Southampton vs Stoke Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 Aug 2025
Championship Betting Preview: Southampton vs Stoke
Southampton host Stoke in this Championship match at St. Mary's, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 23 August. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
Side With Potters and a Goals Start
We will go for Stoke +0.75 on the Asian Handicap at a price of -119. We will divide our stake equally between +0.5 and +1.0 with some confidence that we can see a win or draw against Southampton.
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Southampton Claimed 3-2 Victory in Last H2H
Southampton drew away from home in their last game. A 1-1 scoreline was played out against Ipswich Town at Portman Road. The South Coast side enjoyed 50% possession and had three shots on target, with Jay Robinson getting the goal.
Stoke City have won back-to-back the Championship games. The latest was away where Sheffield Wednesday were beaten 3-0 at Hillsborough. The Potters had 46% possession and managed six shots on goal, with Million Manhoef finding the net twice and Divin Mubama bagging one.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Southampton had the edge in the most recent encounter between these teams, recording a 3-2 EFL Cup home win over Stoke at St. Mary's. Southampton have won two of the past 3 H2H games, with Stoke picking up one win.
| Championship | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |  Stoke |
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11:6 | 15 |
| 17 |  Southampton |
9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 11:12 | 11 |
Southampton have 1 win, 6 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.7 goals from 10.2 attempts and 3.2 shots on goal. The Saints have averaged 46.6% possession and 3.8 corners per game, conceding 1.7 goals and 7.3 corners from 17.2 attempts and 5.0 shots on goal.
Jack Stephens is the top scorer with 2 goals, while Jay Robinson, Ryan Manning, Ross Stewart and Lesley Ugochukwu each have 1. Ryan Fraser, Damion Downs and Mateus Fernandes have the most assists with 1, while goalie Aaron Ramsdale has recorded one clean sheet.
Stoke City – Last 10 League GamesStoke have 5 victories, 2 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 1.4 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 8.9 attempts. The Staffordshire side have averaged 49.1% possession, 4.8 corners awarded and 3.8 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.2 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 9.8 attempts.
Million Manhoef has scored 4 goals, followed by Lewis Baker on 3 and Divin Mubama with 2. Sorba Thomas has had 3 assists in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Southampton confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Gavin Bazunu (GK), Jack Stephens, Taylor Harwood-Bellis, Nathan Wood, Ryan Fraser, Shea Charles, Flynn Downes, Welington, Mateus Fernandes, Jay Robinson, Adam Armstrong.
Stoke confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Viktor Johansson (GK), Junior Tchamadeu, Ben Wilmot, Aaron Cresswell, Sorba Thomas, Tatsuki Seko, Lewis Baker, Bosun Lawal, Joon-Ho Bae, Million Manhoef, Divin Mubama.
Southampton vs Stoke Prediction & Betting Tips
Unlock a complete betting breakdown for Southampton vs Stoke, featuring our expert match prediction, expected final score, corners insight, standout player prop picks and a ready-to-play bet builder.
Match Prediction
Stoke should be highly competitive in this Championship match. On this basis, we’ll take them at -119 on the Asian Handicap +0.75 feeling optimistic that the underdogs will land a payout.
Team news can have a significant impact on the betting odds, and we factor this in alongside recent form and the latest Championship stats when making our football predictions.
Key Southampton vs Stoke league stats:
Stoke +0.75 Probability
Based on the latest odds from the top bookmakers, our pick carries a 54.3% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.
Looking for a larger price when placing your wager? The good news is that you can visit the betting sites and adjust the line until you’re satisfied with the odds.
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Correct Score Prediction
1
-
1
Stoke
We’ve got a correct score prediction which involves the teams playing out a 1-1 draw. Odds of +575 look appealing and we should get a run for our money here.
Player Prop Picks
Tyler Dibling (Southampton) hasn’t registered a shot on goal in seven straight matches on home soil. We think he might not cover the line, with odds of -127 being served up for this Shots on Target bet.
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Million Manhoef (Stoke) has registered two goals in his past four Championship games. We’ll take a chance at +600 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look really appealing.
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Corners Prediction
Southampton have been awarded an average of 3.00 corners in the past 5 home matches, while the corner count against Stoke has been less than 6.5 in the previous ten games. For Team Corners, we’re expecting Southampton to fall short and you can land odds of -150.
Southampton
Stoke
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Bet Builder Tips
A same-game multi can be a fun wager and we’ve gone for Stoke to cover the +0.75 Asian Handicap, two or less goals to be registered along with Southampton Under 6.5 corners.
