River Plate vs Boca Juniors Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 27 Apr 2025

Expect a Close Encounter

Buenos Aires rivals River Plate and Boca Juniors battle it out in the Superclásico at Estadio Monumental.

We’re feeling confident when it comes to league leaders Boca on the Asian Handicap with a +0.5 goal handicap. The visitors can either land a win or draw against River, with this wager looking like a value play at -114.

River Too Good for Boca in Last H2H

River Plate won their last Primera División game 3-0. This was an away victory against Gimnasia. Marcelo Gallardo's team boasted 56% possession and recorded five shots on target, while Sebastian Driussi, Franco Mastantuono and Rodrigo Aliendro scored one goal apiece.

On Wednesday night, River drew 2-2 when visiting Ecuadorian LigaPro side Independiente del Valle in the Copa Libertadores.

Boca Juniors have won three matches on the bounce after recently recording a 2-0 home win against Estudiantes de La Plata. Los Xeneizes had 48% possession and managed three shots on goal, while Carlos Palacios and Miguel Merentiel were both on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

River have landed victories in their last two encounters against Boca. The most recent was a 1-0 away victory following a 1-0 home win. There have been four River victories, two draws and two Boca wins in the previous 8 H2H games.

Primera División		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Boca Juniors	16	10	3	3	24	11	13	24:11	33
4	River Plate	16	8	7	1	21	9	12	21:9	31

View Full Table

4 wins, 1 loss and 5 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 13.8 attempts. River have had 66.6% possession and 5.6 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 0.6 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 8.0 attempts, while being awarded 3.6 corners.

Miguel Borja leads the way with 4 goals, Franco Mastantuono has 2, with Sebastian Driussi and two others on 1. The leading assistors are Gonzalo Montiel and Franco Mastantuono with 2.

Boca have won 9 and lost 1, averaging 3.3 shots on goal, 7.5 attempts and 1.9 goals. Fernando Gago's side average 57.5% possession, 3.9 corners taken and 3.4 corners against them, while 0.4 goals have been conceded from 7.2 attempts and 2.4 shots on goal.

Miguel Merentiel has top scored with 5 goals, while Milton Gimenez and Carlos Palacios are next on 4 and 2. Carlos Palacios has been top assists provider with 3 in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

River Plate confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Franco Armani (GK), Gonzalo Montiel, German Pezzella, Lucas Martinez Quarta, Marcos Acuna, Kevin Castano, Enzo Perez, Giuliano Galoppo, Franco Mastantuono, Sebastian Driussi, Facundo Colidio.

Boca Juniors confirmed lineup (5-3-2): Agustin Marchesin (GK), Rodrigo Andres Battaglia, Marcos Rojo, Ayrton Costa, Luis Advincula, Lautaro Blanco, Tomas Belmonte, Milton Delgado, Kevin Zenon, Carlos Palacios, Miguel Merentiel.

River Plate vs Boca Juniors Prediction & Betting Tips

We think there’s plenty of mileage when it comes to betting Boca on the Asian Handicap for this Primera División game. Securing a price of -114 at +0.5 goals looks an attractive wager.

We’re always monitoring the team news. Combined with the latest form, this helps us secure the best value. Our football experts also take a data-led approach, with the key numbers proving useful.

Key River Plate vs Boca Juniors league stats:

• The +0.5 line has been covered by Boca in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Boca in 18 of their last 20 games.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Boca in 3 consecutive games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by River in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by River in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by River in 2 consecutive games at home.

Boca +0.5 Probability

The latest betting odds imply that our pick has a 53.3% prospect of winning. However, we think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

There are several alternatives to the Asian Handicap and we particularly like the Winning Margin market. It’s great whether you’re expecting things to be close or comprehensive.

