River Plate vs Sarmiento Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 12 Oct 2025

Primera División Betting Preview: River Plate vs Sarmiento

River Plate host Sarmiento in this Argentine Primera División fixture, with kick-off set for 16:00 on Sunday 12 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Back a Cagey Encounter

River Plate and Sarmiento could fall short of the three-goal mark and that leads us to back Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market. We’ll gladly snap up the -141 when it comes to a low-scoring contest.

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1-1 Draw in Pair’s Previous Clash

River Plate have been beaten three consecutive times. On their travels, they recently lost 2-1 against Rosario Central. Los Millonarios enjoyed 52% possession and had three shots on target, with Miguel Borja being the goalscorer.

Sarmiento have now lost back-to-back Primera División games. This includes being defeated at home to Gimnasia by a 1-0 scoreline. The Junín team dominated possession with 69% of the ball and recorded three shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

River have gone unbeaten in their past three games against Sarmiento, with the last clash ending in a 1-1 draw. The past 5 H2H games have involved three River victories, a single draw and one Sarmiento win.

Primera División		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	River Plate	16	8	7	1	21	9	12	21:9	31
24	Sarmiento	16	2	9	5	11	19	-8	11:19	15

View Full Table

River have 4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 8.8 attempts. Marcelo Gallardo's men have averaged 60.6% possession and 5.5 corners per match, conceding 1.0 goals and 4.9 corners from 4.3 shots on goal and 7.6 attempts.

Giuliano Galoppo leads the way with 5 goals, while Santiago Lencina and Sebastian Driussi have scored 3 and 2 respectively. Juan Quintero, Maximiliano Salas and Ignacio Fernandez are the leading assists makers with 2.

Sarmiento have 3 victories, 4 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 0.8 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 6.2 attempts. El Verde have averaged 48.1% possession, 4.2 corners taken and 4.4 corners against, while conceding 1.1 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 7.8 attempts.

Joaquin Ardaiz is top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Carlos Villalba, Joel Godoy, Ivan Morales and Gaston Gonzalez have 1. Alex Vigo, Gaston Gonzalez and Santiago Rodriguez have been the top assists providers with 1 in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

River Plate predicted lineup (4-3-1-2): Franco Armani (GK), Fabricio Bustos, Lucas Martínez Quarta, Paulo Díaz, Milton Casco, Santiago Lencina, Agustin De la Cuesta, Giuliano Galoppo, Ignacio Fernandez, Maximiliano Salas, Facundo Colidio.

Sarmiento predicted lineup (4-4-2): Lucas Acosta (GK), Alex Vigo, Facundo Roncaglia, Juan Manuel Insaurralde, Joel Godoy, Jonathan Gomez, Carlos Villalba, Elian Gimenez, Yair Arismendi, Julian Contrera, Iván Morales.

River Plate vs Sarmiento Prediction & Betting Tips

We cover the key River Plate vs Sarmiento betting angles, showcasing our expert match prediction, best corners pick, correct score selection, top player props and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

The two teams might not deliver too many goals and that leads us to bet Under 2.5. This Primera División selection could be the way forward and that’s especially considering you can get odds of -141.

Sportsgambler.com boast Primera División expertise and that comes from knowing the team news once it’s announced. The latest form will also fuel our football betting tips and we make sure that the best stats are on hand.

Key River Plate vs Sarmiento league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 Sarmiento games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Sarmiento games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 16 of the last 20 Sarmiento games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 games between these teams.

Under 2.5 Probability

If you go by the top bookies, there’s a 58.5% likelihood of our pick winning. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability somewhere between 65-70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

For those in pursuit of a larger price, there’s an opportunity to have a wager on Under 1.5 Goals, with bettors requiring no more than one goal to be scored in order for the bet to land.

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Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -141 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

River 2 - 0 Sarmiento

River are available at +475 when it comes to them winning 2-0. We like a correct score play and the chance to bag a nice return if our prediction is right.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Giuliano Galoppo to Score +350

Giuliano Galoppo (River) has netted five goals in his past nine Primera División games. This statistic guides us towards Anytime Goalscorer where we’re able to back him to find the net at appealing odds of +350.

