St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 Aug 2025
Bundesliga Betting Preview: St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund
St. Pauli host Borussia Dortmund in this German Bundesliga match at Millerntor-Stadion, with kick-off set for 12:30 on Saturday 23 August. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
BVB Stand Out on the Betting Coupon
We’re going to side with Dortmund at -152 to defeat St. Pauli and this looks like a standout bet. The Full-Time Result market presents us with the opportunity to grab some value for this prediction.
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BVB 2-0 Victors When Teams Met Last
St. Pauli lost their last Bundesliga game, being beaten at home to Bochum 2-0 at Millerntor-Stadion. The Kiezkickers boasted 58% possession and recorded two shots on target.
Their most recent encounter involved St. Pauli winning on penalties (0-0 after 90 mins) when visiting Eintracht Norderstedt in the DFB-Pokal.
Borussia Dortmund won their previous Bundesliga game, beating Holstein Kiel at home. It was a 3-0 victory at Signal Iduna Park. The North Rhine-Westphalia side recorded an impressive 74% of possession and had six shots on goal, with Serhou Guirassy, Marcel Sabitzer and Felix Nmecha finding the net.
Last time out, Dortmund claimed a 1-0 victory when facing RW Essen away in the DFB-Pokal.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Dortmund have claimed back-to-back wins over St. Pauli. On the road at Millerntor-Stadion, the most recent scoreline was 2-0 which followed a 2-1 home triumph at Signal Iduna Park. The past 3 H2H games have seen two Dortmund victories and just one triumph for St. Pauli.
| Bundesliga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |  Dortmund |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 12:4 | 14 |
| 10 |  St. Pauli |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8:9 | 7 |
2 wins, 3 losses and 5 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 10.3 attempts. St. Pauli have had 43.4% possession, 386.8 passes and 5.4 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.2 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 10.1 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 3.4 corners.
Manolis Saliakas is the top scorer along with five other players, with each of them scoring 1 goals. Morgan Guilavogui, Eric Smith and Manolis Saliakas are tied for the most assists on 1, with goalie Nikola Vasilj managing 2 clean sheets.
Borussia Dortmund – Last 10 League GamesDortmund have won 7, lost 2 and drawn 1, with an average of 2.6 goals from 15.6 attempts and 5.8 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 55.0% possession, 521.5 passes, 6.1 corners in their favour and 3.9 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.3 goals from 12.2 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal.
The leading goalscorers have been Serhou Guirassy on 7, Karim Adeyemi with 4 and Maximilian Beier 3. Julian Brandt is top assists provider with 5, while Gregor Kobel has kept 2 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
St. Pauli confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Nikola Vasilj (GK), Hauke Wahl, Eric Smith, Adam Dzwigala, Arkadiusz Pyrka, James Sands, Joel Chima Fujita, Louis Oppie, Danel Sinani, Andreas Hountondji, Mathias Pereira Lage.
Borussia Dortmund confirmed lineup (3-3-2-2): Gregor Kobel (GK), Filippo Mane, Waldemar Anton, Ramy Bensebaini, Yan Couto, Marcel Sabitzer, Daniel Svensson, Pascal Gross, Jobe Bellingham, Serhou Guirassy, Karim Adeyemi.
St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Betting Tips
The St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund betting tips feature sharp analysis across major markets, including a key match prediction, our best corners bet, player prop picks, correct score guidance and a ready-made bet builder.
Match Prediction
Dortmund look like an excellent shout to claim a victory, especially as a price of -152 is available. You can confidently take this selection when they line up in this Bundesliga match.
We’re always the first to know about team news, with our football tipsters also studying the latest Bundesliga form to enhance their view. You will also find a mixture of stats which provide some valuable predictions ahead of the action.
Key St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund league stats:
BVB to Win Probability
The betting apps are estimating that there is a 60.2% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 65-70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.
BVB are on offer at various prices on the Asian Handicap. If you are looking for bigger odds, then take a look at the latest lines and go for the most attractive option.
Getting ready to place a wager? Check our updated guide for the latest betting offers, including free bets and the newest promos codes.
Correct Score Prediction
0
-
2
Dortmund
Dortmund are available at +700 to secure a 2-0 victory. Many bettors enjoy a correct score wager and there are some nice potential returns to be had.
Player Prop Picks
Karim Adeyemi (Dortmund) has racked up at least one shot on goal in back-to-back Bundesliga matches away from home. We think that some value can be landed by wagering on Shots on Target and you can secure -154 that he goes over the line.
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Sehrou Guirassy (Dortmund) can be backed at -110 to be on the scoresheet. Using all information, we’ll head to the Anytime Goalscorer market where we can bet him to find the net at attractive odds.
