Sporting vs Braga Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 05 Oct 2025
Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Sporting vs Braga
Sporting host Braga in this Portuguese Primeira Liga meeting at Estadio Jose Alvalade, with kick-off set for 14:15 on Sunday 5 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
Braga +1.25 looks an interesting Asian Handicap wager at odds of -132. Our stake is divided between +1 and +1.5 when the underdogs clash with Sporting and that gives us a fighting chance.
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Sporting CP won their last game 1-0, making it three on the bounce. This was a road victory at Antonio Coimbra da Mota against Estoril Praia. The Lions had the majority of the ball boasting 62% possession and two shots on target, with an early goal from Luis Suarez proving to be the winner.
On Wednesday night, Sporting were beaten 2-1 away to Napoli in the Champions League.
Braga were beaten in their previous Primeira Liga game, losing 1-0 at home to Nacional at Estadio Municipal de Braga. Carlos Vicens' team enjoyed 60% possession and recorded one shot on goal.
Three days ago, Braga triumphed 2-0 when visiting Celtic in the Europa League.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Sporting have not lost any of the past six games against Braga, with the last clash seeing a 1-1 draw played out at Estadio Jose Alvalade. The previous 10 H2H matches have included six wins for Sporting, one victory for Braga along with three draws.
| Primeira Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sporting |
11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 6 | 21 | 27:6 | 28 |
| 7 | Braga |
11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 19:11 | 16 |
8 wins, 1 loss and 1 draw, averaging 2.4 goals from 6.6 shots on goal and 17.5 attempts. Sporting have had 60.2% possession, 509.8 passes and 7.0 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 0.6 goals from 1.9 shots on goal and 6.6 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 3.0 corners.
Top scorer is Pedro Goncalves on 6 goals, while Luis Suarez has racked up 5 and Trincao 4. Pedro Goncalves and Geovany Quenda are tied for the most assists on 3, with goalie Rui Silva managing 4 clean sheets.
Braga have won 2, lost 3 and drawn 5, with an average of 14.1 attempts, 5.4 shots on goal and 1.4 goals. The Archbishops average 63.7% possession, 546.4 passes, 6.5 corners awarded and 2.9 corners against them, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 3.3 shots on goal and 8.1 attempts.
Rodrigo Zalazar and Ricardo Horta have scored 3, followed by Fran Navarro with 2. Leonardo Lelo has been the top assist maker on 4, with Lukas Hornicek notching 2 clean sheets in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Sporting confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Rui Silva (GK), Georgios Vagiannidis, Zeno Debast, Goncalo Inacio, Maximiliano Araujo, Hidemasa Morita, Morten Hjulmand, Geovany Quenda, Trincao, Pedro Goncalves, Luis Suarez.
Braga confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Lukas Hornicek (GK), Victor Gomez, Gustaf Lagerbielke, Sikou Niakate, Leonardo Lelo, Florian Grillitsch, Carvalho, Joao Moutinho, Rodrigo Zalazar, Pau Victor, Ricardo Horta.
Sporting vs Braga Prediction & Betting Tips
We’ve got your Sporting vs Braga bets covered, including our expert match prediction, correct score tip, corners outlook, must-see player props and a tailored bet builder built for value.
Match Prediction
Braga +1.25 are likely to be a popular Asian Handicap wager at -132. A win or draw against Sporting can secure a full payout and we’re confident heading into the Primeira Liga game.
The Primeira Liga injury and suspension data can be utilised to provide expert football betting tips. You can also identify that a stats-led approach is adopted by considering the most important stats.
Key Sporting vs Braga league stats:
The top betting apps make it a 56.8% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Based on our tipsters research, we calculate the actual probability to be 60-65%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.
If you want to try and leverage a large potential pay out from your stake, a Bet Builder is a potential way forward. Bet Braga to cover the line along with other picks.
Don’t place a bet without checking our comprehensive guide to today’s best free bets and welcome bonuses.
Correct Score Prediction
Our prediction is a 1-1 draw which is available at odds of +575. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.
Player Prop Picks
Ricardo Horta (Braga) has registered three goals in his past eight Primeira Liga matches. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive considering the numbers and we’ll plump for him to find the net at odds of +400.
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Corners Prediction
The 3.5 corners line has been covered by Braga in ten straight games. We’re happy to back the -100 when it comes to Braga covering the Team Corners line which looks generous.
Sporting
Braga
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Bet Builder Tips
We’ve lined up a bet builder including these picks: Braga on the Asian Handicap at +1.25, two or less goals to be registered as well as Ricardo Horta (Braga) to be on the scoresheet.
The bet builder option allows you to combine different outcomes within the same football game. You can go through the available markets and cherry-pick the outcomes that you think will happen. The odds for each selection are then combined together.
Sporting vs Braga Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
The favourites have a 68% likelihood of success according to the bookies, with Sporting CP chalked up at -217 to land a win in this Primeira Liga clash. For those wanting to back Braga, you will find +500 about this outsider.
