Sporting vs Casa Pia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Jan 2026

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Sporting vs Casa Pia

Second-placed Sporting welcome Casa Pia to Estadio Jose Alvalade, with kick-off set for 15:15 on Friday 16 January.

Sporting should pack a punch against Casa Pia. We’ll take the favourites at -2.25 which means split stakes between -2 and -2.5 and a three goal winning margin is needed to land a return at -118 on the Asian Handicap.

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Sporting CP faced Gil Vicente away when last in action. It was a 1-1 draw at Municipal de Barcelos. Rui Borges' men boasted 63% possession and recorded four shots on target, with Luis Suarez scoring the goal.

Casa Pia lost on their travels in their previous game. Rio Ave won 3-1 at Estadio dos Arcos. The Geese recorded four shots on goal and had 49% possession, with Claudio Mendes on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 2-0 in favour of away team Sporting when they last faced Casa Pia, with the encounter taking place at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. In the past 7 games between these teams, Sporting have won all of them.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Sporting	17	13	3	1	47	9	38	47:9	42
15	Casa Pia	17	3	5	9	17	32	-15	17:32	14

View Full Table

7 wins and 3 draws, averaging 2.8 goals from 7.7 shots on goal and 18.4 attempts. Sporting have had 62.0% possession, 538.9 passes and 6.7 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 0.5 goals from 3.4 shots on goal and 9.4 attempts, while being awarded 2.5 corners.

Top goalscorer is Luis Suarez on 10 goals, while Maximiliano Araujo and Pedro Goncalves have both bagged 4. Trincao has the most assists with 5, while goalkeeper Rui Silva has 5 clean sheets.

Casa Pia have won 1, lost 5 and drawn 4, with an average of 7.3 attempts, 2.8 shots on goal and 1.1 goals. Goncalo Brandao's team average 47.0% possession, 347.7 passes, 3.9 corners in their favour and 5.6 corners against, while 2.1 goals have been conceded from 4.6 shots on goal and 11.7 attempts.

Renato Nhaga is top of the team’s scoring charts with 2, while Claudio Mendes, Gaizka Larrazabal, Kelian Wa Saka and Jose Fonte have 1. Miguel Sousa, Jeremy Livolant and Gaizka Larrazabal are top assists providers with 2, while Patrick Sequeira has recorded one clean sheet in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Sporting predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Rui Silva (GK), Iván Fresneda, Eduardo Quaresma, Gonçalo Inácio, Matheus Reis, Morten Hjulmand, João Simões, Francisco Trincão, Fotis Ioannidis, Maximiliano Araújo, Luis Suarez.

Casa Pia predicted lineup (3-4-3): Patrick Sequeira (GK), João Goulart, Jose Fonte, David Sousa, Gaizka Larrazabal, Rafael Brito, Renato Sam Na Nhaga, Abdu Conte, Yassin Oukili, Cassiano, Jeremy Livolant.

Sporting vs Casa Pia Prediction & Betting Tips

Get ahead of the game with our Sporting vs Casa Pia betting rundown, featuring our trusted match prediction, likely correct score outcome, corners betting edge and a fully loaded bet builder.

Match Prediction

It could be worth backing Sporting -2.25 when they take to the field for this Primeira Liga match. Generous odds of -118 are available and we can see the home team stretching clear of the opposition.

Our football picks always stem from lots of research and it begins by looking at the latest Primeira Liga team news and current form. When we have a strong view of what might happen, we match up the latest numbers.

Key Sporting vs Casa Pia league stats:

• The -2.25 line has been covered by Sporting in 3 consecutive games at home.

The best football betting sites make it a 54.1% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our tipsters have this number closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

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Our Match Prediction

Sporting Asian Hcp -2.25 @ -118 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Sporting 3 - 0 Casa Pia

There could be merit in backing Sporting to win 3-0. Odds of +400 are available about a correct score bet where a nice potential return is on the cards.

