Sarmiento vs Gimnasia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Oct 2025

Primera División Betting Preview: Sarmiento vs Gimnasia

Sarmiento host Gimnasia in this Argentine Primera División fixture, with kick-off set for 16:00 on Sunday 5 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Sarmiento Look Capable of Landing Victory

Our opinion is that Sarmiento will prove too strong in all departments and we’ll therefore take the +132 that they beat Gimnasia. This Full-Time Result bet looks like a value proposition.

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Goalless Draw When Teams Last Met

Sarmiento were defeated in their last game. Away from home, they suffered a 1-0 loss against Talleres. The Junín outfit ended up with just 34% possession and one shot on target.

Gimnasia have now lost their previous three games. This includes being defeated at home to Rosario Central by a 3-0 scoreline. El Lobo had 47% of possession and one shot on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

We’ve seen four consecutive draws between Sarmiento and Gimnasia, with the last clash finishing 0-0. The past 5 H2H matches have involved four draws and one Sarmiento win.

Primera División		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
23	Gimnasia	16	4	4	8	9	18	-9	9:18	16
24	Sarmiento	16	2	9	5	11	19	-8	11:19	15

View Full Table

3 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 5.8 attempts and 2.9 shots on goal. Sarmiento have had 44.7% possession and 3.9 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.1 goals from 8.1 attempts and 3.5 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 4.7 corners.

Joaquin Ardaiz is the top scorer with 3 goals, while Carlos Villalba, Joel Godoy, Ivan Morales and Gaston Gonzalez each have 1. Alex Vigo, Gaston Gonzalez and Santiago Rodriguez have racked up the most assists with 1 each.

Gimnasia have won 3, lost 6 and drawn 1, with an average of 0.6 goals from 3.1 shots on goal and 7.5 attempts. The La Plata club have averaged 47.2% possession, 4.6 corners taken and 5.8 corners against, while conceding 1.2 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 9.5 attempts.

Marcelo Torres is top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Manuel Panaro and Gaston Suso have 1. Mateo Seoane, Jeremias Merlo and Manuel Panaro have managed 1 assists in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Sarmiento predicted lineup (4-4-2): Lucas Acosta (GK), Alex Vigo, Facundo Roncaglia, Juan Manuel Insaurralde, Joel Godoy, Julian Contrera, Manuel García, Carlos Villalba, Elian Gimenez, Yair Arismendi, Iván Morales.

Gimnasia predicted lineup (4-4-2): Luis Ingolotti (GK), Juan Pintado, Germán Conti, Gastón Suso, Pedro Silva Torrejón, Bautista Merlini, Augusto Max, Juan Yangali, Alejandro Piedrahita, Norberto Briasco, Marcelo Torres.

Sarmiento vs Gimnasia Prediction & Betting Tips

The Sarmiento vs Gimnasia betting tips feature sharp analysis across major markets, including a key match prediction, our best corners bet, player prop picks, correct score guidance and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

Sarmiento look like a standout bet and we’re expecting them to triumph. There are odds of +132 that the home team win this Primera División clash and we’re confident that this is a value play.

The football experts at Sportsgambler.com are aware of injuries that could affect the outcome along with the form guide. We also leave no stone unturned when it comes to presenting the latest Primera División stats.

Key Sarmiento vs Gimnasia league stats:

• Gimnasia have lost 4 of their last 5 games.
• Gimnasia have lost 6 of their last 10 games.
• Gimnasia have lost their last 3 games.

Sarmiento to Win Probability

The odds at the best football bookies suggest our pick has a 43.1% chance of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is closer to 50%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

If you think Sarmiento are too short a price on the Full-Time Result market but feel confident about their chances, why not consider the Asian Handicap where you can get bigger odds.

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Our Match Prediction

Sarmiento To Win @ +132 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Sarmiento 1 - 0 Gimnasia

There’s the option to wager on Sarmiento to win by a 1-0 scoreline. Odds of +425 are on offer and this is a correct score bet that should provide plenty of entertainment.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Iván Morales Under 0.5 Shots On Target -161

Iván Morales (Sarmiento) can be backed to not record a shot on goal at -161. The odds look attractive based on the evidence and we’ll take a chance on him on the Shots on Target market.

Latest Iván Morales Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+340

First

+750

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-159

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Gaston Nicolas Gonzalez To Score +400

Gaston Nicolas Gonzalez (Sarmiento) can be backed to score at +400. We’ll take a chance with this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look really appealing.

