Rio Ave vs Nacional Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 17 Aug 2025

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Rio Ave vs Nacional

Rio Ave host Nacional in this Portuguese Primeira Liga match at Estadio dos Arcos, with kick-off set for 10:30 on Sunday 17 August 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Rio Ave Look the Smart Pick

The Asian Handicap offers us the chance to back Rio Ave at 0.0 against Nacional. The odds of -154 can be taken, knowing that there will be money back if the contest ends all square.

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Teams Drew 3-3 in Last H2H Encounter

Rio Ave drew their last game 1-1 at home, with the action taking place at Estadio dos Arcos against Gil Vicente. Sotiris Sylaidopoulos' team boasted 54% possession and had three shots on target, while Francisco Petrasso scored the goal.

Nacional lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Gil Vicente by a 2-0 scoreline at Estadio da Madeira. The White and Black had the lion’s share of the ball boasting 59% possession and four shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Rio Ave haven’t lost to Nacional in their past four games, with the last clash ending 3-3 at Estadio da Madeira. The previous 4 H2H games have featured two Rio Ave victories and two draws.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
12	Rio Ave	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
14	Nacional	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0:2	0

View Full Table

Rio Ave have 2 wins, 5 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 11.0 attempts. The Vila do Conde club have averaged 50.3% possession, 353.4 passes and 4.2 corners per match, conceding 1.6 goals and 5.4 corners from 4.4 shots on goal and 12.6 attempts.

Top goalscorer Demir Tiknaz has found the net 3 times, Clayton 2, with Francisco Petrasso and two other players on 1. Karem Zoabi is the top assists maker on 2, with goalie Cezary Miszta managing 2 clean sheets.

Nacional have 2 victories, 6 defeats and 2 draws, averaging 4.2 shots on goal, 13.9 attempts and 0.9 goals. The White and Black average 51.4% possession, 336.1 passes, 6.6 corners awarded and 3.8 corners against, while 1.7 goals have been conceded from 12.1 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal.

Joel Tagueu is top of the team’s scoring charts with 2, while Andre Sousa, Leonardo Santos, Fuki Yamada and Ze Vitor have 1. Joao Aurelio, Ruben Macedo and Paulinho Boia are top assists providers with 1, while Lucas Franca has recorded one clean sheet in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Rio Ave predicted lineup (5-4-1): Cezary Miszta (GK), Marios Vrousai, Andreas Ntoi, Jonathan Panzo, Nelson Abbey, Nikolaos Athanasiou, André Luiz, Theofanis Bakoulas, Brandon Aguilera, Ole Pohlmann, Clayton.

Nacional predicted lineup (4-3-3): Lucas França (GK), Joao Aurelio, Ulisses, Léo Santos, Jose Gomes, Liziero, Matheus Dias, Filipe Soares, Paulinho Bóia, Jesús Ramírez, Witi.

Rio Ave vs Nacional Prediction & Betting Tips

We cover the essential Rio Ave vs Nacional betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, a corners value pick, correct score guidance, top player prop plays and a carefully crafted bet builder.

Match Prediction

Rio Ave are available at odds of -154 and that can be taken with confidence when it comes to Asian Handicap 0.0 for this Primeira Liga game. We believe the home team can claim a victory.

Having the inside track for injuries and accessing the form guide are important before coming up with football predictions. It’s also key to identify the key numbers and that is why our Primeira Liga experts sometimes take a data-led approach.

Key Rio Ave vs Nacional league stats:

• The +0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Nacional in 11 of their last 17 games on the road.
• The +0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Nacional in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Nacional in 2 consecutive games.

Rio Ave 0.0 Probability

When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 60.6% chance of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability close to 70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

If you’re hunting for bigger odds and feel confident your pick is going to perform well, then consider moving the line and land a bigger potential return.

