Sporting vs Braga Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 05 Oct 2025

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Sporting vs Braga

Sporting host Braga in this Portuguese Primeira Liga meeting at Estadio Jose Alvalade, with kick-off set for 14:15 on Sunday 5 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Braga Can Give a Good Account of Themselves

Braga +1.25 looks an interesting Asian Handicap wager at odds of -132. Our stake is divided between +1 and +1.5 when the underdogs clash with Sporting and that gives us a fighting chance.

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1-1 Draw in Previous H2H Meeting

Sporting CP won their last game 1-0, making it three on the bounce. This was a road victory at Antonio Coimbra da Mota against Estoril Praia. The Lions had the majority of the ball boasting 62% possession and two shots on target, with an early goal from Luis Suarez proving to be the winner.

On Wednesday night, Sporting were beaten 2-1 away to Napoli in the Champions League.

Braga were beaten in their previous Primeira Liga game, losing 1-0 at home to Nacional at Estadio Municipal de Braga. Carlos Vicens' team enjoyed 60% possession and recorded one shot on goal.

Three days ago, Braga triumphed 2-0 when visiting Celtic in the Europa League.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Sporting have not lost any of the past six games against Braga, with the last clash seeing a 1-1 draw played out at Estadio Jose Alvalade. The previous 10 H2H matches have included six wins for Sporting, one victory for Braga along with three draws.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Sporting	7	6	0	1	19	4	15	19:4	18
7	Braga	7	2	3	2	11	7	4	11:7	9

View Full Table

8 wins, 1 loss and 1 draw, averaging 2.4 goals from 6.6 shots on goal and 17.5 attempts. Sporting have had 60.2% possession, 509.8 passes and 7.0 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 0.6 goals from 1.9 shots on goal and 6.6 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 3.0 corners.

Top scorer is Pedro Goncalves on 6 goals, while Luis Suarez has racked up 5 and Trincao 4. Pedro Goncalves and Geovany Quenda are tied for the most assists on 3, with goalie Rui Silva managing 4 clean sheets.

Braga have won 2, lost 3 and drawn 5, with an average of 14.1 attempts, 5.4 shots on goal and 1.4 goals. The Archbishops average 63.7% possession, 546.4 passes, 6.5 corners awarded and 2.9 corners against them, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 3.3 shots on goal and 8.1 attempts.

Rodrigo Zalazar and Ricardo Horta have scored 3, followed by Fran Navarro with 2. Leonardo Lelo has been the top assist maker on 4, with Lukas Hornicek notching 2 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Sporting predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Rui Silva (GK), Georgios Vagiannidis, Zeno Debast, Goncalo Inacio, Maximiliano Araujo, Morten Hjulmand, Hidemasa Morita, Geovany Quenda, Trincao, Pedro Goncalves, Luis Suarez.

Braga predicted lineup (4-4-2): Lukas Hornicek (GK), Gustaf Lagerbielke, Sikou Niakate, Bright Arrey-Mbi, Victor Gomez, Gabriel Moscardo, Joao Moutinho, Leonardo Lelo, Rodrigo Zalazar, Ricardo Horta, Fran Navarro.

Sporting vs Braga Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve got your Sporting vs Braga bets covered, including our expert match prediction, correct score tip, corners outlook, must-see player props and a tailored bet builder built for value.

Match Prediction

Braga +1.25 are likely to be a popular Asian Handicap wager at -132. A win or draw against Sporting can secure a full payout and we’re confident heading into the Primeira Liga game.

The Primeira Liga injury and suspension data can be utilised to provide expert football betting tips. You can also identify that a stats-led approach is adopted by considering the most important stats.

Key Sporting vs Braga league stats:

• The +1.25 line has been covered by Braga in 20 consecutive games.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Sporting in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Sporting in 6 of their last 10 games against Braga.

Braga +1.25 Probability

The top betting apps make it a 56.8% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Based on our tipsters research, we calculate the actual probability to be 60-65%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

If you want to try and leverage a large potential pay out from your stake, a Bet Builder is a potential way forward. Bet Braga to cover the line along with other picks.

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Our Match Prediction

Braga Asian Hcp +1.25 @ -132 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Sporting 1 - 1 Braga

Our prediction is a 1-1 draw which is available at odds of +575. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Ricardo Horta to Score +400

Ricardo Horta (Braga) has registered three goals in his past eight Primeira Liga matches. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive considering the numbers and we’ll plump for him to find the net at odds of +400.

