St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 27 Jan 2026
Bundesliga Betting Preview: St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig
St. Pauli welcome RB Leipzig to Millerntor-Stadion, with kick-off set for 14:30 on Tuesday 27 January.
Our view is that Leipzig will prove too powerful across the board and we’ll therefore take the -125 that they defeat St. Pauli. This Full-Time Result bet looks like the way forward.
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St. Pauli had a 0-0 draw in their last game. This was at home to Hamburger SV at Millerntor-Stadion. They had 43% possession and totalled three shots on target.
RB Leipzig got the win in their previous game. A 3-0 victory occurred on the road at Voith-Arena when playing Heidenheim. Ole Werner's team recorded an impressive 74% of possession and had seven shots on goal, while Ridle Baku, Antonio Nusa and David Raum found the net.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Leipzig are bidding for a third successive win against St. Pauli, having previously obliged at home by 2-0 and 4-2 scorelines at Red Bull Arena. Leipzig have landed two victories in the previous 3 H2H matches and there’s also been a draw.
| Bundesliga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |  RB Leipzig |
18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 36:24 | 35 |
| 17 |  St. Pauli |
18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 16:31 | 13 |
1 win, 6 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.8 goals from 8.5 attempts and 2.9 shots on goal. St. Pauli have had 41.8% possession, 407.6 passes and 4.8 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.7 goals from 11.4 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal, while earning 6.2 corners.
Ricky-Jade Jones and Martijn Kaars lead the way with 2 goals, while James Sands has scored 1. Eric Smith and Joel Chima Fujita have been top assistors on 2, with goalkeeper Nikola Vasilj keeping 2 clean sheets.
Leipzig have 5 victories, 4 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 6.6 shots on goal, 16.4 attempts and 2.0 goals. The Saxony outfit average 54.4% possession, 517.3 passes, 5.3 corners awarded and 4.9 corners against, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 11.1 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal.
Yan Diomande has recorded 5 goals, Romulo Cruz 3, with David Raum and Xaver Schlager both managing 2. Christoph Baumgartner has been chief assist maker on 5, with Peter Gulacsi recording 5 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
St. Pauli predicted lineup (3-4-3): Nikola Vasilj (GK), Adam Dzwigala, Hauke Wahl, Karol Mets, Arkadiusz Pyrka, James Sands, Eric Smith, Louis Oppie, Joel Chima Fujita, Martijn Kaars, Mathias Pereira Lage.
RB Leipzig predicted lineup (4-3-3): Peter Gulacsi (GK), Ridle Baku, Willi Orban, El Chadaille Bitshiabu, David Raum, Xaver Schlager, Nicolas Seiwald, Christoph Baumgartner, Yan Diomande, Romulo Cruz, Antonio Nusa.
St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig Prediction & Betting Tips
Dive into our full St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig betting preview, featuring an expert match prediction, a projected scoreline, valuable corners advice, top player prop bet and a bet builder designed for value.
Match Prediction
Let’s play a straight hand and go for an attractively-priced Leipzig who are trading at -125. It’s probable that the visitors will be able to land a win when it comes to this Bundesliga encounter.
Our football experts study the form, while injuries and suspensions can also affect the potential outcome. Before coming up with a verdict, we combine this data with the latest Bundesliga stats.
Key St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig league stats:
According to the top bookies, our pick has a 55.6% chance of landing a return. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 60-65%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.
We would advise considering the Asian Handicap, Double Result and Result & Both Teams to Score markets if you’re looking to side with Leipzig but require a bigger price.
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Correct Score Prediction
0
-
1
Leipzig
Leipzig are available at +700 to secure a 1-0 victory. Many bettors enjoy a correct score wager and there are some nice potential returns to be had.
Player Prop Picks
Christoph Baumgartner (Leipzig) has racked up at least one shot on goal in seven of his past ten Bundesliga away games. He should be capable of covering the line when it comes to this player prop and odds of -114 are now available.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Antonio Nusa (Leipzig) has racked up two goals in his past four Bundesliga away matches. This statistic guides us towards Anytime Goalscorer where we’re able to back him to find the net at appealing odds of +300.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
There’s been an average 6.80 St. Pauli corners in their past five home games, while Leipzig have let the opposition average 5.40 corners in the previous five matches. The St. Pauli Team Corners line is on the low side and we’re looking to go over this number at odds of -115.
