Sporting vs Casa Pia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Jan 2026

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Sporting vs Casa Pia

Second-placed Sporting welcome Casa Pia to Estadio Jose Alvalade, with kick-off set for 15:15 on Friday 16 January.

Sporting should pack a punch against Casa Pia. We’ll take the favourites at -2.25 which means split stakes between -2 and -2.5 and a three goal winning margin is needed to land a return at -118 on the Asian Handicap.

Sporting CP faced Gil Vicente away when last in action. It was a 1-1 draw at Municipal de Barcelos. Rui Borges' men boasted 63% possession and recorded four shots on target, with Luis Suarez scoring the goal.

Casa Pia lost on their travels in their previous game. Rio Ave won 3-1 at Estadio dos Arcos. The Geese recorded four shots on goal and had 49% possession, with Claudio Mendes on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 2-0 in favour of away team Sporting when they last faced Casa Pia, with the encounter taking place at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. In the past 7 games between these teams, Sporting have won all of them.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Sporting	24	19	4	1	62	12	50	62:12	61
13	Casa Pia	24	5	8	11	26	44	-18	26:44	23

View Full Table

7 wins and 3 draws, averaging 2.8 goals from 7.7 shots on goal and 18.4 attempts. Sporting have had 62.0% possession, 538.9 passes and 6.7 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 0.5 goals from 3.4 shots on goal and 9.4 attempts, while being awarded 2.5 corners.

Top goalscorer is Luis Suarez on 10 goals, while Maximiliano Araujo and Pedro Goncalves have both bagged 4. Trincao has the most assists with 5, while goalkeeper Rui Silva has 5 clean sheets.

Casa Pia have won 1, lost 5 and drawn 4, with an average of 7.3 attempts, 2.8 shots on goal and 1.1 goals. Goncalo Brandao's team average 47.0% possession, 347.7 passes, 3.9 corners in their favour and 5.6 corners against, while 2.1 goals have been conceded from 4.6 shots on goal and 11.7 attempts.

Renato Nhaga is top of the team’s scoring charts with 2, while Claudio Mendes, Gaizka Larrazabal, Kelian Wa Saka and Jose Fonte have 1. Miguel Sousa, Jeremy Livolant and Gaizka Larrazabal are top assists providers with 2, while Patrick Sequeira has recorded one clean sheet in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Sporting confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Rui Silva (GK), Georgios Vagiannidis, Matheus, Goncalo Inacio, Ivan Fresneda, Joao Simoes, Hidemasa Morita, Geny Catamo, Trincao, Luis Guilherme, Luis Suarez.

Casa Pia confirmed lineup (3-2-4-1): Patrick Sequeira (GK), Joao Goulart, Jose Fonte, David Sousa, Gaizka Larrazabal, Abdu Conte, Jeremy Livolant, Sebastian Perez, Renato Nhaga, Kelian Wa Saka, Cassiano.

Sporting vs Casa Pia Prediction & Betting Tips

Unlock a complete betting breakdown for Sporting vs Casa Pia, featuring our expert match prediction, expected final score, corners insight, standout player prop picks and a ready-to-play bet builder.

Match Prediction

It could be worth backing Sporting -2.25 when they take to the field for this Primeira Liga match. Generous odds of -118 are available and we can see the home team stretching clear of the opposition.

Our football picks always stem from lots of research and it begins by looking at the latest Primeira Liga team news and current form. When we have a strong view of what might happen, we match up the latest numbers.

Key Sporting vs Casa Pia league stats:

• The -2.25 line has been covered by Sporting in 3 consecutive games at home.

The best football betting sites make it a 54.1% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our tipsters have this number closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

If you’re searching for a larger price, then there’s the opportunity to move the line. Select from a host of choices and get paid out if your selection lands.

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Our Match Prediction

Sporting Asian Hcp -2.25 @ -118 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 14, 21:37). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Sporting 3 - 0 Casa Pia

There could be merit in backing Sporting to win 3-0. Odds of +430 are available about a correct score bet where a nice potential return is on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Geny Catamo to Score +295

Geny Catamo (Sporting) has managed two goals in his past four Primeira Liga home matches. We believe this is the best of the player props, with a healthy +295 available when it comes to betting him to score at any time.

