Slovenia vs Sweden Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 05 Sep 2025

By Richard Clarke, Football Analyst | Published: 6 hours ago | 4 min read

Slovenia

Football Europe World Cup Qualification Fri 5 Sep 14:45

Sweden

Prediction
Odds
Stats
Team News
Squads
Table

World Cup qualifying Betting Preview: Slovenia vs Sweden

Slovenia host Sweden in this World Cup qualifying meeting, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Friday 5 September 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats and team news.

We’re Backing Sweden To Claim Victory

Sweden look like the wager to select on the Full-Time Result market, especially as a price of +118 is available. Back this value pick feeling confident when they go up against Slovenia.

Got Sweden down for the win? Grab that BetMGM promo code and see what our expert review has to say before you lock in your bet.

1-1 Draw in Pair’s Last Meeting

Slovenia won their last game, beating Slovakia at home. It was a 1-0 extra-time victory (0-0 after 90 mins) at Stozice Stadium, Ljubljana in the Nations League. Matjaz Kek's team had 42% possession and totalled seven shots on target, with Adam Gnezda Cerin bagging a late winning goal.

Sweden won their previous game, beating Azerbaijan at home. It was a 6-0 Nations League C victory at Strawberry Arena. The Blue and Yellow had the lion’s share of the ball enjoying 57% possession and fourteen shots on goal, while Viktor Gyoekeres netted four times.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Strawberry Arena played host to the last encounter between Slovenia and Sweden, with the former playing away. The clash ended in a 1-1 Nations League B draw.

Europe World Cup Qualification		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Slovenia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
3	Sweden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

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Slovenia – Last 10 Competitive Games

3 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws, averaging 0.8 goals from 3.4 shots on goal and 9.8 attempts. Slovenia have had 40.7% possession, 392.2 passes and 2.7 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.2 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 14.6 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 5.2 corners.

Benjamin Sesko leads the way with 5 goals, while Adam Gnezda Cerin and Jan Mlakar have 2 and 1 respectively. Erik Janza is top assists maker with 2, while goalkeeper Jan Oblak has kept 5 clean sheets.

Sweden – Last 10 Competitive Games

Sweden have won 6, lost 2 and drawn 2, averaging 16.4 attempts, 7.9 shots on goal and 2.3 goals. Jon Dahl Tomasson's men average 54.7% possession, 7.8 corners awarded and 2.3 corners against them, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 3.2 shots on goal and 6.3 attempts.

Viktor Gyoekeres is the leading goalscorer with 10, Alexander Isak has 4, with Dejan Kulusevski and Sebastian Nanasi getting 2. Viktor Gyoekeres has been the top assist maker with 5 in the last 10 games.

Slovenia vs Sweden Prediction & Betting Tips

From our key match prediction to corners advice, correct score pick, top player prop insights and a builder tailored for value — our Slovenia vs Sweden betting tips covers it all.

Match Prediction

We’ll side with Sweden at a nice price of +118 considering that they could have the upper hand in this World Cup qualifying clash. This match winner bet provides plenty of juice along with a nice payout.

Sportsgambler.com has plenty of World Cup qualifying insights and that includes getting the team news immediately. The recent form will also help deliver our expert football predictions and we ensure that the most relevant stats are used to good effect.

Key Slovenia vs Sweden stats:

Sweden have won 4 of their last 5 games.
Sweden have won 6 of their last 10 games.
Sweden have won 3 consecutive games.

Sweden to Win Probability

The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 45.9% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be somewhere between 50-55%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

You can select a different option if you want bigger odds about a victory for Sweden. The Double Result market provides you with an angle to be in front by the interval and full-time.

Before you back your picks, see how far a bonus can take you — our guide highlights the top betting offers live now.

Our Match Prediction

Sweden To Win @ +118 Bet Now

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Published 21:08, 03 September 2025

Correct Score Prediction

Slovenia

0 - 1 Sweden logo

Sweden

A 1-0 win in favor of Sweden can be backed at odds of +550. We like placing a bet on correct score due to the fun element and the big potential return.

