Real Sociedad vs Atlético Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Jan 2026

La Liga Betting Preview: Real Sociedad vs Atlético Madrid

Real Sociedad square off against Atlético Madrid at Reale Arena, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Sunday 4 January.

We’ll go directly for the pick of Atlético Madrid when it comes to the Full-Time Result market. We think they are capable of a comfortable win against Sociedad, with odds of -108 looking too good to pass up.

Thinking Atléti got this? Learn more about BetMGM in our review, then make the most of your wager with the latest bonus promo code.

Real Sociedad drew away from home in their last game. A 1-1 scoreline was played out against Levante at Estadi Ciutat de València. The Basque Country outfit had most of the ball boasting 56% possession and six shots on target, while Takefusa Kubo was the goalscorer.

Atlético Madrid have won back-to-back La Liga games. A 3-0 triumph recently occurred away at Estadi Municipal de Montilivi when playing Girona. Diego Simeone's side were 49% in the possession stakes and had six shots on goal, with Koke, Conor Gallagher and Antoine Griezmann finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Atléti boast an unbeaten record in the past seven games with Sociedad. In their last encounter, Atléti came out with a 4-0 home victory at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. The past 10 meetings between these sides have resulted in six Atléti victories and one Sociedad win. There have also been three draws.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Atlético Madrid	24	13	6	5	38	21	17	38:21	45
8	Real Sociedad	24	8	7	9	34	35	-1	34:35	31

View Full Table

3 wins, 4 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 12.1 attempts. Sociedad have had 51.6% possession, 443.3 passes and 6.0 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.4 goals from 2.9 shots on goal and 9.8 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 3.8 corners.

Goncalo Guedes and Mikel Oyarzabal are the leading goalscorers with 3, while Carlos Soler has 2. Leading assistor is Mikel Oyarzabal with 2.

Atléti have won 8 and lost 2, averaging 6.0 shots on goal, 13.1 attempts and 1.8 goals. Los Colchoneros average 52.8% possession, 484.1 passes, 7.1 corners awarded and 4.0 corners against, while 0.6 goals have been conceded from 11.2 attempts and 2.7 shots on goal.

Antoine Griezmann is top of the team’s scoring charts with 5, while Koke, Alejandro Baena, Alexander Soerloth and Thiago Almada have 2. Julian Alvarez and Giuliano Simeone have had 2 assists in the previous 10 games, while Jan Oblak has 5 clean sheets to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

Real Sociedad confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Alex Remiro (GK), Jon Aramburu, Jon Martin, Duje Caleta-Car, Sergio Gomez, Takefusa Kubo, Carlos Soler, Benat Turrientes, Goncalo Guedes, Brais Mendez, Mikel Oyarzabal.

Atlético Madrid confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Jan Oblak (GK), Marcos Llorente, Marc Pubill, David Hancko, Matteo Ruggeri, Giuliano Simeone, Pablo Barrios, Koke, Alejandro Baena, Alexander Soerloth, Julian Alvarez.

Real Sociedad vs Atlético Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips

Tackle Real Sociedad vs Atlético Madrid with all the betting insight you need, including our match prediction, scoreline forecast, corners market advice, key player prop selections and a hand-picked bet builder.

Match Prediction

Atlético Madrid look like a standout wager for this La Liga clash as we’re expecting them to triumph. You can get a price of -108 that the visitors secure a win and this looks like value on the basis of the latest team news and stats.

Team news plays a valuable role and our football experts are always monitoring the players who have an injury concern. We’ve also got a handle on the form guide, with plenty of La Liga data provided which puts you in the picture in terms of stats.

Key Real Sociedad vs Atlético Madrid league stats:

• Atléti have won 8 of their last 10 games.
• Atléti have won 13 of their last 20 games.
• Atléti have won 2 consecutive games.
• Sociedad have lost 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• Sociedad have lost their last 2 games at home.
• Sociedad have lost 6 of their last 10 games against Atléti.

If you go by the top bookies, there’s a 51.8% likelihood of our pick winning. However, our tipsters have this number closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

Lots of bettors wanting to back Atléti to secure a win will look to combine this selection in a Bet Builder. This provides you with a chance to secure a bigger price by featuring a number of picks.

Get extra value on your next wager with our list of betting offers—featuring welcome bonuses, free bets, and promotions.

Our Match Prediction

Atléti To Win @ -108 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (21:08, 02 January 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Sociedad 1 - 2 Atléti

Atléti are available at +700 to win by a 2-1 scoreline. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Mikel Oyarzabal Over 0.5 Shots On Target -143

Mikel Oyarzabal (Sociedad) has bagged at least one shot on goal in three straight La Liga games. He certainly looks capable of covering the line when it comes to this player prop and odds of -143 are currently on offer.

