St Mirren vs Aberdeen Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 18 Oct 2025
Premiership Betting Preview: St Mirren vs Aberdeen
St Mirren host basement boys Aberdeen in this Scottish Premiership encounter at SMISA Stadium, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 18 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
The best bet on this St Mirren vs Aberdeen game could involve a Total Goals selection. We think that Under 2.5 is crying out to be backed based on the available stats and the odds of -123 look value.
Feeling our Total Goals prediction? Grab that BetMGM promo code and give our full review a look before getting involved.
St Mirren were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 2-0 loss against Kilmarnock at Rugby Park. The Buddies enjoyed 63% possession, but were unable to manage a shot on target.
Aberdeen have lost three straight road games. Their most recent appearance was a 4-0 home victory over Dundee FC at Pittodrie Stadium. Jimmy Thelin's men recorded 63% possession and had nine shots on goal, while Jesper Karlsson scored two, with Adil Aouchiche and Emmanuel Gyamfi also finding the net.
Head-to-Head Statistics
St Mirren have three consecutive victories against Aberdeen. In their last encounter, St Mirren banked a 1-0 home win at SMISA Stadium. The 10 past H2H meetings have involved seven St Mirren victories, one draw and two Aberdeen wins.
| Scottish Premiership | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aberdeen |
16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 18:17 | 24 |
| 9 | St Mirren |
15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 14:22 | 14 |
St Mirren have 3 wins, 2 losses and 5 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 9.5 attempts. Stephen Robinson's team have averaged 40.7% possession and 4.7 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 0.9 goals from 4.3 shots on goal, 11.2 attempts and 6.9 corners.
Jonah Ayunga is the top goalscorer with 3, Mikael Mandron has 2, with Killian Phillips and two other players on 1. Mikael Mandron, Declan John and Roland Idowu have racked up the most assists with 2 each.
Aberdeen have 1 victory, 8 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 0.6 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 11.7 attempts. There’s been an average of 45.4% possession, 5.1 corners awarded and 5.8 corners against, while they’ve conceded 2.0 goals from 5.9 shots on goal and 13.9 attempts.
Jesper Karlsson is top of the team’s scoring charts with 2, while Adil Aouchiche, Emmanuel Gyamfi, Jeppe Okkels and Kevin Nisbet have 1. Stuart Armstrong, Marko Lazetic and Alexander Jensen have been the top assists providers with 1 in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
St Mirren confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Shamal George (GK), Marcus Fraser, Alexandros Gogic, Miguel Freckleton, Jayden Richardson, Killian Phillips, Keanu Baccus, Mark O'Hara, Declan John, Dan Nlundulu, Mikael Mandron.
Aberdeen confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Dimitar Mitov (GK), Nicky Devlin, Jack Milne, Mats Knoester, Alexander Jensen, Stuart Armstrong, Graeme Shinnie, Gavin Molloy, Adil Aouchiche, Kevin Nisbet, Jesper Karlsson.
St Mirren vs Aberdeen Prediction & Betting Tips
This St Mirren vs Aberdeen betting guide features sharp analysis across major markets, including a match prediction, correct score bet, corner kick insight, valuable player prop picks and a strategic bet builder.
Match Prediction
The stats imply that we’ll see a low-scoring Premiership clash, with a total goal count of two or less expected based on the information to hand. Secure a price of -123 for Under 2.5 Goals.
Getting the lowdown on injuries and studying the Premiership form guide are important duties ahead of making football predictions. We also place great emphasis on the stats and a data-led approach can sometimes be effective.
Key St Mirren vs Aberdeen league stats:
Based on the odds from the best betting apps, our pick carries a 55.2% chance of winning. Based on our tipsters research, we calculate the actual probability to be 60-65%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.
There’s a larger price available if you combine the Under 2.5 pick on the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market. Combining this with BTTS No will give you increased odds.
Get more from your bets with our detailed guide, featuring the best free bets and generous welcome bonuses.
Correct Score Prediction
St Mirren can be backed at +550 to triumph by a 1-0 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.
Player Prop Picks
Roland Idowu (St Mirren) has scored two goals in his past nine Premiership matches on home soil. The Anytime Goalscorer odds look really appealing based on the stats and we’ll take a chance on him at odds of +400.
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Corners Prediction
Aberdeen have had under 5.5 corners in three consecutive away matches, with St Mirren conceding under 5.5 corners in the previous three games. It looks a logical viewpoint that the Team Corners line won’t be reached and you can land a price of -150 for this Aberdeen wager.
St Mirren
Aberdeen
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Bet Builder Tips
It’s great fun to place a same-game multi and our picks are Under 2.5 goals, St Mirren on the Asian Handicap at -0.25 accompanied by Aberdeen Under 5.5 corners.
Placing a bet builder offers a great option for football punters who are looking to focus specifically on one match. Bettors enjoy creating a tailored wager based on their predictions for how a match is likely to turn out.
