São Paulo vs Palmeiras Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 05 Oct 2025

Série A Betting Preview: São Paulo vs Palmeiras

São Paulo rivals São Paulo and Palmeiras meet in the Clash of Kings, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Sunday 5 October. Our Brazilian Série A betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

São Paulo +0.25 look like a value bet on the Asian Handicap. This involves splitting our stake between 0 and +0.5, with a win against Palmeiras the desired outcome at betting odds of -125.

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São Paulo triumphed in their last game. It was on their travels where Fortaleza were beaten 2-0. Tricolor Paulista ended up with just 35% possession and had three shots on target, with Gonzalo Tapia and Luciano Neves scoring one goal apiece.

Second-placed Palmeiras won their previous game which was at home. It was a 3-0 victory against Vasco da Gama. Abel Ferreira's side enjoyed just 37% possession and had six shots on goal, while Jose Lopez found the net twice and Vitor Roque bagged one.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Palmeiras have won the last two encounters against São Paulo, landing winning home scorelines of 1-0 and 2-1. The previous 10 H2H meetings have ended in four Palmeiras victories, three draws and three São Paulo wins.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Palmeiras	34	21	6	7	58	29	29	58:29	69
9	São Paulo	33	12	9	12	37	36	1	37:36	45

View Full Table

São Paulo have 6 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.4 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 9.1 attempts. Hernan Crespo's men have averaged 53.5% possession and 6.0 corners per match, conceding 0.7 goals and 3.9 corners from 3.6 shots on goal and 7.9 attempts.

Top scorer is Gonzalo Tapia on 3 goals, while Damian Bobadilla and Robert Arboleda have both racked up 2. Enzo Hernan Diaz and Nahuel Ferraresi have recorded the most assists with 3 apiece.

Palmeiras have won 7, lost 1 and drawn 2, averaging 13.0 attempts, 5.6 shots on goal and 2.1 goals. The Big Green average 54.7% possession, 4.9 corners in their favour and 2.9 corners against, while 0.7 goals have been conceded from 3.8 shots on goal and 8.9 attempts.

Jose Lopez and Vitor Roque have scored 6, followed by Andreas Pereira with 2. Vitor Roque and Mauricio have clocked up 3 assists each in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

São Paulo confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Rafael (GK), Alan Franco, Robert Arboleda, Sabino, Cedric Soares, Damian Bobadilla, Pablo Maia, Enzo Hernan Diaz, Marcos Antonio, Luciano Neves, Gonzalo Tapia.

Palmeiras confirmed lineup (4-1-3-2): Weverton (GK), Agustin Giay, Gustavo Gomez, Murilo Cerqueira, Joaquin Piquerez, Anibal Moreno, Raphael Veiga, Andreas Pereira, Felipe Anderson, Vitor Roque, Jose Lopez.

São Paulo vs Palmeiras Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the full betting picture for São Paulo vs Palmeiras, including a key match prediction, our correct score selection, best corners advice, top player prop picks and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’ll split our stake by backing São Paulo +0.25 at odds of -125 for this Asian Handicap wager. There’s every chance that we see a strong performance from the home team in this Série A encounter.

The formbook always proves to be helpful when it comes to providing football betting tips. The latest Série A team news is also vital, with the stats helping to shape our opinion too.

Key São Paulo vs Palmeiras league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by São Paulo in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by São Paulo in 14 of their last 19 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Palmeiras in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Palmeiras in 2 consecutive games on the road.

The latest odds imply that our pick has a 55.6% prospect of winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 60-65% taking all factors into consideration. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

Wanting bigger odds when it comes to your pick? With the line being moved, you can secure a larger price although the wager is a more risky one.

Thinking of betting? Browse our detailed guide for the best current offers, including free bets and the latest bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

São Paulo Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -125 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

São Paulo 1 - 0 Palmeiras

A 1-0 win in favor of São Paulo is available at odds of +600. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: José López Over 0.5 Shots On Target -128

José López (Palmeiras) can be backed at -128 to finish with a minimum of one shot on goal. Those wanting to back him should certainly look at the Shots on Target betting odds available.

Latest José López Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+310

First

+600

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-100

Shots

Over 2.5

-154

Under 2.5

-

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Damián Bobadilla To Score +950

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo) is available at +950 to be among the goals. There are appealing odds on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer pick and we think this is an attractive wager for him to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Damián Bobadilla Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+950

First

+1800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+235

Under 0.5

-500

Shots

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Palmeiras Under 4.5 Corners -100

Palmeiras have had under 4.5 corners in 4 of the past 5 away matches, while São Paulo have conceded less than 4.5 corners in five straight home games. It stands to reason that the line won’t be reached and you can secure odds of -100 for this Palmeiras Team Corners bet.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

São Paulo

Total

9.90 6.00 3.90

Home

9.60 5.50 4.10

Away

10.80 5.00 5.80

Palmeiras

Total

7.80 4.90 2.90

Home

8.10 5.90 2.20

Away

11.40 6.60 4.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

+106

Under 9.5

-149

São Paulo Corners

Over 4.5

-103

Under 4.5

-135

Palmeiras Corners

Over 4.5

-109

Under 4.5

-128

Most Corners

1

+112

X

+650

2

+102

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São Paulo vs Palmeiras Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Palmeiras are the skinniest price to succeed in this Série A clash, with the favourites afforded a 44% probability based on their +125 betting odds with the bookies. If you want to get against the market leader, then you’re able to secure +255 for São Paulo.

