Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Oct 2025

Eredivisie Betting Preview: Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax

Sparta Rotterdam host Ajax in this Dutch Eredivisie meeting at Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel, with kick-off set for 10:30 on Saturday 4 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Over 2.5 Goals the Most Likely Outcome

The numbers suggest that we’ll see the net bulge a few times when Sparta and Ajax meet. If you agree with our prediction, you can get odds of -167 when it comes to backing Over 2.5 on the Total Goals market.

Looks like it could go over 2.5 goals? Get the current BetMGM promo code and take a moment to browse our comprehensive site review before you bet.

Ajax Are 8 From 10 on the Head-to-Head

Sparta Rotterdam lost away in their last Eredivisie game, making it back-to-back league losses. Heracles won 3-0 at Asito Stadion. Maurice Steijn's side managed five shots on target and had 52% possession.

Ajax claimed a home win in their previous Eredivisie game. A 2-1 victory occurred against NAC Breda at Johan Cruyff Arena. The Sons of God had 51% possession and seven shots on goal, with Oscar Gloukh and Kenneth Taylor finding the net.

On Tuesday night, Ajax visited Marseille in the Champions League and were defeated 4-0.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Ajax are unbeaten when it comes to the past ten meetings against Sparta, with the last encounter ending in a 1-1 draw at Johan Cruyff Arena. The past 10 H2H matches have included eight Ajax wins along with two draws.

Eredivisie		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Ajax	7	4	3	0	14	7	7	14:7	15
11	Sp. Rotterdam	7	3	0	4	8	19	-11	8:19	9

View Full Table

4 wins, 5 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 11.1 attempts. Sparta have had 42.3% possession, 364.3 passes and 2.2 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 2.3 goals from 7.8 shots on goal and 20.2 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 8.0 corners.

Top scorer Tobias Lauritsen has found the net 4 times, with Ayoub Oufkir, Pelle Clement, Teo Quintero and Joshua Kitolano getting 1 goals each. Leading assistor is Patrick van Aanholt with 3, while goalies Joel Drommel and Nick Olij have 3 clean sheets between them.

Ajax have 5 victories, 1 defeat and 4 draws, with an average of 1.8 goals from 15.5 attempts and 6.2 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 57.1% possession, 529.8 passes, 6.4 corners awarded and 4.7 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 1.2 goals from 11.0 attempts and 4.5 shots on goal.

Wout Weghorst has scored 5 goals, followed by Kenneth Taylor, Oscar Gloukh, Davy Klaassen and Mika Godts on 2. Steven Berghuis is top assists provider with 3, while Vitezslav Jaros and Remko Pasveer have kept 3 clean sheets between them in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Sparta Rotterdam predicted lineup (4-3-3): Joel Drommel (GK), Shurandy Sambo, Marvin Young, Bruno Martins Indi, Teo Quintero, Jens Toornstra, Pelle Clement, Joshua Kitolano, Mitchell Van Bergen, Tobias Lauritsen, Sayfallah Ltaief.

Ajax predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Vitezslav Jaros (GK), Anton Gaaei, Ko Itakura, Josip Sutalo, Owen Wijndal, Davy Klaassen, Kenneth Taylor, Oliver Valaker Edvardsen, Oscar Gloukh, Mika Godts, Don-Angelo Konadu.

Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax betting tips provide expert coverage of all major angles, including our main match prediction, top player prop picks, correct score recommendation and best bet builder insights.

Match Prediction

We can’t pass up the chance to back Over 2.5 Goals at an appealing price of -167 based on the available stats. It’s anticipated that at least three goals will be notched in this Eredivisie encounter.

Our football experts study the form, while injuries and suspensions can also affect the potential outcome. Before coming up with a verdict, we combine this data with the latest Eredivisie stats.

Key Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax league stats:

• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 4 Sparta games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Sparta games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 12 of the last 20 Sparta games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Ajax games on the road.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Ajax games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 3 Ajax games.

Over 2.5 Probability

When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 62.5% chance of winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 65-70% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we can recommend this wager.

If you like the idea of Over 2.5 Goals but are in search of a bigger price, there’s the chance to give the Result & Total Goals market a go. This involves combining the above selection with a team to win.

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Our Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -167 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Sparta 1 - 2 Ajax

There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing Ajax to win 2-1. We can’t pass up the odds of +700 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Oliver Edvardsen Under 0.5 Shots On Target +105

Oliver Edvardsen (Ajax) hasn’t managed a shot on goal in eight of the past nine Eredivisie games on the road. We expect him not to cover the Shots on Target line and there is betting odds of +105 when it comes to this wager.

