St. Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 27 Sep 2025

Bundesliga Betting Preview: St. Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen

St. Pauli host Bayer Leverkusen in this German Bundesliga clash at Millerntor-Stadion, with kick-off set for 09:30 on Saturday 27 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

We’re Keen on Both Teams Scoring

The odds of -156 catch the eye when it comes to the BTTS Yes selection as we expect both St. Pauli and Bayer Leverkusen to find the net. The stats suggest that this outcome is likely to happen.

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1-1 Draw in Pair’s Previous Clash

St. Pauli were beaten last game and this was on the road at MHPArena. Stuttgart claimed a 2-0 victory. The Kiezkickers had 47% possession and recorded two shots on target.

Bayer Leverkusen drew 1-1 against Borussia Monchengladbach in their previous game. This was on home soil at BayArena. Kasper Hjulmand's side managed eight shots on goal and enjoyed 61% possession, with Malik Tillman on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The most recent encounter between St. Pauli and Leverkusen saw the former host a 1-1 draw at Millerntor-Stadion.

Bundesliga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	St. Pauli	4	2	1	1	7	6	1	7:6	7
11	Leverkusen	4	1	2	1	8	7	1	8:7	5

View Full Table

St. Pauli have 3 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 10.0 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal. The Hamburg side have averaged 46.3% possession, 427.9 passes and 3.9 corners per game, conceding 1.3 goals and 3.2 corners from 10.1 attempts and 4.9 shots on goal.

Top goalscorers are Danel Sinani and Andreas Hountondji on 3 goals, while Adam Dzwigala has bagged 1. Mathias Pereira Lage, Joel Chima Fujita and Manolis Saliakas have recorded the most assists with 1 apiece. Meanwhile, goalkeeper Nikola Vasilj has kept 2 clean sheets.

Leverkusen have 2 victories, 2 defeats and 6 draws, with an average of 11.4 attempts, 5.3 shots on goal and 1.7 goals. The Werkself average 57.5% possession, 555.4 passes, 5.0 corners in their favour and 4.5 corners against, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 4.4 shots on goal and 11.3 attempts.

Patrik Schick has top scored with 7, while Malik Tillman and Alejandro Grimaldo are next best on 2. Alejandro Grimaldo and Nathan Tella are the top assist makers with 3 in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

St. Pauli predicted lineup (3-4-1-2): Nikola Vasilj (GK), Jannik Robatsch, Eric Smith, Adam Dzwigala, Manolis Saliakas, James Sands, Joel Chima Fujita, Louis Oppie, Danel Sinani, Andreas Hountondji, Mathias Pereira Lage.

Bayer Leverkusen predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Mark Flekken (GK), Jarell Quansah, Loïc Badé, Edmond Tapsoba, Lucas Vázquez, Robert Andrich, Aleix Garcia, Alejandro Grimaldo, Malik Tillman, Eliesse Ben Seghir, Patrik Schick.

St. Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Betting Tips

We dive into the best St. Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen betting angles, including a key match prediction, our corners pick, correct score forecast, top player prop bets and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

There’s an opportunity to bet on BTTS Yes when it comes to this Bundesliga clash. The odds of -156 are really attractive and we anticipate that the teams will be among the goals.

In order to come up with the best football predictions, we like to know the Bundesliga team news and study the latest form. There are also plenty of numbers to crunch from the available stats.

Key St. Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen league stats:

• BTTS Yes has been covered in 3 of the last 5 St. Pauli games at home.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 2 straight St. Pauli games at home.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 7 straight Leverkusen games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Leverkusen games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 13 of the last 17 Leverkusen games on the road.

BTTS Yes Probability

The betting odds at the top bookies suggest our pick carries a 61% chance of winning. However, our tipsters have this number closer to 70% based on their in-depth research. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

There’s the chance to generate a bigger price by combining your BTTS Yes wager with one of the three Full-Time Result options. This is available on the Result & Both Teams to Score market.

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Our Match Prediction

Both Teams To Score - Yes @ -156 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

St. Pauli 1 - 2 Leverkusen

A 2-1 win in favor of Leverkusen is available at odds of +700. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Mathias Pereira Lage Over 0.5 Shots On Target +123

Mathias Pereira Lage (St. Pauli) has had at least one shot on goal in four straight Bundesliga matches. We think that the value can be found by wagering on Shots on Target and you can get +123 that he goes over the line.