Sporting can be backed at -100 on the Half-Time Result and you’ll need them to have their noses in front by the break. Braga can be chanced at +450 and the draw is +148.
The Total Goals odds suggest that Over 2.5 is a strong probability in this contest. For those anticipating both sides finding the net, then BTTS Yes might prove attractive. Alternatively, you can wager BTTS No.
It’s great that you can tap into hundreds of markets for every Primeira Liga game. Each of the leading football betting sites provide exciting pre-match and In-Play betting options.
Those interested in favourite Luis Javier Suárez to find the net first can get +230, while the Anytime Goalscorer angle could hold more appeal and this is -123.
Sporting have collected eight wins, one draw and one defeat in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 2.80 goals per match and conceding 0.80.
Braga have not lost on their travels in the past three matches. Carlos Vicens' team have five draws, three wins and two defeats in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.30 goals per match and conceding 0.90.
It was a 1-1 draw when Sporting last played Braga at Estadio Jose Alvalade. The past 6 H2H games at Estadio Jose Alvalade have involved four Sporting wins, one Braga victory and one draw.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sporting Home Stats |
8-1-1 | 3.60 | 2.80 | 0.80 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 3 | |
Braga Away Stats |
3-5-2 | 2.20 | 1.30 | 0.90 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 4 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Primeira Liga: 07/04 2025 Sporting 1 Braga 1
- Primeira Liga: 10/11 2024 Braga 2 Sporting 4
- Primeira Liga: 11/02 2024 Sporting 5 Braga 0
- Primeira Liga: 03/09 2023 Braga 1 Sporting 1
- Primeira Liga: 01/02 2023 Sporting 5 Braga 0
- Primeira Liga: 07/08 2022 Braga 3 Sporting 3
- Primeira Liga: 22/01 2022 Sporting 1 Braga 2
- Primeira Liga: 14/08 2021 Braga 1 Sporting 2
- Primeira Liga: 25/04 2021 Braga 0 Sporting 1
- Primeira Liga: 02/01 2021 Sporting 2 Braga 0
Sporting League Stats
Braga League Stats
- 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins, 1 defeat and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 2 wins, 3 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 2 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.40 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 7.00 corners awarded and 3.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.70 corners awarded and 3.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 0 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.50 corners awarded and 2.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 3.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 60.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 57.00% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 63.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 59.60% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Sporting this season are Luis Suarez (5), Pedro Goncalves (5), Trincao (3)
- Top Assistors for Sporting this season are Geovany Quenda (3), Pedro Goncalves (3), Goncalo Inacio (2)
Sporting vs Braga Lineups & Team News
Always review the Sporting vs Braga team news before locking in your bets. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups and the latest on injuries.
Sporting Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Braga Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Sporting Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Braga Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Sporting Substitutes
- 10Geny Catamo
- 12Joao Virginia
- 14Giorgi Kochorashvili
- 22Ivan Fresneda
- 26Ousmane Diomande
- 27Alisson Santos
- 72Eduardo Quaresma
- 89Fotis Ioannidis
- 91Ricardo Mangas
Braga Substitutes
- 9Amine El Ouazzani
- 26Bright Arrey-Mbi
- 29Jean-Baptiste Gorby
- 36Alaa Bellaarouch
- 39Fran Navarro
- 41Yanis da Rocha
- 50Diego Rodrigues
- 77Gabri Martinez
- 95Sandro Vidigal
Previous Sporting Lineups
Previous Braga Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Primeira Liga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24:3 | 31 |
| 2 | Sporting | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 27:6 | 28 |
| 3 | Benfica | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 23:6 | 25 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16:5 | 23 |
| 5 | Famalicão | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 11:5 | 19 |
| 6 | Moreirense | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 16:15 | 18 |
| 7 | Braga | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19:11 | 16 |
| 8 | Vitória | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10:17 | 14 |
| 9 | Estoril | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19:17 | 13 |
| 10 | Nacional | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:15 | 12 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 14:19 | 12 |
| 12 | Estrela | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9:13 | 11 |
| 14 | Alverca | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13:24 | 9 |
| 16 | Arouca | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13:30 | 9 |
| 17 | Tondela | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6:20 | 6 |
| 18 | AVS | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8:25 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:1 | 13 |
| 2 | Benfica | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 14:5 | 12 |
| 3 | Moreirense | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | 12 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 12 |
| 5 | Sporting | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:3 | 10 |
| 6 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 10 |
| 7 | Famalicão | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 8 | Estoril | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | 8 |
| 9 | Vitória | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:8 | 8 |
| 10 | Santa Clara | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:6 | 7 |
| 11 | Alverca | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:10 | 7 |
| 12 | Estrela | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | 5 |
| 13 | Rio Ave | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:10 | 5 |
| 14 | Arouca | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:13 | 5 |
| 15 | Nacional | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 16 | Tondela | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:7 | 2 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | 2 |
| 18 | AVS | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:12 | 2 |
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