Latest Mikel Oyarzabal Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+210

First

+550

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-141

Under 0.5

-125

Shots

Over 1.5

-179

Under 1.5

-

---

Giuliano Simeone to Score +575

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti) has scored two goals in his past nine La Liga away matches. Based on the stats, we are happy to back the +575 when it comes to him finding the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Giuliano Simeone Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+525

First

+1300

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-435

Shots

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -106

The average corner count for the past ten Atlético Madrid games has been 11.10, with the equivalent number for the last ten Real Sociedad home matches being 10.90. The amount of corners might be larger than the line implies and that means a bet at odds of -106.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Sociedad

Total

9.80 6.00 3.80

Home

10.90 7.70 3.20

Away

11.30 6.10 5.20

Atléti

Total

11.10 7.10 4.00

Home

12.20 8.60 3.60

Away

8.40 5.10 3.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-118

Under 9.5

-120

Sociedad Corners

Over 4.5

-112

Under 4.5

-127

Atléti Corners

Over 4.5

-132

Under 4.5

-109

Most Corners

1

+112

X

+600

2

-108

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Real Sociedad vs Atlético Madrid Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Atlético Madrid are the skinniest price to succeed in this La Liga clash, with the favourites afforded a 53% probability based on their -114 betting odds with the bookies. Real Sociedad are an outside chance to get the job done and you can now back them at +295.

Asian Handicap betting is popular and you can wager Atléti -0.5 at -114 should you want to go for the favourites, with Sociedad +0.5 available at -109 and you will also win with the latter if it’s a draw.

You can get a similar price whether you’re backing Under or Over 2.5 Goals. BTTS Yes is available at -141 for anyone expecting Both Teams to Score.

It’s great that you can tap into hundreds of markets for every La Liga match. Each of our recommended football betting sites provide exciting pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

+295

X

+255

2

-114

Half-Time Result

1

+320

X

+130

2

+143

Double Chance

1X

-116

12

-357

X2

-417

Draw No Bet

1

+175

2

-263

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.5

-109

2 Hcp -0.5

-114

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-106

Over 2.5

-120

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-141

No

+107

Julián Álvarez is the market leader at +280 to be First Goalscorer but if you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

First

-105

Anytime

+280

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

First

+175

Anytime

+460

Mikel Oyarzabal (Sociedad)

First

+210

Anytime

+550

Orri Steinn Óskarsson (Sociedad)

First

+250

Anytime

+550

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

First

+250

Anytime

+650

Álex Baena (Atléti)

First

+270

Anytime

+650

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

First

+350

Anytime

+850

Jon Karrikaburu (Sociedad)

First

+360

Anytime

+950

Gonçalo Guedes (Sociedad)

First

+370

Anytime

+900

Umar Sadiq (Sociedad)

First

+380

Anytime

+900

Ander Barrenetxea (Sociedad)

First

+400

Anytime

+1050

Giacomo Raspadori (Atléti)

First

+400

Anytime

+1050

Takefusa Kubo (Sociedad)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Carlos Martín (Atléti)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Brais Méndez (Sociedad)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

Carlos Soler (Sociedad)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Yangel Herrera (Sociedad)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

David Hancko (Atléti)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Sergio Gomez (Sociedad)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Conor Gallagher (Atléti)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Pablo Barrios (Atléti)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Clément Lenglet (Atléti)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Arsen Zakharyan (Sociedad)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

+115

Mikel Oyarzabal (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

-141

Under 0.5

-125

Orri Steinn Óskarsson (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-135

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-147

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-175

Jon Karrikaburu (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-189

Álex Baena (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-189

Gonçalo Guedes (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-204

Umar Sadiq (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-217

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-250

Takefusa Kubo (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-263

Ander Barrenetxea (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-263

Giacomo Raspadori (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-294

Brais Méndez (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-333

Carlos Soler (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-357

Carlos Martín (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-400

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-435

Yangel Herrera (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

+225

Under 0.5

-476

Sergio Gomez (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-714

David Hancko (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-909

Pablo Barrios (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+370

Under 0.5

-1429

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

Over 3.5

+135

Under 3.5

-

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

Over 2.5

-133

Under 2.5

-

Brais Méndez (Sociedad)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Takefusa Kubo (Sociedad)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

Giacomo Raspadori (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Ander Barrenetxea (Sociedad)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-

Umar Sadiq (Sociedad)

Over 1.5

+104

Under 1.5

-

Gonçalo Guedes (Sociedad)

Over 1.5

-112

Under 1.5

-

Jon Karrikaburu (Sociedad)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

-

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

Álex Baena (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

Orri Steinn Óskarsson (Sociedad)

Over 1.5

-139

Under 1.5

-

Mikel Oyarzabal (Sociedad)

Over 1.5

-179

Under 1.5

-

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-

Carlos Soler (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

-

Sergio Gomez (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-

Sociedad have finished with five losses, four victories and one draw in the past 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.60.

Atléti have managed four victories, three draws and three losses in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 0.90.

It was a 1-1 draw when Sociedad last played Atléti at Reale Arena. It has been four Atléti victories, one Sociedad win and two draws in the previous 7 H2H games at Reale Arena.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Real Sociedad Home Stats		4-1-5	3.10	1.50	1.60	7	3	7	3
Atlético Madrid Away Stats		4-3-3	2.40	1.50	0.90	4	6	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Real Sociedad vs Atlético Madrid Lineups & Team News

Know who’s in and who’s out for Sociedad vs Atléti before making your bets. Receive the predicted and confirmed La Liga lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.

Real Sociedad Team Page Atlético Madrid Team Page

Top Football Pages