Sport Recife vs Fluminense Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 01 Oct 2025

Série A Betting Preview: Sport Recife vs Fluminense

Sport Recife host Fluminense in this Brazilian Série A fixture, with kick-off set for 18:00 on Wednesday 1 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

We’re Expecting Sport to Cover the Line

Sport Recife +0.25 on the Asian Handicap could be the way forward at -141. They should be able to avoid defeat against Fluminense, with our stake split between 0 and +0.5, meaning a victory is the desired outcome.

Confident in our Asian Handicap pick? Read our expert review of BetMGM, then grab the latest promo code before placing your bet.

Fluminense Have Claimed 4 Wins in 5 on H2H

Sport Recife were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 1-0 reverse against Fortaleza. The Pernambuco club had 43% possession and eight shots on target.

Fluminense claimed a home victory in their previous league game. A 2-0 triumph against Botafogo made it two Série A wins on the spin. Luis Zubeldia's team recorded 47% possession and managed three shots on goal, while German Cano and Vinicius Lima were on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It’s been four straight wins for Fluminense when playing Sport. Their last encounter saw Fluminense land a 2-1 home victory. The previous 5 H2H matches have involved four Fluminense victories and just one triumph for Sport.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
8	Fluminense	23	10	4	9	28	29	-1	28:29	34
20	Sport Recife	23	2	8	13	16	35	-19	16:35	14

View Full Table

Sport have 2 wins, 3 losses and 5 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 9.2 attempts. Daniel Paulista's side have averaged 44.5% possession and 5.6 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.4 goals from 6.2 shots on goal, 13.0 attempts and 5.9 corners.

Derik Lacerda is the top scorer with 3 goals, while Matheusinho, Lucas Lima and Romarinho each have 2. Lucas Lima, Matheus Alexandre and Leo Pereira are the leading assists makers with 1.

Fluminense have 4 victories, 4 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 2.7 shots on goal, 6.8 attempts and 1.3 goals. The Big Flu average 52.3% possession, 4.4 corners awarded and 5.2 corners against, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 7.9 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal.

German Cano has landed 5 goals, Hercules 2, with Vinicius Lima and two others scoring 1. Kevin Serna and Keno have been the top assists providers with 2 in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Sport Recife predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Gabriel (GK), Aderlan, Rafael Thyere, Ramon Menezes, Luan Cândido, Ze Lucas, Christian Rivera, Matheusinho, Lucas Lima, Léo Pereira, Derik Lacerda.

Fluminense predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Fabio (GK), Samuel Xavier, Ignacio, Juan Pablo Freytes, Rene, Martinelli, Hercules, Agustín Canobbio, Luciano Acosta, Kevin Serna, Germán Cano.

Sport Recife vs Fluminense Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the edge with our best Sport Recife vs Fluminense tips: a key match prediction, expert corners pick, correct score recommendation, top player prop bets and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

Sport Recife +0.25 look like a value bet on the Asian Handicap. We think that the hosts have a good chance of recording a win in this Série A game and it’s therefore a confident selection at -141.

We’re constantly keeping tabs on the Série A team news. Along with the latest form, this helps us get the value every time. Our football experts are able to take a stats-led approach, with the key numbers providing a guide.

Key Sport Recife vs Fluminense league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Sport in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Sport in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Fluminense in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Fluminense in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.

Sport +0.25 Probability

The latest betting odds imply that our pick has a 58.5% prospect of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 65-70%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

If the price on display doesn’t appeal, you can make the choice to secure bigger odds by moving the line for your selection. It’s a case of taking a view which you are happy with.

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Our Match Prediction

Sport Recife Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -141 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Sport Recife 2 - 1 Fluminense

We’re taking a correct score bet which involves Sport Recife to win 2-1. The odds of +900 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Luciano Acosta Under 0.5 Shots On Target -161

Luciano Acosta (Fluminense) is available at -161 to not record a shot on goal. He stands out as a value pick when it comes to Shots on Target, with the recommendation being to wager this player prop pick.

Latest Luciano Acosta Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+400

First

+800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-161

Shots

Over 1.5

-120

Under 1.5

-

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Derik Lacerda to Score +340

Derik Lacerda (Sport Recife) has racked up two goals in his past five Série A home matches. We’re happy to take the +340 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he finds the net at least once.

