Samsunspor vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 12 Mar 2026
Europa Conference League Betting Preview: Samsunspor vs Rayo Vallecano
Turkish Super Lig team Samsunspor host Spanish La Liga outfit Rayo Vallecano in the first leg of their Europa Conference League round of 16 tie at Samsun Yeni 19 Mayis Stadyumu, with kick-off set for 13:45 on Thursday 12 March.
Rayo could secure the spoils against Samsunspor and we’ll take this selection on the Full-Time Result market. There are attractive odds of +118 and we can’t resist the opportunity to back the visitors.
Samsunspor were defeated on the road in their last game. Fenerbahce won 3-2 at Sukru Saracoglu Stadium in the Super Lig. The Samsun club recorded 45% possession and had seven shots on target, while Marius Mouandilmadji grabbed the goals.
Rayo Vallecano played out a 1-1 La Liga draw in their previous game. This was away from home at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, with Sevilla the opponents. Inigo Perez's side had two shots on goal and recorded 58% possession, with Alfonso Espino on the scoresheet.
In their most recent Europa Conference League matches, Samsun beat KF Shkendija 4-0 at home, with Rayo landing a 3-0 home win over Drita.
| Europa Conference League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |  Rayo Vallecano |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 13:7 | 13 |
| 12 |  Samsunspor |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10:6 | 10 |
3 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 9.7 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal. Samsun have had 56.6% possession and 5.5 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.0 goals from 7.6 attempts and 3.0 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 2.9 corners.
Marius Mouandilmadji is the top scorer with 6 goals, Olivier Ntcham has 2, with Cherif Ndiaye and Jaures Assoumou on 1. Carlo Holse has the most assists with 3, while goalie Okan Kocuk has recorded 2 clean sheets.
Rayo have 3 victories, 3 defeats and 4 draws, averaging 12.9 attempts, 4.8 shots on goal and 1.4 goals. Los Franjirrojos average 53.0% possession, 402.0 passes, 5.2 corners awarded and 4.7 corners against them, while 1.3 goals have been conceded from 3.7 shots on goal and 11.1 attempts.
Jorge de Frutos got 6 goals, Isi Palazon notched 2, while Alfonso Espino and two other players scored 1. Alvaro Garcia has been chief assist maker on 3, with Augusto Batalla recording 2 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Samsunspor vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Betting Tips
Our Samsunspor vs Rayo Vallecano betting outlook has it all, including a trusted match forecast, our predicted score, best corners advice, top player prop picks and a hand-picked bet builder.
Match Prediction
Our prediction is that Rayo will have too much for the opposition and we’ll therefore take the +118 when it comes to this Europa Conference League clash. This wager sticks out when it comes to landing value.
The latest Europa Conference League injury and suspension news can have a big bearing and we use this data as well as the latest form guide. We’re also keen to study the football stats so that we can get the fullest picture of how the action might happen.
Key Samsunspor vs Rayo Vallecano Europa Conference League & league stats:
When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 45.9% chance of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 50-55%. This is why we can recommend this bet.
If you’re expecting Rayo to triumph but also anticipate that they’ll achieve a shut-out, then it is logical to wager the bigger price on the Result + Both Teams to Score No market.
Make your next bet count. Discover the best betting offers, including generous welcome bonuses and free bets.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
2
Rayo
There’s the option to wager on Rayo to win by a 2-1 scoreline. Odds of +600 are on offer and this is a correct score bet that should provide plenty of entertainment.
Player Prop Picks
Jorge de Frutos (Rayo) has registered six goals in his past ten games. Based on the stats, we are happy to back the +215 when it comes to him finding the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The 4.5 corners line has been covered by Samsunspor in their past six home games, while Rayo Vallecano have conceded 5.40 corners on average in their last 5 away matches. We think that the value can be found by wagering on Team Corners and you can secure +104 that Samsun go over the line.
Samsunspor
Rayo
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
If you want to try a bet builder, have a play on Rayo Vallecano on the Full-Time Result, three or more goals to be scored combined with Samsunspor to finish with over 4.5 corners.
