Rio Ave vs Casa Pia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Jan 2026

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Rio Ave vs Casa Pia

Rio Ave clash with Casa Pia at Estadio dos Arcos, with kick-off set for 11:30 on Sunday 4 January.

The best plan could involve backing Casa Pia with a +0.25 Asian Handicap at -116 when clashing with Rio Ave. Our stake is split between 0 and +0.5, allowing us to land a return in the event of a draw.

Rio Ave were defeated on the road in their last game. Sporting CP won 4-0 at Estadio Jose Alvalade. The Vila do Conde club were dominated in possession with 41% and didn’t have a single shot on target.

Casa Pia hosted Vitória de Guimarães at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior in their previous game, ending in a 0-0 draw. The Geese were restricted to 44% possession and had two shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 2-1 home win for Casa Pia at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior when they last played Rio Ave. The past 6 H2H games have featured three draws, two wins for Casa Pia and just one for Rio Ave.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
11	Rio Ave	26	6	9	11	26	45	-19	26:45	27
15	Casa Pia	25	5	9	11	26	44	-18	26:44	24

View Full Table

Rio Ave have 3 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 7.8 attempts. Sotiris Sylaidopoulos' side have averaged 46.6% possession, 383.1 passes and 4.0 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.5 goals from 5.1 shots on goal, 16.1 attempts and 6.9 corners.

Top scorer Clayton has found the net 5 times, Andre Luiz 3, with Marios Vrousai and Dario Spikic both scoring 1. Andre Luiz is top assists maker with 2, while goalkeeper Cezary Miszta has kept 2 clean sheets.

Casa Pia have won 1, lost 5 and drawn 4, with an average of 1.1 goals from 7.6 attempts and 2.8 shots on goal. The Lisbon team average 46.7% possession, 348.7 passes, 4.3 corners in their favour and 5.3 corners against, while conceding 2.0 goals from 11.3 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal.

Jeremy Livolant and Renato Nhaga have scored 2, followed by Gaizka Larrazabal with 1. Jeremy Livolant and Gaizka Larrazabal have both managed 2 assists in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Rio Ave confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Cezary Miszta (GK), Francisco Petrasso, Jakub Brabec, Nelson Abbey, Joao Tome, Andreas-Richardos Ntoi, Brandon Aguilera, Marios Vrousai, Andre Luiz, Clayton, Dario Spikic.

Casa Pia confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Patrick Sequeira (GK), Andre Geraldes, Jose Fonte, David Sousa, Gaizka Larrazabal, Yassin Oukili, Rafael Brito, Renato Nhaga, Abdu Conte, Cassiano, Jeremy Livolant.

Rio Ave vs Casa Pia Prediction & Betting Tips

Be ready for Rio Ave vs Casa Pia with our in-depth betting tips, featuring a key match prediction, our expected scoreline, best corners advice, player props to watch and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

When Casa Pia kick off this Primeira Liga match, we will wager them at -116 on the Asian Handicap +0.25. Avoiding defeat seems well within their capability and a win could be on the cards.

The first port of call is to check out the Primeira Liga injury and suspension news for each side and then scroll through the form guide. We take this information and apply it to the latest available stats to come up with a verdict.

Key Rio Ave vs Casa Pia league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Casa Pia in 3 consecutive games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Casa Pia in 10 of their last 19 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Rio Ave in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Rio Ave in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Rio Ave in 3 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Rio Ave in 2 consecutive games against Casa Pia.

When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 53.8% chance of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

There are several options available including selling goals. If you want more juice from your wager, then you can go down this route and take your own view.

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Our Match Prediction

Casa Pia Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -116 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 2, 17:38). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Rio Ave 0 - 1 Casa Pia

We’re going for Casa Pia at +550 to secure a 1-0 win. It’s exciting to bet on the correct score and this wager will hopefully be able to land a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Miguel Sousa To Score +900

Miguel Sousa (Casa Pia) is available at +900 to find the net. He looks like an attractive wager to be on the scoresheet and we recommend backing this Anytime Goalscorer selection.

