Southampton vs Stoke Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 Aug 2025

Championship Betting Preview: Southampton vs Stoke

Southampton host Stoke in this Championship match at St. Mary's, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 23 August 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Side With Potters and a Goals Start

We will go for Stoke +0.75 on the Asian Handicap at a price of -119. We will divide our stake equally between +0.5 and +1.0 with some confidence that we can see a win or draw against Southampton.

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Southampton Claimed 3-2 Victory in Last H2H

Southampton drew away from home in their last game. A 1-1 scoreline was played out against Ipswich Town at Portman Road. The South Coast side enjoyed 50% possession and had three shots on target, with Jay Robinson getting the goal.

Stoke City have won back-to-back the Championship games. The latest was away where Sheffield Wednesday were beaten 3-0 at Hillsborough. The Potters had 46% possession and managed six shots on goal, with Million Manhoef finding the net twice and Divin Mubama bagging one.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Southampton had the edge in the most recent encounter between these teams, recording a 3-2 EFL Cup home win over Stoke at St. Mary's. Southampton have won two of the past 3 H2H games, with Stoke picking up one win.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Stoke	2	2	0	0	6	1	5	6:1	6
8	Southampton	2	1	1	0	3	2	1	3:2	4

View Full Table

Southampton have 1 win, 6 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.7 goals from 10.2 attempts and 3.2 shots on goal. The Saints have averaged 46.6% possession and 3.8 corners per game, conceding 1.7 goals and 7.3 corners from 17.2 attempts and 5.0 shots on goal.

Jack Stephens is the top scorer with 2 goals, while Jay Robinson, Ryan Manning, Ross Stewart and Lesley Ugochukwu each have 1. Ryan Fraser, Damion Downs and Mateus Fernandes have the most assists with 1, while goalie Aaron Ramsdale has recorded one clean sheet.

Stoke have 5 victories, 2 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 1.4 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 8.9 attempts. The Staffordshire side have averaged 49.1% possession, 4.8 corners awarded and 3.8 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.2 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 9.8 attempts.

Million Manhoef has scored 4 goals, followed by Lewis Baker on 3 and Divin Mubama with 2. Sorba Thomas has had 3 assists in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Southampton predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Gavin Bazunu (GK), Taylor Harwood-Bellis, Jack Stephens, Joshua Quarshie, Yukinari Sugawara, Shea Charles, Flynn Downes, Ryan Manning, Tyler Dibling, Jay Robinson, Adam Armstrong.

Stoke predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Viktor Johansson (GK), Junior Tchamadeu, Bosun Lawal, Ben Wilmot, Aaron Cresswell, Tatsuki Seko, Lewis Baker, Million Manhoef, Joon-ho Bae, Sorba Thomas, Divin Mubama.

Southampton vs Stoke Prediction & Betting Tips

Unlock a complete betting breakdown for Southampton vs Stoke, featuring our expert match prediction, expected final score, corners insight, standout player prop picks and a ready-to-play bet builder.

Match Prediction

Stoke should be highly competitive in this Championship match. On this basis, we’ll take them at -119 on the Asian Handicap +0.75 feeling optimistic that the underdogs will land a payout.

Team news can have a significant impact on the betting odds, and we factor this in alongside recent form and the latest Championship stats when making our football predictions.

Key Southampton vs Stoke league stats:

• The +0.75 line has been covered by Stoke in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.75 line has been covered by Stoke in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +0.75 line has been covered by Stoke in 3 consecutive games.

Stoke +0.75 Probability

Based on the latest odds from the top bookmakers, our pick carries a 54.3% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

Looking for a larger price when placing your wager? The good news is that you can visit the betting sites and adjust the line until you’re satisfied with the odds.

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Our Match Prediction

Stoke Asian Hcp +0.75 @ -119 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Southampton 1 - 1 Stoke

We’ve got a correct score prediction which involves the teams playing out a 1-1 draw. Odds of +600 look appealing and we should get a run for our money here.

Player Prop Picks

Tyler Dibling Under 0.5 Shots On Target -127

Tyler Dibling (Southampton) hasn’t registered a shot on goal in seven straight matches on home soil. We think he might not cover the line, with odds of -127 being served up for this Shots on Target bet.

Latest Tyler Dibling Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+340

First

+750

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-112

Under 0.5

-125

Shots

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

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Million Manhoef to Score +600

Million Manhoef (Stoke) has registered two goals in his past four Championship games. We’ll take a chance at +600 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look really appealing.

Latest Million Manhoef Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+600

First

+1300

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-270

Shots

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Southampton Under 6.5 Corners -150

Southampton have been awarded an average of 3.00 corners in the past 5 home matches, while the corner count against Stoke has been less than 6.5 in the previous ten games. For Team Corners, we’re expecting Southampton to fall short and you can land odds of -150.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Southampton

Total

11.10 3.80 7.30

Home

11.00 3.40 7.60

Away

8.00 4.30 3.70

Stoke

Total

8.60 4.80 3.80

Home

8.10 4.20 3.90

Away

9.10 4.30 4.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-103

Under 10.5

-137

Southampton Corners

Over 6.5

+110

Under 6.5

-150

Stoke Corners

Over 4.5

+120

Under 4.5

-163

Most Corners

1

-233

X

+750

2

+255

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Southampton vs Stoke Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Southampton Win on the Cards According to the Bookies

For this Championship clash, Southampton are the -149 favourites to triumph according to the latest Full-Time Result betting odds. This reflects that they have a 60% chance of winning. Stoke City are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +370.