We advise a bet builder as it can be a fun approach when betting on a football game. Many bettors like to create a personalised bet which reflects their predictions for how a game is going to play out.
Southampton vs Stoke Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Southampton Win on the Cards According to the Bookies
For this Championship clash, Southampton are the -122 favourites to triumph according to the latest Full-Time Result betting odds. This reflects that they have a 55% chance of winning. Stoke City are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +300.
For those wanting an alternative, Southampton are +145 on the Half-Time Result market. This means they need to lead at the break, with Stoke being priced up at +325 and the draw is +118.
The Over 2.5 / Under 2.5 Goals betting market suggests that there’s not much between the two options. If you think both teams will score, then BTTS Yes could appeal. Otherwise, you can back BTTS No as an alternative.
If you’re betting on Championship matches, we recommend heading to the top football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.
Adam Armstrong Top of First Goalscorer List
Adam Armstrong is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +400 and if you’re keen to back him to simply find the net, then the price is +185.
Southampton Struggling to Find Form at Home
Southampton have seven losses, two draws and one victory in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 0.70 goals per game and conceding 1.90.
Stoke have five defeats, three victories and two draws in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.80.
Southampton were 3-2 victors against Stoke last time out at St. Mary's.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton Home Stats |
1-2-7 | 2.60 | 0.70 | 1.90 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 4 | |
| Stoke Away Stats |
3-2-5 | 2.90 | 1.10 | 1.80 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 6 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Southampton League Stats
Stoke League Stats
- 1 win, 6 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 7 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.70 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 2.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.80 corners awarded and 7.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.40 corners awarded and 7.60 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 11.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.00 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 3.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.30 corners awarded and 4.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 46.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 46.60% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 49.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 46.10% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Southampton this season are Jack Stephens (1), Jay Robinson (1), Ryan Manning (1)
- Top Assistors for Southampton this season are Damion Downs (1), Ryan Fraser (1)
Southampton vs Stoke Lineups & Team News
Know who’s in and who’s out for Southampton vs Stoke before making your bets. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for the Championship and the newest injury information.
Southampton Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Stoke Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Southampton Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Stoke Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Southampton Substitutes
- 1Alex McCarthy
- 2Mads Roerslev
- 3Ryan Manning
- 11Ross Stewart
- 12Ronnie Edwards
- 17Joshua Quarshie
- 19Cameron Archer
- 27Kuryu Matsuki
- 42Damion Downs
Stoke Substitutes
- 4Ben Pearson
- 11Robert Bozenik
- 13Jack Bonham
- 14Jamie Donley
- 17Eric Bocat
- 26Ashley Phillips
- 46William Smith
- 56Favour Fawunmi
- 57Jaden Mears
Previous Southampton Lineups
Previous Stoke Lineups
Championship Table
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 27:7 | 19 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 | Leicester | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13:8 | 16 |
| 4 | Preston | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 16 |
| 5 | Stoke | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:6 | 15 |
| 6 | QPR | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:14 | 15 |
| 7 | West Brom | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 8 | Millwall | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 14 |
| 9 | Ipswich | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15:8 | 13 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15:10 | 13 |
| 11 | Watford | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 12 | Swansea | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 13 | Charlton | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:8 | 12 |
| 14 | Portsmouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | 12 |
| 15 | Hull | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 16 | Birmingham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | 12 |
| 17 | Southampton | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:12 | 11 |
| 18 | Wrexham | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:15 | 10 |
| 19 | Norwich | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:14 | 8 |
| 20 | Derby | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 21 | Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:11 | 7 |
| 22 | Oxford | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:13 | 6 |
| 23 | Sheffield Wed | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:20 | 6 |
| 24 | Sheffield Utd | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3:16 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ipswich | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13:5 | 11 |
| 2 | Preston | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 11 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 10 |
| 4 | Watford | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 5 | Hull | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 6 | Coventry | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11:2 | 8 |
| 7 | Leicester | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 8 |
| 8 | QPR | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 8 |
| 9 | Birmingham | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 10 | Charlton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 11 | Stoke | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 12 | Portsmouth | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 13 | Swansea | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 14 | Millwall | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 15 | Southampton | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 5 |
| 16 | West Brom | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 5 |
| 17 | Bristol City | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | 5 |
| 18 | Wrexham | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7:10 | 3 |
| 19 | Derby | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 20 | Oxford | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | 2 |
| 21 | Blackburn | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 22 | Sheffield Wed | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:14 | 1 |
| 23 | Norwich | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4:8 | 0 |
| 24 | Sheffield Utd | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:8 | 0 |
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