St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 27 Jan 2026

Bundesliga Betting Preview: St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig

Second-from-bottom St. Pauli welcome fifth-placed RB Leipzig to Millerntor-Stadion, with kick-off set for 15:30 on Tuesday 27 January.

Our view is that Leipzig will prove too powerful across the board and we’ll therefore take the -125 that the Red Bulls defeat St. Pauli. This Full-Time Result bet looks like the way forward.

St. Pauli played out a 0–0 draw at home to Hamburger SV in the Hamburg derby at Millerntor-Stadion in their last game. The Kiezkicker had 43% possession and totalled three shots on target.

RB Leipzig got the win in their previous game. A 3-0 victory occurred on the road at Voith-Arena when playing Heidenheim. Ole Werner's team recorded an impressive 74% of possession and had seven shots on goal, while Ridle Baku, Antonio Nusa and David Raum found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Leipzig are bidding for a third successive win against St. Pauli, having previously obliged at home by 2-0 and 4-2 scorelines at Red Bull Arena. Leipzig have landed two victories in the previous 3 H2H matches and there’s also been a draw.

Bundesliga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	RB Leipzig	25	14	5	6	48	34	14	48:34	47
16	St. Pauli	26	6	6	14	23	42	-19	23:42	24

View Full Table

1 win, 6 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.8 goals from 8.5 attempts and 2.9 shots on goal. St. Pauli have had 41.8% possession, 407.6 passes and 4.8 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.7 goals from 11.4 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal, while earning 6.2 corners.

Ricky-Jade Jones and Martijn Kaars lead the way with 2 goals, while James Sands has scored 1. Eric Smith and Joel Chima Fujita have been top assistors on 2, with goalkeeper Nikola Vasilj keeping 2 clean sheets.

Leipzig have 5 victories, 4 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 6.6 shots on goal, 16.4 attempts and 2.0 goals. The Saxony outfit average 54.4% possession, 517.3 passes, 5.3 corners awarded and 4.9 corners against, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 11.1 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal.

Yan Diomande has recorded 5 goals, Romulo Cruz 3, with David Raum and Xaver Schlager both managing 2. Christoph Baumgartner has been chief assist maker on 5, with Peter Gulacsi recording 5 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

St. Pauli confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Nikola Vasilj (GK), Tomoya Ando, Hauke Wahl, Karol Mets, Manolis Saliakas, James Sands, Eric Smith, Arkadiusz Pyrka, Danel Sinani, Joel Chima Fujita, Ricky-Jade Jones.

RB Leipzig confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Peter Gulacsi (GK), Ridle Baku, Willi Orban, El Chadaille Bitshiabu, David Raum, Xaver Schlager, Nicolas Seiwald, Christoph Baumgartner, Yan Diomande, Romulo Cruz, Antonio Nusa.

St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig Prediction & Betting Tips

Dive into our full St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig betting preview, featuring an expert match prediction, a projected scoreline, valuable corners advice, top player prop bet and a bet builder designed for value.

Match Prediction

Let’s play a straight hand and go for an attractively-priced Leipzig who are trading at -125. It’s probable that the visitors will be able to land a win when it comes to this Bundesliga encounter.

Our football experts study the form, while injuries and suspensions can also affect the potential outcome. Before coming up with a verdict, we combine this data with the latest Bundesliga stats.

Key St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig league stats:

• Leipzig have won 11 of their last 20 games.
• St. Pauli have lost 6 of their last 10 games.
• St. Pauli have lost 12 of their last 20 games.
• St. Pauli have lost their last 2 games against Leipzig.

According to the top bookies, our pick has a 55.6% chance of landing a return. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 60-65%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

We would advise considering the Asian Handicap, Double Result and Result & Both Teams to Score markets if you’re looking to side with Leipzig but require a bigger price.

Claim exclusive offers now—our guide features top betting promo codes, the latest sign-up bonuses, and free bets.

Our Match Prediction

Leipzig To Win @ -125 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 25, 21:38). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

St. Pauli 0 - 1 Leipzig

The Red Bulls are available at +575 to secure a 1-0 victory. Many bettors enjoy a correct score wager and there are some nice potential returns to be had.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Christoph Baumgartner Over 0.5 Shots On Target -114

Christoph Baumgartner (Leipzig) has racked up at least one shot on goal in seven of his past ten Bundesliga away games. He should be capable of covering the line when it comes to this player prop and odds of -114 are now available.

Latest Christoph Baumgartner Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+260

First

+700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-154

Shots

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

-

---

Antonio Nusa to Score +300

Antonio Nusa (Leipzig) has racked up two goals in his past four Bundesliga away matches. This statistic guides us towards Anytime Goalscorer where we’re able to back him to find the net at appealing odds of +300.

Latest Antonio Nusa Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+320

First

+750

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-172

Shots

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

St. Pauli Over 4.5 Corners -115

There’s been an average 6.80 St. Pauli corners in their past five home games, while Leipzig have let the opposition average 5.40 corners in the previous five matches. The St. Pauli Team Corners line is on the low side and we’re looking to go over this number at odds of -115.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

St. Pauli

Total

11.00 4.80 6.20

Home

10.30 6.60 3.70

Away

9.40 3.50 5.90

Leipzig

Total

10.20 5.30 4.90

Home

10.90 5.70 5.20

Away

10.40 5.20 5.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-110

Under 9.5

-128

St. Pauli Corners

Over 4.5

+112

Under 4.5

-159

Leipzig Corners

Over 4.5

-152

Under 4.5

+104

Most Corners

1

+140

X

+600

2

-135

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookmakers have RB Leipzig at -135 when it comes to 1x2. This suggests that the favourites have a 57% chance of winning this Bundesliga clash based on the betting odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +390 about St. Pauli.

