Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 05 Oct 2025

La Liga Betting Preview: Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano

Real Sociedad host Rayo Vallecano in this Spanish La Liga encounter at Reale Arena, with kick-off set for 12:30 on Sunday 5 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

There’s a strong case for siding with Sociedad when it comes to the Full-Time Result betting market. We think the favourites could prove too strong for Rayo and odds of -102 are attractive.

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Real Sociedad suffered a defeat in their last game. A 2-1 scoreline occurred away from home at Estadio Olimpico Lluis Companys against Barcelona. The Basque Country club had just 25% possession and recorded two shots on target, with Alvaro Odriozola scoring the goal.

Rayo Vallecano have suffered three consecutive road defeats. They lost 1-0 in their previous game at home to Sevilla at Estadio de Vallecas. Los Franjirrojos dominated possession with 64% of the ball and recorded six shots on goal.

On Thursday night, Rayo triumphed 2-0 in the Europa Conference League at home to KF Shkendija.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Estadio de Vallecas played host to the last encounter between Sociedad and Rayo, with the former playing away. The clash ended in a 2-2 draw. The 10 most recent H2H games have seen five draws, four triumphs for Sociedad and a win for Rayo.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
12	Rayo Vallecano	12	4	3	5	12	14	-2	12:14	15
14	Real Sociedad	12	3	4	5	14	17	-3	14:17	13

View Full Table

Sociedad have 2 wins, 6 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 12.8 attempts and 4.5 shots on goal. Los Txuri-Urdin have averaged 51.8% possession, 446.6 passes and 7.8 corners per game, conceding 1.6 goals and 4.6 corners from 13.0 attempts and 4.8 shots on goal.

Mikel Oyarzabal is the top scorer with 3 goals, while Alvaro Odriozola, Brais Mendez, Ander Barrenetxea and Orri Oskarsson each have 1. Ander Barrenetxea is the leading assists maker on 3, with goalkeeper Alex Remiro keeping one clean sheet.

Rayo have won 2, lost 4 and drawn 4, averaging 14.3 attempts, 4.8 shots on goal and 1.1 goals. Inigo Perez's team average 53.3% possession, 434.4 passes, 7.1 corners in their favour and 4.9 corners against, while 1.3 goals have been conceded from 4.3 shots on goal and 11.0 attempts.

The top scorers have been Jorge de Frutos on 4, followed by Alvaro Garcia and Isi Palazon with 2. Isi Palazon has had 2 assists in the previous 10 games, while Augusto Batalla has one clean sheet to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

Real Sociedad confirmed lineup (4-1-4-1): Alex Remiro (GK), Jon Aramburu, Igor Zubeldia, Duje Caleta-Car, Sergio Gomez, Jon Gorrotxategi, Goncalo Guedes, Brais Mendez, Carlos Soler, Ander Barrenetxea, Mikel Oyarzabal.

Rayo Vallecano confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Augusto Batalla (GK), Andrei Ratiu, Pathe Ciss, Florian Lejeune, Pep Chavarria, Unai Lopez, Oscar Valentin, Jorge de Frutos, Isi Palazon, Alvaro Garcia, Alexandre Zurawski.

Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Betting Tips

This Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano betting breakdown features a main match prediction, a correct score insight, expert player prop picks, corners analysis and a sharply constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Match Prediction

Sociedad look a great bet for this La Liga game as we’re expecting them to win. You can get odds of -102 that the home team claim a victory and this looks like a value wager based on the latest stats and team news.

Our job is to consult the latest La Liga team news in order to produce the best football predictions. Then we crack on with the job of analysing the stats that are going to be the most effective.

Key Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano league stats:

• Rayo have lost their last 3 games on the road.
• Rayo have lost 6 of their last 10 games on the road.

The top betting apps make it a 50.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

There are some different ways to back Sociedad if you’re in search of a bigger potential return. This includes the Asian Handicap where they have to win by a certain margin.

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Our Match Prediction

Sociedad To Win @ -102 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Sociedad 1 - 0 Rayo

Sociedad can be backed to win 1-0 when it comes to the correct score. We’ll go for the +575 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Ander Barrenetxea Over 1.5 Shots -111

Ander Barrenetxea (Sociedad) has recorded over 1.5 shots in three consecutive La Liga home games. If you side with our view that he can cover the Player Shots line, then you are able to secure odds of -111 for this outcome.

Latest Ander Barrenetxea Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+525

First

+1200

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-278

Shots

Over 1.5

-109

Under 1.5

-

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Mikel Oyarzabal to Score +150

Mikel Oyarzabal (Sociedad) has scored in his past two La Liga home games. We’re content to land the +150 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he features on the scoresheet.

Latest Mikel Oyarzabal Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+163

First

+370

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

+135

Shots

Over 3.5

+118

Under 3.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Sociedad To Have Most Corners -159

In seven consecutive home games, Real Sociedad have won the Corner Match Bet. We can’t pass up the chance to back -159 that Sociedad have the most corners.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Sociedad

Total

12.40 7.80 4.60

Home

10.60 7.80 2.80

Away

11.20 4.80 6.40

Rayo

Total

12.00 7.10 4.90

Home

12.00 7.70 4.30

Away

10.50 4.70 5.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-139

Under 9.5

-102

Sociedad Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-141

Rayo Corners

Over 4.5

-102

Under 4.5

-139

Most Corners

1

-137

X

+650

2

+155

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Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The bookies have Real Sociedad as +115 favourites for this La Liga clash, with the Full-Time Result betting odds implying that they are 47% likely to win. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +235 about Rayo Vallecano.

