Rio Ave vs Casa Pia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Jan 2026

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Rio Ave vs Casa Pia

Rio Ave clash with Casa Pia at Estadio dos Arcos, with kick-off set for 10:30 on Sunday 4 January.

The best plan could involve backing Casa Pia with a +0.25 Asian Handicap at -116 when clashing with Rio Ave. Our stake is split between 0 and +0.5, allowing us to land a return in the event of a draw.

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Rio Ave were defeated on the road in their last game. Sporting CP won 4-0 at Estadio Jose Alvalade. The Vila do Conde club were dominated in possession with 41% and didn’t have a single shot on target.

Casa Pia hosted Vitória de Guimarães at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior in their previous game, ending in a 0-0 draw. The Geese were restricted to 44% possession and had two shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 2-1 home win for Casa Pia at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior when they last played Rio Ave. The past 6 H2H games have featured three draws, two wins for Casa Pia and just one for Rio Ave.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
11	Rio Ave	16	3	8	5	19	28	-9	19:28	17
15	Casa Pia	16	3	5	8	16	29	-13	16:29	14

View Full Table

Rio Ave have 3 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 7.8 attempts. Sotiris Sylaidopoulos' side have averaged 46.6% possession, 383.1 passes and 4.0 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.5 goals from 5.1 shots on goal, 16.1 attempts and 6.9 corners.

Top scorer Clayton has found the net 5 times, Andre Luiz 3, with Marios Vrousai and Dario Spikic both scoring 1. Andre Luiz is top assists maker with 2, while goalkeeper Cezary Miszta has kept 2 clean sheets.

Casa Pia have won 1, lost 5 and drawn 4, with an average of 1.1 goals from 7.6 attempts and 2.8 shots on goal. The Lisbon team average 46.7% possession, 348.7 passes, 4.3 corners in their favour and 5.3 corners against, while conceding 2.0 goals from 11.3 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal.

Jeremy Livolant and Renato Nhaga have scored 2, followed by Gaizka Larrazabal with 1. Jeremy Livolant and Gaizka Larrazabal have both managed 2 assists in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Rio Ave predicted lineup (3-4-3): Cezary Miszta (GK), Francisco Petrasso, Jakub Brabec, Nelson Abbey, Joao Tome, Andreas Ntoi, Georgios Liavas, Nikolaos Athanasiou, Dario Spikic, Karem Zoabi, Ole Pohlmann.

Casa Pia predicted lineup (3-4-3): Patrick Sequeira (GK), Andres Geraldes, Jose Fonte, David Sousa, Gaizka Larrazabal, Rafael Brito, Renato Sam Na Nhaga, Abdu Conte, Yassin Oukili, Dailon Rocha Livramento, Jeremy Livolant.

Rio Ave vs Casa Pia Prediction & Betting Tips

Be ready for Rio Ave vs Casa Pia with our in-depth betting tips, featuring a key match prediction, our expected scoreline, best corners advice, player props to watch and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

When Casa Pia kick off this Primeira Liga match, we will wager them at -116 on the Asian Handicap +0.25. Avoiding defeat seems well within their capability and a win could be on the cards.

The first port of call is to check out the Primeira Liga injury and suspension news for each side and then scroll through the form guide. We take this information and apply it to the latest available stats to come up with a verdict.

Key Rio Ave vs Casa Pia league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Casa Pia in 3 consecutive games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Casa Pia in 10 of their last 19 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Rio Ave in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Rio Ave in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Rio Ave in 3 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Rio Ave in 2 consecutive games against Casa Pia.

When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 53.8% chance of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

There are several options available including selling goals. If you want more juice from your wager, then you can go down this route and take your own view.

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Our Match Prediction

Casa Pia Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -116 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Rio Ave 0 - 1 Casa Pia

We’re going for Casa Pia at +550 to secure a 1-0 win. It’s exciting to bet on the correct score and this wager will hopefully be able to land a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Miguel Sousa To Score +900

Miguel Sousa (Casa Pia) is available at +900 to find the net. He looks like an attractive wager to be on the scoresheet and we recommend backing this Anytime Goalscorer selection.

