St Patricks vs Derry City Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 Mar 2025
Saints Stand Out on the Asian Handicap
St Patrick's look like the real deal against Derry and we’re happy to take the +110 about them on the Asian Handicap -0.25. We get half our money back if the game ends level.
Pats 1-0 Victory in Previous H2H Meeting
St Patrick's Athletic were winners last time out. It was a 4-3 home win against Sligo Rovers at Richmond Park. Stephen Kenny's men had eight shots on target and boasted 60% possession, with Aidan Keena scoring two, while Zack Elbouzedi and Chris Forrester also getting a goal.
Derry City lost when they were last in action. In a home game at Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, they were turned over 2-1 by Waterford. The Northern Ireland side boasted 71% possession and had seven shots on goal, with Patrick Hoban on the scoresheet.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It was Pats who came out on top when they last played Derry. At Richmond Park, a 1-0 home win was recorded. It has been six Derry victories, two Pats wins and two draws in the previous 10 meetings between these sides.
League of Ireland | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | ![]() |
29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 40:32 | 46 |
4 | ![]() |
29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 35:29 | 42 |
Pats have 8 wins, 1 loss and 1 draw, averaging 2.2 goals from 6.7 shots on goal and 14.6 attempts. The Saints have averaged 53.9% possession and 5.0 corners per match, conceding 0.9 goals and 3.9 corners from 4.8 shots on goal and 12.6 attempts.
Aidan Keena is the top scorer with 8 goals, while Jake Mulraney and Joe Redmond both have 3. Leading assistor is Brandon Kavanagh with 5.
Derry City – Last 10 League GamesCity have 2 victories, 5 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 0.9 goals from 12.9 attempts and 4.5 shots on goal. Tiernan Lynch's team average 56.1% possession, 6.1 corners in their favour and 2.4 corners against, while conceding 1.2 goals from 12.4 attempts and 3.5 shots on goal.
Patrick Hoban is the leading goalscorer with 3, Michael Duffy has 2, with Colm Whelan and William Patching getting 1. Dominic Thomas, Daniel Mullen and Michael Duffy have clocked up 1 assists each in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
St Patrick's confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Joseph Anang (GK), Axel Sjoeberg, Tom Grivosti, Anthony Breslin, Joe Redmond, Zack Elbouzedi, Chris Forrester, Jake Mulraney, Jason McClelland, Aidan Keena, Mason Melia.
Derry City confirmed lineup (4-5-1): Brian Maher (GK), Kevin Holt, Mark Connolly, Ben Doherty, Sadou Diallo, Carl Winchester, Michael Duffy, Adam O'Reilly, Paul McMullan, Gavin Whyte, Pat Hoban.
St Patricks vs Derry City Prediction & Betting Tips
We’re going for St Patrick's -0.25 on the Asian Handicap at odds of +110. A victory in this League of Ireland match is expected and we’re therefore confident of a nice return from this wager.
We take note of any injuries or suspensions affecting each side before going ahead with our football picks. The form guide and stats also help the team at Sportsgambler.com crunch the numbers ahead of the action.
Key St Patrick's vs Derry City league stats:
Pats -0.25 Probability
According to the latest odds, our pick has a 47.6% chance of winning. Based on our tipsters research, we calculate the actual probability to be 50-55%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.
If you want to land bigger odds, you might be interested to know that you can move the betting line. There’s extra juice depending on how risky you want your bet to be.

Correct Score Prediction
St Patrick's are available at +600 to win by a 1-0 scoreline. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.
Corners Prediction
St Patrick's have had an average of 6.30 corners in the past 10 home games, with Derry averaging 4.60 corners in their last 5 matches. St Patrick's should be able to register the most corners and there’s an opportunity to land odds of -102.






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St Patricks vs Derry City Odds
Derry City are available at betting odds of +215 to win away to St Patrick's Athletic, with the home side trading at +116 with the bookies. Should you wish to back the draw, it’s on offer at +230 for this Premier Division encounter.
The game is predicted to be a low-scoring one and that is borne out by Under 2.5 Goals trading at short odds.
A Bet Builder allows you to combine different League of Ireland betting markets for a match. For example, you might want to predict the Match Winner and Total Goals at a football betting site.







- League of Ireland: 05/05 2025 Derry 1 St Patrick's 0
- League of Ireland: 03/03 2025 St Patrick's 2 Derry 0
- League of Ireland: 25/10 2024 St Patrick's 1 Derry 0
- League of Ireland: 17/05 2024 St Patrick's 0 Derry 1
- League of Ireland: 22/04 2024 Derry 3 St Patrick's 1
- League of Ireland: 01/03 2024 Derry 2 St Patrick's 1
- League of Ireland: 03/11 2023 Derry 3 St Patrick's 0
- League of Ireland: 05/06 2023 St Patrick's 4 Derry 1
- League of Ireland: 28/04 2023 Derry 2 St Patrick's 0
- League of Ireland: 17/02 2023 St Patrick's 1 Derry 1


- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 6.30 corners awarded and 5.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 3.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 11.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.20 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 2.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 corners awarded and 3.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 7.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.40 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 53.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.60% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 52.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 52.20% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for St Patrick's this season are Aidan Keena (6), Mason Melia (6), Chris Forrester (4)
- Top Assistors for St Patrick's this season are Barry Baggley (2), Brandon Kavanagh (2), Jake Mulraney (2)
St Patricks vs Derry City Lineups & Team News
If you’re looking for Pats vs Derry team news, then we have predicted and confirmed lineups available along with details of any injuries on both sides.
We’re on hand to provide you with full details of the latest League of Ireland squads.
St Patrick's Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Derry City Confirmed Lineup 4-5-1
St Patrick's Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Derry City Confirmed Lineup 4-5-1
St Patrick's Substitutes
- 1Daniel Rogers
- 14Brandon Kavanagh
- 15Conor Carty
- 24Luke Turner
- 25Simon Power
- 30Al-Amin Kazeem
- 32Billy Canny
- 38Jason Oyenuga
- 45Matthew O'Hara
Derry City Substitutes
- 3Shane Ferguson
- 4Ciaron Harkin
- 13Robbie Benson
- 17Dominic Thomas
- 21Daniel Mullen
- 24Sam Todd
- 26Arlo Doherty
- 27Liam Boyce
- 32Sean Patton
Previous St Patrick's Lineups
Previous Derry City Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Shamrock Rovers | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 48:24 | 56 |
2 | Bohemians | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 36:26 | 47 |
3 | Derry City | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 40:32 | 46 |
4 | St Patrick's | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 35:29 | 42 |
5 | Drogheda United | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 31:28 | 42 |
6 | Shelbourne | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 34:29 | 39 |
7 | Waterford | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 33:50 | 34 |
8 | Galway United | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 30:37 | 30 |
9 | Sligo Rovers | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 35:47 | 30 |
10 | Cork City | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29:49 | 22 |
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Shamrock Rovers | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 29:8 | 33 |
2 | Bohemians | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 20:10 | 28 |
3 | Derry City | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 27:15 | 26 |
4 | St Patrick's | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 24 |
5 | Drogheda United | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17:11 | 23 |
6 | Shelbourne | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 19:16 | 20 |
7 | Cork City | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 17:18 | 19 |
8 | Galway United | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18:19 | 18 |
9 | Waterford | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 16:24 | 17 |
10 | Sligo Rovers | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16:19 | 16 |














