St Mirren vs Aberdeen Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 18 Oct 2025

Premiership Betting Preview: St Mirren vs Aberdeen

St Mirren host basement boys Aberdeen in this Scottish Premiership encounter at SMISA Stadium, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 18 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

We’re Expecting a Low-Scoring Encounter

The best bet on this St Mirren vs Aberdeen game could involve a Total Goals selection. We think that Under 2.5 is crying out to be backed based on the available stats and the odds of -123 look value.

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7 Victories for St Mirren in Previous 10 H2H Matches

St Mirren were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 2-0 loss against Kilmarnock at Rugby Park. The Buddies enjoyed 63% possession, but were unable to manage a shot on target.

Aberdeen have lost three straight road games. Their most recent appearance was a 4-0 home victory over Dundee FC at Pittodrie Stadium. Jimmy Thelin's men recorded 63% possession and had nine shots on goal, while Jesper Karlsson scored two, with Adil Aouchiche and Emmanuel Gyamfi also finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

St Mirren have three consecutive victories against Aberdeen. In their last encounter, St Mirren banked a 1-0 home win at SMISA Stadium. The 10 past H2H meetings have involved seven St Mirren victories, one draw and two Aberdeen wins.

Scottish Premiership		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	St Mirren	7	2	3	2	5	6	-1	5:6	9
12	Aberdeen	7	1	1	5	4	9	-5	4:9	4

View Full Table

St Mirren have 3 wins, 2 losses and 5 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 9.5 attempts. Stephen Robinson's team have averaged 40.7% possession and 4.7 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 0.9 goals from 4.3 shots on goal, 11.2 attempts and 6.9 corners.

Jonah Ayunga is the top goalscorer with 3, Mikael Mandron has 2, with Killian Phillips and two other players on 1. Mikael Mandron, Declan John and Roland Idowu have racked up the most assists with 2 each.

Aberdeen have 1 victory, 8 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 0.6 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 11.7 attempts. There’s been an average of 45.4% possession, 5.1 corners awarded and 5.8 corners against, while they’ve conceded 2.0 goals from 5.9 shots on goal and 13.9 attempts.

Jesper Karlsson is top of the team’s scoring charts with 2, while Adil Aouchiche, Emmanuel Gyamfi, Jeppe Okkels and Kevin Nisbet have 1. Stuart Armstrong, Marko Lazetic and Alexander Jensen have been the top assists providers with 1 in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

St Mirren predicted lineup (3-5-2): Ryan Mullen (GK), Miguel Freckleton, Alexandros Gogic, Declan John, Jayden Richardson, Killian Phillips, Liam Donnelly, Roland Idowu, Scott Tanser, Jonah Ayunga, Mikael Mandron.

Aberdeen predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Dimitar Mitov (GK), Alexander Jensen, Jack Milne, Mats Knoester, Nicky Devlin, Stuart Armstrong, Graeme Shinnie, Emmanuel Gyamfi, Adil Aouchiche, Jesper Karlsson, Kevin Nisbet.

St Mirren vs Aberdeen Prediction & Betting Tips

This St Mirren vs Aberdeen betting guide features sharp analysis across major markets, including a match prediction, correct score bet, corner kick insight, valuable player prop picks and a strategic bet builder.

Match Prediction

The stats imply that we’ll see a low-scoring Premiership clash, with a total goal count of two or less expected based on the information to hand. Secure a price of -123 for Under 2.5 Goals.

Getting the lowdown on injuries and studying the Premiership form guide are important duties ahead of making football predictions. We also place great emphasis on the stats and a data-led approach can sometimes be effective.

Key St Mirren vs Aberdeen league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 St Mirren games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 St Mirren games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 St Mirren games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Aberdeen games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Aberdeen games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Aberdeen games on the road.

Under 2.5 Probability

Based on the odds from the best betting apps, our pick carries a 55.2% chance of winning. Based on our tipsters research, we calculate the actual probability to be 60-65%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

There’s a larger price available if you combine the Under 2.5 pick on the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market. Combining this with BTTS No will give you increased odds.

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Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -123 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

St Mirren 1 - 0 Aberdeen

St Mirren can be backed at +550 to triumph by a 1-0 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Roland Idowu to Score +400

Roland Idowu (St Mirren) has scored two goals in his past nine Premiership matches on home soil. The Anytime Goalscorer odds look really appealing based on the stats and we’ll take a chance on him at odds of +400.

