St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 Aug 2025

Bundesliga Betting Preview: St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund

St. Pauli host Borussia Dortmund in this German Bundesliga match at Millerntor-Stadion, with kick-off set for 12:30 on Saturday 23 August 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

BVB Stand Out on the Betting Coupon

We’re going to side with Dortmund at -152 to defeat St. Pauli and this looks like a standout bet. The Full-Time Result market presents us with the opportunity to grab some value for this prediction.

Backing Dortmund to get the win? Don’t forget to grab the latest BetMGM promo code and check out our review before you place that bet.

BVB 2-0 Victors When Teams Met Last

St. Pauli lost their last Bundesliga game, being beaten at home to Bochum 2-0 at Millerntor-Stadion. The Kiezkickers boasted 58% possession and recorded two shots on target.

Their most recent encounter involved St. Pauli winning on penalties (0-0 after 90 mins) when visiting Eintracht Norderstedt in the DFB-Pokal.

Borussia Dortmund won their previous Bundesliga game, beating Holstein Kiel at home. It was a 3-0 victory at Signal Iduna Park. The North Rhine-Westphalia side recorded an impressive 74% of possession and had six shots on goal, with Serhou Guirassy, Marcel Sabitzer and Felix Nmecha finding the net.

Last time out, Dortmund claimed a 1-0 victory when facing RW Essen away in the DFB-Pokal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Dortmund have claimed back-to-back wins over St. Pauli. On the road at Millerntor-Stadion, the most recent scoreline was 2-0 which followed a 2-1 home triumph at Signal Iduna Park. The past 3 H2H games have seen two Dortmund victories and just one triumph for St. Pauli.

Bundesliga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Dortmund	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
14	St. Pauli	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

2 wins, 3 losses and 5 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 10.3 attempts. St. Pauli have had 43.4% possession, 386.8 passes and 5.4 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.2 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 10.1 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 3.4 corners.

Manolis Saliakas is the top scorer along with five other players, with each of them scoring 1 goals. Morgan Guilavogui, Eric Smith and Manolis Saliakas are tied for the most assists on 1, with goalie Nikola Vasilj managing 2 clean sheets.

Dortmund have won 7, lost 2 and drawn 1, with an average of 2.6 goals from 15.6 attempts and 5.8 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 55.0% possession, 521.5 passes, 6.1 corners in their favour and 3.9 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.3 goals from 12.2 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal.

The leading goalscorers have been Serhou Guirassy on 7, Karim Adeyemi with 4 and Maximilian Beier 3. Julian Brandt is top assists provider with 5, while Gregor Kobel has kept 2 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

St. Pauli predicted lineup (3-4-3): Nikola Vasilj (GK), Hauke Wahl, Eric Smith, Jannik Robatsch, Arkadiusz Pyrka, James Sands, Joel Chima Fujita, Louis Oppie, Oladapo Afolayan, Andreas Hountondji, Mathias Pereira Lage.

Borussia Dortmund predicted lineup (3-4-1-2): Gregor Kobel (GK), Filippo Mané, Waldemar Anton, Ramy Bensebaini, Yan Couto, Pascal Groß, Marcel Sabitzer, Daniel Svensson, Jobe Bellingham, Serhou Guirassy, Karim Adeyemi.

St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Betting Tips

The St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund betting tips feature sharp analysis across major markets, including a key match prediction, our best corners bet, player prop picks, correct score guidance and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

Dortmund look like an excellent shout to claim a victory, especially as a price of -152 is available. You can confidently take this selection when they line up in this Bundesliga match.

We’re always the first to know about team news, with our football tipsters also studying the latest Bundesliga form to enhance their view. You will also find a mixture of stats which provide some valuable predictions ahead of the action.

Key St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund league stats:

• BVB have won 5 consecutive games.
• BVB have won 7 of their last 10 games.
• BVB have won 11 of their last 20 games.
• St. Pauli have lost 9 of their last 17 games at home.
• St. Pauli have lost their last 2 games at home.
• St. Pauli have lost their last 2 games against BVB.

BVB to Win Probability

The betting apps are estimating that there is a 60.2% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 65-70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

BVB are on offer at various prices on the Asian Handicap. If you are looking for bigger odds, then take a look at the latest lines and go for the most attractive option.

Getting ready to place a wager? Check our updated guide for the latest betting offers, including free bets and the newest promos codes.

Our Match Prediction

Dortmund To Win @ -152 Watch Live Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

St. Pauli 0 - 2 Dortmund

Dortmund are available at +700 to secure a 2-0 victory. Many bettors enjoy a correct score wager and there are some nice potential returns to be had.

Player Prop Picks

Karim Adeyemi Over 0.5 Shots On Target -154

Karim Adeyemi (Dortmund) has racked up at least one shot on goal in back-to-back Bundesliga matches away from home. We think that some value can be landed by wagering on Shots on Target and you can secure -154 that he goes over the line.

Latest Karim Adeyemi Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+250

First

+540

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

+108

Shots

Over 2.5

+123

Under 2.5

-

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

---

Sehrou Guirassy To Score -110

Sehrou Guirassy (Dortmund) can be backed at -110 to be on the scoresheet. Using all information, we’ll head to the Anytime Goalscorer market where we can bet him to find the net at attractive odds.