There are different ways to bet on Sociedad winning and that includes the -116 about them on the Asian Handicap -0.25. It also means that if they draw with Rayo, you get half stakes refunded.

A low-scoring contest will be predicted by several which is reflected in the fact that Under 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds. If you’re looking to wager on Both Teams to Score, there’s not a lot of difference between Yes and No.

The best football betting sites cover La Liga games in serious depth and there are hundreds of markets. We recommend scanning through the various bets before picking out the best angle.

Full-Time Result

1

+115

X

+235

2

+235

Half-Time Result

1

+185

X

+114

2

+275

Double Chance

1X

-313

12

-333

X2

-149

Draw No Bet

1

-182

2

+133

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-116

2 Hcp +0.25

-106

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-143

Over 2.5

+110

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-115

No

-114

There is +163 available that Mikel Oyarzabal finds the net anytime. If you’re interested in the favourite to score the first goal, then you are able to secure +370.

Mikel Oyarzabal (Sociedad)

First

+163

Anytime

+370

Jorge de Frutos (Rayo)

First

+280

Anytime

+575

Jon Karrikaburu (Sociedad)

First

+290

Anytime

+600

Gonçalo Guedes (Sociedad)

First

+380

Anytime

+850

Álvaro García (Rayo)

First

+390

Anytime

+900

Isi Palazón (Rayo)

First

+425

Anytime

+1000

Carlos Soler (Sociedad)

First

+440

Anytime

+1050

Brais Méndez (Sociedad)

First

+450

Anytime

+1050

Ander Barrenetxea (Sociedad)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

Randy Nteka (Rayo)

First

+525

Anytime

+1150

Umar Sadiq (Sociedad)

First

+575

Anytime

+1150

Sergio Gomez (Sociedad)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Fran Pérez (Rayo)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Arsen Zakharyan (Sociedad)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Óscar Trejo (Rayo)

First

+800

Anytime

+1600

Florian Lejeune (Rayo)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Beñat Turrientes (Sociedad)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Pathé Ciss (Rayo)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Gerard Gumbau (Rayo)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Jon Gorrotxategi (Sociedad)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Unai López (Rayo)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Mikel Oyarzabal (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

+135

Jorge de Frutos (Rayo)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-114

Jon Karrikaburu (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-119

Álvaro García (Rayo)

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-139

Isi Palazón (Rayo)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-167

Gonçalo Guedes (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-204

Randy Nteka (Rayo)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-208

Brais Méndez (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-238

Carlos Soler (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-263

Ander Barrenetxea (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-278

Umar Sadiq (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-303

Fran Pérez (Rayo)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-333

Óscar Trejo (Rayo)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-400

Sergio Gomez (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-526

Arsen Zakharyan (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-476

Florian Lejeune (Rayo)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-556

Gerard Gumbau (Rayo)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-500

Pathé Ciss (Rayo)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-667

Beñat Turrientes (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-588

Unai López (Rayo)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-909

Jon Gorrotxategi (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-1000

Mikel Oyarzabal (Sociedad)

Over 3.5

+118

Under 3.5

-

Álvaro García (Rayo)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Jorge de Frutos (Rayo)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Jon Karrikaburu (Sociedad)

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

-

Gonçalo Guedes (Sociedad)

Over 1.5

-104

Under 1.5

-

Isi Palazón (Rayo)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

-

Carlos Soler (Sociedad)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Brais Méndez (Sociedad)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Ander Barrenetxea (Sociedad)

Over 1.5

-109

Under 1.5

-

Randy Nteka (Rayo)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Umar Sadiq (Sociedad)

Over 1.5

+143

Under 1.5

-

Florian Lejeune (Rayo)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Sergio Gomez (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-

Pathé Ciss (Rayo)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-

Jon Gorrotxategi (Sociedad)

Over 0.5

+104

Under 0.5

-

Unai López (Rayo)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-

Sociedad have collected four defeats, three wins and three draws in the previous 10 home matches, scoring an average of 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

The previous three Rayo away matches have seen them beaten. Los Franjirrojos have recorded six losses and four wins in the previous 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.20 goals per match and conceding 1.60.

Sociedad won 3-1 when they last played Rayo at Reale Arena. In the previous 4 H2H meetings at Reale Arena, we have seen two Sociedad triumphs, one Rayo win and one draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Real Sociedad Home Stats		3-3-4	2.20	1.00	1.20	4	6	5	5
Rayo Vallecano Away Stats		4-0-6	2.80	1.20	1.60	6	4	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano Lineups & Team News

Stay ahead of the game by checking the Sociedad vs Rayo team news before betting. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed La Liga lineups alongside the newest injury information.

Real Sociedad Team Page Rayo Vallecano Team Page

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