Latest Giuliano Galoppo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+350

First

+900

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-154

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Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -110

There has been over 9.5 corners in six consecutive River matches. The Total Corners line could be on the low side based on the stats and -110 is available to back.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

River

Total

10.40 5.50 4.90

Home

9.00 5.90 3.10

Away

9.10 4.00 5.10

Sarmiento

Total

8.60 4.20 4.40

Home

10.10 4.80 5.30

Away

9.00 2.60 6.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-110

Under 9.5

-130

River Corners

Over 6.5

-100

Under 6.5

-138

Sarmiento Corners

Over 3.5

+125

Under 3.5

-175

Most Corners

1

-556

X

+850

2

+475

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River Plate vs Sarmiento Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Make River Most Likely Winners

With a 69% prospect of triumphing according to the 1x2 odds, River Plate are favourites to come out on top in this Primera División clash and they’re available at -222 with the bookmakers. If you’re interested in wagering Sarmiento, you can get +650 for the underdog.

Backing River -1.25 on the Asian Handicap splits your stake between -1 and -1.5 at +104. You need a two-goal margin of victory against Sarmiento for a full payout and there’s money back on half your stake if they win by one.

The Total Goals market always provides an interesting angle and Under 2.5 Goals is the shortest-priced option. A different angle is going for a BTTS wager and there’s -185 available for Both Teams to Score No.

Hundreds of markets for every Primera División game await you, with the leading football betting sites providing a huge range of choice. A first-class service awaits whether you’re betting pre-match or In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

-222

X

+325

2

+650

Half-Time Result

1

-102

X

+125

2

+575

Double Chance

1X

-1111

12

-455

X2

+165

Draw No Bet

1

-769

2

+420

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.25

+104

2 Hcp +1.25

-130

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-137

Over 2.5

+106

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+128

No

-185

Sebastián Driussi Favourite to Be First Goalscorer

Sebastián Driussi is priced at +370 when it comes to First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite, while he’s also available at odds of +145 to find the net anytime.

Sebastián Driussi (River)

First

+145

Anytime

+370

Facundo Colidio (River)

First

+155

Anytime

+390

Maximiliano Salas (River)

First

+160

Anytime

+400

Miguel Borja (River)

First

+185

Anytime

+450

Juan Quintero (River)

First

+340

Anytime

+850

Giuliano Galoppo (River)

First

+350

Anytime

+900

Joaquín Ardaiz (Sarmiento)

First

+475

Anytime

+1050

Santiago Alejandro Rodriguez (Sarmiento)

First

+500

Anytime

+1100

Pity Martínez (River)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Lucas Pratto (Sarmiento)

First

+550

Anytime

+1200

Maximiliano Meza (River)

First

+575

Anytime

+1400

Matias Galarza Fonda (River)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Iván Morales (Sarmiento)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Brandon Márquez (Sarmiento)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Kevin Duvan Castaño (River)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Ignacio Fernández (River)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Enzo Pérez (River)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Gaston Nicolas Gonzalez (Sarmiento)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Jonatan Gomez (Sarmiento)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Federico Gattoni (River)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Giuliano Galoppo (River)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-154

Joaquín Ardaiz (Sarmiento)

Over 0.5

+106

Under 0.5

-164

Sebastián Driussi (River)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-179

Santiago Alejandro Rodriguez (Sarmiento)

Over 0.5

+117

Under 0.5

-172

Facundo Colidio (River)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-200

Lucas Pratto (Sarmiento)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-208

Maximiliano Salas (River)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-213

Pity Martínez (River)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-263

Brandon Márquez (Sarmiento)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-244

Miguel Borja (River)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-263

Iván Morales (Sarmiento)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-244

Maximiliano Meza (River)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-333

Gaston Nicolas Gonzalez (Sarmiento)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-333

Jonatan Gomez (Sarmiento)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-370

Ignacio Fernández (River)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-370

Enzo Pérez (River)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-435

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River Plate vs Sarmiento Lineups & Team News

Be prepared — check the River vs Sarmiento team news before wagering. We’ll deliver both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Primera División as well as the latest injury reports.

River Plate Team Page Sarmiento Team Page