St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 Jan 2026
Bundesliga Betting Preview: St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV
St. Pauli go head-to-head with Hamburger SV at Millerntor-Stadion, with kick-off set for 14:30 on Friday 23 January.
There’s an attractive -119 available when it comes to St. Pauli and Hamburger SV both scoring at least one goal. We’re expecting a nice return from this BTTS Yes wager based on the available stats.
Think our BTTS Yes prediction will land? Unlock your BetMGM promo code and read our in-depth expert review of the site before jumping in.
St. Pauli have suffered defeat in their last two Bundesliga games. Most recently, a 3-2 scoreline occurred on the road at Signal Iduna Park against Borussia Dortmund. Alexander Blessin's team recorded just 36% possession and had five shots on target, while James Sands and Ricky-Jade Jones scored one goal apiece.
Hamburger SV drew their previous game which was at home. The action at Volksparkstadion ended 0-0 against Borussia Monchengladbach. HSV enjoyed 56% possession and managed twelve shots on goal.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It was St. Pauli who came out on top when they last played HSV. At Volksparkstadion, a 2-0 away win was recorded. In the previous 10 H2H matches, we’ve seen five St. Pauli victories, three HSV wins and two draws.
| Bundesliga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 |  Hamburger SV |
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 17:27 | 17 |
| 18 |  St. Pauli |
17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 16:31 | 12 |
1 win, 7 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.8 goals from 8.8 attempts and 2.8 shots on goal. St. Pauli have had 42.3% possession, 416.9 passes and 4.6 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.9 goals from 11.9 attempts and 5.1 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 5.9 corners.
Top goalscorers are Ricky-Jade Jones and Martijn Kaars on 2 goals, while James Sands has bagged 1. Eric Smith and Joel Chima Fujita are top assists makers with 2, while goalkeeper Nikola Vasilj has kept one clean sheet.
HSV have won 2, lost 5 and drawn 3, averaging 5.3 shots on goal, 13.4 attempts and 1.0 goals. Merlin Polzin's side average 47.6% possession, 414.5 passes, 4.1 corners awarded and 3.5 corners against, while 1.7 goals have been conceded from 12.2 attempts and 4.2 shots on goal.
Luka Vuskovic and Albert Sambi Lokonga have top scored with 2, while Rayan Philippe is next on 1. Miro Muheim has had 3 assists in the previous 10 games, while Daniel Heuer Fernandes has one clean sheet to his name.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
St. Pauli predicted lineup (3-4-1-2): Nikola Vasilj (GK), Adam Dzwigala, Hauke Wahl, Karol Mets, Arkadiusz Pyrka, James Sands, Eric Smith, Lars Ritzka, Joel Chima Fujita, Martijn Kaars, Mathias Pereira Lage.
Hamburger SV predicted lineup (3-4-3): Daniel Heuer Fernandes (GK), Daniel Elfadli, Luka Vuskovic, Jordan Torunarigha, Bakery Jatta, Albert Sambi Lokonga, Nicolai Remberg, Miro Muheim, Fábio Vieira, Damion Downs, Jean-Luc Dompe.
St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV Prediction & Betting Tips
Take in the full St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV betting outlook — from our expert match prediction and correct score pick to sharp corners advice, player prop insights and a bet builder tailored for value.
Match Prediction
The odds of -119 look too good to pass up when it comes to both teams scoring in this Bundesliga showdown. A nice potential return is on the cards by taking this BTTS Yes option and we think it has a good chance.
The Bundesliga experts at Sportsgambler.com have a strong handle when it comes to injuries and suspensions. The recent form also helps to shape our football predictions, with this being cross-referenced with the latest numbers.
Key St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV league stats:
According to the top bookies, our pick has a 54.3% chance of landing a return. After careful examination, our experts have this probability close to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.
There’s a chance to secure bigger odds for your BTTS Yes pick by heading to the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market and including Over 2.5. Land a return if there are at least three goals along with both sides finding the net.
Take advantage of top welcome bonuses and free bets by browsing our complete list of betting promo codes today.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
1
Hamburger SV
There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing the two teams to draw 1-1. We can’t pass up the odds of +450 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.
Player Prop Picks
Mathias Pereira Lage (St. Pauli) has bagged a minimum of one shot on goal in his past two Bundesliga matches. We’re expecting him to produce a high level of performance and cover the Shots on Target line, with odds of +105 on offer.
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Damion Downs (HSV) is available to be on the scoresheet at +340. Using all information, we’ll head to the Anytime Goalscorer market where we can bet him to find the net at attractive odds.
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Corners Prediction
The 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered in seven consecutive HSV away matches. The corners tally could be lower than the line implies and that leads us to a wager at a price of -130.
St. Pauli
Hamburger SV
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Bet Builder Tips
It’s great fun to place a same-game multi and our picks are BTTS Yes, the match to be drawn along with Mathias Pereira Lage (St. Pauli) to finish with a minimum of one shot on target.