For those wanting an alternative, Southampton are +128 on the Half-Time Result market. This means they need to lead at the break, with Stoke being priced up at +380 and the draw is +120.

The Over 2.5 / Under 2.5 Goals betting market suggests that there’s not much between the two options. The Both Teams to Score No bet is -130 and it’s ideal if you think at least one side will not score during the ninety minutes.

If you’re betting on Championship matches, we recommend heading to the top football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

-149

X

+295

2

+370

Half-Time Result

1

+128

X

+120

2

+380

Double Chance

1X

-588

12

-455

X2

+108

Draw No Bet

1

-357

2

+230

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-120

2 Hcp +0.75

-118

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-125

Over 2.5

-103

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-106

No

-130

Adam Armstrong Top of First Goalscorer List

Adam Armstrong is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +420 and if you’re keen to back him to simply find the net, then the price is +188.

Adam Armstrong (Southampton)

First

+188

Anytime

+420

Ben Brereton (Southampton)

First

+245

Anytime

+525

Cameron Archer (Southampton)

First

+280

Anytime

+600

Tyler Dibling (Southampton)

First

+340

Anytime

+750

Róbert Bozeník (Stoke)

First

+400

Anytime

+950

Ryan Fraser (Southampton)

First

+440

Anytime

+900

Sam Gallagher (Stoke)

First

+440

Anytime

+950

Mateus Fernandes (Southampton)

First

+500

Anytime

+1150

Jamie Donley (Stoke)

First

+500

Anytime

+1100

Ryan Mmaee (Stoke)

First

+500

Anytime

+1000

Shea Charles (Southampton)

First

+540

Anytime

+1200

Yukinari Sugawara (Southampton)

First

+540

Anytime

+1300

Lewis Baker (Stoke)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Million Manhoef (Stoke)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Joe Aribo (Southampton)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Nathan Wood (Southampton)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Bae Jun-Ho (Stoke)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Sorba Thomas (Stoke)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Ryan Manning (Southampton)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Adam Armstrong (Southampton)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

+163

Ben Brereton (Southampton)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

+123

Cameron Archer (Southampton)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

+105

Tyler Dibling (Southampton)

Over 0.5

-112

Under 0.5

-125

Ryan Fraser (Southampton)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-189

Róbert Bozeník (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-238

Jamie Donley (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-204

Sam Gallagher (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-270

Mateus Fernandes (Southampton)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-222

Ryan Mmaee (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-238

Yukinari Sugawara (Southampton)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-263

Million Manhoef (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-270

Lewis Baker (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-286

Shea Charles (Southampton)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-303

Bae Jun-Ho (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+245

Under 0.5

-400

Joe Aribo (Southampton)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-400

Nathan Wood (Southampton)

Over 0.5

+265

Under 0.5

-435

Sorba Thomas (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-476

Ryan Manning (Southampton)

Over 0.5

+370

Under 0.5

-714

Adam Armstrong (Southampton)

Over 2.5

-161

Under 2.5

-

Cameron Archer (Southampton)

Over 2.5

+112

Under 2.5

-

Ben Brereton (Southampton)

Over 2.5

-118

Under 2.5

-

Tyler Dibling (Southampton)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Róbert Bozeník (Stoke)

Over 1.5

+114

Under 1.5

-

Ryan Fraser (Southampton)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Sam Gallagher (Stoke)

Over 1.5

+143

Under 1.5

-

Mateus Fernandes (Southampton)

Over 1.5

+116

Under 1.5

-

Jamie Donley (Stoke)

Over 1.5

+115

Under 1.5

-

Yukinari Sugawara (Southampton)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Million Manhoef (Stoke)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

Bae Jun-Ho (Stoke)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-

Sorba Thomas (Stoke)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-

Shea Charles (Southampton)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

-

Nathan Wood (Southampton)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-

Joe Aribo (Southampton)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-

Lewis Baker (Stoke)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Ryan Manning (Southampton)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Southampton Struggling to Find Form at Home

Southampton have seven losses, two draws and one victory in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 0.70 goals per game and conceding 1.90.

Stoke have five defeats, three victories and two draws in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.80.

Southampton were 3-2 victors against Stoke last time out at St. Mary's.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Southampton Home Stats		1-2-7	2.60	0.70	1.90	7	3	6	4
Stoke Away Stats		3-2-5	2.90	1.10	1.80	5	5	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Southampton vs Stoke Lineups & Team News

Know who’s in and who’s out for Southampton vs Stoke before making your bets. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for the Championship and the newest injury information.

Southampton Team Page Stoke City Team Page