Latest Derik Lacerda Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+340

First

+700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-100

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Corners Prediction

Fluminense Over 4.5 Corners -125

The past 5 Fluminense games have involved them having an average of 5.40 corners, with Sport Recife conceding over 4.5 corners in their previous six matches. We think that the value can be found by wagering on Team Corners and you can secure -125 that Fluminense go over the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Sport Recife

Total

11.50 5.60 5.90

Home

11.50 6.30 5.20

Away

10.40 5.70 4.70

Fluminense

Total

9.60 4.40 5.20

Home

9.00 5.40 3.60

Away

10.50 3.40 7.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-108

Under 10.5

-132

Sport Recife Corners

Over 4.5

-150

Under 4.5

+110

Fluminense Corners

Over 4.5

-163

Under 4.5

+120

Most Corners

1

+110

X

+650

2

-100

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Sport Recife vs Fluminense Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Game Could Go Right to the Wire According to the Bookies

The available 1x2 betting prices reveal that Fluminense are +150 for a Série A win, with Sport Recife being +195. The draw is on offer at +205 if you expect the game to finish level.

If you fancy Fluminense but want money back if the game ends in a draw, then you can secure odds of -137. Alternatively, there’s the chance to wager on Sport at -100 on the Draw No Bet market.

A low-scoring contest will be predicted by several which is reflected in the fact that Under 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds. For those wanting to back Both Teams to Score No, this is currently priced at -159.

It’s great that you can tap into hundreds of markets for every Série A match. Each of our recommended football betting sites provide exciting pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

+195

X

+205

2

+150

Half-Time Result

1

+270

X

-102

2

+220

Double Chance

1X

-208

12

-294

X2

-270

Draw No Bet

1

-100

2

-137

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-141

2 Hcp -0.25

+112

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-217

Over 2.5

+163

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+112

No

-159

Germán Cano Heads First Goalscorer Market

The First Goalscorer favourite is Germán Cano at +550, with similar odds available for this player to register the last goal.

Germán Cano (Fluminense)

First

+280

Anytime

+550

Everaldo Stum (Fluminense)

First

+325

Anytime

+650

Derik Lacerda (Sport Recife)

First

+340

Anytime

+700

Luciano Acosta (Fluminense)

First

+400

Anytime

+800

Agustín Canobbio (Fluminense)

First

+450

Anytime

+850

Santiago Moreno (Fluminense)

First

+450

Anytime

+900

Marcos Silva França "Keno" (Fluminense)

First

+480

Anytime

+950

Pablo Felipe Teixeira (Sport Recife)

First

+480

Anytime

+1000

John Kennedy (Fluminense)

First

+500

Anytime

+1000

Kevin Serna (Fluminense)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Hyoran Kauê Dalmoro (Sport Recife)

First

+750

Anytime

+1300

Vinicius 'Lima' Moreira de Lima (Fluminense)

First

+800

Anytime

+1600

Nonato (Fluminense)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Lucas Rafael Araújo Lima (Sport Recife)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2000

Christian Rivera (Sport Recife)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2000

Matheus Martinelli (Fluminense)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2000

Facundo Bernal (Fluminense)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2000

Hércules Pereira do Nascimento (Fluminense)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2000

Pedro Augusto Borges da Costa (Sport Recife)

First

+1200

Anytime

+2200

Thiago dos Santos (Fluminense)

First

+1200

Anytime

+2200

Germán Cano (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

+112

Derik Lacerda (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-100

Everaldo Stum (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-116

Luciano Acosta (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-161

Pablo Felipe Teixeira (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-185

Agustín Canobbio (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-185

Santiago Moreno (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-182

Marcos Silva França "Keno" (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-204

John Kennedy (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-208

Kevin Serna (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-250

Hyoran Kauê Dalmoro (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-303

Lucas Rafael Araújo Lima (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-476

Christian Rivera (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-526

Pedro Augusto Borges da Costa (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-625

Germán Cano (Fluminense)

Over 2.5

-137

Under 2.5

-

Everaldo Stum (Fluminense)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-

Luciano Acosta (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

-120

Under 1.5

-

Agustín Canobbio (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

Pablo Felipe Teixeira (Sport Recife)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

Hyoran Kauê Dalmoro (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Rafael Araújo Lima (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Christian Rivera (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Pedro Augusto Borges da Costa (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-

Sport Recife vs Fluminense Lineups & Team News

Avoid surprises — review the Sport vs Fluminense team news before you bet. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed Série A lineups and the latest on injuries.

Sport Recife Team Page Fluminense Team Page