St. Pauli
Leipzig
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve lined up a same-game multi including these picks: Leipzig on the Full-Time Result, no more than two goals to be registered together with Christoph Baumgartner (Leipzig) to have a minimum of one shot on target.
If you’re keen to wager different selections for the same football match, a bet builder will provide a solution. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single bet. The odds can combine to great effect.
St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
The bookmakers have RB Leipzig at -125 when it comes to 1x2. This suggests that the favourites have a 56% chance of winning this Bundesliga clash based on the betting odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +320 about St. Pauli.
Asian Handicap betting is popular and you can wager Leipzig -0.5 at -122 should you want to go for the favourites, with St. Pauli +0.5 available at -102 and you will also win with the latter if it’s a draw.
You can find the shortest odds for Over 2.5 Goals, which means three goals or more being scored. BTTS Yes is available at -156 for anyone expecting Both Teams to Score.
Hundreds of markets are now a guarantee for each of the Bundesliga matches, with the recommended football betting sites making sure that customers have quality options.
You will find favourite Rômulo Cardoso da Cruz at +480 to be First Goalscorer and there’s also the chance to get +180 that he finds the net any time.
St. Pauli have collected five losses, three draws and two victories in the past 10 home matches, scoring an average of 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.80.
Leipzig have recorded four victories, three draws and three defeats in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.40 goals per game and conceding 1.30.
St. Pauli were involved in a 0-0 draw when last meeting Leipzig at Millerntor-Stadion.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pauli Home Stats |
2-3-5 | 2.70 | 0.90 | 1.80 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 5 | |
| RB Leipzig Away Stats |
4-3-3 | 2.70 | 1.40 | 1.30 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 7 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
St. Pauli League Stats
RB Leipzig League Stats
- 1 win, 6 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 6.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.60 corners awarded and 3.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 11.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 4.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 5.20 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 41.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 48.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 54.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 52.80% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for St. Pauli this season are Andreas Hountondji (4), Danel Sinani (2), Eric Smith (2)
- Top Assistors for St. Pauli this season are Joel Chima Fujita (3), Danel Sinani (2), Eric Smith (2)
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St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig Lineups & Team News
Know who’s in and who’s out for St. Pauli vs Leipzig before making your bets. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed Bundesliga lineups along with the latest injury developments.
St Pauli Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
RB Leipzig Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
St Pauli Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
RB Leipzig Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Previous St. Pauli Lineups
Previous RB Leipzig Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
St. Pauli Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Alexander Blessin
RB Leipzig Player Stats & Squad
Bundesliga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 19 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 72:16 | 50 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 38:17 | 42 |
| 3 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 38:22 | 36 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 36:26 | 36 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 36:24 | 35 |
| 6 | Leverkusen | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 35:25 | 32 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 31:32 | 27 |
| 8 | Frankfurt | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 39:42 | 27 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 24:30 | 24 |
| 10 | FC Koln | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 28:32 | 20 |
| 11 | B. M'gladbach | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 23:32 | 20 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 28:41 | 19 |
| 13 | Augsburg | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 22:36 | 19 |
| 14 | Hamburger SV | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17:27 | 18 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:35 | 18 |
| 16 | Mainz 05 | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 21:32 | 15 |
| 17 | St. Pauli | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16:31 | 13 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 17:42 | 13 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 40:9 | 25 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 19:6 | 23 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13:11 | 20 |
| 5 | Leverkusen | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 21:12 | 18 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18:11 | 18 |
| 8 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 15 |
| 9 | Frankfurt | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 10 | Union Berlin | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:16 | 13 |
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:15 | 12 |
| 12 | Augsburg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12:18 | 12 |
| 13 | FC Koln | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17:15 | 11 |
| 14 | Mainz 05 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10:13 | 9 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16:21 | 9 |
| 16 | B. M'gladbach | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12:20 | 9 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10:22 | 9 |
| 18 | St. Pauli | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | 8 |
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