There’s the option to get some insurance on your bet by going down the Draw No Bet route. This allows you to back Palmeiras at -185 with a safety net or alternatively opt for São Paulo at +133.

When it comes to the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this exciting contest. Both Teams to Score No is available at -185 for anyone expecting at least one side to draw a blank.

The top betting sites always do a great job when it comes to Série A games. They provide football bettors with hundreds of markets and you can cherry-pick the most attractive options.

Full-Time Result

1

+255

X

+195

2

+125

Half-Time Result

1

+325

X

-109

2

+200

Double Chance

1X

-172

12

-270

X2

-370

Draw No Bet

1

+133

2

-185

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-114

2 Hcp -0.25

-109

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-244

Over 2.5

+185

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+128

No

-185

Those interested in Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira to find the net anytime can get +135, with the favourite on offer to score the first goal at odds of +290.

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

First

+135

Anytime

+290

José López (Palmeiras)

First

+310

Anytime

+600

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

First

+310

Anytime

+600

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

First

+400

Anytime

+800

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

First

+430

Anytime

+850

Juan Dinenno (São Paulo)

First

+450

Anytime

+800

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

First

+450

Anytime

+850

Facundo Torres (Palmeiras)

First

+525

Anytime

+1050

Bruno Rafael Rodrigues (Palmeiras)

First

+525

Anytime

+1050

Raphael Cavalcante Veiga (Palmeiras)

First

+525

Anytime

+1100

Emiliano Rigoni (São Paulo)

First

+550

Anytime

+1100

Ramón Sosa (Palmeiras)

First

+550

Anytime

+1150

Allan Andrade Elias (Palmeiras)

First

+575

Anytime

+1150

Oscar (São Paulo)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Andreas Pereira (Palmeiras)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes (Palmeiras)

First

+750

Anytime

+1500

Joaquín Piquerez (Palmeiras)

First

+750

Anytime

+1500

Rodrigo Almeida Mendonca "Rodriguinho" (São Paulo)

First

+950

Anytime

+1800

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

First

+950

Anytime

+1800

Rafael Tolói (São Paulo)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Emiliano Martinez (Palmeiras)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2000

Robert Arboleda (São Paulo)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Gustavo Gómez (Palmeiras)

First

+1300

Anytime

+2200

Marcos Antônio Silva Santos (São Paulo)

First

+1300

Anytime

+2200

Cédric Soares (São Paulo)

First

+1400

Anytime

+2200

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

+120

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

+104

José López (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-100

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-112

Under 0.5

-149

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-143

Juan Dinenno (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-154

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-213

Facundo Torres (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+132

Under 0.5

-208

Emiliano Rigoni (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+133

Under 0.5

-213

Bruno Rafael Rodrigues (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-222

Raphael Cavalcante Veiga (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+143

Under 0.5

-250

Oscar (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+143

Under 0.5

-227

Allan Andrade Elias (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-278

Ramón Sosa (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-313

Rodrigo Almeida Mendonca "Rodriguinho" (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-357

Andreas Pereira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-400

Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+225

Under 0.5

-455

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+235

Under 0.5

-500

Joaquín Piquerez (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+245

Under 0.5

-526

Rafael Tolói (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-556

Robert Arboleda (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-1111

Gustavo Gómez (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+390

Under 0.5

-1429

Marcos Antônio Silva Santos (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+390

Under 0.5

-1429

Cédric Soares (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+400

Under 0.5

-1429

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

Over 2.5

-120

Under 2.5

-

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

-118

Under 2.5

-

José López (Palmeiras)

Over 2.5

-154

Under 2.5

-

Raphael Cavalcante Veiga (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-

Rodrigo Almeida Mendonca "Rodriguinho" (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-102

Under 1.5

-

Ramón Sosa (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-

Oscar (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-

Facundo Torres (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

+108

Under 1.5

-

Juan Dinenno (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-152

Under 1.5

-

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

-

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

-

Andreas Pereira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Joaquín Piquerez (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Rafael Tolói (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-

Robert Arboleda (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+106

Under 0.5

-

Gustavo Gómez (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Marcos Antônio Silva Santos (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-

São Paulo vs Palmeiras Lineups & Team News

Make sure you're up to date on the São Paulo vs Palmeiras team news before betting. We’ll have the predicted and confirmed Série A lineups for you plus all the latest on player injuries.

São Paulo Team Page Palmeiras Team Page

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