Latest Miguel Sousa Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+850

First

+1700

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -114

There’s been a corner average of 10.90 in the past ten matches involving Rio Ave, with over 9.5 corners occurring in the previous two Casa Pia away games. The Total Corners line could be on the low side based on the stats and -114 is available to back.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Rio Ave

Total

10.90 4.00 6.90

Home

10.00 3.90 6.10

Away

11.00 3.90 7.10

Casa Pia

Total

9.60 4.30 5.30

Home

8.50 3.50 5.00

Away

10.00 3.80 6.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-132

Under 8.5

-111

Rio Ave Corners

Over 4.5

-102

Under 4.5

-139

Casa Pia Corners

Over 3.5

-161

Under 3.5

+112

Most Corners

1

-112

X

+600

2

+117

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Rio Ave vs Casa Pia Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With an approximate 45% chance of succeeding, the bookies are being cautious with their +120 betting odds for Rio Ave triumphing in this Primeira Liga encounter. The market implies that Casa Pia are the most unlikely to win at +230.

You can take advantage of the Draw No Bet market if you want a less-risky option. Going down this route means you can back Rio Ave at -185 or instead go for Casa Pia at +125.

If you’re anticipating that two goals or less will be netted throughout the contest, then Under 2.5 Goals is a definite runner. A viable alternative is betting the BTTS market and opting for the -149 about Both Teams to Score No.

For those wanting hundreds of football markets, it’s great that the best sports betting sites are on hand to offer this service. When it comes to every Primeira Liga match, go for the pick which stands out the most.

Full-Time Result

1

+120

X

+205

2

+230

Half-Time Result

1

+190

X

+102

2

+295

Double Chance

1X

-357

12

-313

X2

-175

Draw No Bet

1

-185

2

+125

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-118

2 Hcp +0.25

-122

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-204

Over 2.5

+140

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+105

No

-149

Favourite Clayton Fernandes Silva is priced at +380 to be the first player on the scoresheet, while there’s also the chance to back him to score any time at odds of +180.

Clayton Fernandes Silva (Rio Ave)

First

+180

Anytime

+380

Marc Gual (Rio Ave)

First

+270

Anytime

+550

Karem Zoabi (Rio Ave)

First

+320

Anytime

+600

André Luiz (Rio Ave)

First

+330

Anytime

+650

Tobias Medina (Rio Ave)

First

+370

Anytime

+750

Claudio Mendes (Casa Pia)

First

+390

Anytime

+750

Yassin Oukili (Casa Pia)

First

+525

Anytime

+1050

Tamás Nikitscher (Rio Ave)

First

+575

Anytime

+1100

Tiago Morais (Casa Pia)

First

+575

Anytime

+1150

Ole Pohlmann (Rio Ave)

First

+600

Anytime

+1150

Marious Vrousai (Rio Ave)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Jonathan Panzo (Rio Ave)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

Theofanis Bakoulas (Rio Ave)

First

+750

Anytime

+1500

Brandon Aguilera (Rio Ave)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Miguel Sousa (Casa Pia)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

Omar Richards (Rio Ave)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Duplexe Tchamba (Casa Pia)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2000

João Tomé Esteves Baptista (Rio Ave)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Andreas Ntoi (Rio Ave)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Gaizka Larrazabal (Casa Pia)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Nelson Abbey (Rio Ave)

First

+1200

Anytime

+2200

Francisco Petrasso (Rio Ave)

First

+1200

Anytime

+2200

Rio Ave have not triumphed at Estadio dos Arcos in three straight matches. The Vila do Conde club have collected five losses, four draws and one victory in the past 10 home matches, scoring an average of 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.80.

Casa Pia have five defeats, three victories and two draws in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.60.

The last meeting at Estadio dos Arcos saw Rio Ave and Casa Pia draw 2-2. In the past 3 H2H meetings at Estadio dos Arcos, there have been two draws and a win for Rio Ave.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Rio Ave Home Stats		1-4-5	2.80	1.00	1.80	5	5	5	5
Casa Pia Away Stats		3-2-5	2.60	1.00	1.60	6	4	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Rio Ave vs Casa Pia Lineups & Team News

Double-check the Rio Ave vs Casa Pia team news before placing your bets. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Primeira Liga together with updated injury news.

Rio Ave Team Page Casa Pia Team Page

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