Latest Gaston Nicolas Gonzalez Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+380

First

+850

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-175

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Corners Prediction

Gimnasia Under 4.5 Corners -138

The 4.5 corners line has not been covered by Gimnasia in five straight away games. On this basis, we can take a price of -138 that this Gimnasia Team Corners bet falls short of the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Sarmiento

Total

8.60 3.90 4.70

Home

10.10 5.00 5.10

Away

9.00 2.60 6.40

Gimnasia

Total

10.40 4.60 5.80

Home

10.30 5.80 4.50

Away

9.90 3.60 6.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-105

Under 9.5

-135

Sarmiento Corners

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-120

Gimnasia Corners

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-138

Most Corners

1

-125

X

+575

2

+130

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Sarmiento vs Gimnasia Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Odds Suggest a Close Encounter

Favourites Sarmiento are regarded as the likeliest winners for this Primera División clash. The +112 about them triumphing means a 47% chance of coming out on top based on their current betting odds. The market implies that Gimnasia are the most unlikely to win at +285.

If Sarmiento only draw with Gimnasia, then the Asian Handicap -0.25 wager means you get half your stake back. However, you get a full payout at -127 if they’re able to land a victory.

Under 2.5 Goals is operating at the shortest price for those anticipating two or less goals. The Both Teams to Score No bet is -185 and it’s ideal if you think at least one side will not score during the ninety minutes.

If you visit one of the recommended betting sites, it’s fantastic to access hundreds of markets for whichever Primera División game appeals. Scan through the choices and pick your football wager.

Full-Time Result

1

+112

X

+200

2

+285

Half-Time Result

1

+180

X

-110

2

+340

Double Chance

1X

-400

12

-270

X2

-143

Draw No Bet

1

-222

2

+155

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-127

2 Hcp +0.25

-100

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-238

Over 2.5

+175

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+130

No

-185

Joaquín Ardaiz Shortest Odds for First Goalscorer

Joaquín Ardaiz is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +575. Alternatively, there’s the chance to back him to find the net at any stage at +250.

Joaquín Ardaiz (Sarmiento)

First

+250

Anytime

+575

Santiago Alejandro Rodriguez (Sarmiento)

First

+260

Anytime

+550

Lucas Pratto (Sarmiento)

First

+330

Anytime

+700

Brandon Márquez (Sarmiento)

First

+330

Anytime

+750

Iván Morales (Sarmiento)

First

+340

Anytime

+750

Gaston Nicolas Gonzalez (Sarmiento)

First

+380

Anytime

+850

Ivo Mammini (Gimnasia)

First

+420

Anytime

+900

Jan Hurtado (Gimnasia)

First

+440

Anytime

+950

Jonatan Gomez (Sarmiento)

First

+460

Anytime

+950

Norberto Briasco (Gimnasia)

First

+475

Anytime

+1050

Santino Primante (Gimnasia)

First

+500

Anytime

+1000

Franco Torres (Gimnasia)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Bautista Merlini (Gimnasia)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Tomas Guiacobini (Sarmiento)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Yair Arismendi (Sarmiento)

First

+800

Anytime

+1600

Agustín Seyral (Sarmiento)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Lucas Castro (Gimnasia)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Jeremías Merlo (Gimnasia)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Federico Paradela (Sarmiento)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

Julián Contrera (Sarmiento)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Juan Andrada (Sarmiento)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Santiago Morales (Sarmiento)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Nicolás Garayalde (Gimnasia)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Joaquín Ardaiz (Sarmiento)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-102

Santiago Alejandro Rodriguez (Sarmiento)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-118

Lucas Pratto (Sarmiento)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-139

Brandon Márquez (Sarmiento)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-161

Iván Morales (Sarmiento)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-159

Ivo Mammini (Gimnasia)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-167

Gaston Nicolas Gonzalez (Sarmiento)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-175

Jan Hurtado (Gimnasia)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-182

Jonatan Gomez (Sarmiento)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-227

Santino Primante (Gimnasia)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-238

Norberto Briasco (Gimnasia)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-244

Franco Torres (Gimnasia)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-333

Bautista Merlini (Gimnasia)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-357

Tomas Guiacobini (Sarmiento)

Over 0.5

+245

Under 0.5

-435

Lucas Castro (Gimnasia)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-500

Jeremías Merlo (Gimnasia)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-500

Federico Paradela (Sarmiento)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-500

Agustín Seyral (Sarmiento)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-500

Yair Arismendi (Sarmiento)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-588

Julián Contrera (Sarmiento)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-588

Nicolás Garayalde (Gimnasia)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-588

Juan Andrada (Sarmiento)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-625

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Sarmiento vs Gimnasia Lineups & Team News

Stay ahead of the game by checking the Sarmiento vs Gimnasia team news before betting. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Primera División lineups plus current injury reports.

Sarmiento Team Page Gimnasia La Plata Team Page