St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 01 Mar 2025

St. Pauli Should Put Up a Fight

We can get the draw on our side when betting St. Pauli +0.5 at Asian Handicap odds of +102. The home team should be able to avoid defeat against Dortmund and this bet has the stats to back up a positive outcome.

BVB 2-1 Winners in Most Recent H2H

St. Pauli have suffered defeat in their last three games. Most recently, a 2-0 scoreline occurred on the road at MEWA Arena against Mainz 05. The Kiezkickers had 47% possession but failed to have a shot on target.

Borussia Dortmund won their previous game, beating Union Berlin at home. It was a 6-0 win at Signal Iduna Park. Niko Kovac's side racked up ten shots on goal and enjoyed 65% possession, while Serhou Guirassy netted four times.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was Dortmund who were victorious when they last faced St. Pauli. At Signal Iduna Park, a 2-1 home triumph was recorded.

Bundesliga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Dortmund	2	1	1	0	6	3	3	6:3	4
5	St. Pauli	2	1	1	0	5	3	2	5:3	4

View Full Table

3 wins, 6 losses and 1 draw, averaging 0.7 goals from 3.0 shots on goal and 10.3 attempts. St. Pauli have had 44.9% possession, 416.0 passes and 3.8 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.0 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 10.0 attempts, while being awarded 5.2 corners.

Top scorer is Morgan Guilavogui on 3 goals, while Johannes Eggestein has racked up 2 and Danel Sinani 1. Leading assistor is Jackson Irvine with 2, while goalkeeper Nikola Vasilj has 3 clean sheets.

Dortmund have won 3, lost 5 and drawn 2, with an average of 4.5 shots on goal, 13.5 attempts and 1.9 goals. BVB average 63.2% possession, 575.7 passes, 6.1 corners awarded and 4.4 corners against, while 1.8 goals have been conceded from 10.7 attempts and 4.6 shots on goal.

Serhou Guirassy got 7 goals, Maximilian Beier notched 3, while Julian Brandt and two other players scored 2. Pascal Gross is top assists provider with 5, while Gregor Kobel has kept one clean sheet in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

St. Pauli confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Nikola Vasilj (GK), David Nemeth, Hauke Wahl, Siebe van der Heyden, Philipp Treu, Jackson Irvine, Eric Smith, Lars Ritzka, Noah Weisshaupt, Johannes Eggestein, Elias Saad.

Borussia Dortmund confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Gregor Kobel (GK), Yan Couto, Emre Can, Nico Schlotterbeck, Ramy Bensebaini, Marcel Sabitzer, Pascal Gross, Karim Adeyemi, Giovanni Reyna, Maximilian Beier, Serhou Guirassy.

St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Betting Tips

St. Pauli look like the value bet on the Asian Handicap for this Bundesliga game. Backing the home team at +0.5 at +102 looks like the way forward, with plenty of juice in this price.

The football betting tips stem from knowing the team news and the latest form for each side. We work hard to unearth the most pertinent stats which can also act as a guide.

Key St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund league stats:

• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by BVB in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by BVB in 13 of their last 19 games on the road.

St. Pauli +0.5 Probability

When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 49.5% chance of winning. However, our experts have this number between 55-60% based on their in-depth research. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

If you want a different wager to the Asian Handicap, then Winning Margin provides an exciting alternative. That’s especially if you have a view on the performance of St. Pauli.

Our Match Prediction

St. Pauli Asian Hcp +0.5 @ +102 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

St. Pauli 2 - 2 Dortmund

We’ve got a correct score prediction which involves the teams playing out a 2-2 draw. Odds of +1150 look appealing and we should get a run for our money here.

Corners Prediction

St. Pauli Under 4.5 Corners -150

It’s been under 4.5 corners for St. Pauli in 4 of their past 5 home matches, while Dortmund have conceded less than 4.5 corners in four straight games. The St. Pauli Team Corners line looks too big and we’re happy to go under this number at odds of -150.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

St. Pauli

Total

8.80 5.40 3.40

Home

9.10 5.70 3.40

Away

8.60 3.80 4.80

Dortmund

Total

10.00 6.10 3.90

Home

9.80 6.30 3.50

Away

10.10 5.60 4.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-119

Under 9.5

-119

St. Pauli Corners

Over 4.5

+110

Under 4.5

-150

Dortmund Corners

Over 4.5

-163

Under 4.5

+120

Most Corners

1

+155

X

+550

2

-156

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St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund Odds

With a 56% chance of winning, Borussia Dortmund are favourites to win this Bundesliga match and they’re available at betting odds of -128 with the bookies. St. Pauli are the outsiders at +330 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

If you want to bet on the number of goals in the match, you can get a similar price on Over or Under 2.5 Goals.

The good news is that you can access hundreds of markets for any Bundesliga match. All the leading football betting sites have a massive range of pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

+330

X

+270

2

-128

Half-Time Result

1

+350

X

+125

2

+140

Double Chance

1X

-104

12

-385

X2

-476

Draw No Bet

1

+210

2

-286

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.5

-100

2 Hcp -0.5

-127

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+105

Over 2.5

-135

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-147

No

+110

St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund Lineups & Team News

It’s good to know about any injuries and this is reflected in our St. Pauli vs Dortmund team news, with this leading to predicted and confirmed lineups.

The Bundesliga squads highlight the star players operating for every team in the division.

St. Pauli Team Page Borussia Dortmund Team Page