Sport Recife vs São Paulo Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Aug 2025

Série A Betting Preview: Sport Recife vs São Paulo

Sport Recife host São Paulo in this Brazilian Série A match, with kick-off set for 17:30 on Saturday 16 August 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

São Paulo Could Prove Too Strong

São Paulo have the potential to land a win when they go up against Sport Recife. On this basis, we will side with the Full-Time Result odds of +160 and this price can be taken confidently.

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5 Wins in Last 7 H2H Clashes for São Paulo

Sport Recife won last time out by a 1-0 scoreline. It was away from home against Grêmio. Daniel Paulista's team had 42% possession and totalled three shots on target, with Matheusinho netting the winner early in the second half.

São Paulo have won five consecutive games, recently recording a 2-0 home triumph against Vitória. Tricolor Paulista boasted 57% possession and had four shots on goal, while Damian Bobadilla and Sabino found the net.

Four days ago, São Paulo played out a 0-0 draw when facing Atlético Nacional away in the Copa Libertadores.

Head-to-Head Statistics

São Paulo boast an unbeaten record in the past seven matches against Sport, with the last encounter being a 0-0 draw. The past 7 H2H meetings have featured five São Paulo wins and two draws.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
7	São Paulo	19	7	7	5	22	20	2	22:20	28
20	Sport Recife	17	1	6	10	10	25	-15	10:25	9

View Full Table

Sport have 1 win, 5 losses and 4 draws, averaging 0.6 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 10.0 attempts. The Lions have averaged 46.6% possession and 5.8 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.5 goals from 4.9 shots on goal, 11.5 attempts and 3.4 corners.

Romarinho is the top scorer with 2 goals, while Matheusinho, Derik Lacerda and Chrystian Barletta each have 1. Leo Pereira and Matheusinho have recorded the most assists with 1 apiece.

São Paulo have 5 victories, 4 defeats and 1 draw, averaging 3.8 shots on goal, 8.6 attempts and 1.4 goals. Hernan Crespo's team average 50.3% possession, 4.7 corners taken and 4.3 corners against them, while 1.3 goals have been conceded from 7.2 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal.

Luciano Neves has top scored with 4, while Damian Bobadilla, Robert Arboleda and Andre are next on 2. Nahuel Ferraresi and Luciano Neves are the top assists providers with 3 in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Sport Recife predicted lineup (4-3-3): Gabriel (GK), Matheus Alexandre, Rafael Thyere, Ramon Menezes, Igor Carius, Christian Rivera, Ze Lucas, Lucas Lima, Léo Pereira, Derik Lacerda, Matheusinho.

São Paulo predicted lineup (3-5-2): Rafael (GK), Nahuel Ferraresi, Sabino, Alan Franco, Cedric Soares, Alisson, Damián Bobadilla, Marcos Antônio, Enzo Díaz, Luciano, Aldemir Ferreira.

Sport Recife vs São Paulo Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Sport Recife vs São Paulo tips include the main match prediction, a correct score forecast, bet builder advice and top player prop picks. Each section below offers expert insight into the key betting angles.

Match Prediction

São Paulo are available at +160 to land a win and we think this price looks far too big. We’re anticipating that the visitors will claim a Série A victory and some nice dividends can be landed.

The formbook always proves to be helpful when it comes to providing football betting tips. The latest Série A team news is also vital, with the stats helping to shape our opinion too.

Key Sport Recife vs São Paulo league stats:

• São Paulo have won 5 consecutive games.
• Sport have lost 10 of their last 17 games.
• Sport have lost 5 of their last 7 games against São Paulo.

São Paulo to Win Probability

The betting odds at the top bookies suggest our pick carries a 38.5% chance of winning. However, our experts have this number between 45-50% based on their in-depth research. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

There are several options to side with São Paulo in addition to the match winner market. One option is to wager them to be leading at the interval and final whistle, along with the Asian Handicap.

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Our Match Prediction

São Paulo To Win @ +160 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Sport Recife 0 - 1 São Paulo

A 1-0 win in favor of São Paulo is available at odds of +500. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.

Player Prop Picks

Derik Lacerda Over 0.5 Shots On Target -130

Derik Lacerda (Sport Recife) can be wagered at -130 to record one or more shots on goal. Those wanting to back him should certainly look at the Shots on Target betting odds available.

