Sport Recife vs Grêmio Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 07 Dec 2025

Série A Betting Preview: Sport Recife vs Grêmio

Bottom-placed and relegated Sport Recife Sport Recife meet Grêmio, with kick-off set for 14:00 on Sunday 7 December.

We are backing Over 2.5 in the Total Goals market at -139, with Sport Recife and Grêmio set to play out a high-scoring contest. We think the odds are attractive when it comes to at least three goals being scored.

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Sport Recife have suffered ten consecutive league losses. On their travels, they recently experienced a 2-0 defeat against Bahia. The Pernambuco club recorded just 38% possession and had four shots on target.

Grêmio lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Fluminense by a 2-1 scoreline. Mano Menezes' men recorded 54% possession and had seven shots on goal, with Andre on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Sport won the last encounter between the pair. Enjoying a 1-0 away win when facing Grêmio. There have been four Sport victories, two draws and one Grêmio win in the previous 7 H2H games.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
11	Grêmio	37	12	10	15	43	50	-7	43:50	46
20	Sport Recife	37	2	11	24	28	71	-43	28:71	17

View Full Table

Sport have lost all of their previous 10 games, averaging 0.7 goals from 2.6 shots on goal and 6.9 attempts. Cesar Lucena's team have averaged 44.0% possession and 5.0 corners per match, with their opponents getting 2.9 goals from 7.2 shots on goal, 14.7 attempts and 6.1 corners.

Leo Pereira leads the way with 3 goals, Pablo has 2, with Rafael Thyere and Derik Lacerda scoring 1. Lucas Lima is the top assists maker with 2.

Grêmio have 4 victories, 5 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 1.5 goals from 12.0 attempts and 6.0 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 46.6% possession, 5.3 corners awarded and 4.8 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 1.7 goals from 10.1 attempts and 5.3 shots on goal.

Carlos Vinicius has scored 9, followed by Andre and Francis Amuzu with 2 goals apiece. Cristian Pavon has been top assists provider with 2 in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Sport Recife predicted lineup (4-3-3): Gabriel (GK), Aderlan, Rafael Thyere, Ramon Menezes, Luan Cândido, Lucas Kal, Christian Rivera, Lucas Lima, Matheusinho, Pablo, Romarinho.

Grêmio predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Tiago Volpi (GK), Marcos Rocha, Wagner Leonardo, Gustavo Martins, Marlon, Gustavo Cuéllar, Arthur, Alysson Edward, Edenilson, Francis Amuzu, Carlos Vinícius.

Sport Recife vs Grêmio Prediction & Betting Tips

Step into Sport Recife vs Grêmio with confidence as we bring you our main match prediction, projected scoreline, key corners betting angle, best player prop picks and a custom-built bet builder.

Match Prediction

There’s a strong argument for backing Over 2.5 Goals at attractive odds of -139 based on the information to hand. We’re expecting at least three goals to be scored in this Série A clash.

The football tipsters at Sportsgambler.com regularly look at the injury situatuation along with the Série A form guide. We have a wide range of stats at our disposal which means we can illustrate the key data to readers.

Key Sport Recife vs Grêmio league stats:

• The 2.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Sport games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Sport games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 3 Sport games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Grêmio games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Grêmio games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 3 Grêmio games.

According to the top bookmakers, our pick has a 58.1% chance of landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 65-70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

It’s clear that a Bet Builder provides a bigger-priced option if you’re looking for more juice. Include Over 2.5 Goals and combine it with other picks to create a personalised wager.

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Our Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -139 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Sport Recife 1 - 2 Grêmio

There are odds of +575 available that Grêmio land a 2-1 win. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Francis Amuzu to Score +340

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio) has been among the goals in back-to-back Série A matches. It’s worth a gamble on the +340 for him to be Anytime Goalscorer as there’s plenty of juice in these betting odds.

