Sarmiento vs Independiente Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 13 Jul 2025

Primera División Betting Preview: Sarmiento vs Independiente

Sarmiento host Independiente in this Argentine Primera División match, with kick-off set for 13:15 on Sunday 13 July 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

BTTS No the Most Likely Outcome

It could be that at least one side fails to score for this Sarmiento v Independiente encounter and we’ll head to the Both Teams to Score market. BTTS No looks like the wager to have at -152.

Confident in our BTTS No pick? Get the updated BetMGM promo code and read our trusted site review before you place your bet.

Independiente Won 2-1 in Teams’ Last Meeting

Sarmiento played San Lorenzo at home in their last game. It was a 1-1 draw. Javier Sanguinetti's side recorded just 35% possession, while Andres Vombergar (own goal) scored the goal.

Independiente lost their previous Primera División game on penalties (0-0 after 90 mins), being beaten at home to Huracán in the Apertura play-offs. The Avellaneda outfit dominated possession with 65% of the ball and managed three shots on goal.

The last outing involving Independiente saw them win 2-1 away to Gimnasia Mendoza in the Copa Argentina.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Independiente boast an unbeaten record in the past five games with Sarmiento. In their last encounter, it was a 2-1 home victory for Independiente. The past 5 H2H matches have included three Independiente wins along with two draws.

Primera División		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Independiente	16	8	5	3	23	12	11	23:12	29
24	Sarmiento	16	2	9	5	11	19	-8	11:19	15

View Full Table

Sarmiento have 1 win, 2 losses and 7 draws, averaging 0.7 goals from 2.6 shots on goal and 7.3 attempts. El Verde have averaged 37.8% possession and 3.2 corners per game, with the opposition getting 0.8 goals from 5.8 shots on goal, 11.2 attempts and 7.3 corners.

Elian Gimenez is the top scorer along with five other players, with each of them scoring 1 goals. The top assist makers are Alex Vigo, Gabriel Diaz and Joaquin Gho, all of whom have 1 on the board.

Independiente have 4 victories, 3 defeats and 3 draws, averaging 10.2 attempts, 4.6 shots on goal and 1.5 goals. Julio Vaccari's team average 62.6% possession, 5.9 corners in their favour and 3.7 corners against, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 3.2 shots on goal and 7.8 attempts.

Gabriel Avalos has scored 3 goals, followed by Alvaro Angulo and Felipe Loyola on 2. Pablo Galdames has been top assists provider with 2 in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Sarmiento confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Lucas Acosta (GK), Jeremias Vallejos, Facundo Roncaglia, Juan Manuel Insaurralde, Joel Godoy, Julian Contrera, Elian Gimenez, Carlos Villalba, Gaston Gonzalez, Santiago Rodriguez, Joaquin Ardaiz.

Independiente confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Rodrigo Rey (GK), Leonardo Godoy, Kevin Lomonaco, Nicolas Freire, Federico Vera, Ivan Marcone, Felipe Loyola, Luciano Cabral, Santiago Gabriel Montiel, Gabriel Avalos, Walter Mazzanti.

Sarmiento vs Independiente Prediction & Betting Tips

Step into Sarmiento vs Independiente with confidence, armed with our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, top corners angle and a custom-built bet builder for maximum value.

Match Prediction

We’re not expecting both of these teams to find the net in this Primera División fixture. The pick is therefore No on the Both Teams to Score market and this is priced at a generous -152.

Team news plays a valuable role and our football experts are always monitoring the players who have an injury concern. We’ve also got a handle on the form guide, with plenty of Primera División data provided which puts you in the picture in terms of stats.

Key Sarmiento vs Independiente league stats:

• 12 of the last 20 Sarmiento home matches have resulted in BTTS No
• The last 7 Independiente matches have resulted in BTTS No
• 8 of the last 10 Independiente matches have resulted in BTTS No
• 14 of the last 20 Independiente matches have resulted in BTTS No

BTTS No Probability

The best betting apps make it a 60.2% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

If you think BTTS No is a good option but want bigger odds, then take the Bet Builder route to boost your price. You can cheer on multiple outcomes for the same game.

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Our Match Prediction

Both Teams To Score - No @ -152 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Sarmiento 0 - 2 Independiente

A 2-0 win in favor of Independiente is available at odds of +650. Correct score betting can be rewarding and you can also get plenty of entertainment with this option.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -108

There has been four straight Sarmiento games where 9.5 Total Corners has been covered, while it has been three consecutive Independiente matches where the same thing has happened. We’re expecting history to be repeated and that would mean the Total Corners line is covered at -108.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Sarmiento

Total

10.50 3.20 7.30

Home

9.90 5.00 4.90

Away

9.30 2.70 6.60

Independiente

Total

9.60 5.90 3.70

Home

9.70 5.80 3.90

Away

8.20 4.10 4.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-100

Under 9.5

-143

Sarmiento Corners

Over 3.5

-111

Under 3.5

-127

Independiente Corners

Over 5.5

-103

Under 5.5

-137

Most Corners

1

+205

X

+750

2

-204

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Sarmiento vs Independiente Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Independiente Full-Time Odds Suggest Victory

The Full-Time Result odds of -102 suggest that Independiente are likely victors and there’s a 51% probability that the favourites win this Primera División clash. Sarmiento are the +270 outsiders, with the draw being a different option which could yield dividends.

The Asian Handicap -0.5 bet means you need your selection to simply win. Independiente are -108, although Sarmiento are +0.5 at -132 and you win with the latter if things end in a draw.

The Total Goals market always provides an interesting angle and Under 2.5 Goals is the shortest-priced option. Both Teams to Score No is chalked up at -172 for anyone predicting one side or more to fail to find the net.

The best football betting sites provide bettors with an abundance of options. For every Primera División game, you’re able to select from hundreds of markets and make the best choice.

Full-Time Result

1

+270

X

+220

2

-102

Half-Time Result

1

+360

X

-108

2

+175

Double Chance

1X

-128

12

-313

X2

-400

Draw No Bet

1

+163

2

-244

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.5

-132

2 Hcp -0.5

-108

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-222

Over 2.5

+150

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+120

No

-172

Sarmiento vs Independiente Lineups & Team News

Know who’s in and who’s out for Sarmiento vs Independiente before making your bets. We’ll deliver both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Primera División as well as the latest injury reports.

Sarmiento Team Page Independiente Team Page