Latest Mathias Pereira Lage Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+410

First

+1000

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-200

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Patrik Schick to Score +110

Patrik Schick (Leverkusen) has scored in seven of his past ten Bundesliga games on the road. When it comes to him scoring, we think that the +110 available is attractive when betting on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Patrik Schick Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+110

First

+300

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-172

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Corners Prediction

Leverkusen Under 4.5 Corners -105

4 of the past 5 Bayer Leverkusen away matches have seen them fail to cover the 4.5 corners line, with St. Pauli conceding under 4.5 corners in the last eight home games. On this evidence, we can take odds of -105 that this Leverkusen Team Corners wager falls short of the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

St. Pauli

Total

7.10 3.90 3.20

Home

8.40 5.70 2.70

Away

8.20 3.90 4.30

Leverkusen

Total

9.50 5.00 4.50

Home

9.10 5.70 3.40

Away

9.50 5.40 4.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-114

Under 9.5

-125

St. Pauli Corners

Over 4.5

-110

Under 4.5

-125

Leverkusen Corners

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-120

Most Corners

1

+118

X

+600

2

-104

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St. Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Full-Time Odds Suggest Leverkusen Victory

Bayer Leverkusen are regarded as having a 48% chance of winning this Bundesliga clash in the eyes of the bookies. It means that their current betting odds are +110. St. Pauli are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +220.

If you think Leverkusen can overcome St. Pauli, then there’s an Asian Handicap option where the former are -119 with a -0.25 deficit. There’s half your money back in the event of a draw.

The Over 2.5 pick is trading as the favourite when it comes to betting on Total Goals. Punters expecting both teams to find the net can get -156 when it comes to BTTS Yes.

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Full-Time Result

1

+220

X

+260

2

+110

Half-Time Result

1

+265

X

+128

2

+165

Double Chance

1X

-143

12

-357

X2

-303

Draw No Bet

1

+132

2

-182

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-104

2 Hcp -0.25

-119

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-100

Over 2.5

-130

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-156

No

+118

Patrik Schick Favourite to Find the Net First

You will find Patrik Schick at +300 to be First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite. There’s the chance to get +110 that he finds the net at anytime.

Patrik Schick (Leverkusen)

First

+110

Anytime

+300

Malik Tillman (Leverkusen)

First

+290

Anytime

+700

Danel Sinani (St. Pauli)

First

+330

Anytime

+800

Andréas Hountondji (St. Pauli)

First

+340

Anytime

+750

Eliesse Ben Seghir (Leverkusen)

First

+350

Anytime

+800

Oladapo Afolayan (St. Pauli)

First

+370

Anytime

+850

Nathan Tella (Leverkusen)

First

+370

Anytime

+900

Álex Grimaldo (Leverkusen)

First

+390

Anytime

+950

Mathias Pereira Lage (St. Pauli)

First

+410

Anytime

+1000

Aleix Garcia (Leverkusen)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Connor Metcalfe (St. Pauli)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Claudio Echeverri (Leverkusen)

First

+550

Anytime

+1100

Louis Oppie (St. Pauli)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Robert Andrich (Leverkusen)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Edmond Tapsoba (Leverkusen)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Arkadiusz Pyrka (St. Pauli)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

James Sands (St. Pauli)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Eric Smith (St. Pauli)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Adam Dźwigała (St. Pauli)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Andréas Hountondji (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-118

Malik Tillman (Leverkusen)

Over 0.5

-123

Under 0.5

-137

Patrik Schick (Leverkusen)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-172

Danel Sinani (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-161

Eliesse Ben Seghir (Leverkusen)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-167

Nathan Tella (Leverkusen)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-182

Oladapo Afolayan (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+117

Under 0.5

-185

Álex Grimaldo (Leverkusen)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-192

Mathias Pereira Lage (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-200

Claudio Echeverri (Leverkusen)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-278

Connor Metcalfe (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-294

Aleix Garcia (Leverkusen)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-303

Louis Oppie (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-313

Robert Andrich (Leverkusen)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-370

James Sands (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+265

Under 0.5

-526

Arkadiusz Pyrka (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-625

Edmond Tapsoba (Leverkusen)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-833

Eric Smith (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-1000

Adam Dźwigała (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-1000

St. Pauli Defeated in Four of Past Ten Home Clashes

St. Pauli have clocked up four draws, four losses and two wins in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 0.90 goals per match and conceding 1.30.

Bayer Leverkusen have not lost on their travels in the past ten matches. Kasper Hjulmand's men have finished with six draws and four victories in the last 10 away games, netting an average of 2.10 goals per match and conceding 1.40.

The most recent Millerntor-Stadion meeting saw St. Pauli draw 1-1 with Leverkusen.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
St. Pauli Home Stats		2-4-4	2.20	0.90	1.30	2	8	5	5
Bayer Leverkusen Away Stats		4-6-0	3.50	2.10	1.40	6	4	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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St. Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen Lineups & Team News

Avoid surprises — review the St. Pauli vs Leverkusen team news before you bet. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for the Bundesliga along with up-to-date injury news.

St. Pauli Team Page Bayer Leverkusen Team Page