A bet builder is a single event wager where you select outcomes for a particular football game. It means that you can create a personalised bet at bigger odds depending on how many predictions you make.
St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
The bookies have chalked up the draw at +210 on the 1x2 betting, with St. Pauli available to bet at odds of +150. Hamburger SV are +190 to claim victory in this Bundesliga encounter.
A win for St. Pauli would see a full payout on the Asian Handicap -0.25 option. You can get +114 that they overcome HSV going down this route and half stake refunded if it’s a draw.
A low-scoring contest will be anticipated by many and Under 2.5 Goals currently has the shortest odds. The Both Teams to Score market provides some good options, with Yes and No hard to split in terms of odds.
Hundreds of markets are made available when it comes to Bundesliga games, with the best football betting sites leaving no stone unturned in terms of available options.
Jean-Luc Dompé is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +550 and if you’re keen to back him to simply find the net, then the price is +220.
St. Pauli have collected six defeats, two wins and two draws in the previous 10 home matches, scoring an average of 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.90.
Hamburger SV have been defeated in five straight away matches. HSV have clocked up seven losses, two draws and one win in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 2.10.
When previously meeting at Millerntor-Stadion, St. Pauli and HSV played out a 2-2 draw. Aside from one draw, St. Pauli have dominated the previous 5 H2H matches at Millerntor-Stadion with four wins.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pauli Home Stats |
2-2-6 | 2.80 | 0.90 | 1.90 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 5 | |
| Hamburger SV Away Stats |
1-2-7 | 3.10 | 1.00 | 2.10 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Bundesliga: 29/08 2025 Hamburger SV 0 St. Pauli 2
- 2. Bundesliga: 03/05 2024 Hamburger SV 1 St. Pauli 0
- 2. Bundesliga: 01/12 2023 St. Pauli 2 Hamburger SV 2
- 2. Bundesliga: 21/04 2023 Hamburger SV 4 St. Pauli 3
- 2. Bundesliga: 14/10 2022 St. Pauli 3 Hamburger SV 0
- 2. Bundesliga: 21/01 2022 Hamburger SV 2 St. Pauli 1
- 2. Bundesliga: 13/08 2021 St. Pauli 3 Hamburger SV 2
- 2. Bundesliga: 01/03 2021 St. Pauli 1 Hamburger SV 0
- 2. Bundesliga: 30/10 2020 Hamburger SV 2 St. Pauli 2
- 2. Bundesliga: 22/02 2020 Hamburger SV 0 St. Pauli 2
St. Pauli League Stats
Hamburger SV League Stats
- 1 win, 7 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 7 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 2.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 5.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.50 corners awarded and 3.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.10 corners awarded and 3.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.10 corners awarded and 3.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 7.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.80 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 42.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 48.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 47.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 47.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for St. Pauli this season are Andreas Hountondji (4), Danel Sinani (2), Eric Smith (2)
- Top Assistors for St. Pauli this season are Joel Chima Fujita (3), Danel Sinani (2), Eric Smith (2)
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St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV Lineups & Team News
Know who’s in and who’s out for St. Pauli vs HSV before making your bets. We’ll bring you both the expected and confirmed lineups for the Bundesliga, along with current injury news.
St Pauli Predicted Lineup 3-4-1-2
Hamburger SV Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
St Pauli Predicted Lineup 3-4-1-2
Hamburger SV Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Previous St. Pauli Lineups
Previous Hamburger SV Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
St. Pauli Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Alexander Blessin
Hamburger SV Player Stats & Squad
Bundesliga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 18 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 71:14 | 50 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 35:17 | 39 |
| 3 | Hoffenheim | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 35:21 | 33 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33:26 | 33 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 33:24 | 32 |
| 6 | Leverkusen | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 34:25 | 29 |
| 7 | Frankfurt | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 38:39 | 27 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 29:31 | 24 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:27 | 24 |
| 10 | FC Koln | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 27:30 | 20 |
| 11 | B. M'gladbach | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 23:29 | 20 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 27:38 | 19 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:34 | 18 |
| 14 | Hamburger SV | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17:27 | 17 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20:35 | 16 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17:39 | 13 |
| 17 | Mainz 05 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18:31 | 12 |
| 18 | St. Pauli | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 16:31 | 12 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 39:7 | 25 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 19:6 | 23 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13:11 | 20 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 21:12 | 18 |
| 6 | Leverkusen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 15 |
| 9 | Frankfurt | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:12 | 14 |
| 10 | Union Berlin | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15:13 | 13 |
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:15 | 12 |
| 12 | Augsburg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12:18 | 12 |
| 13 | FC Koln | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17:15 | 11 |
| 14 | Wolfsburg | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16:21 | 9 |
| 15 | B. M'gladbach | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:17 | 9 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 17 | St. Pauli | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:15 | 7 |
| 18 | Mainz 05 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7:12 | 6 |
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