São Paulo vs Vitória Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 09 Aug 2025
Série A Betting Preview: São Paulo vs Vitória
São Paulo host Vitória in this Brazilian Série A match, with kick-off set for 17:30 on Saturday 9 August 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
Find Out Why We’re Backing São Paulo
The standout bet can be found on the Full-Time Result market where São Paulo are currently priced at -163. We think they can overcome Vitória and this looks a value play.
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São Paulo Beat Vitória Last Time Out
São Paulo have triumphed in their last four games. Most recently, it was away from home where Internacional were beaten 2-1. Hernan Crespo's men recorded four shots on target and had 48% possession, while Robert Arboleda and Damian Bobadilla each scored one goal.
Three days ago, São Paulo suffered a penalty shoot-out defeat (1-0 AET) when visiting Athletico Paranaense in the Copa do Brasil.
Vitória played out a 2-2 draw against Palmeiras in their previous game, with this being at home. Barra's Lion recorded six shots on goal and had 40% possession, while Renato Kayzer and Erick were on the scoresheet.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The scoreline was 2-1 in favour of home side São Paulo when they last played Vitória.
| Série A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |  São Paulo |
18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20:20 | 25 |
| 16 |  Vitória |
18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 16:20 | 18 |
São Paulo have 5 wins, 4 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.4 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 8.6 attempts. Tricolor Paulista have averaged 49.1% possession and 5.1 corners per match, conceding 1.4 goals and 4.3 corners from 3.9 shots on goal and 7.2 attempts.
Luciano Neves is the top scorer with 4 goals, while Robert Arboleda and Andre both have 3. Luciano Neves is the leading assists maker with 3.
Vitória – Last 10 League GamesVitória have won 1, lost 3 and drawn 6, averaging 11.4 attempts, 4.9 shots on goal and 0.7 goals. The Salvador team average 44.2% possession, 5.4 corners in their favour and 4.8 corners against, while 0.9 goals have been conceded from 3.9 shots on goal and 10.9 attempts.
Renato Kayzer has recorded 3 goals, Erick 2, with Gabriel Baralhas and Renzo Lopez both managing 1. Ronald has been the top assist maker with 2 in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
São Paulo predicted lineup (3-5-2): Rafael (GK), Nahuel Ferraresi, Sabino, Alan Franco, Cedric Soares, Marcos Antônio, Damián Bobadilla, Alisson, Enzo Díaz, Luciano, André Silva.
Vitória predicted lineup (4-3-3): Lucas Arcanjo (GK), Claudinho, Lucas Halter, Zé Marcos, Maykon Jesus, Pepê, Gabriel Baralhas, Ronald, Fabricio Santos, Renato Kayzer, Osvaldo Filho.
São Paulo vs Vitória Prediction & Betting Tips
Explore our top São Paulo vs Vitória betting tips, including a match prediction, correct score forecast, expected corners bet, player performance props and a bet builder ready to use.
Match Prediction
São Paulo could land the money in this Série A game and we’ll take this pick with confidence. There are appealing odds of -163 and we can’t pass up the chance to back the favourites.
Having the inside track for injuries and accessing the form guide are important before coming up with football predictions. It’s also key to identify the key numbers and that is why our Série A experts sometimes take a data-led approach.
Key São Paulo vs Vitória league stats:
Based on the odds from the best betting apps, our pick carries a 61.9% chance of winning. However, our experts think that the probability is close to 70% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.
There is a fantastic betting option which allows you to combine São Paulo to win with both teams to find the net. Simply head to the Result + BTTS market to secure bigger odds.
Don’t miss the chance to claim free bets using our exclusive betting promo codes —check our bonus guide before placing your bets.
Correct Score Prediction
2
-
0
Vitória
A 2-0 win in favor of São Paulo is available at odds of +500. Correct score betting can be rewarding and you can also get plenty of entertainment with this option.
Player Prop Picks
Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo) is available to finish without a shot on goal at -149. The Shots on Target market allows us to follow this selection and get an attractive price in the process.
