Roma vs AC Milan Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 25 Jan 2026
Serie A Betting Preview: Roma vs AC Milan
Fourth-placed Roma take on second-placed AC Milan at Stadio Olimpico, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Sunday 25 January.
There’s every chance that we’ll see a low goal count when Roma go up against Milan. For this reason, we’ll take the odds of -159 about Under 2.5 when it comes to the Total Goals market.
Going with our Total Goals selection? Our BetMGM review has all the details - and the unique promo code can add extra value to your stake.
Roma have got the win in their last three Serie A games. Most recently, a 2-0 victory occurred on the road when meeting Torino at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino. Gian Piero Gasperini's men recorded five shots on target and boasted 64% possession, while Donyell Malen and Paulo Dybala each scored one goal.
Three days ago, Roma triumphed 2-0 at home to Stuttgart in the Europa League.
AC Milan made it back-to-back Serie A victories after a 1-0 home win over Lecce at San Siro. The Lombardy side had six shots on goal and enjoyed 68% possession, with Niclas Fuellkrug on target in the 76th minute.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The last head-to-head saw Milan land a 1-0 home victory over Roma at San Siro. We’ve seen the previous 10 H2H matches involve four Milan victories. There have also been three draws and three Roma triumphs.
| Serie A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | AC Milan |
21 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 34:16 | 46 |
| 4 | Roma |
21 | 14 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 26:12 | 42 |
6 wins and 4 losses, averaging 1.4 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 13.0 attempts. Roma have had 56.5% possession, 493.3 passes and 3.9 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 0.7 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 10.0 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 2.8 corners.
Matias Soule and Evan Ferguson are the leading goalscorers with 3, while Manu Kone has 2. Stephan El Shaarawy and Matias Soule have the most assists with 2, while goalie Mile Svilar has recorded 4 clean sheets.
Milan have 7 victories and 3 draws, averaging 4.8 shots on goal, 14.6 attempts and 1.7 goals. Massimiliano Allegri's team average 51.9% possession, 488.3 passes, 5.8 corners taken and 4.6 corners against them, while 0.7 goals have been conceded from 10.4 attempts and 3.6 shots on goal.
Christopher Nkunku and Christian Pulisic have 4 and they’re top of the team’s scoring charts, with Adrien Rabiot on 3. Alexis Saelemaekers, Adrien Rabiot and Fikayo Tomori have all made 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Mike Maignan has 5 clean sheets.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Roma predicted lineup (4-4-2): Mile Svilar (GK), Gianluca Mancini, Evan N'Dicka, Jan Ziolkowski, Devyne Rensch, Bryan Cristante, Manu Kone, Wesley, Paulo Dybala, Lorenzo Pellegrini, Donyell Malen.
AC Milan predicted lineup (3-5-2): Mike Maignan (GK), Fikayo Tomori, Matteo Gabbia, Koni De Winter, Zachary Athekame, Samuele Ricci, Ardon Jashari, Adrien Rabiot, Pervis Estupinan, Christian Pulisic, Rafael Leao.
Roma vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips
Dive into our full Roma vs AC Milan betting preview, featuring an expert match prediction, a projected scoreline, valuable corners advice, top player prop bet and a bet builder designed for value.
Match Prediction
We’re not expecting the teams to combine to reach the three-goal mark and that leads us to wager Under 2.5 Goals. We’ll happily take the -159 when it comes to a low-scoring Serie A clash.
We’re always monitoring the Serie A team news. Combined with the latest form, this helps us secure the best value. Our football experts also take a data-led approach, with the key numbers proving useful.
Key Roma vs AC Milan league stats:
According to the top betting sites, our pick has a 61.3% chance of landing a return. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 65-70%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.
A Bet Builder provides a refreshing option if you want a bigger price for your Under 2.5 Goals wager. Combine this pick with others, with bettors needing all legs to win.
Give your betting journey a head start. Explore the latest welcome offers and free bets in our easy-to-follow guide.
Correct Score Prediction
There are attractive odds of +410 when it comes to a 1-1 draw being played out. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.
Player Prop Picks
Adrien Rabiot (Milan) has totalled a minimum of one shot on goal in three consecutive Serie A matches. We’re anticipating that he is able to perform well and cover the Shots on Target line, with odds of +143 currently available.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Christian Pulisic (Milan) has managed three goals in his past four Serie A games on the road. When it comes to him scoring, we think that the +230 available is attractive when betting on the Anytime Goalscorer market.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Milan have covered the 3.5 corners line in eight consecutive matches. Our verdict is that there’s value when it comes the Milan Team Corners line being covered, with odds of -135 available.
Roma
Milan
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Our bet builder is compiled of the following: Under 2.5, the match to be drawn and also Adrien Rabiot (Milan) to end up with one or more shots on target.
