Roma vs AC Milan Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 25 Jan 2026

Serie A Betting Preview: Roma vs AC Milan

Fourth-placed Roma take on second-placed AC Milan at Stadio Olimpico, with kick-off set for 15:45 on Sunday 25 January.

There’s every chance that we’ll see a low goal count when Roma go up against Milan. For this reason, we’ll take the odds of -159 about Under 2.5 when it comes to the Total Goals market.

Roma have got the win in their last three Serie A games. Most recently, a 2-0 victory occurred on the road when meeting Torino at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino. Gian Piero Gasperini's men recorded five shots on target and boasted 64% possession, while Donyell Malen and Paulo Dybala each scored one goal.

Three days ago, Roma triumphed 2-0 at home to Stuttgart in the Europa League.

AC Milan made it back-to-back Serie A victories after a 1-0 home win over Lecce at San Siro. The Lombardy side had six shots on goal and enjoyed 68% possession, with Niclas Fuellkrug on target in the 76th minute.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw Milan land a 1-0 home victory over Roma at San Siro. We’ve seen the previous 10 H2H matches involve four Milan victories. There have also been three draws and three Roma triumphs.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	AC Milan	28	17	9	2	44	20	24	44:20	60
5	Roma	28	16	3	9	38	21	17	38:21	51

View Full Table

6 wins and 4 losses, averaging 1.4 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 13.0 attempts. Roma have had 56.5% possession, 493.3 passes and 3.9 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 0.7 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 10.0 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 2.8 corners.

Matias Soule and Evan Ferguson are the leading goalscorers with 3, while Manu Kone has 2. Stephan El Shaarawy and Matias Soule have the most assists with 2, while goalie Mile Svilar has recorded 4 clean sheets.

Milan have 7 victories and 3 draws, averaging 4.8 shots on goal, 14.6 attempts and 1.7 goals. Massimiliano Allegri's team average 51.9% possession, 488.3 passes, 5.8 corners taken and 4.6 corners against them, while 0.7 goals have been conceded from 10.4 attempts and 3.6 shots on goal.

Christopher Nkunku and Christian Pulisic have 4 and they’re top of the team’s scoring charts, with Adrien Rabiot on 3. Alexis Saelemaekers, Adrien Rabiot and Fikayo Tomori have all made 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Mike Maignan has 5 clean sheets.

Confirmed Lineups

Roma confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Mile Svilar (GK), Gianluca Mancini, Evan N'Dicka, Daniele Ghilardi, Mehmet Zeki Celik, Bryan Cristante, Manu Kone, Wesley, Paulo Dybala, Matias Soule, Donyell Malen.

AC Milan confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Mike Maignan (GK), Fikayo Tomori, Matteo Gabbia, Koni De Winter, Alexis Saelemaekers, Samuele Ricci, Luka Modric, Adrien Rabiot, Davide Bartesaghi, Christopher Nkunku, Rafael Leao.

Roma vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips

Dive into our full Roma vs AC Milan betting preview, featuring an expert match prediction, a projected scoreline, valuable corners advice, top player prop bet and a bet builder designed for value.

Match Prediction

We’re not expecting the teams to combine to reach the three-goal mark and that leads us to wager Under 2.5 Goals. We’ll happily take the -159 when it comes to a low-scoring Serie A clash.

We’re always monitoring the Serie A team news. Combined with the latest form, this helps us secure the best value. Our football experts also take a data-led approach, with the key numbers proving useful.

Key Roma vs AC Milan league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 Roma games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Roma games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 15 of the last 20 Roma games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Milan games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Milan games.

According to the top betting sites, our pick has a 61.3% chance of landing a return. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 65-70%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

A Bet Builder provides a refreshing option if you want a bigger price for your Under 2.5 Goals wager. Combine this pick with others, with bettors needing all legs to win.

Give your betting journey a head start. Explore the latest welcome offers and free bets in our easy-to-follow guide.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -159 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 23, 22:08). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Roma 1 - 1 Milan

There are attractive odds of +420 when it comes to a 1-1 draw being played out. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Adrien Rabiot Over 0.5 Shots On Target +143

Adrien Rabiot (Milan) has totalled a minimum of one shot on goal in three consecutive Serie A matches. We’re anticipating that he is able to perform well and cover the Shots on Target line, with odds of +143 currently available.

Latest Adrien Rabiot Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+475

First

+1150

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+143

Under 0.5

-303

Shots

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

---

Christian Pulisic to Score +230

Christian Pulisic (Milan) has managed three goals in his past four Serie A games on the road. When it comes to him scoring, we think that the +230 available is attractive when betting on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Christian Pulisic Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+220

First

+525

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

+110

Shots

Over 2.5

+112

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Milan Over 3.5 Corners -135

Milan have covered the 3.5 corners line in eight consecutive matches. Our verdict is that there’s value when it comes the Milan Team Corners line being covered, with odds of -135 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Roma

Total

6.70 3.90 2.80

Home

8.20 5.40 2.80

Away

8.10 4.20 3.90

Milan

Total

10.40 5.80 4.60

Home

9.60 5.90 3.70

Away

9.40 3.70 5.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

+107

Under 9.5

-152

Roma Corners

Over 4.5

-127

Under 4.5

-111

Milan Corners

Over 3.5

-164

Under 3.5

+114

Most Corners

1

-125

X

+600

2

+130

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Roma vs AC Milan Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

AC Milan are +175 with the bookies to get the better of Roma, with the latter having betting odds of +180. If you want to back the draw to be landed in this Serie A encounter, this can be wagered at +190.

If you think Milan can overcome Roma, then there’s an Asian Handicap option where the former are +132 with a -0.25 deficit. There’s half your money back in the event of a draw.

