Sport Recife vs Fluminense Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 01 Oct 2025

Série A Betting Preview: Sport Recife vs Fluminense

Sport Recife host Fluminense in this Brazilian Série A fixture, with kick-off set for 18:00 on Wednesday 1 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Sport Recife +0.25 on the Asian Handicap could be the way forward at -141. They should be able to avoid defeat against Fluminense, with our stake split between 0 and +0.5, meaning a victory is the desired outcome.

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Sport Recife were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 1-0 reverse against Fortaleza. The Pernambuco club had 43% possession and eight shots on target.

Fluminense claimed a home victory in their previous league game. A 2-0 triumph against Botafogo made it two Série A wins on the spin. Luis Zubeldia's team recorded 47% possession and managed three shots on goal, while German Cano and Vinicius Lima were on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It’s been four straight wins for Fluminense when playing Sport. Their last encounter saw Fluminense land a 2-1 home victory. The previous 5 H2H matches have involved four Fluminense victories and just one triumph for Sport.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Fluminense	36	17	7	12	46	38	8	46:38	58
20	Sport Recife	35	2	11	22	28	66	-38	28:66	17

View Full Table

Sport have 2 wins, 3 losses and 5 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 9.2 attempts. Daniel Paulista's side have averaged 44.5% possession and 5.6 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.4 goals from 6.2 shots on goal, 13.0 attempts and 5.9 corners.

Derik Lacerda is the top scorer with 3 goals, while Matheusinho, Lucas Lima and Romarinho each have 2. Lucas Lima, Matheus Alexandre and Leo Pereira are the leading assists makers with 1.

Fluminense have 4 victories, 4 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 2.7 shots on goal, 6.8 attempts and 1.3 goals. The Big Flu average 52.3% possession, 4.4 corners awarded and 5.2 corners against, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 7.9 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal.

German Cano has landed 5 goals, Hercules 2, with Vinicius Lima and two others scoring 1. Kevin Serna and Keno have been the top assists providers with 2 in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Sport Recife confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Gabriel (GK), Matheus Alexandre, Rafael Thyere, Ramon, Luan Candido, Matheusinho, Christian Rivera, Ze Lucas, Hyoran, Ignacio Ramirez, Chrystian Barletta.

Fluminense confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Fabio (GK), Guga, Ignacio, Juan Freytes, Rene, Agustin Canobbio, Hercules, Martinelli, Kevin Serna, Luciano Acosta, German Cano.

Sport Recife vs Fluminense Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the edge with our best Sport Recife vs Fluminense tips: a key match prediction, expert corners pick, correct score recommendation, top player prop bets and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

Sport Recife +0.25 look like a value bet on the Asian Handicap. We think that the hosts have a good chance of recording a win in this Série A game and it’s therefore a confident selection at -141.

We’re constantly keeping tabs on the Série A team news. Along with the latest form, this helps us get the value every time. Our football experts are able to take a stats-led approach, with the key numbers providing a guide.

Key Sport Recife vs Fluminense league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Sport in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Sport in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Fluminense in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Fluminense in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.

The latest betting odds imply that our pick has a 58.5% prospect of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 65-70%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

If the price on display doesn’t appeal, you can make the choice to secure bigger odds by moving the line for your selection. It’s a case of taking a view which you are happy with.

Before you bet, take a look at our complete guide to the best free bets and new customer bonuses on offer now.

Our Match Prediction

Sport Recife Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -141 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Sport Recife 2 - 1 Fluminense

We’re taking a correct score bet which involves Sport Recife to win 2-1. The odds of +1000 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Luciano Acosta Under 0.5 Shots On Target -161

Luciano Acosta (Fluminense) is available at -161 to not record a shot on goal. He stands out as a value pick when it comes to Shots on Target, with the recommendation being to wager this player prop pick.

Latest Luciano Acosta Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+335

First

+700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-154

Shots

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

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Derik Lacerda to Score +340

Derik Lacerda (Sport Recife) has racked up two goals in his past five Série A home matches. We’re happy to take the +340 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he finds the net at least once.

Latest Derik Lacerda Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+340

First

+700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-100

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Corners Prediction

Fluminense Over 4.5 Corners -125

The past 5 Fluminense games have involved them having an average of 5.40 corners, with Sport Recife conceding over 4.5 corners in their previous six matches. We think that the value can be found by wagering on Team Corners and you can secure -125 that Fluminense go over the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Sport Recife

Total

11.50 5.60 5.90

Home

11.50 6.30 5.20

Away

10.40 5.70 4.70

Fluminense

Total

9.60 4.40 5.20

Home

9.00 5.40 3.60

Away

10.50 3.40 7.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-118

Under 10.5

-120

Sport Recife Corners

Over 4.5

-139

Under 4.5

-100

Fluminense Corners

Over 5.5

-109

Under 5.5

-128

Most Corners

1

+130

X

+700

2

-119

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Sport Recife vs Fluminense Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Fluminense are the skinniest price to succeed in this Série A clash, with the favourites afforded a 46% probability based on their +118 betting odds with the bookies. Sport Recife are the +250 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.

