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 2.60 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 3.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 7.80 corners awarded and 4.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 9.80 corners awarded and 3.40 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 12.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 13.20 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 6.60 corners awarded and 3.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 7.60 corners awarded and 3.20 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 10.80 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 58.00% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 63.40% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 9 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 60.30% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 62.70% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 away matches

Real Madrid vs Marseille Lineups & Team News

Stay informed and review the Real vs Marseille team news before placing your bets. Receive the predicted and confirmed Champions League lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.