Sevilla vs Atlético Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 06 Apr 2025

Expect a Low-Scoring Encounter

We are expecting a low number of goals when Sevilla meet Atlético Madrid. The odds of -150 for Under 2.5 look really attractive and we can play the Total Goals market with confidence.

Atléti 4-3 to the Good in Previous H2H

Sevilla have lost back-to-back games. Away at Estadio Benito Villamarin, Real Betis recently beat them 2-1. Los Nervionenses recorded two shots on target and had 44% possession, with Ruben Vargas registering the goal.

Atlético Madrid played Espanyol on the road in their previous La Liga game. It was a 1-1 draw at RCDE Stadium. Diego Simeone's side had the lion’s share of the ball recording 60% possession and four shots on goal, with Cesar Azpilicueta on the scoresheet.

On Wednesday night, Atléti lost 1-0 when hosting Barcelona in the second leg of the Copa del Rey semi-final stage.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last encounter between Atléti and Sevilla saw the former win at home. It was a 4-3 scoreline at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. In the past 10 H2H matches, there have been six Atléti victories, three Sevilla wins and a draw.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Atlético Madrid	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
18	Sevilla	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

3 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 11.9 attempts. Sevilla have had 49.1% possession, 404.2 passes and 4.0 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.1 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 8.8 attempts, while being awarded 4.7 corners.

Dodi Lukebakio is the top scorer with 3 goals, while Ruben Vargas and Juanlu Sanchez each have 2. Saul Niguez has the most assists with 3, while goalie Oerjan Haaskjold Nyland has recorded 3 clean sheets.

Atléti have won 3, lost 3 and drawn 4, with an average of 11.9 attempts, 3.9 shots on goal and 1.3 goals. Los Colchoneros average 50.9% possession, 494.6 passes, 4.6 corners in their favour and 4.8 corners against, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 3.3 shots on goal and 12.3 attempts.

Julian Alvarez has scored 5, followed by Alexander Soerloth on 3 and Samuel Dias Lino with 2. Giuliano Simeone has managed 3 assists in the last 10 games, while Jan Oblak has 3 clean sheets to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

Sevilla confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Oerjan Haaskjold Nyland (GK), Jose Angel Carmona, Loic Bade, Kike Salas, Adria Pedrosa, Albert Sambi Lokonga, Lucien Agoume, Djibril Sow, Dodi Lukebakio, Akor Adams, Ruben Vargas.

Atlético Madrid confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Jan Oblak (GK), Nahuel Molina, Robin Le Normand, Clement Lenglet, Cesar Azpilicueta, Giuliano Simeone, Marcos Llorente, Pablo Barrios, Conor Gallagher, Antoine Griezmann, Julian Alvarez.

Sevilla vs Atlético Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips

Our plan of action involves backing Under 2.5 Goals for this La Liga showdown. We are able to get a price of -150 when it comes to this selection and that looks to be a solid proposition.

Our team of football experts monitor the current injuries and suspensions. When integrated with the latest form, this helps us secure the value odds. Our data-led approach backed up by key stats always proves useful.

Key Sevilla vs Atlético Madrid league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Sevilla games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Sevilla games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Sevilla games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Atléti games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 Atléti games on the road.

Under 2.5 Probability

The bookies make it a 60% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our research has found that the actual probability is closer to 70%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

We think a Bet Builder offers a great alternative if you want bigger odds for your Under 2.5 Goals bet. Include this selection with others in the hope that they all land in the game.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -150 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Sevilla 0 - 1 Atléti

There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing Atléti to win 1-0. We can’t pass up the odds of +550 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -150

Each of the previous four Atlético Madrid matches have featured under 9.5 corners. Let’s stick with this betting trend and back the sides to go under the Total Corners line at odds of -150.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Sevilla

Total

8.70 4.00 4.70

Home

8.90 5.30 3.60

Away

9.30 3.90 5.40

Atléti

Total

9.40 4.60 4.80

Home

9.20 6.00 3.20

Away

9.00 3.80 5.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

+110

Under 9.5

-150

Sevilla Corners

Over 4.5

-110

Under 4.5

-125

Atléti Corners

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-138

Most Corners

1

+107

X

+540

2

-109

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Sevilla vs Atlético Madrid Odds

Atlético Madrid are regarded as having a 43% chance of winning this La Liga match according to the bookies’ latest betting odds who have priced them up at +130. Sevilla are the outsiders at +230 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The Total Goals market is popular and Under 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds right now.

You can back Sevilla at +120 on the Draw No Bet market, with money back if the game is a draw. Atlético Madrid are -163 with the football betting sites to win this La Liga game.

Full-Time Result

1

+230

X

+220

2

+130

Half-Time Result

1

+300

X

-100

2

+210

Double Chance

1X

-175

12

-275

X2

-300

Draw No Bet

1

+120

2

-163

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-110

2 Hcp -0.25

+102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-150

Over 2.5

+120

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-105

No

-125

Sevilla vs Atlético Madrid Lineups & Team News

Make sure you know the lineups ahead of kick-off, with injuries also playing a part when it comes to Sevilla vs Atléti team news.

Getting the player information you need is easy thanks to the La Liga squads.

Sevilla Team Page Atlético Madrid Team Page