Copa Libertadores Betting Preview: River Plate vs Palmeiras

Argentine Primera División team River Plate host Brazilian Série A outfit Palmeiras in the first leg of this Copa Libertadores quarter-final tie, with kick-off set for 20:30 on Wednesday 17 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and confirmed lineups.

Can Palmeiras Keep the Scores Close?

We will split our stake on the Asian Handicap between 0 and +0.5 when wagering Palmeiras +0.25 at -141 against River Plate. We need a victory for a full payout although the draw means a return is on the cards.

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2-0 Win for River in Last Head-to-Head

River Plate won last time out by a 2-1 scoreline. It was away from home against Estudiantes de La Plata in the Primera División. Los Millonarios managed four shots on target and recorded 45% possession, with Giuliano Galoppo and Ignacio Fernandez each scoring one goal.

Palmeiras claimed a home win in their previous game. A 4-1 Série A victory occurred against Internacional. Abel Ferreira's men had eight shots on goal and enjoyed 61% possession, with Vitor Roque firing a hat-trick and Lucas Evangelista also on the scoresheet.

In the round of 16, River beat Paraguayan Primera División side Libertad on penalties after a 1-1 aggregate draw, while Palmeiras eased past Peruvian Liga 1 outfit Universitario 4-0 on aggregate.

Head-to-Head Statistics

In their last head-to-head meeting, River beat Palmeiras 2-0 away in the second leg of the 2020 Copa Libertadores semi-finals. Even so, Palmeiras held on for a 3-2 aggregate victory to reach the final.

Copa Libertadores		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	River Plate	6	3	3	0	13	7	6	13:7	12
1	Palmeiras	6	6	0	0	17	4	13	17:4	18

View Full Table

River Plate – Last 10 League & Copa Libertadores Games

6 wins, 1 loss and 3 draws, averaging 2.2 goals from 5.3 shots on goal and 9.3 attempts. River have had 61.8% possession and 4.1 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.0 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 6.4 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.0 corners.

Top goalscorer Giuliano Galoppo has found the net 4 times, Santiago Lencina 3, with Ignacio Fernandez and two other players on 2. Facundo Colidio has made the most assists with 3.

Palmeiras – Last 10 League & Copa Libertadores Games

Palmeiras have 7 victories and 3 draws, with an average of 5.2 shots on goal, 12.6 attempts and 2.0 goals. Abel Ferreira's side average 54.7% possession, 5.2 corners awarded and 3.1 corners against, while 0.9 goals have been conceded from 7.9 attempts and 2.9 shots on goal.

Vitor Roque has landed 6 goals, Jose Lopez 4, with Lucas Evangelista and two others scoring 2. Vitor Roque and Mauricio are the top assist makers, managing 3 in the last 10 games.

River Plate vs Palmeiras Prediction & Betting Tips

Step into River Plate vs Palmeiras with confidence, armed with our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, key player prop plays and a custom-built bet builder for maximum value.

Match Prediction

When Palmeiras kick off this Copa Libertadores match, we will wager them at -141 on the Asian Handicap +0.25. Avoiding defeat seems well within their capability and a win could be on the cards.

The first port of call is to check out the injury and suspension news for each side and then scroll through the form guide. We take this information and apply it to the latest available stats to come up with a verdict.

Key River Plate vs Palmeiras Copa Libertadores & league stats:

The +0.25 line has been covered by Palmeiras in 12 consecutive games.
The +0.25 line has been covered by Palmeiras in 18 of their last 20 games.

Palmeiras +0.25 Probability

The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 58.5% chance of winning. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 65-70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

It’s good to explore all avenues and you might prefer bigger odds about the prediction you want to make. Go ahead and move the line until you’re happy with the price.

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Our Match Prediction

Palmeiras Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -141 Watch Live Bet Now

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Published 02:37, 16 September 2025

Correct Score Prediction

River

0 - 1 Palmeiras logo

Palmeiras

You can secure odds of +600 that Palmeiras are able to land a 1-0 victory. Correct score betting can provide plenty of fun and it’s a way of landing bigger odds.

Latest Correct Score Odds

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: José López To Score +325

José López (Palmeiras) can be wagered at +325 to score. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager which means we need him to be on the scoresheet.

Latest José López Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Shots On Target

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Bet Builder Tips

Asian Handicap Palmeiras +0.25 -141

Total Goals Under 2.5 -192

Anytime Goalscorer José López +325

We’ve got a bet builder and the legs include Palmeiras on the Asian Handicap at +0.25, two or less goals in total combined with José López (Palmeiras) to score at any time.

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River Plate vs Palmeiras Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Betting Sites Predicting a Tight Affair

If you’re looking to wager Palmeiras to secure victory in the Copa Libertadores, then the bookmakers have chalked them up at +215. River Plate are on offer at betting odds of +155 and the draw is +190.

You can back River at -147 on the Draw No Bet market, with money back if the game is a draw. Palmeiras are +105 and this could be an attractive option for those who want some insurance.

The Total Goals market is a great option and Under 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds right now. A different slant is having a BTTS bet and Both Teams to Score No is chalked up at -141.

Hundreds of markets are made available when it comes to Copa Libertadores matches, with the recommended football betting sites leaving no stone unturned in terms of available options.

Full-Time Result

Half-Time Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Asian Handicap

Total Goals

Both Teams to Score

Sebastián Driussi Favourite to Find the Net First

There’s the chance to back Sebastián Driussi at +475 to be the First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and available at similar odds to find the net last instead.

Player Goals

Sebastián Driussi (River)

Facundo Colidio (River)

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

Maximiliano Salas (River)

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Player Shots On Target

Sebastián Driussi (River)

Facundo Colidio (River)

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

Maximiliano Salas (River)

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Last 5 Games

River

Palmeiras

Head to Head

River vs Palmeiras

Team Stats

Latest Copa Libertadores and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

River Plate Stats

Palmeiras Stats

Full-Time Result

6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

7 wins and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
7 wins, 1 defeat and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

An average of 2.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
An average of 2.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
An average of 3.70 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

An average of 2.00 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
An average of 1.50 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

An average of 4.10 corners awarded and 4.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 3.40 corners against in the last 10 home matches
An average of 8.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
An average of 8.20 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 3.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
An average of 6.50 corners awarded and 5.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
An average of 8.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
An average of 11.80 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

An average of 61.80% possession in the last 10 matches
An average of 64.10% possession in the last 10 home matches
Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
Most possession in 9 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

An average of 54.70% possession in the last 10 matches
An average of 50.20% possession in the last 10 away matches
Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches

Live Stream

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River Plate vs Palmeiras Lineups & Team News

Before placing any bets on River vs Palmeiras, check the team news first. Get the predicted and confirmed Copa Libertadores lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.