St Mirren vs Aberdeen Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
The latest Full-Time Result betting odds show that St Mirren are +143 for a Premiership victory, while Aberdeen are +170. The draw is trading at +240 should you think the game will end all square.
If you think that St Mirren are able to beat Aberdeen, then the +107 could be the option for you on the Asian Handicap -0.25. Built into this bet is the half stake refund should the scoreline end level.
The latest betting suggests it’s a close call between Over 2.5 Goals and Under 2.5 Goals. Punters expecting both teams to find the net can get -139 when it comes to BTTS Yes.
The good news is that you can access hundreds of markets for any Premiership match. All the leading football betting sites have a massive range of pre-match and In-Play betting options.
You will find Marko Lazetic at +550 to be First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite. There’s the chance to get +240 that he finds the net at anytime.
St Mirren have avoided defeat in their last eight matches at SMISA Stadium. The Buddies have clocked up five draws, four victories and one defeat in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.70 goals per match and conceding 1.30.
Aberdeen are on a six game losing streak on the road. Jimmy Thelin's men have seven defeats, two victories and one draw in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 0.50 goals per game and conceding 1.90.
The previous SMISA Stadium encounter involved a 1-0 St Mirren win against Aberdeen. St Mirren have secured six wins, Aberdeen boast a win and there have been three draws in the past 10 H2H meetings at SMISA Stadium.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St Mirren Home Stats |
4-5-1 | 3.00 | 1.70 | 1.30 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | |
Aberdeen Away Stats |
2-1-7 | 2.40 | 0.50 | 1.90 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 7 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Scottish Premiership: 03/05 2025 St Mirren 1 Aberdeen 0
- Scottish Premiership: 25/01 2025 Aberdeen 0 St Mirren 3
- Scottish Premiership: 23/11 2024 St Mirren 2 Aberdeen 1
- Scottish Premiership: 11/08 2024 Aberdeen 3 St Mirren 1
- Scottish Premiership: 02/03 2024 St Mirren 2 Aberdeen 1
- Scottish Premiership: 30/12 2023 Aberdeen 0 St Mirren 3
- Scottish Premiership: 27/08 2023 St Mirren 2 Aberdeen 2
- Scottish Premiership: 24/05 2023 Aberdeen 3 St Mirren 0
- Scottish Premiership: 01/02 2023 Aberdeen 1 St Mirren 3
- Scottish Premiership: 24/12 2022 St Mirren 3 Aberdeen 1
St Mirren League Stats
Aberdeen League Stats
- 3 wins, 2 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 1 defeat and 5 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 1 win, 8 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 7 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.60 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.50 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 6.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 5.30 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 11.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 5.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 5.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 40.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 42.60% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 45.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 48.70% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for St Mirren this season are Declan John (1), Jonah Ayunga (1), Killian Phillips (1)
- Top Assistors for St Mirren this season are Declan John (2), Mikael Mandron (2)
St Mirren vs Aberdeen Lineups & Team News
Double-check the St Mirren vs Aberdeen team news before placing your bets. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Premiership lineups plus current injury reports.
St Mirren Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2
Aberdeen Confirmed Lineup 3-4-3
St Mirren Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2
Aberdeen Confirmed Lineup 3-4-3
St Mirren Substitutes
- 3Scott Tanser
- 4Liam Donnelly
- 5Richard King
- 7Roland Idowu
- 10Conor McMenamin
- 11Jonah Ayunga
- 17Jalmaro Calvin
- 18Malik Dijksteel
- 31Ryan Mullen
Aberdeen Substitutes
- 8Dante Polvara
- 10Leighton Clarkson
- 11Nicolas Milanovic
- 13Nicholas Suman
- 18Ante Palaversa
- 26Alfie Dorrington
- 27Marko Lazetic
- 29K. Mar Kjartansson
- 81Topi Keskinen
Previous St Mirren Lineups
Previous Aberdeen Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
St Mirren Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Stephen Robinson
Aberdeen Player Stats & Squad
Premiership Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hearts | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 34:13 | 38 |
| 2 | Celtic | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 25:11 | 32 |
| 3 | Rangers | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 23:13 | 29 |
| 4 | Motherwell | 17 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 25:15 | 27 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 27:19 | 24 |
| 6 | Aberdeen | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 18:17 | 24 |
| 7 | Falkirk | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19:26 | 21 |
| 8 | Dundee United | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 21:25 | 17 |
| 9 | St Mirren | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14:22 | 14 |
| 10 | Dundee FC | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 15:31 | 13 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 17:32 | 12 |
| 12 | Livingston | 16 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 17:31 | 9 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:4 | 19 |
| 2 | Hearts | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 18:6 | 18 |
| 3 | Motherwell | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:5 | 15 |
| 4 | Rangers | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 13 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 16:9 | 12 |
| 6 | Aberdeen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | 12 |
| 7 | Falkirk | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 8 | Dundee FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 9 | Dundee United | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:12 | 9 |
| 10 | St Mirren | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | 9 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7:15 | 6 |
| 12 | Livingston | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | 5 |
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