Real Madrid vs Valencia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 01 Nov 2025
La Liga Betting Preview: Real Madrid vs Valencia
League leaders Real Madrid host Valencia in this Spanish La Liga clash at Santiago Bernabéu, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Saturday 1 November. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
We think Real Madrid are a value bet off -2 on the Asian Handicap. Take the -125 that the hosts win by more than two goals in their meeting with Valencia and get your money back if the winning margin is exactly two.
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Real Madrid have enjoyed five straight La Liga home victories at Santiago Bernabéu. Last time out, Barcelona were beaten 2-1 in the El Clásico. Los Merengues ended up with just 31% possession and had ten shots on target, with Kylian Mbappe and Jude Bellingham each scoring one goal.
Valencia lost when last in La Liga action. In a home game at Estadio Mestalla, they were turned over 2-0 by Villarreal. Carlos Corberan's team had one shot on goal and recorded 57% possession.
On Tuesday night, Valencia visited UD Maracena and won 5-0 in the Copa del Rey.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The scoreline was 2-1 in favour of away team Valencia when they last faced Real, with the encounter taking place at Santiago Bernabéu. The past 10 H2H matches have seen Real triumph six times, one draw and three Valencia wins.
| La Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Real Madrid |
17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 34:16 | 39 |
| 17 | Valencia |
16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 15:25 | 15 |
Real have 9 wins and 1 loss, averaging 2.2 goals from 7.2 shots on goal and 19.4 attempts. Xabi Alonso's side have averaged 60.2% possession, 551.5 passes and 5.8 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.0 goals from 3.1 shots on goal, 9.7 attempts and 3.4 corners.
Kylian Mbappe leads the way with 11 goals, while Vinicius Junior and Arda Guler have 5 and 3 respectively. Arda Guler and Vinicius Junior have the most assists with 4, while goalie Thibaut Courtois has recorded 4 clean sheets.
Valencia have 2 victories, 5 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 1.0 goals from 2.9 shots on goal and 9.8 attempts. There’s been an average of 47.9% possession, 385.6 passes, 5.1 corners taken and 5.1 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.6 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 13.3 attempts.
Hugo Duro and Arnaut Danjuma have scored 3 goals, followed by Diego Lopez with 2. Luis Rioja is top assists provider with 3, while Julen Agirrezabala has recorded 3 clean sheets in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Real Madrid confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Thibaut Courtois (GK), Federico Valverde, Eder Militao, Dean Huijsen, Alvaro Carreras, Arda Guler, Aurelien Tchouameni, Jude Bellingham, Franco Mastantuono, Kylian Mbappe, Vinicius Junior.
Valencia confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Julen Agirrezabala (GK), Thierry Correia, Cesar Tarrega, Jose Copete, Jose Gaya, Luis Rioja, Baptiste Santamaria, Pepelu, Diego Lopez, Lucas Beltran, Arnaut Danjuma.
Real Madrid vs Valencia Prediction & Betting Tips
From our key match prediction to corners advice, correct score pick, top player prop insights and a builder tailored for value — our Real Madrid vs Valencia betting tips covers it all.
Match Prediction
We’ll wager Real Madrid -2 for this La Liga clash at odds of -125. The favourites can deliver a return if they secure a victory by a considerable margin and we’re happy to take our chances.
Injuries and suspensions are studied by the team at Sportsgambler.com. Our football predictions also come from studying the latest La Liga form, with the numbers playing a huge part before the tips are decided.
Key Real Madrid vs Valencia league stats:
The latest odds imply that our pick has a 55.6% prospect of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 60-65%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.
There’s a chance to land a larger price and this can be attained by moving the line. Increase your odds for your selection by taking a different wagering stance.
Boost your betting strategy with exclusive offers, free bets, and welcome bonuses—all in our straightforward guide.
Correct Score Prediction
Our correct score prediction is a 3-0 win for Real Madrid which is available at odds of +600. We think they’ll achieve victory and this is a way of getting bigger odds and more excitement.
Player Prop Picks
Federico Valverde (Real Madrid) has an average of 0.7 shots on goal in his past ten La Liga games on home soil. We’ve decided to back him on the Overs for Shots on Target, with this line looking attractive at odds of +150.
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Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid) can be wagered at +220 to be on the scoresheet. We think this is the pick of the player props, with generous odds available when it comes to backing him to score at any time.
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Corners Prediction
In terms of average corners for the past ten Real Madrid home games, the number is 12.30. The previous ten Valencia matches have averaged 10.20 corners. We think it’s possible that the teams will cover the Total Corners line and odds of -137 can be landed.
Real Madrid
Valencia
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Bet Builder Tips
We’ve compiled a bet builder that includes Real Madrid with an Asian Handicap of -2, No on the BTTS market and Federico Valverde (Real Madrid) to have one or more shots on target.
The bet builder option is great for football fans wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same game. The bookies have created this personalised betting tool where you can hand-pick different selections and combine the odds together.
Real Madrid vs Valencia Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Real Madrid are the massive -714 favourites to triumph in this La Liga clash which suggests a 88% likelihood of landing the spoils according to the latest Full-Time Result betting odds. If you want to back the rank outsider, Valencia are available at +1500.
It sometimes pays to go down the Half-Time Result route and the draw is available at +235. Alternatively, Real can be backed at -213 and Valencia are on offer at +800.