When it comes to the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this exciting contest. The Both Teams to Score market is always popular and BTTS Yes can be backed at -127.

If you’re betting on Serie A games, we recommend heading to the best football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

+180

X

+190

2

+175

Half-Time Result

1

+225

X

+110

2

+230

Double Chance

1X

-238

12

-250

X2

-238

Draw No Bet

1

-118

2

-120

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-164

2 Hcp -0.25

+132

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-154

Over 2.5

+117

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-127

No

-104

Rafael Leão is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +525 while there’s also the chance to back him to find the net at +220.

Rafael Leão (Milan)

First

+220

Anytime

+525

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

First

+220

Anytime

+525

Paulo Dybala (Roma)

First

+240

Anytime

+575

Niclas Füllkrug (Milan)

First

+280

Anytime

+650

Christopher Nkunku (Milan)

First

+290

Anytime

+650

Evan Ferguson (Roma)

First

+290

Anytime

+650

Stephan El Shaarawy (Roma)

First

+300

Anytime

+700

Robinio Vaz (Roma)

First

+310

Anytime

+650

Donyell Malen (Roma)

First

+310

Anytime

+700

Alessandro Arena (Roma)

First

+310

Anytime

+700

Matías Soulé (Roma)

First

+370

Anytime

+900

Lorenzo Pellegrini (Roma)

First

+370

Anytime

+950

Adrien Rabiot (Milan)

First

+475

Anytime

+1150

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

First

+480

Anytime

+1100

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Tommaso Baldanzi (Roma)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Leon Bailey (Roma)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

Neil El Aynaoui (Roma)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Niccolò Pisilli (Roma)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Youssouf Fofana (Milan)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Wesley Vinícius França Lima (Roma)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Luka Modric (Milan)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Bryan Cristante (Roma)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Samuele Ricci (Milan)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Kouadio Kone (Roma)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Ardon Jashari (Milan)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Davide Bartesaghi (Milan)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Pervis Estupiñán (Milan)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Angeliño (Roma)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Devyne Rensch (Roma)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Paulo Dybala (Roma)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

+116

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

+110

Rafael Leão (Milan)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

+107

Evan Ferguson (Roma)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-108

Stephan El Shaarawy (Roma)

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

-123

Robinio Vaz (Roma)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-125

Alessandro Arena (Roma)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-130

Niclas Füllkrug (Milan)

Over 0.5

-141

Under 0.5

-135

Christopher Nkunku (Milan)

Over 0.5

-141

Under 0.5

-137

Donyell Malen (Roma)

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-149

Matías Soulé (Roma)

Over 0.5

-127

Under 0.5

-152

Lorenzo Pellegrini (Roma)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-179

Niccolò Pisilli (Roma)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-278

Tommaso Baldanzi (Roma)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-286

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

Over 0.5

+138

Under 0.5

-286

Neil El Aynaoui (Roma)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-294

Adrien Rabiot (Milan)

Over 0.5

+143

Under 0.5

-303

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

Over 0.5

+148

Under 0.5

-313

Youssouf Fofana (Milan)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-345

Leon Bailey (Roma)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-370

Wesley Vinícius França Lima (Roma)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-370

Bryan Cristante (Roma)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-385

Luka Modric (Milan)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-476

Kouadio Kone (Roma)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-476

Ardon Jashari (Milan)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-500

Samuele Ricci (Milan)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-588

Davide Bartesaghi (Milan)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-588

Devyne Rensch (Roma)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-1000

Pervis Estupiñán (Milan)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-1111

Angeliño (Roma)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-1429

Rafael Leão (Milan)

Over 2.5

+104

Under 2.5

-

Paulo Dybala (Roma)

Over 2.5

-120

Under 2.5

-

Evan Ferguson (Roma)

Over 2.5

+106

Under 2.5

-

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

Over 2.5

+112

Under 2.5

-

Donyell Malen (Roma)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Adrien Rabiot (Milan)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Niccolò Pisilli (Roma)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Neil El Aynaoui (Roma)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Tommaso Baldanzi (Roma)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Lorenzo Pellegrini (Roma)

Over 1.5

-128

Under 1.5

-

Matías Soulé (Roma)

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

-

Alessandro Arena (Roma)

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

-

Robinio Vaz (Roma)

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

-

Stephan El Shaarawy (Roma)

Over 1.5

-204

Under 1.5

-

Christopher Nkunku (Milan)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

-

Niclas Füllkrug (Milan)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Kouadio Kone (Roma)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-

Angeliño (Roma)

Over 0.5

+114

Under 0.5

-

Pervis Estupiñán (Milan)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-

Davide Bartesaghi (Milan)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-

Ardon Jashari (Milan)

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

-

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Samuele Ricci (Milan)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-

Bryan Cristante (Roma)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Luka Modric (Milan)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-

Wesley Vinícius França Lima (Roma)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Youssouf Fofana (Milan)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Devyne Rensch (Roma)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-

Roma are four wins from four at Stadio Olimpico. Gian Piero Gasperini's men have racked up seven wins and three defeats in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 0.70.

Milan have avoided defeat in their last ten away matches. The Lombardy side have recorded six victories and four draws in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.70 goals per game and conceding 0.70.

The last Stadio Olimpico meeting saw Roma beat Milan 3-1. The teams have three wins apiece along with two draws in the previous 8 H2H matches at Stadio Olimpico.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Roma Home Stats		7-0-3	2.20	1.50	0.70	4	6	4	6
AC Milan Away Stats		6-4-0	2.40	1.70	0.70	4	6	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Roma vs AC Milan Lineups & Team News

Before placing any bets on Roma vs Milan, check the team news first. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed Serie A lineups as well as the most recent injury news.

Roma Team Page AC Milan Team Page

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