It’s now possible to place a bet builder on each individual football game. It results in you being able to place a tailored bet at a larger price based on the number of predictions made.
Samsunspor vs Rayo Vallecano Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With a 46% prospect of triumphing according to the 1x2 odds, Rayo Vallecano are favourites to come out on top in this Europa Conference League clash and they’re available at +118 with the bookmakers. If you want to back the outsider, Samsunspor are available at +230.
There are different betting angles when backing Rayo including the Asian Handicap -0.25 wager. This is available at -122 and there’s a half stake return if they only draw with Samsun.
A low-scoring contest will be predicted by several which is reflected in the fact that Under 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds. The Yes option in the Both Teams to Score market is regarded as the most likely outcome and is trading at -135.
Hundreds of markets are made available when it comes to Europa Conference League matches, with the recommended football betting sites leaving no stone unturned in terms of available options.
There’s the chance to back Jorge de Frutos at +500 to be the First Goalscorer, with the favourite on this market available at similar odds to find the net last.
Latest Europa Conference League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.
Samsunspor Stats
Rayo Vallecano Stats
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 6 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.60 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 2.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.10 corners awarded and 1.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 10 and least corners in 0 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 5.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 56.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 58.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 10 of the last 10 home matches
Samsunspor vs Rayo Vallecano Lineups & Team News
Always review the Samsunspor vs Rayo team news before locking in your bets. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Europa Conference League lineups plus current injury reports.
Previous Samsunspor Lineups
Previous Rayo Vallecano Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Samsunspor Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Thorsten Fink
Rayo Vallecano Player Stats & Squad
Europa Conference League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Strasbourg | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:5 | 16 |
| 2 | Rakow | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:2 | 14 |
| 3 | AEK | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:3 | 13 |
| 5 | Rayo Vallecano | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:7 | 13 |
| 6 | Sh. Donetsk | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 13 |
| 7 | Mainz 05 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 13 |
| 8 | Larnaca | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7:1 | 12 |
| 9 | Lausanne | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 11 |
| 10 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 10 |
| 11 | Lech | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:8 | 10 |
| 12 | Samsunspor | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 10 |
| 13 | NK Celje | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 14 | AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 16 | Rijeka | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:2 | 9 |
| 17 | Jagiellonia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 9 |
| 18 | Omonia Nicosia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 19 | FC Noah | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | 8 |
| 20 | Drita | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | 8 |
| 21 | KuPS | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 22 | KF Shkendija | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:5 | 7 |
| 23 | Zrinjski Mostar | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | 7 |
| 24 | Sigma Olomouc | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 25 | U Craiova | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 26 | Lincoln Red Imps | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:15 | 7 |
| 27 | Dynamo Kiev | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 28 | Legia | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 29 | Slovan Bratislava | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | 6 |
| 30 | Breidablik | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | 5 |
| 31 | Shamrock Rovers | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:13 | 4 |
| 32 | Hacken | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 33 | Hamrun Spartans | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 34 | Shelbourne | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0:7 | 2 |
| 35 | Aberdeen | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:14 | 2 |
| 36 | Rapid Vienna | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:14 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rayo Vallecano | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Rakow | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 9 |
| 3 | Mainz 05 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 9 |
| 4 | AEK | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 |
| 5 | Zrinjski Mostar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 7 |
| 6 | Sparta Prague | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 7 | Lech | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 8 | Larnaca | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 9 | Lausanne | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 7 |
| 10 | Rijeka | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | 7 |
| 11 | Strasbourg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 12 | NK Celje | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 13 | KF Shkendija | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 14 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 7 |
| 15 | Lincoln Red Imps | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 16 | Dynamo Kiev | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:2 | 6 |
| 17 | Samsunspor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 19 | FC Noah | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 20 | Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 21 | Jagiellonia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 22 | Breidablik | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 23 | KuPS | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 5 |
| 24 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 4 |