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Corners Prediction
The 3.5 corners line has been covered by St. Pauli in their past six home games, while the previous 5 Dortmund away matches have seen them concede an average of 5.20 corners. The St. Pauli Team Corners line is on the low side and we’re looking to go over this number at odds of -147.
St. Pauli
Dortmund
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Bet Builder Tips
We’ve got a same-game multi and the legs include Dortmund to triumph, less than three goals to be registered combined with Karim Adeyemi (Dortmund) to finish with one or more shots on target.
A football bet builder is a wager on a specific game where you select different outcomes to happen. Bettors enjoy creating a tailored wager based on their predictions for how a match is likely to turn out.
St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Latest Full-Time Odds Suggest BVB Victory
With the bookmakers affording them a 54% chance of winning, Borussia Dortmund might be a popular accumulator selection. Their betting odds are -119 when it comes to this Bundesliga encounter. St. Pauli are the +300 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.
There are two Asian Handicap options and they are Dortmund -0.5 at -116 or alternatively St. Pauli +0.5. Either go for the favourites to win or opt for the latter and get the draw on your side at -106.
Over 2.5 Goals is the market leader and that means three or more goals are predicted. Should you expect both teams score, then the BTTS Yes option is available at -143.
You’ll love the hundreds of markets if you want to bet on the Bundesliga coupon and we advise heading to the top sports betting sites to get the football wager that you think is value.
Sehrou Guirassy Shortest Odds for First Goalscorer
Sehrou Guirassy can be backed to find the net anytime at -172, with +195 available that the market leader scores the first goal.
St. Pauli Aiming to Get Back to Winning Ways at Home
St. Pauli haven’t tasted victory in four consecutive matches at Millerntor-Stadion. The Hamburg outfit have collected five losses, three draws and two victories in the past 10 home matches, scoring an average of 0.70 goals per game and conceding 1.00.
Dortmund haven’t tasted defeat in four consecutive away matches. Niko Kovac's team have recorded five victories, four defeats and one draw in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.90 goals per game and conceding 1.80.
In the last meeting at Millerntor-Stadion, Dortmund defeated St. Pauli by a 2-0 scoreline.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pauli Home Stats |
2-3-5 | 1.70 | 0.70 | 1.00 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 7 | |
| Borussia Dortmund Away Stats |
5-1-4 | 3.70 | 1.90 | 1.80 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 4 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
St. Pauli League Stats
Borussia Dortmund League Stats
- 2 wins, 3 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.70 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.70 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 1 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.60 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.70 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 3.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 3.40 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.10 corners awarded and 3.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 4.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 43.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 46.40% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 home matches
St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund Lineups & Team News
Check the St. Pauli vs Dortmund team news before you place your bets. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Bundesliga along with the latest injury news.
St Pauli Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Borussia Dortmund Confirmed Lineup 3-3-2-2
St Pauli Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Borussia Dortmund Confirmed Lineup 3-3-2-2
St Pauli Substitutes
- 1Ben Alexander Voll
- 2Manolis Saliakas
- 9Abdoulie Ceesay
- 17Oladapo Afolayan
- 18Scott Banks
- 20Erik Ahlstrand
- 21Lars Ritzka
- 24Connor Metcalfe
- 34Jannik Robatsch
Borussia Dortmund Substitutes
- 6Salih Oezcan
- 8Felix Nmecha
- 10Julian Brandt
- 14Maximilian Beier
- 26Julian Ryerson
- 33Alexander Meyer
- 37Cole Campbell
- 42Almugera Kabar
- 49Yannik Luehrs
Previous St. Pauli Lineups
Previous Borussia Dortmund Lineups
Bundesliga Table
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 25:3 | 18 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 14 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 12 |
| 5 | Leverkusen | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 11 |
| 6 | FC Koln | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 10 |
| 7 | Frankfurt | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17:16 | 9 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 8 |
| 9 | Hamburger SV | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | 8 |
| 10 | St. Pauli | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 11 | Hoffenheim | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | 7 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:14 | 7 |
| 13 | Union Berlin | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | 7 |
| 14 | Augsburg | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11:13 | 6 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | 5 |
| 16 | Mainz 05 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:10 | 4 |
| 17 | B. M'gladbach | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:12 | 3 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:11 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Stuttgart | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 9 |
| 3 | Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 7 |
| 4 | Leverkusen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 6 | Hamburger SV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 7 | St. Pauli | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 10 | Werder Bremen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 3 |
| 12 | Frankfurt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:8 | 3 |
| 13 | Augsburg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 3 |
| 14 | Heidenheim | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | 2 |
| 16 | B. M'gladbach | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:10 | 2 |
| 17 | Mainz 05 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 18 | Hoffenheim | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | 0 |
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