São Paulo vs Palmeiras Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 05 Oct 2025

Série A Betting Preview: São Paulo vs Palmeiras

São Paulo host Palmeiras in this Brazilian Série A game, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Sunday 5 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

São Paulo Should Put Up a Fight

São Paulo +0.25 look like a value bet on the Asian Handicap. This involves splitting our stake between 0 and +0.5, with a win against Palmeiras the desired outcome at betting odds of -125.

Like the look of our Asian Handicap pick? Get BetMGM’s latest promo code and read our in-depth site review before you bet.

Palmeiras Won When They Last Played São Paulo

São Paulo triumphed in their last game. It was on their travels where Fortaleza were beaten 2-0. Tricolor Paulista ended up with just 35% possession and had three shots on target, with Gonzalo Tapia and Luciano Neves scoring one goal apiece.

Palmeiras won their previous game which was at home. It was a 3-0 victory against Vasco da Gama. Abel Ferreira's side enjoyed just 37% possession and had six shots on goal, while Jose Lopez found the net twice and Vitor Roque bagged one.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Palmeiras have won the last two encounters against São Paulo, landing winning home scorelines of 1-0 and 2-1. The previous 10 H2H meetings have ended in four Palmeiras victories, three draws and three São Paulo wins.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Palmeiras	24	16	4	4	39	19	20	39:19	52
7	São Paulo	26	10	8	8	29	25	4	29:25	38

View Full Table

São Paulo have 6 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.4 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 9.1 attempts. Hernan Crespo's men have averaged 53.5% possession and 6.0 corners per match, conceding 0.7 goals and 3.9 corners from 3.6 shots on goal and 7.9 attempts.

Top scorer is Gonzalo Tapia on 3 goals, while Damian Bobadilla and Robert Arboleda have both racked up 2. Enzo Hernan Diaz and Nahuel Ferraresi have recorded the most assists with 3 apiece.

Palmeiras have won 7, lost 1 and drawn 2, averaging 13.0 attempts, 5.6 shots on goal and 2.1 goals. The Big Green average 54.7% possession, 4.9 corners in their favour and 2.9 corners against, while 0.7 goals have been conceded from 3.8 shots on goal and 8.9 attempts.

Jose Lopez and Vitor Roque have scored 6, followed by Andreas Pereira with 2. Vitor Roque and Mauricio have clocked up 3 assists each in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

São Paulo predicted lineup (3-5-2): Rafael (GK), Robert Arboleda, Alan Franco, Sabino, Cedric Soares, Damián Bobadilla, Pablo Maia, Rodriguinho, Enzo Díaz, Aldemir Ferreira, Luciano.

Palmeiras predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Weverton (GK), Agustín Giay, Gustavo Gomez, Murilo Cerqueira, Joaquín Piquerez, Anibal Moreno, Andreas Pereira, Raphael Veiga, José Manuel López, Felipe Anderson, Vitor Roque.

São Paulo vs Palmeiras Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the full betting picture for São Paulo vs Palmeiras, including a key match prediction, our correct score selection, best corners advice, top player prop picks and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’ll split our stake by backing São Paulo +0.25 at odds of -125 for this Asian Handicap wager. There’s every chance that we see a strong performance from the home team in this Série A encounter.

The formbook always proves to be helpful when it comes to providing football betting tips. The latest Série A team news is also vital, with the stats helping to shape our opinion too.

Key São Paulo vs Palmeiras league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by São Paulo in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by São Paulo in 14 of their last 19 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Palmeiras in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Palmeiras in 2 consecutive games on the road.

São Paulo +0.25 Probability

The latest odds imply that our pick has a 55.6% prospect of winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 60-65% taking all factors into consideration. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

Wanting bigger odds when it comes to your pick? With the line being moved, you can secure a larger price although the wager is a more risky one.

Thinking of betting? Browse our detailed guide for the best current offers, including free bets and the latest bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

São Paulo Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -125 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

São Paulo 1 - 0 Palmeiras

A 1-0 win in favor of São Paulo is available at odds of +600. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: José López Over 0.5 Shots On Target -128

José López (Palmeiras) can be backed at -128 to finish with a minimum of one shot on goal. Those wanting to back him should certainly look at the Shots on Target betting odds available.

