Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Feb 2026

La Liga Betting Preview: Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad

Real Madrid clash with Real Sociedad at Santiago Bernabéu, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Saturday 14 February.

We’re playing Sociedad +1.5 on the Asian Handicap for their contest against Madrid. We like the odds of -120 considering we can land a return from this wager even if the away team lose by a single goal.

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Real Madrid won last time out by a 2-0 scoreline. On the road against Valencia at Estadio Mestalla, they made it seven wins on the spin. Los Merengues boasted 60% possession and recorded six shots on target, with Alvaro Carreras and Kylian Mbappe each scoring one goal.

Real Sociedad won their previous La Liga game which was at home. It was a 3-1 triumph at Reale Arena against Elche. They recorded just 34% possession and had three shots on goal, while Luka Sucic, Mikel Oyarzabal and Orri Oskarsson found the net.

Three days ago, Sociedad landed a 1-0 win when facing Athletic Club away in the Copa del Rey.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Madrid have beaten Sociedad in the last two head-to-head encounters. There was a 2-1 away triumph at Reale Arena after winning 2-0 when hosting at Santiago Bernabéu. The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved seven Madrid wins, one Sociedad victory and two draws.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Real Madrid	23	18	3	2	49	18	31	49:18	57
8	Real Sociedad	23	8	7	8	33	31	2	33:31	31

View Full Table

8 wins, 1 loss and 1 draw, averaging 2.1 goals from 6.9 shots on goal and 17.7 attempts. Madrid have had 58.8% possession, 584.3 passes and 6.9 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 0.6 goals from 3.0 shots on goal and 9.5 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.1 corners.

Kylian Mbappe leads the way with 10 goals, while Gonzalo Garcia and Raul Asencio have scored 3 and 2 respectively. Rodrygo is top assists maker with 3, while goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois has kept 5 clean sheets.

Sociedad have 4 victories, 3 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 11.6 attempts, 5.0 shots on goal and 1.6 goals. They average 47.1% possession, 411.4 passes, 5.3 corners awarded and 5.2 corners against them, while 1.3 goals have been conceded from 4.1 shots on goal and 13.4 attempts.

Mikel Oyarzabal and Goncalo Guedes have 4 and they’re top of the team’s scoring charts, with Brais Mendez on 2. Takefusa Kubo is the top assists provider in the last 10 games with 3.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Real Madrid predicted lineup (4-4-2): Thibaut Courtois (GK), David Jimenez, David Alaba, Dean Huijsen, Alvaro Carreras, Arda Guler, Federico Valverde, Aurelien Tchouameni, Eduardo Camavinga, Kylian Mbappe, Gonzalo Garcia.

Real Sociedad predicted lineup (4-4-2): Alex Remiro (GK), Alvaro Odriozola, Igor Zubeldia, Duje Caleta-Car, Sergio Gomez, Goncalo Guedes, Jon Gorrotxategi, Carlos Soler, Pablo Marin, Benat Turrientes, Mikel Oyarzabal.

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction & Betting Tips

Our expert Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad betting tips include a main match prediction, a correct score pick, corners forecast, standout player prop selections and bet builder advice. Explore each section below for detailed insights.

Match Prediction

Sociedad +1.5 on the Asian Handicap are a great betting option at -120 on the basis that they can perform well as underdogs for this La Liga encounter. We’re expecting the game to be close.

Getting the lowdown on injuries and studying the La Liga form guide are important duties ahead of making football predictions. We also place great emphasis on the stats and a data-led approach can sometimes be effective.

Key Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad league stats:

• The +1.5 line has been covered by Sociedad in 18 consecutive games.
• The +1.5 line has been covered by Sociedad in 19 of their last 20 games.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Madrid in 12 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Madrid in 7 of their last 10 games against Sociedad.

The top bookmakers are estimating that there is a 54.6% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our team calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

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Our Match Prediction

Sociedad Asian Hcp +1.5 @ -120 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (21:08, 12 February 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Madrid 2 - 1 Sociedad

One bet that has caught our eye is Madrid to claim a 2-1 correct score win. This selection is available at +650 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Gonçalo Guedes to Score +450

Gonçalo Guedes (Sociedad) has managed four goals in his past ten La Liga matches. We’ll throw a dart at +450 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look pretty attractive.