T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Cédric Soares (São Paulo) can be backed at +950 to score. We’ll have a play on this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look pretty attractive.
T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Corners Prediction
It has now been two consecutive São Paulo games where the 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered, while the same outcome has happened in two straight Vitória matches. We’re going to wager on the teams to fall short for Total Corners and this selection is available at -120.
São Paulo
Vitória
T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Bet Builder Tips
Check out our same-game multi. The selections are São Paulo to succeed, No on the BTTS market along with Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo) to be on the scoresheet.
The bet builder option is great for football fans wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same game. Should a bettor get all selections correct, then they can achieve a good return from a small stake.
São Paulo vs Vitória Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
São Paulo Have the Shortest Odds to Win
São Paulo are the skinniest price to succeed in this Série A clash, with the favourites afforded a 63% probability based on their -172 betting odds with the bookies. The market implies that Vitória are the most unlikely to win at +525.
Betting São Paulo -0.75 on the Asian Handicap at -133 means splitting stake between -0.5 and -1.0. Therefore, a one-goal win over Vitória means a win and a push, with a 2+ goal victory meaning a full payout.
Under 2.5 Goals is operating at the shortest price for those anticipating two or less goals. For those wanting to back Both Teams to Score No, this is currently priced at -222.
The best football betting sites cover Série A games in serious depth and there are hundreds of markets. We recommend scanning through the various bets before picking out the best angle.
Luciano da Rocha is the First Goalscorer Favourite
There’s the chance to back Luciano da Rocha at +420 to be the First Goalscorer, with the favourite on this market available at similar odds to find the net last.
São Paulo League Stats
Vitória League Stats
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 1 win, 3 defeats and 6 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 defeats and 6 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.70 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 4.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.20 corners awarded and 4.50 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.70 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 4.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 5.60 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 49.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 52.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 44.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 43.60% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for São Paulo this season are Andre (5), Ferreira (4), Luciano Neves (4)
- Top Assistors for São Paulo this season are Luciano Neves (3), Andre (2), Enzo Hernan Diaz (2)
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São Paulo vs Vitória Lineups & Team News
Be smart with your bets — check the São Paulo vs Vitória team news beforehand. We’ll provide the predicted and confirmed lineups for Série A along with up-to-date injury news.
São Paulo Predicted Lineup 3-5-2
Vitória Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
São Paulo Predicted Lineup 3-5-2
Vitória Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Previous São Paulo Lineups
Previous Vitória Lineups
Série A Table
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 31:7 | 37 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 30:11 | 37 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 21:14 | 33 |
| 4 | Bahia | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20:13 | 29 |
| 5 | Mirassol | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 27:16 | 28 |
| 6 | Bragantino | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 21:22 | 27 |
| 7 | Botafogo | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18:10 | 26 |
| 8 | São Paulo | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 20:20 | 25 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 18:20 | 23 |
| 10 | Atlético MG | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18:17 | 23 |
| 11 | Ceará | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 17:21 | 22 |
| 13 | Internacional | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:22 | 21 |
| 14 | Grêmio | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:23 | 20 |
| 15 | Santos | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18:22 | 18 |
| 16 | Vitória | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 16:20 | 18 |
| 17 | Vasco da Gama | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18:23 | 15 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18:24 | 15 |
| 19 | Juventude | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 11:35 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 16 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 9:25 | 6 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 21:1 | 23 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19:6 | 22 |
| 3 | Bahia | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 13:5 | 20 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17:8 | 18 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 16 |
| 6 | Botafogo | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 7 | Atlético MG | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 10:5 | 15 |
| 8 | Corinthians | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:8 | 15 |
| 9 | São Paulo | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 10 | Grêmio | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:7 | 15 |
| 11 | Internacional | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:8 | 14 |
| 12 | Ceará | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:7 | 14 |
| 13 | Palmeiras | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 14 |
| 14 | Bragantino | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 15 | Vitória | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 16 | Fortaleza | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:10 | 11 |
| 17 | Santos | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 18 | Vasco da Gama | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 19 | Juventude | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:11 | 4 |
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