Corners Prediction

Casa Pia Over 1.5 Corners -143

Casa Pia have covered the 1.5 corners line in ten straight away games, while Sporting have conceded an average of 3.00 corners in the past 5 games. If you’re in agreement with our opinion that the Casa Pia Team Corners line is on the low side, take the odds of -143 that they go over.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Sporting

Total

9.20 6.70 2.50

Home

8.40 6.50 1.90

Away

10.80 7.20 3.60

Casa Pia

Total

9.50 3.90 5.60

Home

8.50 3.50 5.00

Away

10.80 4.20 6.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-127

Under 9.5

-115

Sporting Corners

Over 7.5

-123

Under 7.5

-115

Casa Pia Corners

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-100

Most Corners

1

-2000

X

+1300

2

+1050

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Sporting vs Casa Pia Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The bookies are taking no chances with their betting odds of -833 about Sporting CP which reflects they have a 89% chance of winning this Primeira Liga encounter. Casa Pia are seen as by far the most unlikely winner at +1700.

If you fancy Sporting to be leading at the interval, then you can secure odds of -204. Alternatively, there’s the chance to wager on Casa Pia at +1000 on the Half-Time Result, with the draw trading at +210.

Over 2.5 Goals is trading at a shorter price than Under 2.5 Goals right now. An alternative play could be betting BTTS No where you can get -227 when it comes to the Both Teams to Score No market.

It’s fantastic to find hundreds of markets on offer for Primeira Liga games. You simply need to visit the best sports betting sites and select from the various football options that are presented.

Full-Time Result

1

-833

X

+650

2

+1700

Half-Time Result

1

-204

X

+210

2

+1000

Double Chance

1X

-5000

12

-1429

X2

+390

Draw No Bet

1

-3333

2

+1150

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -2.25

-118

2 Hcp +2.25

-122

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+148

Over 2.5

-213

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+155

No

-227

There is -156 available that Luis Javier Suárez finds the net at any stage. He is available at +205 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.

Luis Javier Suárez (Sporting)

First

-156

Anytime

+205

Pedro Goncalves (Sporting)

First

+148

Anytime

+380

Fotis Ioannidis (Sporting)

First

+163

Anytime

+450

Francisco Trincão (Sporting)

First

+175

Anytime

+450

Rodrigo Ribeiro (Sporting)

First

+188

Anytime

+510

Rafael Nel (Sporting)

First

+195

Anytime

+500

Geny Catamo (Sporting)

First

+280

Anytime

+750

Luis Guilherme Lira dos Santos (Sporting)

First

+285

Anytime

+700

Geovany Quenda (Sporting)

First

+390

Anytime

+950

Maximiliano Araujo (Sporting)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Giorgi Kochorashvili (Sporting)

First

+410

Anytime

+950

João António Nascimento Muniz (Sporting)

First

+420

Anytime

+1050

Ricardo Mangas (Sporting)

First

+430

Anytime

+1100

Morten Hjulmand (Sporting)

First

+475

Anytime

+1200

Daniel Bragança (Sporting)

First

+480

Anytime

+1150

Nuno Santos (Sporting)

First

+510

Anytime

+1300

Ousmane Diomande (Sporting)

First

+550

Anytime

+1600

Matheus Reis (Sporting)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Georgios Vagiannidis (Sporting)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Jeremiah St. Juste (Sporting)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Zeno Debast (Sporting)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Gonçalo Inácio (Sporting)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Eduardo Quaresma (Sporting)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Hidemasa Morita (Sporting)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Claudio Mendes (Casa Pia)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Sporting have enjoyed six straight wins at Estadio Jose Alvalade. Rui Borges' men have eight wins, one draw and one loss in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 3.00 goals per match and conceding 0.50.

Casa Pia have six defeats, three victories and one draw in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.90.

Sporting enjoyed a 2-0 winning scoreline when last meeting Casa Pia at Estadio Jose Alvalade. Sporting have a 100% win record when it comes to the previous 3 H2H meetings at Estadio Jose Alvalade.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Sporting Home Stats		8-1-1	3.50	3.00	0.50	8	2	4	6
Casa Pia Away Stats		3-1-6	3.00	1.10	1.90	7	3	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Sporting vs Casa Pia Lineups & Team News

Avoid surprises — review the Sporting vs Casa Pia team news before you bet. We’ll keep you posted with predicted and confirmed lineups for the Primeira Liga and all current injury news.

Sporting CP Team Page Casa Pia Team Page

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