Our Match Prediction

Boca Asian Hcp +0.5 @ -114 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

River 1 - 1 Boca

Let’s go for the game to end in a 1-1 scoreline, a wager which is available at +480. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Carlos Palacios to Score +430

Carlos Palacios (Boca) has registered two goals in his past four Primera Division games. There are odds of +430 on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer bet and we think this is an attractive wager for the player to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Carlos Palacios Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+460

First

+850

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Corners Prediction

River Under 5.5 Corners -120

In their past four matches, River have not covered the 5.5 corners line, while the last ten Boca games have involved them conceding under 5.5 corners. The River Team Corners line looks to be too big given the stats and -120 is available to wager.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

River

Total

9.20 5.60 3.60

Home

8.20 5.40 2.80

Away

9.60 5.30 4.30

Boca

Total

7.30 3.90 3.40

Home

8.00 4.70 3.30

Away

9.00 3.50 5.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-120

Under 9.5

-120

River Corners

Over 5.5

+107

Under 5.5

-154

Boca Corners

Over 3.5

-110

Under 3.5

-128

Most Corners

1

-192

X

+575

2

+180

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River Plate vs Boca Juniors Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Match Odds Suggest River Win

River Plate are the -118 favourites and that means a 54% chance of winning this Primera Division match according to the betting odds at the bookies. Boca Juniors are regarded as the least likely winner at +375.

For the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 Goals is the shortest price for this interesting match.

There are hundreds of markets when it comes to betting on the Primera División coupon and we recommend visiting the leading betting sites to find the bet that matches your view on the game.

Full-Time Result

1

-118

X

+225

2

+375

Half-Time Result

1

+150

X

+105

2

+400

Double Chance

1X

-549

12

-300

X2

-110

Draw No Bet

1

-333

2

+240

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-118

2 Hcp +0.5

-100

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-188

Over 2.5

+140

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+110

No

-150

Miguel Borja is the First Goalscorer Favourite

There is +180 available that Miguel Borja finds the net anytime, while the favourite to score the first goal is on offer at +360.

Miguel Borja (River)

First

+180

Anytime

+360

Facundo Colidio (River)

First

+195

Anytime

+410

Franco Mastantuono (River)

First

+265

Anytime

+575

Sebastián Driussi (River)

First

+290

Anytime

+600

Giuliano Galoppo (River)

First

+310

Anytime

+650

Miguel Merentiel (Boca)

First

+330

Anytime

+650

Gonzalo Tapia (River)

First

+330

Anytime

+650

Edinson Cavani (Boca)

First

+335

Anytime

+650

Pity Martínez (River)

First

+410

Anytime

+750

Carlos Palacios (Boca)

First

+460

Anytime

+850

Manuel Lanzini (River)

First

+480

Anytime

+900

Santiago Simón (River)

First

+540

Anytime

+1050

Enzo Pérez (River)

First

+550

Anytime

+1100

Ignacio Fernández (River)

First

+575

Anytime

+1150

Maximiliano Meza (River)

First

+575

Anytime

+1150

Kevin Zenón (Boca)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Brian Aguirre (Boca)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Lucas Janson (Boca)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Rodrigo Aliendro (River)

First

+700

Anytime

+1300

Exequiel Zeballos (Boca)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

Agustín Martegani (Boca)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

Federico Gattoni (River)

First

+750

Anytime

+1500

Alan Velasco (Boca)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Gonzalo Montiel (River)

First

+850

Anytime

+1600

Fabricio Bustos (River)

First

+900

Anytime

+1800

Lucas Martínez (River)

First

+900

Anytime

+1800

Williams Alarcón (Boca)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Tomás Belmonte (Boca)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Lucas Blondel (Boca)

First

+1000

Anytime

+1900

Ignacio Miramón (Boca)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

River Plate vs Boca Juniors Lineups & Team News

It’s great to get the latest lineups for the match, with injuries being flagged up thanks to our up-to-date River vs Boca team news.

Getting the player information you need is easy thanks to the Primera División squads.

River Plate Team Page Boca Juniors Team Page