São Paulo vs Vitória Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 09 Aug 2025

Série A Betting Preview: São Paulo vs Vitória

São Paulo host Vitória in this Brazilian Série A match, with kick-off set for 17:30 on Saturday 9 August. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Find Out Why We’re Backing São Paulo

The standout bet can be found on the Full-Time Result market where São Paulo are currently priced at -163. We think they can overcome Vitória and this looks a value play.

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São Paulo Beat Vitória Last Time Out

São Paulo have triumphed in their last four games. Most recently, it was away from home where Internacional were beaten 2-1. Hernan Crespo's men recorded four shots on target and had 48% possession, while Robert Arboleda and Damian Bobadilla each scored one goal.

Three days ago, São Paulo suffered a penalty shoot-out defeat (1-0 AET) when visiting Athletico Paranaense in the Copa do Brasil.

Vitória played out a 2-2 draw against Palmeiras in their previous game, with this being at home. Barra's Lion recorded six shots on goal and had 40% possession, while Renato Kayzer and Erick were on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 2-1 in favour of home side São Paulo when they last played Vitória.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
8	São Paulo	28	10	8	10	31	30	1	31:30	38
17	Vitória	28	6	10	12	26	43	-17	26:43	28

View Full Table

São Paulo have 5 wins, 4 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.4 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 8.6 attempts. Tricolor Paulista have averaged 49.1% possession and 5.1 corners per match, conceding 1.4 goals and 4.3 corners from 3.9 shots on goal and 7.2 attempts.

Luciano Neves is the top scorer with 4 goals, while Robert Arboleda and Andre both have 3. Luciano Neves is the leading assists maker with 3.

Vitória have won 1, lost 3 and drawn 6, averaging 11.4 attempts, 4.9 shots on goal and 0.7 goals. The Salvador team average 44.2% possession, 5.4 corners in their favour and 4.8 corners against, while 0.9 goals have been conceded from 3.9 shots on goal and 10.9 attempts.

Renato Kayzer has recorded 3 goals, Erick 2, with Gabriel Baralhas and Renzo Lopez both managing 1. Ronald has been the top assist maker with 2 in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

São Paulo confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Rafael (GK), Nahuel Ferraresi, Alan Franco, Sabino, Maik Gomes, Damian Bobadilla, Marcos Antonio, Rodriguinho, Enzo Hernan Diaz, Andre, Ferreira.

Vitória confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Lucas Arcanjo (GK), Edu, Lucas Halter, Ze Marcos, Ramon, Ricardo Ryller, Ronald, Lucas Braga, Romarinho, Osvaldo, Renato Kayzer.

São Paulo vs Vitória Prediction & Betting Tips

Explore our top São Paulo vs Vitória betting tips, including a match prediction, correct score forecast, expected corners bet, player performance props and a bet builder ready to use.

Match Prediction

São Paulo could land the money in this Série A game and we’ll take this pick with confidence. There are appealing odds of -163 and we can’t pass up the chance to back the favourites.

Having the inside track for injuries and accessing the form guide are important before coming up with football predictions. It’s also key to identify the key numbers and that is why our Série A experts sometimes take a data-led approach.

Key São Paulo vs Vitória league stats:

• São Paulo have won 4 consecutive games.
• São Paulo have won 11 of their last 20 games at home.

São Paulo to Win Probability

Based on the odds from the best betting apps, our pick carries a 61.9% chance of winning. However, our experts think that the probability is close to 70% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

There is a fantastic betting option which allows you to combine São Paulo to win with both teams to find the net. Simply head to the Result + BTTS market to secure bigger odds.

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Our Match Prediction

São Paulo To Win @ -163 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

São Paulo 2 - 0 Vitória

A 2-0 win in favor of São Paulo is available at odds of +500. Correct score betting can be rewarding and you can also get plenty of entertainment with this option.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Damián Bobadilla Under 0.5 Shots On Target -149

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo) is available to finish without a shot on goal at -149. The Shots on Target market allows us to follow this selection and get an attractive price in the process.

Latest Damián Bobadilla Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+500

First

--100

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-156

Shots

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

-

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Cédric Soares To Score +950

Cédric Soares (São Paulo) can be backed at +950 to score. We’ll have a play on this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look pretty attractive.

Latest Cédric Soares Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+1000

First

--100

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-588

Shots

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -120

It has now been two consecutive São Paulo games where the 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered, while the same outcome has happened in two straight Vitória matches. We’re going to wager on the teams to fall short for Total Corners and this selection is available at -120.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

São Paulo

Total

9.40 5.10 4.30

Home

10.70 6.20 4.50

Away

9.50 3.20 6.30

Vitória

Total

10.20 5.40 4.80

Home

10.30 5.80 4.50

Away

10.10 4.50 5.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-125

Under 9.5

-114

São Paulo Corners

Over 5.5

-120

Under 5.5

-120

Vitória Corners

Over 3.5

-125

Under 3.5

-110

Most Corners

1

-200

X

+700

2

+225

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São Paulo vs Vitória Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

São Paulo Have the Shortest Odds to Win

São Paulo are the skinniest price to succeed in this Série A clash, with the favourites afforded a 61% probability based on their -154 betting odds with the bookies. The market implies that Vitória are the most unlikely to win at +500.