There’s an alternative Asian Handicap angle where you back Leipzig -0.75 against St. Pauli at -103. A 2+ goal win means a full return, although you get a payout on half your stake if they win by one and the other half is refunded.

The current odds reflect that there’s not much between Under 2.5 Goals and Over 2.5 Goals. The Both Teams to Score market provides some good options, with Yes and No hard to split in terms of odds.

Hundreds of markets are now a guarantee for each of the Bundesliga matches, with the recommended football betting sites making sure that customers have quality options.

Full-Time Result

1

+390

X

+250

2

-135

Half-Time Result

1

+380

X

+125

2

+130

Double Chance

1X

-100

12

-345

X2

-588

Draw No Bet

1

+225

2

-357

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.75

-122

2 Hcp -0.75

-103

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-122

Over 2.5

-105

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-120

No

-110

You will find favourite Rômulo Cardoso da Cruz at +460 to be First Goalscorer and there’s also the chance to get +190 that he finds the net any time.

Rômulo Cardoso da Cruz (Leipzig)

First

+190

Anytime

+460

Tidiam Gomis (Leipzig)

First

+210

Anytime

+500

Yan Diomande (Leipzig)

First

+220

Anytime

+500

Conrad Harder (Leipzig)

First

+230

Anytime

+575

Christoph Baumgartner (Leipzig)

First

+260

Anytime

+700

Andréas Hountondji (St. Pauli)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Antonio Nusa (Leipzig)

First

+320

Anytime

+750

Johan Bakayoko (Leipzig)

First

+350

Anytime

+850

Ricky-Jade Jones (St. Pauli)

First

+370

Anytime

+850

Andréas Hountondji (St. Pauli)

First

+380

Anytime

+900

Danel Sinani (St. Pauli)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Oladapo Afolayan (St. Pauli)

First

+450

Anytime

+1050

Mathias Pereira Lage (St. Pauli)

First

+450

Anytime

+1100

Ezechiel Banzuzi (Leipzig)

First

+480

Anytime

+1100

Xaver Schlager (Leipzig)

First

+510

Anytime

+1300

Ridle Baku (Leipzig)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Willi Orbán (Leipzig)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

David Raum (Leipzig)

First

+575

Anytime

+1400

Jackson Irvine (St. Pauli)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Connor Metcalfe (St. Pauli)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Joel Chima Fujita (St. Pauli)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Louis Oppie (St. Pauli)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Nicolas Seiwald (Leipzig)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Arkadiusz Pyrka (St. Pauli)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

El Chadaille Bitshiabu (Leipzig)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

James Sands (St. Pauli)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Rômulo Cardoso da Cruz (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+115

Tidiam Gomis (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+112

Conrad Harder (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-109

Yan Diomande (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-118

Andréas Hountondji (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-152

Andréas Hountondji (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-152

Christoph Baumgartner (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-154

Danel Sinani (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-154

Ricky-Jade Jones (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-167

Antonio Nusa (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-172

Johan Bakayoko (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-182

Oladapo Afolayan (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-200

Mathias Pereira Lage (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-192

Connor Metcalfe (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-286

Jackson Irvine (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-303

Ezechiel Banzuzi (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-313

Joel Chima Fujita (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-333

Louis Oppie (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-333

Ridle Baku (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-357

Xaver Schlager (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-385

Willi Orbán (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-400

David Raum (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-500

James Sands (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-556

Arkadiusz Pyrka (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-667

Nicolas Seiwald (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-714

El Chadaille Bitshiabu (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

+370

Under 0.5

-1429

Rômulo Cardoso da Cruz (Leipzig)

Over 2.5

+112

Under 2.5

-

Conrad Harder (Leipzig)

Over 2.5

+133

Under 2.5

-

Tidiam Gomis (Leipzig)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-

Andréas Hountondji (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Connor Metcalfe (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Jackson Irvine (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Oladapo Afolayan (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

-112

Under 1.5

-

Danel Sinani (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Mathias Pereira Lage (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

Ricky-Jade Jones (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

-139

Under 1.5

-

Johan Bakayoko (Leipzig)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Antonio Nusa (Leipzig)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Andréas Hountondji (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Christoph Baumgartner (Leipzig)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

-

Yan Diomande (Leipzig)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Ezechiel Banzuzi (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

Xaver Schlager (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Ridle Baku (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Willi Orbán (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-

David Raum (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-

Joel Chima Fujita (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Louis Oppie (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Nicolas Seiwald (Leipzig)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-

Arkadiusz Pyrka (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

-119

Under 0.5

-

James Sands (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

St. Pauli have collected five losses, three draws and two victories in the past 10 home matches, scoring an average of 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.80.

Leipzig have recorded four victories, three draws and three defeats in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.40 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

St. Pauli were involved in a 0-0 draw when last meeting Leipzig at Millerntor-Stadion.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
St. Pauli Home Stats		2-3-5	2.70	0.90	1.80	6	4	5	5
RB Leipzig Away Stats		4-3-3	2.70	1.40	1.30	5	5	3	7

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig Lineups & Team News

Know who’s in and who’s out for St. Pauli vs Leipzig before making your bets. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed Bundesliga lineups along with the latest injury developments.

St. Pauli Team Page RB Leipzig Team Page

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