Latest Sehrou Guirassy Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

-109

First

+265

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-120

Shots

Over 3.5

-149

Under 3.5

-

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Corners Prediction

St. Pauli Over 3.5 Corners -147

The 3.5 corners line has been covered by St. Pauli in their past six home games, while the previous 5 Dortmund away matches have seen them concede an average of 5.20 corners. The St. Pauli Team Corners line is on the low side and we’re looking to go over this number at odds of -147.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

St. Pauli

Total

8.80 5.40 3.40

Home

9.10 5.70 3.40

Away

8.60 3.80 4.80

Dortmund

Total

10.00 6.10 3.90

Home

9.80 6.30 3.50

Away

10.10 5.60 4.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-147

Under 8.5

+102

St. Pauli Corners

Over 3.5

-137

Under 3.5

-104

Dortmund Corners

Over 4.5

-152

Under 4.5

+104

Most Corners

1

+175

X

+650

2

-159

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Full-Time Odds Suggest BVB Victory

With the bookmakers affording them a 60% chance of winning, Borussia Dortmund might be a popular accumulator selection. Their betting odds are -149 when it comes to this Bundesliga encounter. St. Pauli are the +360 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.

One Asian Handicap bet involves backing Dortmund -0.75 at -122. If they beat St. Pauli by 2+ goals, you get a full payout. You also get a return on half your stake if they win by one and the other half is refunded.

Over 2.5 Goals is the market leader and that means three or more goals are predicted. Should you expect both teams score, then the BTTS Yes option is available at -139.

You’ll love the hundreds of markets if you want to bet on the Bundesliga coupon and we advise heading to the top sports betting sites to get the football wager that you think is value.

Full-Time Result

1

+360

X

+310

2

-149

Half-Time Result

1

+370

X

+138

2

+120

Double Chance

1X

+112

12

-435

X2

-526

Draw No Bet

1

+220

2

-345

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.75

-116

2 Hcp -0.75

-122

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+107

Over 2.5

-139

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-139

No

+102

Sehrou Guirassy Shortest Odds for First Goalscorer

Sehrou Guirassy can be backed to find the net anytime at -109, with +265 available that the market leader scores the first goal.

Sehrou Guirassy (Dortmund)

First

-109

Anytime

+265

Karim Adeyemi (Dortmund)

First

+250

Anytime

+540

Maximilian Beier (Dortmund)

First

+255

Anytime

+550

Giovanni Reyna (Dortmund)

First

+450

Anytime

+1050

Julian Brandt (Dortmund)

First

+480

Anytime

+1100

Jobe Bellingham (Dortmund)

First

+480

Anytime

+1100

Andréas Hountondji (St. Pauli)

First

+500

Anytime

+1150

Oladapo Afolayan (St. Pauli)

First

+500

Anytime

+1150

Danel Sinani (St. Pauli)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Felix Nmecha (Dortmund)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

Mathias Pereira Lage (St. Pauli)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Connor Metcalfe (St. Pauli)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Marcel Sabitzer (Dortmund)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Ramy Bensebaïni (Dortmund)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Pascal Gross (Dortmund)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Louis Oppie (St. Pauli)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Karim Adeyemi (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

+108

Maximilian Beier (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-105

Sehrou Guirassy (Dortmund)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-120

Giovanni Reyna (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+148

Under 0.5

-217

Oladapo Afolayan (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-217

Danel Sinani (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-217

Julian Brandt (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-222

Andréas Hountondji (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-238

Jobe Bellingham (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+163

Under 0.5

-238

Mathias Pereira Lage (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-244

Felix Nmecha (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+188

Under 0.5

-286

Connor Metcalfe (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-313

Marcel Sabitzer (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-313

Louis Oppie (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+245

Under 0.5

-400

Ramy Bensebaïni (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-526

Pascal Gross (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-400

Sehrou Guirassy (Dortmund)

Over 3.5

-149

Under 3.5

-

Karim Adeyemi (Dortmund)

Over 2.5

+123

Under 2.5

-

Maximilian Beier (Dortmund)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

-

Giovanni Reyna (Dortmund)

Over 1.5

+148

Under 1.5

-

Julian Brandt (Dortmund)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Jobe Bellingham (Dortmund)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-

Andréas Hountondji (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

+138

Under 1.5

-

Oladapo Afolayan (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

+118

Under 1.5

-

Danel Sinani (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Mathias Pereira Lage (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

+133

Under 1.5

-

Felix Nmecha (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Connor Metcalfe (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Marcel Sabitzer (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Ramy Bensebaïni (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-

Pascal Gross (Dortmund)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-

Louis Oppie (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

St. Pauli Aiming to Get Back to Winning Ways at Home

St. Pauli haven’t tasted victory in four consecutive matches at Millerntor-Stadion. The Hamburg outfit have collected five losses, three draws and two victories in the past 10 home matches, scoring an average of 0.70 goals per game and conceding 1.00.

Dortmund haven’t tasted defeat in four consecutive away matches. Niko Kovac's team have recorded five victories, four defeats and one draw in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.90 goals per game and conceding 1.80.

In the last meeting at Millerntor-Stadion, Dortmund defeated St. Pauli by a 2-0 scoreline.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
St. Pauli Home Stats		2-3-5	1.70	0.70	1.00	1	9	3	7
Borussia Dortmund Away Stats		5-1-4	3.70	1.90	1.80	6	4	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Watch Bundesliga live streaming through your Android or Apple device simply by having a funded sportsbook account or placing a bet within the past 24 hours.

You’re never short of viewing opportunities. Check out the daily list of sporting events that are being covered through this service.

St Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund Live Streaming Watch Live Geo-restrictions apply. To use the services you need to be logged in, a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours.

St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund Lineups & Team News

Check the St. Pauli vs Dortmund team news before you place your bets. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Bundesliga along with the latest injury news.

St. Pauli Team Page Borussia Dortmund Team Page