Latest Derik Lacerda Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+400

First

+700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-130

Under 0.5

-109

Shots

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

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Cédric Soares To Score +1150

Cédric Soares (São Paulo) is available at +1150 to be among the goals. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager which means we need him to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Cédric Soares Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+1150

First

+2200

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-625

Shots

Over 0.5

+116

Under 0.5

-

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Sport Recife vs São Paulo Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Tight Clash on the Cards According to the Bookies

The bookmakers have betting odds of +160 for São Paulo to triumph in this Série A clash, with Sport Recife trading at a price of +185 if you think they’ll win, while the draw is chalked up at +205.

There are various ways to back São Paulo and one option is the Asian Handicap -0.25. There’s +110 currently available that they beat Sport and there’s half a stake refund if the scoreline ends level.

The Total Goals market always provides an interesting angle and Under 2.5 Goals is the shortest-priced option. If you’re looking to wager Both Teams to Score No, this is currently available at -182.

The top football betting sites have excellent coverage when it comes to all Série A matches. That means hundreds of markets from which to choose and something to suit everyone.

Full-Time Result

1

+185

X

+205

2

+160

Half-Time Result

1

+270

X

-108

2

+235

Double Chance

1X

-217

12

-294

X2

-250

Draw No Bet

1

-109

2

-132

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-159

2 Hcp -0.25

+110

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-244

Over 2.5

+180

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+125

No

-182

Luciano da Rocha Heads First Goalscorer Market

Those interested in Luciano da Rocha to find the net anytime are able to get +310. There is the chance to back the favourite to score the first goal at odds of +540.

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

First

+310

Anytime

+540

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

First

+350

Anytime

+600

Chrystian Barletta (Sport Recife)

First

+350

Anytime

+650

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

First

+380

Anytime

+650

Derik Lacerda (Sport Recife)

First

+400

Anytime

+700

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

First

+400

Anytime

+750

Ignacio Ramirez (Sport Recife)

First

+475

Anytime

+900

Pablo Felipe Teixeira (Sport Recife)

First

+540

Anytime

+1000

Rodrigo Atencio (Sport Recife)

First

+750

Anytime

+1400

Rodrigo Almeida Mendonca "Rodriguinho" (São Paulo)

First

+850

Anytime

+1600

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

First

+1000

Anytime

+1900

Cédric Soares (São Paulo)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Christian Rivera (Sport Recife)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Marcos Antônio Silva Santos (São Paulo)

First

+1200

Anytime

+2200

Pablo Maia (São Paulo)

First

+1200

Anytime

+2200

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

+170

Chrystian Barletta (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

+112

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

+105

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-141

Under 0.5

-100

Derik Lacerda (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

-130

Under 0.5

-109

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-119

Under 0.5

-118

Ignacio Ramirez (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-159

Pablo Felipe Teixeira (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

+117

Under 0.5

-167

Rodrigo Almeida Mendonca "Rodriguinho" (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-278

Rodrigo Atencio (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-286

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-400

Christian Rivera (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-526

Marcos Antônio Silva Santos (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-588

Cédric Soares (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-625

Pablo Maia (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-625

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

Over 3.5

-100

Under 3.5

-

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

-120

Under 2.5

-

Chrystian Barletta (Sport Recife)

Over 2.5

-127

Under 2.5

-

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

+128

Under 2.5

-

Derik Lacerda (Sport Recife)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

+108

Under 2.5

-

Ignacio Ramirez (Sport Recife)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

Pablo Felipe Teixeira (Sport Recife)

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

Rodrigo Atencio (Sport Recife)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

Rodrigo Almeida Mendonca "Rodriguinho" (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-123

Under 1.5

-

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Cédric Soares (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+116

Under 0.5

-

Christian Rivera (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-

Marcos Antônio Silva Santos (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-

Pablo Maia (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-

You can watch Série A live streaming depending on where you are located. Sportsbook customers are required to have a funded betting account or place a bet within the past 24 hours.

You can log into your betting account on a daily basis and enjoy the chance to access high quality streams.

Sport Recife vs São Paulo Live Streaming Watch Live Geo-restrictions apply. To use the services you need to be logged in, a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours.

Sport Recife vs São Paulo Lineups & Team News

Before placing any bets on Sport vs São Paulo, check the team news first. We’ll bring you both the expected and confirmed lineups for Série A, along with current injury news.

Sport Recife Team Page São Paulo Team Page