Latest José López Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+320

First

+575

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-116

Shots

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

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Damián Bobadilla To Score +950

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo) is available at +950 to be among the goals. There are appealing odds on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer pick and we think this is an attractive wager for him to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Damián Bobadilla Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+950

First

+1900

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-385

Shots

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Palmeiras Under 4.5 Corners -100

Palmeiras have had under 4.5 corners in 4 of the past 5 away matches, while São Paulo have conceded less than 4.5 corners in five straight home games. It stands to reason that the line won’t be reached and you can secure odds of -100 for this Palmeiras Team Corners bet.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

São Paulo

Total

9.90 6.00 3.90

Home

9.60 5.50 4.10

Away

10.80 5.00 5.80

Palmeiras

Total

7.80 4.90 2.90

Home

8.10 5.90 2.20

Away

11.40 6.60 4.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-123

Under 9.5

-114

São Paulo Corners

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-120

Palmeiras Corners

Over 4.5

-138

Under 4.5

-100

Most Corners

1

+128

X

+650

2

-114

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São Paulo vs Palmeiras Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Betting Sites Predicting a Close-Run Battle

Palmeiras are currently available at +135 with the bookmakers to defeat São Paulo, with the latter priced at odds of +215. If you’re siding with the draw in this Série A clash, then it can be backed at +210.

There’s the option to get some insurance on your bet by going down the Draw No Bet route. This allows you to back Palmeiras at -156 with a safety net or alternatively opt for São Paulo at +115.

When it comes to the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this exciting contest. Both Teams to Score No is available at -152 for anyone expecting at least one side to draw a blank.

The top betting sites always do a great job when it comes to Série A games. They provide football bettors with hundreds of markets and you can cherry-pick the most attractive options.

Full-Time Result

1

+215

X

+210

2

+135

Half-Time Result

1

+280

X

-100

2

+210

Double Chance

1X

-185

12

-294

X2

-303

Draw No Bet

1

+115

2

-156

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-125

2 Hcp -0.25

-100

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-204

Over 2.5

+155

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+107

No

-152

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira Shortest Odds for First Goalscorer

Those interested in Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira to find the net anytime can get +210, with the favourite on offer to score the first goal at odds of +430.

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

First

+210

Anytime

+430

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

First

+290

Anytime

+550

José López (Palmeiras)

First

+320

Anytime

+575

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

First

+370

Anytime

+700

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

First

+400

Anytime

+850

Juan Dinenno (São Paulo)

First

+450

Anytime

+850

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

First

+450

Anytime

+900

Raphael Cavalcante Veiga (Palmeiras)

First

+475

Anytime

+950

Facundo Torres (Palmeiras)

First

+500

Anytime

+950

Bruno Rafael Rodrigues (Palmeiras)

First

+500

Anytime

+1050

Ramón Sosa (Palmeiras)

First

+550

Anytime

+1150

Oscar (São Paulo)

First

+550

Anytime

+1100

Allan Andrade Elias (Palmeiras)

First

+550

Anytime

+1100

Emiliano Rigoni (São Paulo)

First

+550

Anytime

+1100

Andreas Pereira (Palmeiras)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes (Palmeiras)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Joaquín Piquerez (Palmeiras)

First

+750

Anytime

+1400

Rodrigo Almeida Mendonca "Rodriguinho" (São Paulo)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

First

+950

Anytime

+1900

Rafael Tolói (São Paulo)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Emiliano Martinez (Palmeiras)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2000

Robert Arboleda (São Paulo)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+125

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-106

José López (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-116

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-128

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-135

Juan Dinenno (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-149

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-204

Raphael Cavalcante Veiga (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-204

Facundo Torres (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-208

Oscar (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-208

Emiliano Rigoni (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+133

Under 0.5

-213

Bruno Rafael Rodrigues (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-227

Allan Andrade Elias (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-263

Ramón Sosa (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-313

Andreas Pereira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-333

Rodrigo Almeida Mendonca "Rodriguinho" (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-345

Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-385

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-385

Joaquín Piquerez (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+225

Under 0.5

-417

Rafael Tolói (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-556

Robert Arboleda (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-909

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-

José López (Palmeiras)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

-

Juan Dinenno (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Raphael Cavalcante Veiga (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Facundo Torres (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Ramón Sosa (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Oscar (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Rodrigo Almeida Mendonca "Rodriguinho" (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Joaquín Piquerez (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

Rafael Tolói (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-

Robert Arboleda (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-

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São Paulo vs Palmeiras Lineups & Team News

Make sure you're up to date on the São Paulo vs Palmeiras team news before betting. We’ll have the predicted and confirmed Série A lineups for you plus all the latest on player injuries.

São Paulo Team Page Palmeiras Team Page