Over 2.5 Goals is available at shorter odds than Under 2.5 Goals as things stand. A fresh approach might involve siding with a BTTS wager and there’s -130 on offer for Both Teams to Score No.
You can find hundreds of markets for every La Liga match, with the top betting apps creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and In-Play selections before placing your football bets.
Kylian Mbappé is priced at +180 when it comes to First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite, while he’s also available at odds of -333 to find the net anytime.
Real Madrid have won ten on the bounce at Santiago Bernabéu.
Valencia have not triumphed in seven straight away matches. Carlos Corberan's team have four draws, four losses and two victories in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.70.
In the last meeting at Santiago Bernabéu, Valencia defeated Real by a 2-1 scoreline. Real have won three of the past 4 H2H games at Santiago Bernabéu, with Valencia picking up one win.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Madrid Home Stats |
10-0-0 | 2.70 | 2.00 | 0.70 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 4 | |
Valencia Away Stats |
2-4-4 | 2.70 | 1.00 | 1.70 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- La Liga: 05/04 2025 Real Madrid 1 Valencia 2
- La Liga: 03/01 2025 Valencia 1 Real Madrid 2
- La Liga: 02/03 2024 Valencia 2 Real Madrid 2
- La Liga: 11/11 2023 Real Madrid 5 Valencia 1
- La Liga: 21/05 2023 Valencia 1 Real Madrid 0
- La Liga: 02/02 2023 Real Madrid 2 Valencia 0
- La Liga: 08/01 2022 Real Madrid 4 Valencia 1
- La Liga: 19/09 2021 Valencia 1 Real Madrid 2
- La Liga: 14/02 2021 Real Madrid 2 Valencia 0
- La Liga: 08/11 2020 Valencia 4 Real Madrid 1
Real Madrid League Stats
Valencia League Stats
- 9 wins and 1 defeat in the previous 10 matches
- 9 wins and 1 defeat in the previous 10 home matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 3.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded and 2.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 12.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 5.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 corners awarded and 5.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 60.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 62.60% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 47.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 44.60% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Real Madrid this season are Kylian Mbappe (11), Vinicius Junior (5), Arda Guler (3)
- Top Assistors for Real Madrid this season are Arda Guler (4), Vinicius Junior (4), Federico Valverde (3)
Real Madrid vs Valencia Lineups & Team News
The latest Real vs Valencia team news could impact your bets — review it first. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for La Liga together with updated injury news.
Real Madrid Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Valencia Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Real Madrid Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Valencia Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Real Madrid Substitutes
- 6Eduardo Camavinga
- 9Endrick
- 11Rodrygo
- 12T. Alexander-Arnold
- 16Gonzalo Garcia
- 17Raul Asencio
- 19Dani Ceballos
- 20Francisco Garcia
- 21Brahim Diaz
- 23Ferland Mendy
- 26Fran Gonzalez
- 43Sergio Mestre
Valencia Substitutes
- 1Stole Dimitrievski
- 8Javier Guerra
- 9Hugo Duro
- 10Andre Almeida
- 13Cristian Rivero
- 19Daniel Raba
- 21Jesus Vazquez
- 24Eray Coemert
- 26Ruben Iranzo
- 27David Otorbi
- 29Lucas Nunez
- 32Alejandro Panach
Previous Real Madrid Lineups
Previous Valencia Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Real Madrid Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Xabi Alonso
Valencia Player Stats & Squad
La Liga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 49:20 | 43 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 34:16 | 39 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 31:13 | 35 |
| 4 | Atlético Madrid | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 30:16 | 34 |
| 5 | Espanyol | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 20:16 | 30 |
| 6 | Real Betis | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 25:19 | 24 |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 15:22 | 23 |
| 8 | Celta Vigo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20:19 | 22 |
| 9 | Sevilla | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 24:24 | 20 |
| 10 | Getafe | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 13:18 | 20 |
| 11 | Elche | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 19:20 | 19 |
| 12 | Alavés | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14:17 | 18 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13:16 | 17 |
| 14 | Mallorca | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18:23 | 17 |
| 15 | Real Sociedad | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20:24 | 16 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 14:20 | 15 |
| 17 | Valencia | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:25 | 15 |
| 18 | Girona | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:30 | 15 |
| 19 | Real Oviedo | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 7:26 | 10 |
| 20 | Levante | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 16:28 | 9 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 28:5 | 27 |
| 2 | Atlético Madrid | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22:7 | 25 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 20:4 | 22 |
| 4 | Espanyol | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13:10 | 19 |
| 5 | Real Madrid | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14:5 | 18 |
| 6 | Elche | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12:5 | 16 |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 16 |
| 8 | Alavés | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:9 | 14 |
| 9 | Real Betis | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14:11 | 13 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:8 | 13 |
| 11 | Mallorca | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:9 | 13 |
| 12 | Valencia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 13 | Getafe | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:6 | 11 |
| 14 | Sevilla | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14:12 | 10 |
| 15 | Real Sociedad | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 16 | Girona | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:14 | 9 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9:12 | 8 |
| 18 | Rayo Vallecano | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4:4 | 7 |
| 19 | Real Oviedo | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2:10 | 6 |
| 20 | Levante | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6:16 | 1 |
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