Can France Make it a Close Game?

We're counting down to this Nations League semi-final when Spain meet France at MHPArena in Stuttgart.

We’ll chance France +0.25 on the Asian Handicap and divide our stake between 0 and +0.5 when they meet Spain. A win delivers a payout at -128 although a draw would still land a return.

2-1 Spain Triumph in Previous H2H

Spain were winners on penalties (3-3 AET) in the second leg of their Nations League quarter-final tie. It was a home win against Netherlands at Estadio Mestalla. La Roja recorded 51% possession and managed ten shots on target, with Mikel Oyarzabal netting twice along with a goal for Lamine Yamal.

France advanced to this semi-final after beating Croatia. In the second quarter-final leg, Les Bleus claimed a penalty shootout victory (2-0 AET) at Stade de France. France enjoyed 65% possession and managed eight shots on goal, while Michael Olise and Ousmane Dembele were both on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was Spain who came out on top when they last played France. At Allianz Arena, a 2-1 win was recorded in the Euro 2024 semi-final.

Nations League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	France	6	4	1	1	12	6	6	12:6	13
1	Spain	6	5	1	0	13	4	9	13:4	16

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Spain – Last 10 Competitive Games

8 wins and 2 draws, averaging 2.7 goals from 6.6 shots on goal and 17.4 attempts. Spain have had 57.6% possession, 570.2 passes and 5.8 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.5 goals from 3.4 shots on goal and 10.2 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 3.9 corners.

Mikel Oyarzabal is the top scorer with 4 goals, while Lamine Yamal, Nico Williams and Fabian Ruiz each have 2. Leading assistor is Lamine Yamal with 2, while goalkeeper David Raya has 3 clean sheets.

France – Last 10 Competitive Games

France have 6 victories, 3 defeats and 1 draw, averaging 16.3 attempts, 5.6 shots on goal and 2.5 goals. Didier Deschamps' team average 52.2% possession, 589.3 passes, 6.6 corners awarded and 4.2 corners against them, while 1.7 goals have been conceded from 3.3 shots on goal and 8.6 attempts.

Randal Kolo Muani has scored 4, followed by Ousmane Dembele, Adrien Rabiot and Bradley Barcola with 2 goals apiece. Lucas Digne has had 3 assists, with Mike Maignan notching 2 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Spain confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Unai Simon (GK), Pedro Porro, Robin Le Normand, Dean Huijsen, Marc Cucurella, Pedri, Martin Zubimendi, Mikel Merino, Lamine Yamal, Mikel Oyarzabal, Nico Williams.

France confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Mike Maignan (GK), Pierre Kalulu, Ibrahima Konate, Clement Lenglet, Theo Hernandez, Kouadio Kone, Adrien Rabiot, Ousmane Dembele, Michael Olise, Desire Doue, Kylian Mbappe.

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Spain vs France Prediction & Betting Tips

Wager on France +0.25 on the Asian Handicap at -128 for this Nations League semi-final. We’re keen on their prospects of outperforming their match winner price and this wager looks like good value.

The experts at Sportsgambler.com have a strong handle when it comes to injuries and suspensions. The recent form also helps to shape our football tips, with this being cross-referenced with the latest numbers.

Key Spain vs France stats:

The +0.25 line has been covered by France in 4 of their last 5 games.
The +0.25 line has been covered by France in 11 of their last 14 games.
The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Spain in 2 consecutive games.

France +0.25 Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 56.2% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 60-65%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

There are different options to wager on France, with Winning Margin a great alternative. Select the fixed interval and get paid out if you’re correct.

Our Match Prediction

France Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -128 Bet Now

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Published 19:37, 03 June 2025

Correct Score Prediction

Spain

0 - 1 France logo

France

We’ve found an attractive bet at odds of +850 and it involves France winning 1-0. We like a wager on correct score as there’s the chance to bank a bigger return.

Latest Correct Score Odds

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Player Prop Picks

Randal Kolo Muani Under 0.5 Shots On Target -156

Randal Kolo Muani (France) hasn’t managed a shot on goal in three consecutive matches. We think he might not cover the line, with odds of -156 being served up for this Shots on Target bet.