Latest Roland Idowu Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+400

First

+850

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Corners Prediction

Aberdeen Under 5.5 Corners -150

Aberdeen have had under 5.5 corners in three consecutive away matches, with St Mirren conceding under 5.5 corners in the previous three games. It looks a logical viewpoint that the Team Corners line won’t be reached and you can land a price of -150 for this Aberdeen wager.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

St Mirren

Total

11.60 4.70 6.90

Home

10.00 4.70 5.30

Away

11.90 5.00 6.90

Aberdeen

Total

10.90 5.10 5.80

Home

11.40 7.10 4.30

Away

10.70 5.00 5.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-123

Under 10.5

-115

St Mirren Corners

Over 5.5

-110

Under 5.5

-125

Aberdeen Corners

Over 5.5

+110

Under 5.5

-150

Most Corners

1

-120

X

+650

2

+123

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St Mirren vs Aberdeen Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Anticipating a Tight Affair

The latest Full-Time Result betting odds show that St Mirren are +143 for a Premiership victory, while Aberdeen are +170. The draw is trading at +240 should you think the game will end all square.

If you think that St Mirren are able to beat Aberdeen, then the +107 could be the option for you on the Asian Handicap -0.25. Built into this bet is the half stake refund should the scoreline end level.

The latest betting suggests it’s a close call between Over 2.5 Goals and Under 2.5 Goals. Punters expecting both teams to find the net can get -139 when it comes to BTTS Yes.

The good news is that you can access hundreds of markets for any Premiership match. All the leading football betting sites have a massive range of pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

+143

X

+240

2

+170

Half-Time Result

1

+205

X

+120

2

+225

Double Chance

1X

-263

12

-370

X2

-208

Draw No Bet

1

-133

2

-106

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+107

2 Hcp +0.25

-147

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-123

Over 2.5

-108

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-139

No

-103

Marko Lazetic Favourite to Find the Net First

You will find Marko Lazetic at +550 to be First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite. There’s the chance to get +240 that he finds the net at anytime.

Marko Lazetic (Aberdeen)

First

+240

Anytime

+550

Jonah Ayunga (St Mirren)

First

+245

Anytime

+525

Daniel N'Lundulu (St Mirren)

First

+255

Anytime

+600

Mikael Mandron (St Mirren)

First

+270

Anytime

+575

Nicolas Milanovic (Aberdeen)

First

+275

Anytime

+600

Jesper Karlsson (Aberdeen)

First

+290

Anytime

+650

Kevin Nisbet (Aberdeen)

First

+310

Anytime

+650

Roland Idowu (St Mirren)

First

+400

Anytime

+850

Mark O'Hara (St Mirren)

First

+440

Anytime

+1000

Topi Keskinen (Aberdeen)

First

+440

Anytime

+900

Liam Donnelly (St Mirren)

First

+450

Anytime

+1000

Adil Aouchiche (Aberdeen)

First

+460

Anytime

+900

Killian Phillips (St Mirren)

First

+475

Anytime

+1000

Stuart Armstrong (Aberdeen)

First

+480

Anytime

+1000

Ante Palaversa (Aberdeen)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Sivert Heltne Nilsen (Aberdeen)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

Leighton Clarkson (Aberdeen)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Alex Gogic (St Mirren)

First

+800

Anytime

+1600

Jack Milne (Aberdeen)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

Dante Polvara (Aberdeen)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

Mats Knoester (Aberdeen)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Graeme Shinnie (Aberdeen)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Scott Tanser (St Mirren)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

St Mirren Unbeaten at Home in Past Eight Games

St Mirren have avoided defeat in their last eight matches at SMISA Stadium. The Buddies have clocked up five draws, four victories and one defeat in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.70 goals per match and conceding 1.30.

Aberdeen are on a six game losing streak on the road. Jimmy Thelin's men have seven defeats, two victories and one draw in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 0.50 goals per game and conceding 1.90.

The previous SMISA Stadium encounter involved a 1-0 St Mirren win against Aberdeen. St Mirren have secured six wins, Aberdeen boast a win and there have been three draws in the past 10 H2H meetings at SMISA Stadium.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
St Mirren Home Stats		4-5-1	3.00	1.70	1.30	5	5	6	4
Aberdeen Away Stats		2-1-7	2.40	0.50	1.90	4	6	3	7

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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St Mirren vs Aberdeen Lineups & Team News

Double-check the St Mirren vs Aberdeen team news before placing your bets. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Premiership lineups plus current injury reports.

St Mirren Team Page Aberdeen Team Page