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Our Match Prediction

Rio Ave Asian Hcp 0.0 @ -154 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Rio Ave 1 - 0 Nacional

One bet that has caught our eye is Rio Ave to claim a 1-0 correct score win. This selection is available at +600 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Ole Pohlmann To Score +650

Ole Pohlmann (Rio Ave) can be wagered at +650 to be among the goals. We think this is the pick of the player props, with generous odds available when it comes to backing him to score at any time.

Latest Ole Pohlmann Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+600

First

+1300

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Corners Prediction

Nacional Over 4.5 Corners -125

There’s been an average 7.40 Nacional corners in their past five matches, with Rio Ave conceding a corner average of 5.50 in the previous ten home games. We think that there’s a strong case for this outcome and we’ll back Nacional to cover the Team Corners line which is available at odds of -125.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Rio Ave

Total

9.60 4.20 5.40

Home

10.20 4.70 5.50

Away

8.30 3.20 5.10

Nacional

Total

10.40 6.60 3.80

Home

9.90 5.70 4.20

Away

10.70 4.50 6.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-111

Under 10.5

-132

Rio Ave Corners

Over 5.5

+110

Under 5.5

-150

Nacional Corners

Over 4.5

-125

Under 4.5

-110

Most Corners

1

-106

X

+750

2

+123

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Rio Ave vs Nacional Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Tight Clash on the Cards According to the Bookies

Rio Ave are the +128 favourites on the 1x2 betting. That implies a 44% chance of triumphing in this Primeira Liga encounter according to the latest odds. Nacional are operating at larger odds than the opposition and the underdogs can be wagered at +200.

Should you want to back Rio Ave to lead at the break, then there is +195 available on the Half-Time Result market. Opponents Nacional have been chalked up at +250 and the draw is +116.

If you’re anticipating that two goals or less will be netted throughout the contest, then Under 2.5 Goals is a definite runner. A different approach is a Both Teams to Score bet and Yes has been priced at -127.

If you’re betting on Primeira Liga matches, we recommend heading to the top football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

+128

X

+230

2

+200

Half-Time Result

1

+195

X

+116

2

+250

Double Chance

1X

-263

12

-303

X2

-164

Draw No Bet

1

-156

2

+110

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-108

2 Hcp +0.25

-132

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-137

Over 2.5

+104

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-127

No

-111

Clayton Fernandes Silva Heads First Goalscorer Market

Clayton Fernandes Silva is the favourite to be First Goalscorer at +480. If you’re interested in backing him to find the net at anytime, then the price is +205.

Clayton Fernandes Silva (Rio Ave)

First

+205

Anytime

+480

Karem Zoabi (Rio Ave)

First

+340

Anytime

+700

Tobias Medina (Rio Ave)

First

+400

Anytime

+850

André Luiz (Rio Ave)

First

+440

Anytime

+950

Miguel Baeza (Nacional)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Ole Pohlmann (Rio Ave)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Jonathan Panzo (Rio Ave)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

André Sousa (Nacional)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

João Novais (Rio Ave)

First

+800

Anytime

+1600

Matheus Dias (Nacional)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Theofanis Bakoulas (Rio Ave)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Ulisses Wilson Jeronymo Rocha (Nacional)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Marious Vrousai (Rio Ave)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Brandon Aguilera (Rio Ave)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Rio Ave Struggling to Find Home Wins

Rio Ave haven’t tasted victory at Estadio dos Arcos in the previous three matches. The Big River have collected four draws, three wins and three defeats in the past 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.80.

Nacional have recorded six defeats, two victories and two draws in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 0.70 goals per game and conceding 1.50.

Rio Ave beat Nacional 2-1 when the teams last met at Estadio dos Arcos.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Rio Ave Home Stats		3-4-3	3.30	1.50	1.80	7	3	8	2
Nacional Away Stats		2-2-6	2.20	0.70	1.50	4	6	3	7

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Rio Ave vs Nacional Lineups & Team News

Be smart with your bets — check the Rio Ave vs Nacional team news beforehand. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Primeira Liga along with the latest injury news.

Rio Ave Team Page Nacional Team Page