Latest Miguel Sousa Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+900

First

+1800

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Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -114

There’s been a corner average of 10.90 in the past ten matches involving Rio Ave, with over 9.5 corners occurring in the previous two Casa Pia away games. The Total Corners line could be on the low side based on the stats and -114 is available to back.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Rio Ave

Total

10.90 4.00 6.90

Home

10.00 3.90 6.10

Away

11.00 3.90 7.10

Casa Pia

Total

9.60 4.30 5.30

Home

8.50 3.50 5.00

Away

10.00 3.80 6.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-133

Under 8.5

-109

Rio Ave Corners

Over 4.5

-108

Under 4.5

-132

Casa Pia Corners

Over 3.5

-154

Under 3.5

+107

Most Corners

1

-119

X

+650

2

+125

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Rio Ave vs Casa Pia Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

With an approximate 47% chance of succeeding, the bookies are being cautious with their +115 betting odds for Rio Ave triumphing in this Primeira Liga encounter. The market implies that Casa Pia are the most unlikely to win at +235.

You can take advantage of the Draw No Bet market if you want a less-risky option. Going down this route means you can back Rio Ave at -200 or instead go for Casa Pia at +132.

If you’re anticipating that two goals or less will be netted throughout the contest, then Under 2.5 Goals is a definite runner. A viable alternative is betting the BTTS market and opting for the -149 about Both Teams to Score No.

For those wanting hundreds of football markets, it’s great that the best sports betting sites are on hand to offer this service. When it comes to every Primeira Liga match, go for the pick which stands out the most.

Full-Time Result

1

+115

X

+210

2

+235

Half-Time Result

1

+188

X

+105

2

+300

Double Chance

1X

-370

12

-333

X2

-167

Draw No Bet

1

-200

2

+132

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-123

2 Hcp +0.25

-116

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-200

Over 2.5

+138

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+104

No

-149

Favourite Clayton Fernandes Silva is priced at +350 to be the first player on the scoresheet, while there’s also the chance to back him to score any time at odds of +170.

Clayton Fernandes Silva (Rio Ave)

First

+170

Anytime

+350

Marc Gual (Rio Ave)

First

+275

Anytime

+550

André Luiz (Rio Ave)

First

+310

Anytime

+575

Karem Zoabi (Rio Ave)

First

+320

Anytime

+575

Tobias Medina (Rio Ave)

First

+360

Anytime

+700

Claudio Mendes (Casa Pia)

First

+400

Anytime

+750

Yassin Oukili (Casa Pia)

First

+525

Anytime

+1000

Tiago Morais (Casa Pia)

First

+550

Anytime

+1100

Tamás Nikitscher (Rio Ave)

First

+550

Anytime

+1100

Ole Pohlmann (Rio Ave)

First

+575

Anytime

+1100

Jonathan Panzo (Rio Ave)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Marious Vrousai (Rio Ave)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

Theofanis Bakoulas (Rio Ave)

First

+750

Anytime

+1400

Brandon Aguilera (Rio Ave)

First

+750

Anytime

+1500

Miguel Sousa (Casa Pia)

First

+900

Anytime

+1800

Omar Richards (Rio Ave)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Andreas Ntoi (Rio Ave)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Francisco Petrasso (Rio Ave)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Nelson Abbey (Rio Ave)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

João Tomé Esteves Baptista (Rio Ave)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Duplexe Tchamba (Casa Pia)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Gaizka Larrazabal (Casa Pia)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Rio Ave have not triumphed at Estadio dos Arcos in three straight matches. The Vila do Conde club have collected five losses, four draws and one victory in the past 10 home matches, scoring an average of 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.80.

Casa Pia have five defeats, three victories and two draws in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.60.

The last meeting at Estadio dos Arcos saw Rio Ave and Casa Pia draw 2-2. In the past 3 H2H meetings at Estadio dos Arcos, there have been two draws and a win for Rio Ave.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Rio Ave Home Stats		1-4-5	2.80	1.00	1.80	5	5	5	5
Casa Pia Away Stats		3-2-5	2.60	1.00	1.60	6	4	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Rio Ave vs Casa Pia Lineups & Team News

Double-check the Rio Ave vs Casa Pia team news before placing your bets. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Primeira Liga together with updated injury news.

Rio Ave Team Page Casa Pia Team Page

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