Latest Gonçalo Guedes Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+450

First

+1300

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Sociedad Under 3.5 Corners -152

The 3.5 corners line has not been covered by Real Sociedad in their past three games, while Real Madrid have conceded 3.10 corners on average in their last 10 home matches. There’s the opportunity to go under the Sociedad Team Corners line and we’re expecting this to happen, with odds of -152 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Madrid

Total

11.00 6.90 4.10

Home

9.90 6.80 3.10

Away

10.10 6.20 3.90

Sociedad

Total

10.50 5.30 5.20

Home

10.30 5.30 5.00

Away

9.80 5.70 4.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-106

Under 10.5

-133

Madrid Corners

Over 6.5

-128

Under 6.5

-111

Sociedad Corners

Over 3.5

+106

Under 3.5

-152

Most Corners

1

-417

X

+850

2

+360

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The latest Full-Time Result odds give Real Madrid a 75% chance of triumphing which means that they’re overwhelming -303 favourites to win this La Liga clash. If you’re interested in wagering Real Sociedad, you can get +700 for the underdog.

There’s sometimes a case for betting on the Half-Time Result market, with Madrid available at -132 and Sociedad at +510. The third option is the draw which is priced at +185.

The Over 2.5 pick is trading as the favourite when it comes to betting on Total Goals. For those expecting both sides to find the net, Both Teams to Score Yes is available at -159.

The best football betting sites are on hand to provide lots of choice to bettors. It’s now the case that you can select from hundreds of markets for all of the La Liga matches.

Full-Time Result

1

-303

X

+440

2

+700

Half-Time Result

1

-132

X

+185

2

+510

Double Chance

1X

-1250

12

-667

X2

+205

Draw No Bet

1

-909

2

+430

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.5

-103

2 Hcp +1.5

-120

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+175

Over 2.5

-238

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-159

No

+118

You will find favourite Kylian Mbappé at +200 to be First Goalscorer and there’s also the chance to get -200 that he finds the net any time.

Kylian Mbappé (Madrid)

First

-200

Anytime

+200

Vinicius Junior (Madrid)

First

+190

Anytime

+575

Rodrygo (Madrid)

First

+200

Anytime

+575

Gonzalo García (Madrid)

First

+210

Anytime

+575

Mikel Oyarzabal (Sociedad)

First

+240

Anytime

+700

Federico Valverde (Madrid)

First

+280

Anytime

+850

Orri Steinn Óskarsson (Sociedad)

First

+350

Anytime

+900

Arda Guler (Madrid)

First

+350

Anytime

+950

Franco Mastantuono (Madrid)

First

+350

Anytime

+1000

Brahim Díaz (Madrid)

First

+420

Anytime

+1150

Gonçalo Guedes (Sociedad)

First

+450

Anytime

+1300

Jon Karrikaburu (Sociedad)

First

+450

Anytime

+1300

Ander Barrenetxea (Sociedad)

First

+500

Anytime

+1400

Eduardo Camavinga (Madrid)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

David Jiménez (Madrid)

First

+600

Anytime

+1900

Raúl Asencio del Rosario (Madrid)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Dean Huijsen (Madrid)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Trent Alexander-Arnold (Madrid)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Dani Carvajal (Madrid)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

David Alaba (Madrid)

First

+700

Anytime

+2200

Antonio Rüdiger (Madrid)

First

+700

Anytime

+2200

Carlos Soler (Sociedad)

First

+700

Anytime

+2200

Ferland Mendy (Madrid)

First

+700

Anytime

+2200

Aurélien Tchouaméni (Madrid)

First

+700

Anytime

+2200

Fran García (Madrid)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Madrid have enjoyed five straight wins at Santiago Bernabéu. Los Merengues have recorded eight victories and two defeats in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 2.50 goals per game and conceding 0.80.

Sociedad are unbeaten in the last three games on their travels. They have finished with four draws, four defeats and two win in the previous 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.10 goals per match and conceding 1.30.

Madrid beat Sociedad 2-0 when the teams last met at Santiago Bernabéu. We’ve seen four Madrid wins, two Sociedad victories and two draws for the past 8 H2H matches at Santiago Bernabéu.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Real Madrid Home Stats		8-0-2	3.30	2.50	0.80	6	4	5	5
Real Sociedad Away Stats		2-4-4	2.40	1.10	1.30	4	6	8	2

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Lineups & Team News

Don’t miss the latest Madrid vs Sociedad team news before you bet. Receive the predicted and confirmed La Liga lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.

Real Madrid Team Page Real Sociedad Team Page

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