Latest Oliver Edvardsen Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+225

First

+550

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

+105

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Mika Godts to Score +290

Mika Godts (Ajax) has scored two goals in his past four Eredivisie matches. We’ll bear these numbers in mind and take odds of +290 that he is able to feature on the scoresheet when we wager on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Mika Godts Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+290

First

+700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-135

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Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Ajax Have the Shortest Odds to Win

With an approximate 55% chance of succeeding, the bookies are being cautious with their -122 betting odds for Ajax triumphing in this Eredivisie encounter. Sparta Rotterdam are the underdogs at +280 which implies a lesser percentage prospect of winning.

Asian Handicap betting is popular and you can wager Ajax -0.5 at -120 should you want to go for the favourites, with Sparta +0.5 available at -103 and you will also win with the latter if it’s a draw.

Over 2.5 Goals is available at shorter odds than Under 2.5 Goals as things stand. BTTS betting is always a warm order and you can bet Yes at -167 on the Both Teams to Score market.

Hundreds of markets for every Eredivisie match await you, with the best football betting sites providing a huge range of choice. A first-class service awaits whether you’re betting pre-match or In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

+280

X

+300

2

-122

Half-Time Result

1

+300

X

+148

2

+133

Double Chance

1X

-110

12

-417

X2

-385

Draw No Bet

1

+175

2

-250

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.5

-103

2 Hcp -0.5

-120

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+130

Over 2.5

-167

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-167

No

+125

Wout Weghorst Favourite to Be First Goalscorer

Favourite Wout Weghorst is available at +380 to be the First Goalscorer. Similar odds apply if you’re interested in him to score the last goal.

Wout Weghorst (Ajax)

First

+160

Anytime

+380

Kasper Dolberg (Ajax)

First

+220

Anytime

+480

Oliver Edvardsen (Ajax)

First

+225

Anytime

+550

Tobias Lauritsen (Sparta)

First

+230

Anytime

+575

Mika Godts (Ajax)

First

+290

Anytime

+700

Steven Berghuis (Ajax)

First

+290

Anytime

+750

Oscar Gloukh (Ajax)

First

+310

Anytime

+750

Kenneth Taylor (Ajax)

First

+330

Anytime

+800

Raul Moro (Ajax)

First

+340

Anytime

+800

Davy Klaassen (Ajax)

First

+390

Anytime

+1000

Mitchell Van Bergen (Sparta)

First

+430

Anytime

+1100

Sayfallah Ltaief (Sparta)

First

+480

Anytime

+1300

Jens Toornstra (Sparta)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Joshua Kitolano (Sparta)

First

+500

Anytime

+1500

Pelle Clement (Sparta)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Kian Fitz-Jim (Ajax)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Owen Wijndal (Ajax)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Saïd Bakari (Sparta)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Wout Weghorst (Ajax)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

+145

Tobias Lauritsen (Sparta)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+123

Oliver Edvardsen (Ajax)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

+105

Kasper Dolberg (Ajax)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-102

Steven Berghuis (Ajax)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-118

Oscar Gloukh (Ajax)

Over 0.5

-123

Under 0.5

-128

Mika Godts (Ajax)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-135

Kenneth Taylor (Ajax)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-172

Raul Moro (Ajax)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-189

Mitchell Van Bergen (Sparta)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-200

Sayfallah Ltaief (Sparta)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-204

Davy Klaassen (Ajax)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-238

Jens Toornstra (Sparta)

Over 0.5

+163

Under 0.5

-303

Joshua Kitolano (Sparta)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-313

Pelle Clement (Sparta)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-400

Saïd Bakari (Sparta)

Over 0.5

+235

Under 0.5

-435

Kian Fitz-Jim (Ajax)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-556

Owen Wijndal (Ajax)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-667

Ajax Undefeated Against Sparta in Past Six H2H Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel Meetings

Sparta have managed five victories, four losses and one draw in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 1.70.

Ajax have gone unbeaten away in the last four games. The Sons of God have racked up five victories, four draws and one defeat in the previous 10 away games, netting an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.20.

The most recent Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel meeting saw Ajax claim a 2-0 win over Sparta. The past 6 H2H games at Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel have included five Ajax wins along with a single draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Sparta Rotterdam Home Stats		5-1-4	3.20	1.50	1.70	6	4	5	5
Ajax Away Stats		5-4-1	2.70	1.50	1.20	5	5	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax Lineups & Team News

Be prepared — check the Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax team news before wagering. We’ll provide the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Eredivisie along with up-to-date injury news.

Sparta Rotterdam Team Page Ajax Team Page