San Martín vs Independiente Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 19 Oct 2025

Primera División Betting Preview: San Martín vs Independiente

San Martín host Independiente in this Argentine Primera División encounter, with kick-off set for 16:00 on Sunday 19 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Back San Martín to Cause Independiente Problems

When San Martín meet Independiente, we will back the hosts at -119 on the Asian Handicap +0.25. With the stake split between 0 and +0.5, they look capable of landing a return by avoiding defeat.

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Independiente Came Out on Top in Last H2H Clash

San Martín de San Juan got the win in their last game. A 1-0 triumph occurred on their travels when meeting San Lorenzo. Leandro Romagnoli's team enjoyed just 38% possession and had two shots on target, with Diego Gonzalez getting the all-important goal in the 78th minute.

Independiente were beaten 2-0 in their previous game, being turned over at home to Lanús. The Avellaneda club dominated possession with 66% of the ball and recorded five shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 2-0 home win for Independiente when they last played San Martín.

Primera División		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Independiente	16	8	5	3	23	12	11	23:12	29
30	San Martin	16	2	3	11	5	18	-13	5:18	9

View Full Table

2 wins, 3 losses and 5 draws, averaging 0.5 goals from 2.8 shots on goal and 7.5 attempts. San Martín have had 42.0% possession and 5.5 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 0.7 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 9.9 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 6.3 corners.

Diego Gonzalez is the top scorer with 2 goals, while Tomas Fernandez, Ignacio Maestro Puch and Marco Iacobellis each have 1. Sebastian Jaurena, Ayrton Portillo and Tomas Lecanda are the leading assists makers with 1.

Independiente have 5 defeats and 5 draws, with an average of 0.4 goals from 7.3 attempts and 2.9 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 57.2% possession, 4.0 corners awarded and 5.0 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 1.0 goals from 6.9 attempts and 3.1 shots on goal.

The top scorers have been Santiago Gabriel Montiel, Felipe Loyola and Nicolas Freire, with 1 goals apiece. Santiago Gabriel Montiel has managed to clock up 1 assists in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

San Martín predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Matías Borgogno (GK), Ayrton Portillo, Tomás Lecanda, Luciano Recalde, Lucas Diarte, Nicolás Watson, Diego Gonzalez, Tomás Fernández, Sebastian Gonzalez, Horacio Tijanovich, Ignacio Maestro Puch.

Independiente predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Rodrigo Rey (GK), Leonardo Godoy, Kevin Lomonaco, Sebastián Valdéz, Milton Valenzuela, Pablo Galdames, Rodrigo Fernández, Walter Mazzantti, Luciano Cabral, Matías Abaldo, Ignacio Pussetto.

San Martín vs Independiente Prediction & Betting Tips

Your complete San Martín vs Independiente betting guide is here, including our go-to match prediction, scoreline call, corners betting pick, standout prop selections and a customized bet builder.

Match Prediction

San Martín +0.25 look like a value bet on the Asian Handicap. We think that the hosts have a good chance of recording a win in this Primera División game and it’s therefore a confident selection at -119.

Team news is very useful and our football tipsters are keen to identify the players who are doubtful with injury. You’ll also find us studying the form guide, with lots of Primera División data available which provides a clear picture from the stats.

Key San Martín vs Independiente league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by San Martín in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by San Martín in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by San Martín in 3 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Independiente in 12 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Independiente in 16 of their last 20 games.

San Martín +0.25 Probability

When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 54.3% chance of winning. However, our tipsters research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

There are several alternatives to the Asian Handicap and we particularly like the Winning Margin market. It’s great whether you’re expecting things to be close or comprehensive.

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Our Match Prediction

San Martín Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -119 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

San Martín 1 - 0 Independiente

There could be merit in backing San Martín to win 1-0. Odds of +575 are available about a correct score bet where a nice potential return is on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Ignacio Pussetto Over 0.5 Shots On Target -125

Ignacio Pussetto (Independiente) can be backed to have at least one shot on goal at -125. For those wanting to wager on Shots on Target, this player looks really appealing at the odds.