Latest Geny Catamo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+295

First

+700

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Casa Pia Over 1.5 Corners -143

Casa Pia have covered the 1.5 corners line in ten straight away games, while Sporting have conceded an average of 3.00 corners in the past 5 games. If you’re in agreement with our opinion that the Casa Pia Team Corners line is on the low side, take the odds of -143 that they go over.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Sporting

Total

9.20 6.70 2.50

Home

8.40 6.50 1.90

Away

10.80 7.20 3.60

Casa Pia

Total

9.50 3.90 5.60

Home

8.50 3.50 5.00

Away

10.80 4.20 6.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-116

Under 9.5

-123

Sporting Corners

Over 6.5

-147

Under 6.5

+102

Casa Pia Corners

Over 2.5

+116

Under 2.5

-167

Most Corners

1

-909

X

+1000

2

+700

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Sporting vs Casa Pia Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Sporting CP are the overwhelming -625 favourites to win this Primeira Liga clash which means a 86% probability of claiming a victory according to the latest Full-Time Result betting odds. Casa Pia are trading at a much larger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +1400.

If you fancy Sporting to be leading at the interval, then you can secure odds of -185. Alternatively, there’s the chance to wager on Casa Pia at +900 on the Half-Time Result, with the draw trading at +200.

Over 2.5 Goals is trading at a shorter price than Under 2.5 Goals right now. An alternative play could be betting BTTS No where you can get -204 when it comes to the Both Teams to Score No market.

It’s fantastic to find hundreds of markets on offer for Primeira Liga games. You simply need to visit the best sports betting sites and select from the various football options that are presented.

Full-Time Result

1

-625

X

+575

2

+1400

Half-Time Result

1

-185

X

+200

2

+900

Double Chance

1X

-5000

12

-1250

X2

+330

Draw No Bet

1

-3333

2

+950

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -2

-132

2 Hcp +2

-109

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+140

Over 2.5

-204

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+140

No

-204

There is -200 available that Luis Javier Suárez finds the net at any stage. He is available at +165 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.

Luis Javier Suárez (Sporting)

First

-200

Anytime

+165

Pedro Goncalves (Sporting)

First

+155

Anytime

+400

Fotis Ioannidis (Sporting)

First

+170

Anytime

+475

Rodrigo Ribeiro (Sporting)

First

+188

Anytime

+510

Francisco Trincão (Sporting)

First

+195

Anytime

+500

Rafael Nel (Sporting)

First

+210

Anytime

+525

Geny Catamo (Sporting)

First

+295

Anytime

+700

Luis Guilherme Lira dos Santos (Sporting)

First

+310

Anytime

+700

Geovany Quenda (Sporting)

First

+390

Anytime

+950

Maximiliano Araujo (Sporting)

First

+410

Anytime

+1050

Giorgi Kochorashvili (Sporting)

First

+420

Anytime

+1000

Ricardo Mangas (Sporting)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

João António Nascimento Muniz (Sporting)

First

+450

Anytime

+1100

Morten Hjulmand (Sporting)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Cassiano Dias Moreira (Casa Pia)

First

+500

Anytime

+1100

Jeremy Livolant (Casa Pia)

First

+500

Anytime

+1150

Kevin Prieto (Casa Pia)

First

+510

Anytime

+1100

Kelian Nsona (Casa Pia)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Nuno Santos (Sporting)

First

+540

Anytime

+1300

Daniel Bragança (Sporting)

First

+540

Anytime

+1300

Xander Severina (Casa Pia)

First

+550

Anytime

+1200

Korede Osundina (Casa Pia)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Dailon Rocha Livramento (Casa Pia)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Matheus Reis (Sporting)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Jeremiah St. Juste (Sporting)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Zeno Debast (Sporting)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Hidemasa Morita (Sporting)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Georgios Vagiannidis (Sporting)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Kiki Silva (Casa Pia)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Claudio Mendes (Casa Pia)

First

+750

Anytime

+1500

Sporting have enjoyed six straight wins at Estadio Jose Alvalade. Rui Borges' men have eight wins, one draw and one loss in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 3.00 goals per match and conceding 0.50.

Casa Pia have six defeats, three victories and one draw in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.90.

Sporting enjoyed a 2-0 winning scoreline when last meeting Casa Pia at Estadio Jose Alvalade. Sporting have a 100% win record when it comes to the previous 3 H2H meetings at Estadio Jose Alvalade.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Sporting Home Stats		8-1-1	3.50	3.00	0.50	8	2	4	6
Casa Pia Away Stats		3-1-6	3.00	1.10	1.90	7	3	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Sporting vs Casa Pia Lineups & Team News

Avoid surprises — review the Sporting vs Casa Pia team news before you bet. We’ll keep you posted with predicted and confirmed lineups for the Primeira Liga and all current injury news.

Sporting CP Team Page Casa Pia Team Page

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