São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Oct 2024

Goals Look in Short Supply

We’re expecting a low goal tally when São Paulo and Vasco da Gama go up against each other. The Total Goals market provides the opportunity to wager on Under 2.5 and the price of -167 looks attractive.

Vasco Overcame São Paulo in Last H2H

São Paulo were defeated in their last game. Away from home, they suffered a 2-0 loss against Cuiabá. Tricolor Paulista recorded an incredible 78% of possession and managed three shots on target.

Vasco da Gama played Juventude at home in their previous game. It was a 1-1 draw. Rafael Paiva's team enjoyed 52% possession and had three shots on goal, with Dimitri Payet on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Vasco beat São Paulo when the teams last met. It was a 4-1 scoreline. Looking back to the previous 9 H2H meetings, there has been two draws. São Paulo have won four games and Vasco three.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
7	São Paulo	22	8	8	6	26	23	3	26:23	32
15	Vasco da Gama	21	6	4	11	30	31	-1	30:31	22

View Full Table

5 wins and 5 losses, averaging 1.0 goals from 9.1 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal. São Paulo have had 56.2% possession and 5.3 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.2 goals from 9.0 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 3.8 corners.

Andre, Luciano Neves and William Gomes are joint-top scorers with 2 goals on the board. Wellington Rato is the top assists maker on 3.

Vasco have 3 victories, 2 defeats and 5 draws, with an average of 1.2 goals from 7.7 attempts and 3.4 shots on goal. The Rio de Janeiro side average 48.8% possession, 4.9 corners awarded and 6.5 corners against them, while conceding 1.0 goals from 11.7 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal.

Pablo Vegetti is top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Dimitri Payet, Philippe Coutinho, Joao Victor and Emerson Rodriguez have 1. The top assistors in the last 10 games are Hugo Moura, Jose Rodriguez and Dimitri Payet who have all made 1.

Confirmed Lineups

São Paulo confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Rafael (GK), Igor Vinicius, Ruan, Sabino, Welington, Marcos Antonio, Luiz Gustavo, Erick, Luciano Neves, Lucas Moura, Jonathan Calleri.

Vasco da Gama confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Leo Jardim (GK), Paulo Henrique, Joao Victor, Maicon, Lucas Piton, Hugo Moura, Mateus Cocao, Philippe Coutinho, Dimitri Payet, Emerson Rodriguez, Pablo Vegetti.

São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama Prediction & Betting Tips

We are expecting a low number of goals for this Série A encounter. The odds of -167 for Under 2.5 look really attractive and we can play this bet with a fair amount of confidence.

We’re always monitoring the team news. Combined with the latest form, this helps us secure the best value. Our football experts also take a data-led approach, with the key numbers proving useful.

Key São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 São Paulo games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 São Paulo games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in any of the last 5 Vasco games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Vasco games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 5 Vasco games.

Under 2.5 Probability

The latest betting odds imply that our pick has a 62.5% prospect of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 65-70%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

If you want to push things a little further to get bigger odds, there’s the chance to back Under 1.5 Goals, with bettors needing one goal or less in order for the bet to secure a return.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -167 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

São Paulo 2 - 0 Vasco

São Paulo are available at +440 to win by a 2-0 scoreline. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.

São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama Odds

São Paulo are the -143 favourites and that means a 59% chance of winning this Serie A match according to the betting odds at the bookies. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Vasco da Gama are trading at +420.

A tight game could be on the cards and that is reflected in the short odds about Under 2.5 Goals being scored.

The Draw No Bet market is popular for Série A matches, with the football betting sites offering São Paulo at -370 and Vasco da Gama are priced at +265 for the win.

Full-Time Result

1

-143

X

+270

2

+420

Half-Time Result

1

+138

X

+107

2

+410

Double Chance

1X

-667

12

-385

X2

+105

Draw No Bet

1

-370

2

+265

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-110

2 Hcp +0.75

-119

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-167

Over 2.5

+133

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+110

No

-156

São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama Lineups & Team News

Make sure you know the lineups ahead of kick-off, with injuries also playing a part when it comes to São Paulo vs Vasco team news.

The Série A squad information is a great asset when it comes to making your bets.

São Paulo Team Page Vasco da Gama Team Page