Latest Francis Amuzu Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+340

First

+850

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-200

Shots

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Sport Recife Over 4.5 Corners -127

Sport Recife have been awarded an average of 5.70 corners in the past 10 home matches, while the corner count against Grêmio has been more than 4.5 in the previous eight away games. We’re content to wager the -127 for Sport to cover the Team Corners line as this looks appealing.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Sport Recife

Total

11.10 5.00 6.10

Home

11.10 5.70 5.40

Away

11.80 5.00 6.80

Grêmio

Total

10.10 5.30 4.80

Home

8.00 5.20 2.80

Away

10.60 3.00 7.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-143

Under 9.5

+102

Sport Recife Corners

Over 4.5

-119

Under 4.5

-114

Grêmio Corners

Over 4.5

-152

Under 4.5

+112

Most Corners

1

+116

X

+650

2

-114

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Sport Recife vs Grêmio Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

For this Série A clash, Grêmio are the -149 favourites to triumph according to the latest Full-Time Result betting odds. This reflects that they have a 60% chance of winning. Sport Recife are regarded as the least likely winner at +380.

Betting Grêmio -0.75 on the Asian Handicap at -116 means splitting stake between -0.5 and -1.0. Therefore, a one-goal win over Sport means a win and a push, with a 2+ goal victory meaning a full payout.

The expectation is that Over 2.5 Goals will be scored according to the latest odds. If you think that both sides will end up scoring, then the Both Teams to Score Yes option can be backed at -147.

The recommended football betting sites will provide a first-class service and that includes getting hundreds of markets. Scan through them for any Série A match and take your pick.

Full-Time Result

1

+380

X

+285

2

-149

Half-Time Result

1

+370

X

+143

2

+116

Double Chance

1X

+110

12

-435

X2

-625

Draw No Bet

1

+240

2

-385

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.75

-106

2 Hcp -0.75

-116

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+107

Over 2.5

-139

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-147

No

+102

Carlos Vinícius is the favourite to be First Goalscorer at +330. If you’re interested in backing him to find the net at anytime, then the price is +120.

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

First

+120

Anytime

+330

Derik Lacerda (Sport Recife)

First

+220

Anytime

+600

Andre Henrique da Silva Martins (Grêmio)

First

+290

Anytime

+650

Willian (Grêmio)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Grêmio)

First

+320

Anytime

+800

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

First

+340

Anytime

+850

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

First

+340

Anytime

+850

'Matheusinho' Cardoso (Sport Recife)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Pablo Felipe Teixeira (Sport Recife)

First

+480

Anytime

+1300

Lucas Rafael Araújo Lima (Sport Recife)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Gustavo Cuellar (Grêmio)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Wagner Leonardo (Grêmio)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Romarinho (Sport Recife)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Gustavo Martins (Grêmio)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Derik Lacerda (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-100

Andre Henrique da Silva Martins (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-172

Willian (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-200

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-200

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-182

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+118

Under 0.5

-213

'Matheusinho' Cardoso (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-213

Pablo Felipe Teixeira (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-250

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-263

Lucas Rafael Araújo Lima (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-345

Romarinho (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-476

Wagner Leonardo (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-455

Gustavo Cuellar (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-500

Gustavo Martins (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-714

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

Over 3.5

+107

Under 3.5

-

Derik Lacerda (Sport Recife)

Over 2.5

-109

Under 2.5

-

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-

Andre Henrique da Silva Martins (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Willian (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-120

Under 1.5

-

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-122

Under 1.5

-

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-110

Under 1.5

-

'Matheusinho' Cardoso (Sport Recife)

Over 1.5

-139

Under 1.5

-

Pablo Felipe Teixeira (Sport Recife)

Over 1.5

-139

Under 1.5

-

Lucas Rafael Araújo Lima (Sport Recife)

Over 1.5

+143

Under 1.5

-

Gustavo Cuellar (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-

Wagner Leonardo (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-

Romarinho (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

You can watch and bet on Série A games thanks to the live streaming service that’s available. This is only available to eligible sportsbook customers and is subject to geo-restrictions.

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Sport Recife vs Grêmio Lineups & Team News

Always review the Sport vs Grêmio team news before locking in your bets. We’ll have the predicted and confirmed Série A lineups for you plus all the latest on player injuries.

Sport Recife Team Page Grêmio Team Page

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