Betting São Paulo -0.75 on the Asian Handicap at -120 means splitting stake between -0.5 and -1.0. Therefore, a one-goal win over Vitória means a win and a push, with a 2+ goal victory meaning a full payout.

Under 2.5 Goals is operating at the shortest price for those anticipating two or less goals. For those wanting to back Both Teams to Score No, this is currently priced at -213.

The best football betting sites cover Série A games in serious depth and there are hundreds of markets. We recommend scanning through the various bets before picking out the best angle.

Full-Time Result

1

-154

X

+240

2

+500

Half-Time Result

1

+138

X

-100

2

+500

Double Chance

1X

-833

12

-357

X2

+110

Draw No Bet

1

-476

2

+285

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-120

2 Hcp +0.75

-118

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-217

Over 2.5

+163

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+148

No

-213

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

First

-

Anytime

--100

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Lucas Moura (São Paulo)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Robert Arboleda (São Paulo)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Renato Kayzer de Souza (Vitória)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Rodrigo Almeida Mendonca "Rodriguinho" (São Paulo)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Willian Oliveira (Vitória)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Erick de Arruda Serafim (Vitória)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Osvaldo Filho (Vitória)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Marcos Antônio Silva Santos (São Paulo)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Pablo Maia (São Paulo)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Alan Franco (São Paulo)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Cédric Soares (São Paulo)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Alisson Castro (São Paulo)

First

-

Anytime

--100

José Sabino Chagas Monteiro (São Paulo)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Ronald dos Santos Lopes (Vitória)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Nahuel Ferraresi (São Paulo)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Gabriel Baralhas (Vitória)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Lucas Braga (Vitória)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Hueglo dos Santos Neris "Neris" (Vitória)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Rúben Ismael Valente Ramos (Vitória)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Ramon Ramos Lima (Vitória)

First

-

Anytime

--100

Lucas Halter (Vitória)

First

-

Anytime

--100

João Pedro 'Pepê' Vilardi Pinto (Vitória)

First

-

Anytime

--100

José Marcos Alves Luís (Vitória)

First

-

Anytime

--100

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

+143

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

+132

Lucas Moura (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-119

Under 0.5

-119

Renato Kayzer de Souza (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-104

Under 0.5

-137

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-156

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-172

Erick de Arruda Serafim (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-233

Rodrigo Almeida Mendonca "Rodriguinho" (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-238

Willian Oliveira (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-250

Robert Arboleda (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-303

Osvaldo Filho (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-270

Pablo Maia (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-303

Marcos Antônio Silva Santos (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-455

Alisson Castro (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-556

Gabriel Baralhas (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-556

Ronald dos Santos Lopes (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+325

Under 0.5

-588

Cédric Soares (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-588

Lucas Braga (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-588

Hueglo dos Santos Neris "Neris" (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+400

Under 0.5

-833

Alan Franco (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+400

Under 0.5

-1250

José Sabino Chagas Monteiro (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+400

Under 0.5

-1429

Nahuel Ferraresi (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+480

Under 0.5

-2500

Rúben Ismael Valente Ramos (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+550

Under 0.5

-1429

Ramon Ramos Lima (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+600

Under 0.5

-1667

Lucas Halter (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+600

Under 0.5

-1667

João Pedro 'Pepê' Vilardi Pinto (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+600

Under 0.5

-1667

José Marcos Alves Luís (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+850

Under 0.5

-2500

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

Over 3.5

-147

Under 3.5

-

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

Over 3.5

+133

Under 3.5

-

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-

Rodrigo Almeida Mendonca "Rodriguinho" (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

+143

Under 1.5

-

Erick de Arruda Serafim (Vitória)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Willian Oliveira (Vitória)

Over 1.5

+143

Under 1.5

-

Renato Kayzer de Souza (Vitória)

Over 1.5

-152

Under 1.5

-

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

-

Lucas Moura (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

-

Nahuel Ferraresi (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-

João Pedro 'Pepê' Vilardi Pinto (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Halter (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-

Ramon Ramos Lima (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+235

Under 0.5

-

Rúben Ismael Valente Ramos (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-

Hueglo dos Santos Neris "Neris" (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Braga (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-

Gabriel Baralhas (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-

Alan Franco (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-

Ronald dos Santos Lopes (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

José Sabino Chagas Monteiro (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-

Alisson Castro (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Cédric Soares (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-

Pablo Maia (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-

Marcos Antônio Silva Santos (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-

Osvaldo Filho (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-270

Under 0.5

-

Robert Arboleda (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

José Marcos Alves Luís (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-

São Paulo vs Vitória Lineups & Team News

Be smart with your bets — check the São Paulo vs Vitória team news beforehand. We’ll provide the predicted and confirmed lineups for Série A along with up-to-date injury news.

São Paulo Team Page Vitória Team Page