| 25 | Sh. Donetsk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 26 | Sigma Olomouc | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 27 | U Craiova | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 28 | Drita | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 29 | Legia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 30 | Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 31 | Shamrock Rovers | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 32 | Hamrun Spartans | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 33 | Hacken | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | 2 |
| 34 | Aberdeen | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 1 |
| 35 | Shelbourne | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:4 | 1 |
| 36 | Rapid Vienna | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:5 | 0 |
Super Lig Table
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 59:18 | 61 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 25 | 16 | 9 | 0 | 57:25 | 57 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 51:29 | 54 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 45:30 | 46 |
| 5 | Basaksehir | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 44:27 | 42 |
| 6 | Goztepe | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 28:18 | 42 |
| 7 | Kocaelispor | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 22:25 | 33 |
| 8 | Samsunspor | 25 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 27:30 | 32 |
| 9 | Rizespor | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 32:35 | 30 |
| 10 | Gaziantep | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 31:41 | 30 |
| 11 | Alanyaspor | 25 | 5 | 12 | 8 | 26:30 | 27 |
| 12 | Genclerbirligi | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 28:34 | 25 |
| 13 | Konyaspor | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 28:38 | 24 |
| 14 | Antalyaspor | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24:39 | 24 |
| 15 | Eyupspor | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 19:36 | 22 |
| 16 | Kasimpasa | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 21:36 | 21 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 25 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 19:46 | 20 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 22:46 | 14 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 35:11 | 33 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 27:12 | 28 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 24:12 | 25 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23:15 | 24 |
| 5 | Goztepe | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 14:5 | 23 |
| 6 | Kocaelispor | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 13:9 | 21 |
| 7 | Basaksehir | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 23:17 | 20 |
| 8 | Genclerbirligi | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19:16 | 19 |
| 9 | Rizespor | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 13:17 | 17 |
| 10 | Alanyaspor | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12:12 | 16 |
| 11 | Gaziantep | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | 16 |
| 12 | Konyaspor | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15:15 | 15 |
| 13 | Samsunspor | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9:12 | 15 |
| 14 | Eyupspor | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:18 | 13 |
| 15 | Antalyaspor | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17:27 | 12 |
| 16 | Karagumruk | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9:26 | 9 |
| 18 | Kasimpasa | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9:18 | 8 |
La Liga Table
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 27 | 22 | 1 | 4 | 72:26 | 67 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 27 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 56:23 | 63 |
| 3 | Atlético Madrid | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 46:25 | 54 |
| 4 | Villarreal | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 50:32 | 54 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 42:34 | 43 |
| 6 | Celta Vigo | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 37:30 | 40 |
| 7 | Espanyol | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 34:40 | 37 |
| 8 | Real Sociedad | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 40:41 | 35 |
| 9 | Getafe | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 23:29 | 35 |
| 10 | Athletic Club | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 30:37 | 35 |
| 11 | Osasuna | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32:32 | 34 |
| 12 | Valencia | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 30:41 | 32 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 27:33 | 31 |
| 14 | Sevilla | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 35:42 | 31 |
| 15 | Girona | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 28:43 | 31 |
| 16 | Alavés | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | 27 |
| 17 | Elche | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 35:41 | 26 |
| 18 | Mallorca | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 31:44 | 25 |
| 19 | Levante | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 29:45 | 22 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 17:44 | 18 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 13 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 41:6 | 39 |
| 2 | Atlético Madrid | 14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 33:12 | 37 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 31:12 | 34 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 29:9 | 33 |
| 5 | Osasuna | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 24:16 | 25 |
| 6 | Real Betis | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:15 | 24 |
| 7 | Valencia | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 19:15 | 23 |
| 8 | Athletic Club | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 17:16 | 23 |
| 9 | Elche | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 22:15 | 22 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 11 | Espanyol | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17:19 | 21 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 15:10 | 19 |
| 13 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 14 | Alavés | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 15 | Getafe | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12:11 | 18 |
| 16 | Celta Vigo | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20:17 | 17 |
| 17 | Sevilla | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 19:20 | 16 |
| 18 | Girona | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13:21 | 16 |
| 19 | Real Oviedo | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5:14 | 11 |
| 20 | Levante | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14:24 | 11 |
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