Latest Correct Score Odds

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Benjamin Sesko Over 3.5 Shots +120

Benjamin Sesko (Slovenia) has an average of 5 shots in his past four home games. We think that some value can be landed by wagering on Player Shots and you can secure +120 that he goes over the line.

Latest Benjamin Sesko Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Shots On Target

Shots

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Alexander Isak To Score +200

Alexander Isak (Sweden) can be backed at +200 to find the net. We’ll happily take the odds that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Alexander Isak Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Shots On Target

Shots

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Corners Prediction

Sweden Over 4.5 Corners -150

The 4.5 corners line has been covered by Sweden in eight consecutive matches, with Slovenia conceding over 4.5 corners in their past two games. In our opinion, there is value when it comes to Sweden covering the Team Corners line, with odds of -150 on offer.

Competitive Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Slovenia

Total

7.90 2.70 5.20

Home

9.30 3.70 5.60

Away

7.50 2.40 5.10

Sweden

Total

10.10 7.80 2.30

Home

11.30 7.90 3.40

Away

8.70 5.70 3.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Slovenia Corners

Sweden Corners

Most Corners

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Bet Builder Tips

Full-Time Result Sweden +118

Total Goals Under 2.5 -159

Player Shots Benjamin Sesko Over 3.5 +120

Our bet builder is compiled of the following: Sweden to claim a victory, two or less goals to be scored merged with Benjamin Sesko (Slovenia) to record Over 3.5 shots.

A bet builder is a single event wager where you select outcomes for a particular football game. It results in you being able to place a tailored bet at a larger price based on the number of predictions made.

Bet Boosts

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Slovenia vs Sweden Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Odds Suggest Sweden Win

For this World Cup qualifying clash, Sweden are the +118 favourites to triumph according to the latest Full-Time Result betting odds. This reflects that they have a 46% chance of winning. The +240 means that Slovenia are seen as having the lowest probability of succeeding.

There are different ways to bet on Sweden winning and that includes the -114 about them on the Asian Handicap -0.25. It also means that if they draw with Slovenia, you get half stakes refunded.

For those anticipating a low-scoring contest, Under 2.5 is the market leader for the Total Goals market. Both Teams to Score is a two-way market and, when it comes to latest odds, there’s not much to separate Yes and No.

You can find hundreds of markets for every World Cup qualifying match, with the top betting apps creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and In-Play selections before placing your football bets.

Full-Time Result

Half-Time Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Asian Handicap

Total Goals

Both Teams to Score

Viktor Gyökeres Top of First Goalscorer List

There is +143 available that Viktor Gyökeres finds the net anytime, while the favourite to score the first goal is on offer at +330.

Player Goals

Viktor Gyökeres (Sweden)

Alexander Isak (Sweden)

Benjamin Sesko (Slovenia)

Alexander Bernhardsson (Sweden)

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Player Shots On Target

Benjamin Sesko (Slovenia)

Benjamin Nygren (Sweden)

Viktor Gyökeres (Sweden)

Alexander Bernhardsson (Sweden)

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Player Shots

Viktor Gyökeres (Sweden)

Over 4.5

+123

Under 4.5

Benjamin Sesko (Slovenia)

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

Alexander Isak (Sweden)

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

Alexander Bernhardsson (Sweden)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

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Last 5 Games

Slovenia

Sweden

Head to Head

Slovenia vs Sweden

Team Stats

Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.

Slovenia Stats

Sweden Stats

Full-Time Result

3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

An average of 2.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

An average of 2.70 corners awarded and 5.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
An average of 3.70 corners awarded and 5.60 corners against in the last 10 home matches
An average of 7.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 matches
Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

An average of 7.80 corners awarded and 2.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 3.00 corners against in the last 10 away matches
An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 0 of the last 10 matches
Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

An average of 40.70% possession in the last 10 matches
An average of 45.70% possession in the last 10 home matches
Most possession in 1 of the last 10 matches
Most possession in 2 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

An average of 54.70% possession in the last 10 matches
An average of 52.00% possession in the last 10 away matches
Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches

Slovenia vs Sweden Lineups & Team News

Before making your bets, take a look at the Slovenia vs Sweden team news. We’ll keep you informed with the confirmed World Cup qualifying lineups and current injury news.