A bet builder provides football punters an option to bet a multiple on the same match. It means that you can create a personalised bet at bigger odds depending on how many predictions you make.
Roma vs AC Milan Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Roma are +170 with the bookies to get the better of AC Milan, with the latter having betting odds of +195. If you want to back the draw to be landed in this Serie A encounter, this can be wagered at +185.
If you think Roma can overcome Milan, then there’s an Asian Handicap option where the former are +125 with a -0.25 deficit. There’s half your money back in the event of a draw.
When it comes to the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this exciting contest. The Both Teams to Score market is always popular and BTTS Yes can be backed at -127.
If you’re betting on Serie A games, we recommend heading to the best football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.
Christian Pulisic is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +550 while there’s also the chance to back him to find the net at +230.
Roma are four wins from four at Stadio Olimpico. Gian Piero Gasperini's men have racked up seven wins and three defeats in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 0.70.
Milan have avoided defeat in their last ten away matches. The Lombardy side have recorded six victories and four draws in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.70 goals per game and conceding 0.70.
The last Stadio Olimpico meeting saw Roma beat Milan 3-1. The teams have three wins apiece along with two draws in the previous 8 H2H matches at Stadio Olimpico.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Roma Home Stats |
7-0-3 | 2.20 | 1.50 | 0.70 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 6 | |
AC Milan Away Stats |
6-4-0 | 2.40 | 1.70 | 0.70 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Serie A: 02/11 2025 AC Milan 1 Roma 0
- Serie A: 18/05 2025 Roma 3 AC Milan 1
- Coppa Italia: 05/02 2025 AC Milan 3 Roma 1
- Serie A: 29/12 2024 AC Milan 1 Roma 1
- Europa League: 18/04 2024 Roma 2 AC Milan 1
- Europa League: 11/04 2024 AC Milan 0 Roma 1
- Serie A: 14/01 2024 AC Milan 3 Roma 1
- Serie A: 01/09 2023 Roma 1 AC Milan 2
- Serie A: 29/04 2023 Roma 1 AC Milan 1
- Serie A: 08/01 2023 AC Milan 2 Roma 2
Roma League Stats
AC Milan League Stats
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins and 3 defeats in the previous 10 home matches
- 7 wins and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.90 corners awarded and 2.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 2.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.20 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 4.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.70 corners awarded and 5.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 56.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 59.20% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 10 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 51.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 49.90% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Roma this season are Matias Soule (6), Artem Dovbyk (3), Evan Ferguson (3)
- Top Assistors for Roma this season are Matias Soule (4), Evan Ferguson (2), Paulo Dybala (2)
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Roma vs AC Milan Lineups & Team News
Before placing any bets on Roma vs Milan, check the team news first. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed Serie A lineups as well as the most recent injury news.
Roma Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
AC Milan Predicted Lineup 3-5-2
Roma Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
AC Milan Predicted Lineup 3-5-2
Previous Roma Lineups
Previous AC Milan Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Roma Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Gian Piero Gasperini
AC Milan Player Stats & Squad
Serie A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 22 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 50:19 | 52 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 21 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 34:16 | 46 |
| 3 | Napoli | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 31:17 | 43 |
| 4 | Roma | 21 | 14 | 0 | 7 | 26:12 | 42 |
| 5 | Juventus | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 32:17 | 39 |
| 6 | Como | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 31:16 | 37 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 26:20 | 32 |
| 8 | Bologna | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 30:24 | 30 |
| 9 | Lazio | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21:19 | 28 |
| 10 | Udinese | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 22:33 | 26 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 23:28 | 23 |
| 12 | Cremonese | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 20:28 | 23 |
| 13 | Parma | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 14:22 | 23 |
| 14 | Torino | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21:34 | 23 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 22:30 | 22 |
| 16 | Genoa | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 22:29 | 20 |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 21 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 23:32 | 17 |
| 18 | Lecce | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 13:29 | 17 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona | 21 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 17:34 | 14 |
| 20 | Pisa | 22 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 18:37 | 14 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 33:10 | 28 |
| 2 | Napoli | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 17:8 | 24 |
| 3 | AC Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 17:9 | 24 |
| 4 | Juventus | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 20:8 | 22 |
| 5 | Roma | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 13:5 | 21 |
| 6 | Como | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 14:7 | 19 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14:9 | 19 |
| 8 | Lazio | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 16 |
| 9 | Bologna | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:10 | 14 |
| 10 | Udinese | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11:16 | 13 |
| 11 | Cagliari | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:13 | 12 |
| 12 | Cremonese | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11:13 | 11 |
| 13 | Sassuolo | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:14 | 11 |
| 14 | Torino | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:20 | 11 |
| 15 | Genoa | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 | Parma | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7:13 | 10 |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 18 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7:15 | 9 |
| 19 | Pisa | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2:11 | 7 |
| 20 | Hellas Verona | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | 6 |
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