Latest Randal Kolo Muani Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Shots On Target

Shots

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Adrien Rabiot to Score +700

Adrien Rabiot (France) has managed two goals in his past four matches. It’s worth a gamble on the +700 for him to be Anytime Goalscorer as there’s plenty of juice in these betting odds.

Latest Adrien Rabiot Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Shots On Target

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Corners Prediction

Spain Under 4.5 Corners -103

Spain have had under 4.5 corners in two consecutive games, with France conceding less than 4.5 corners in their past four matches. We recommend backing the -103 that Spain aren’t able to cover the line, with this Team Corners wager hopefully providing a return.

Competitive Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Spain

Total

9.70 5.80 3.90

Home

8.80 5.90 2.90

Away

10.20 5.80 4.40

France

Total

10.80 6.60 4.20

Home

10.67 7.83 2.83

Away

10.25 5.38 4.88

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Spain Corners

France Corners

Most Corners

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Bet Builder Tips

Asian Handicap France +0.25 -128

Both Team To Score No -106

Team Corners Spain Under 4.5 -103

A bet builder can be a fun wager and we’ve gone for France on the Asian Handicap at +0.25, No on the Both Teams to Score market along with Spain to finish with under 4.5 corners.

A football bet builder is a fantastic way of cheering on different selections within the same game. If a bettor has all predictions correct, it’s possible to land a nice pay out from a relatively small amount of money.

Bet Boosts

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Spain vs France Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Close Game in the Eyes of the Betting Sites

The 1x2 odds are available for this Nations League encounter and you can secure +138 that Spain are victorious and +200 that France get the job done. Those wanting to wager the draw with the bookmakers can secure +230.

If you want to back the favourites with some insurance, then Spain are -147 on the Draw No Bet market. Alternatively, France are +108 and there is money back if the game ends all square.

If you’re betting on Total Goals, the market is finding it hard to split Unders and Overs. If you think both teams will score, then you can back BTTS Yes at -154.

If you head to the top football betting sites, you can take your pick when it comes to Nations League games. The hundreds of markets always ensure lots of choice.

Full-Time Result

Half-Time Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Asian Handicap

Total Goals

Both Teams to Score

Kylian Mbappé Heads First Goalscorer Market

You will find favourite Kylian Mbappé at +380 to be First Goalscorer and there’s also the chance to get +155 that he finds the net any time.

Player Goals

Kylian Mbappé (France)

Lamine Yamal (Spain)

Samu Aghehowa (Spain)

Álvaro Morata (Spain)

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Player Shots On Target

Álvaro Morata (Spain)

Samu Aghehowa (Spain)

Ousmane Dembélé (France)

Kylian Mbappé (France)

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Player Shots

Kylian Mbappé (France)

Samu Aghehowa (Spain)

Álvaro Morata (Spain)

Ousmane Dembélé (France)

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Last 5 Games

Spain

France

Head to Head

Spain vs France

Team Stats

Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.

Spain Stats

France Stats

Full-Time Result

8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
10 wins have been recorded in the previous 10 home matches.

Full-Time Result

6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
5 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 8 away matches

Goals

An average of 2.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
An average of 2.90 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
An average of 4.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
An average of 4.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

An average of 2.50 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
An average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.25 conceded in the previous 8 away matches
An average of 4.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
An average of 3.25 goals per game in the previous 8 away matches
BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 8 away matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 8 away matches

Corners

An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 3.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
An average of 5.90 corners awarded and 2.90 corners against in the last 10 home matches
An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

An average of 6.60 corners awarded and 4.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
An average of 5.38 corners awarded and 4.88 corners against in the last 8 away matches
An average of 10.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
An average of 10.25 corners awarded in the last 8 away matches
Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 3 of the last 8 away matches

Possession

An average of 57.60% possession in the last 10 matches
An average of 58.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
Most possession in 9 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

An average of 52.20% possession in the last 10 matches
An average of 50.88% possession in the last 8 away matches
Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
Most possession in 4 of the last 8 away matches

Spain vs France Lineups & Team News

You’ve found the right place for Spain vs France team news, with all the latest information available including lineups and injuries so you’re fully informed.

The Nations League squad information is a great asset when it comes to making your bets.