Latest Ricardo Horta Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+400

First

+850

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Corners Prediction

Braga Over 3.5 Corners -100

The 3.5 corners line has been covered by Braga in ten straight games. We’re happy to back the -100 when it comes to Braga covering the Team Corners line which looks generous.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Sporting

Total

10.00 7.00 3.00

Home

9.90 6.70 3.20

Away

9.20 5.60 3.60

Braga

Total

9.40 6.50 2.90

Home

10.40 6.90 3.50

Away

8.70 4.80 3.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-110

Under 9.5

-132

Sporting Corners

Over 5.5

-138

Under 5.5

-100

Braga Corners

Over 3.5

-100

Under 3.5

-138

Most Corners

1

-313

X

+700

2

+300

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Sporting vs Braga Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Match Odds Suggest Sporting Victory

The favourites have a 68% likelihood of success according to the bookies, with Sporting CP chalked up at -217 to land a win in this Primeira Liga clash. For those wanting to back Braga, you will find +500 about this outsider.

Sporting can be backed at +102 on the Half-Time Result and you’ll need them to have their noses in front by the break. Braga can be chanced at +440 and the draw is +148.

The Total Goals odds suggest that Over 2.5 is a strong probability in this contest. BTTS wagering is popular and you can back Yes at -127 on the Both Teams to Score market.

It’s great that you can tap into hundreds of markets for every Primeira Liga game. Each of the leading football betting sites provide exciting pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

-217

X

+340

2

+500

Half-Time Result

1

+102

X

+148

2

+440

Double Chance

1X

-1000

12

-588

X2

+140

Draw No Bet

1

-556

2

+325

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.25

-102

2 Hcp +1.25

-132

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+117

Over 2.5

-154

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-127

No

-112

Luis Javier Suárez Favourite to Score the First Goal

Those interested in favourite Luis Javier Suárez to find the net first can get +230, while the Anytime Goalscorer angle could hold more appeal and this is -123.

Luis Javier Suárez (Sporting)

First

-123

Anytime

+230

Fotis Ioannidis (Sporting)

First

+170

Anytime

+450

Francisco Trincão (Sporting)

First

+175

Anytime

+430

Rodrigo Ribeiro (Sporting)

First

+205

Anytime

+550

Pedro Goncalves (Sporting)

First

+220

Anytime

+550

Pau Victor (Braga)

First

+310

Anytime

+700

Geny Catamo (Sporting)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Amine El Ouazzani (Braga)

First

+375

Anytime

+800

Ricardo Horta (Braga)

First

+400

Anytime

+850

Giorgi Kochorashvili (Sporting)

First

+400

Anytime

+950

Geovany Quenda (Sporting)

First

+425

Anytime

+1000

Maximiliano Araujo (Sporting)

First

+440

Anytime

+1050

Rodrigo Zalazar (Braga)

First

+440

Anytime

+1050

Ricardo Mangas (Sporting)

First

+480

Anytime

+1150

Morten Hjulmand (Sporting)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

João Marques (Braga)

First

+510

Anytime

+1100

Daniel Bragança (Sporting)

First

+540

Anytime

+1300

Nuno Santos (Sporting)

First

+550

Anytime

+1200

Gabriel Martínez (Braga)

First

+550

Anytime

+1200

Mario Dorgeles (Braga)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Hidemasa Morita (Sporting)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Georgios Vagiannidis (Sporting)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Jean-Baptiste Gorby (Braga)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

João Moutinho (Braga)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Sporting Have Eight Wins from Past Ten Home Games

Sporting have collected eight wins, one draw and one defeat in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 2.80 goals per match and conceding 0.80.

Braga have not lost on their travels in the past three matches. Carlos Vicens' team have five draws, three wins and two defeats in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.30 goals per match and conceding 0.90.

It was a 1-1 draw when Sporting last played Braga at Estadio Jose Alvalade. The past 6 H2H games at Estadio Jose Alvalade have involved four Sporting wins, one Braga victory and one draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Sporting Home Stats		8-1-1	3.60	2.80	0.80	8	2	7	3
Braga Away Stats		3-5-2	2.20	1.30	0.90	4	6	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Sporting vs Braga Lineups & Team News

Always review the Sporting vs Braga team news before locking in your bets. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups and the latest on injuries.

Sporting CP Team Page Braga Team Page