If you fancy Fluminense but want money back if the game ends in a draw, then you can secure odds of -189. Alternatively, there’s the chance to wager on Sport at +140 on the Draw No Bet market.

A low-scoring contest will be predicted by several which is reflected in the fact that Under 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds. For those wanting to back Both Teams to Score No, this is currently priced at -143.

It’s great that you can tap into hundreds of markets for every Série A match. Each of our recommended football betting sites provide exciting pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

+250

X

+215

2

+118

Half-Time Result

1

+320

X

+104

2

+180

Double Chance

1X

-159

12

-303

X2

-370

Draw No Bet

1

+140

2

-189

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-105

2 Hcp -0.25

-115

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-185

Over 2.5

+140

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+102

No

-143

The First Goalscorer favourite is Germán Cano at +430, with similar odds available for this player to register the last goal.

Germán Cano (Fluminense)

First

+210

Anytime

+430

Everaldo Stum (Fluminense)

First

+295

Anytime

+600

Chrystian Barletta (Sport Recife)

First

+310

Anytime

+700

Luciano Acosta (Fluminense)

First

+335

Anytime

+700

Derik Lacerda (Sport Recife)

First

+340

Anytime

+700

Agustín Canobbio (Fluminense)

First

+390

Anytime

+850

Santiago Moreno (Fluminense)

First

+400

Anytime

+850

Marcos Silva França "Keno" (Fluminense)

First

+440

Anytime

+850

Ignacio Ramirez (Sport Recife)

First

+440

Anytime

+950

John Kennedy (Fluminense)

First

+450

Anytime

+850

'Matheusinho' Cardoso (Sport Recife)

First

+450

Anytime

+1000

Kevin Serna (Fluminense)

First

+500

Anytime

+1050

Pablo Felipe Teixeira (Sport Recife)

First

+500

Anytime

+1050

Hyoran Kauê Dalmoro (Sport Recife)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

Vinicius 'Lima' Moreira de Lima (Fluminense)

First

+750

Anytime

+1500

Matheus Martinelli (Fluminense)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Hércules Pereira do Nascimento (Fluminense)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Nonato (Fluminense)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Christian Rivera (Sport Recife)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Facundo Bernal (Fluminense)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Thiago dos Santos (Fluminense)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Lucas Rafael Araújo Lima (Sport Recife)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Otávio Santos Passos (Fluminense)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Pedro Augusto Borges da Costa (Sport Recife)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Thiago Silva (Fluminense)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Germán Cano (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

+130

Derik Lacerda (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-100

Chrystian Barletta (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-103

Everaldo Stum (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-111

Luciano Acosta (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-154

Agustín Canobbio (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+106

Under 0.5

-182

Santiago Moreno (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-179

Ignacio Ramirez (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-192

Pablo Felipe Teixeira (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-217

Marcos Silva França "Keno" (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-200

John Kennedy (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-208

Kevin Serna (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+138

Under 0.5

-244

'Matheusinho' Cardoso (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-250

Hyoran Kauê Dalmoro (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-385

Vinicius 'Lima' Moreira de Lima (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+225

Under 0.5

-400

Lucas Rafael Araújo Lima (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-556

Matheus Martinelli (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-714

Hércules Pereira do Nascimento (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-769

Pedro Augusto Borges da Costa (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-667

Christian Rivera (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-1000

Germán Cano (Fluminense)

Over 2.5

-167

Under 2.5

-

Everaldo Stum (Fluminense)

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-

Chrystian Barletta (Sport Recife)

Over 2.5

-132

Under 2.5

-

Agustín Canobbio (Fluminense)

Over 2.5

+116

Under 2.5

-

Luciano Acosta (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

Santiago Moreno (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

Ignacio Ramirez (Sport Recife)

Over 1.5

-137

Under 1.5

-

'Matheusinho' Cardoso (Sport Recife)

Over 1.5

-102

Under 1.5

-

Kevin Serna (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Pablo Felipe Teixeira (Sport Recife)

Over 1.5

-132

Under 1.5

-

Hyoran Kauê Dalmoro (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

-278

Under 0.5

-

Matheus Martinelli (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-

Hércules Pereira do Nascimento (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-141

Under 0.5

-

Christian Rivera (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Rafael Araújo Lima (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Pedro Augusto Borges da Costa (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-

Sport Recife vs Fluminense Lineups & Team News

Avoid surprises — review the Sport vs Fluminense team news before you bet. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed Série A lineups and the latest on injuries.

Sport Recife Team Page Fluminense Team Page

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