Latest Ignacio Pussetto Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+350

First

+750

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-125

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Horacio Tijanovich to Score +650

Horacio Tijanovich (San Martín) has racked up two goals in his past six Primera División home games. When it comes to him scoring, we think that the +650 available is attractive when betting on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Horacio Tijanovich Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+650

First

+1300

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-270

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Corners Prediction

Independiente Under 4.5 Corners -139

It’s been under 4.5 corners for Independiente in 4 of their past 5 matches, while San Martín have conceded less than 4.5 corners in six straight home games. The Independiente Team Corners line looks to be too big given the stats and -139 is available to wager.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

San Martín

Total

11.80 5.50 6.30

Home

9.40 5.60 3.80

Away

11.50 3.90 7.60

Independiente

Total

9.00 4.00 5.00

Home

9.20 5.70 3.50

Away

8.40 3.50 4.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-135

Under 8.5

-105

San Martín Corners

Over 4.5

+110

Under 4.5

-159

Independiente Corners

Over 4.5

-102

Under 4.5

-139

Most Corners

1

+112

X

+550

2

-103

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San Martín vs Independiente Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Predicting a Tight Affair

The bookies have chalked up the draw at +190 on the 1x2 betting, with Independiente available to bet at odds of +133. San Martín de San Juan are +245 to claim victory in this Primera División encounter.

You can take advantage of the Draw No Bet market if you want a less-risky option. Going down this route means you can back Independiente at -175 or instead go for San Martín at +128.

If you’re anticipating that two goals or less will be netted throughout the contest, then Under 2.5 Goals is a definite runner. Both Teams to Score No is available at -192 for anyone expecting at least one side to draw a blank.

For those wanting hundreds of football markets, it’s great that the top betting sites are on hand to offer this service. When it comes to every Primera División game, go for the pick which stands out the most.

Full-Time Result

1

+245

X

+190

2

+133

Half-Time Result

1

+320

X

-116

2

+210

Double Chance

1X

-172

12

-250

X2

-333

Draw No Bet

1

+128

2

-175

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-119

2 Hcp -0.25

-104

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-270

Over 2.5

+200

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+133

No

-192

Gabriel Ávalos Shortest Odds for First Goalscorer

Gabriel Ávalos is the favourite to be First Goalscorer at +525. If you’re interested in backing him to find the net at anytime, then the price is +240.

Gabriel Ávalos (Independiente)

First

+240

Anytime

+525

Santiago Montiel (Independiente)

First

+340

Anytime

+650

Ignacio Pussetto (Independiente)

First

+350

Anytime

+750

Franco Toloza (San Martín)

First

+400

Anytime

+850

Walter Mazzantti (Independiente)

First

+420

Anytime

+850

Marco Iacobellis (San Martín)

First

+420

Anytime

+900

Felipe Loyola (Independiente)

First

+475

Anytime

+1050

Federico González (San Martín)

First

+500

Anytime

+1000

Diego Tarzia (Independiente)

First

+550

Anytime

+1200

Jonathan Menéndez "Jony" (San Martín)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Luciano Cabral (Independiente)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Ignacio Maestro Puch (San Martín)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Horacio Tijanovich (San Martín)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Sebastián González (San Martín)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Federico Mancuello (Independiente)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Lautaro Millán (Independiente)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Pablo Galdames (Independiente)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2000

Nicolás Watson (San Martín)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Gabriel Ávalos (Independiente)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+123

Ignacio Pussetto (Independiente)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-125

Santiago Montiel (Independiente)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-128

Franco Toloza (San Martín)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-159

Walter Mazzantti (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-175

Marco Iacobellis (San Martín)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-200

Federico González (San Martín)

Over 0.5

+132

Under 0.5

-213

Felipe Loyola (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+138

Under 0.5

-222

Diego Tarzia (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-263

Horacio Tijanovich (San Martín)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-270

Luciano Cabral (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-286

Ignacio Maestro Puch (San Martín)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-313

Jonathan Menéndez "Jony" (San Martín)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-333

Sebastián González (San Martín)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-345

Federico Mancuello (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-400

Lautaro Millán (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-417

San Martín vs Independiente Lineups & Team News

Know who’s in and who’s out for San Martín vs Independiente before making your bets. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed Primera División lineups alongside the newest injury information.

San Martín Team Page Independiente Team Page