St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 22 Feb 2026

Bundesliga Betting Preview: St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen

St. Pauli clash with Werder Bremen at Millerntor-Stadion, with kick-off set for 11:30 on Sunday 22 February.

We’ll split our stake by backing St. Pauli +0.25 at odds of -149 for this Asian Handicap wager. It means we have a return if they draw but a nice payout should the home team claim a victory against Werder Bremen.

St. Pauli were beaten in their last game. Away from home at BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen claimed a 4-0 win. The Hamburg side had only 31% possession and one shot on target.

Werder Bremen have lost their previous three away outings. In their most recent game, they were beaten 3-0 at home to Bayern Munich at Weserstadion. The Werderaner finished with just 35% possession and didn’t have any shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Werder haven’t lost to St. Pauli in their past five games. In their last encounter, Werder enjoyed a 1-0 scoreline on home soil at Weserstadion. The previous 5 H2H games have gone the way of Werder two times along with three draws.

Bundesliga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
16	Werder Bremen	22	4	7	11	22	42	-20	22:42	19
17	St. Pauli	22	4	5	13	20	39	-19	20:39	17

View Full Table

St. Pauli have 2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 9.1 attempts and 3.3 shots on goal. The Kiezkickers have averaged 40.9% possession, 400.5 passes and 4.4 corners per game, conceding 1.5 goals and 6.1 corners from 11.2 attempts and 4.8 shots on goal.

Martijn Kaars is the top scorer with 3 goals, while Danel Sinani and Ricky-Jade Jones both have 2. Leading assistors have been Eric Smith and Joel Chima Fujita with 2, while goalkeeper Nikola Vasilj has 2 clean sheets.

Werder have 7 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 3.4 shots on goal, 14.2 attempts and 0.6 goals. Daniel Thioune's team average 52.1% possession, 479.4 passes, 5.0 corners awarded and 4.7 corners against, while 2.1 goals have been conceded from 12.3 attempts and 5.6 shots on goal.

Justin Njinmah and Jens Stage have top scored with 2 goals, while Keke Topp is next on 1. Romano Schmid has clocked up 3 assists, with Mio Backhaus keeping one clean sheet in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

St. Pauli predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Nikola Vasilj (GK), Tomoya Ando, Karol Mets, Eric Smith, Manolis Saliakas, Jackson Irvine, James Sands, Arkadiusz Pyrka, Danel Sinani, Joel Chima Fujita, Martijn Kaars.

Werder Bremen predicted lineup (4-3-3): Mio Backhaus (GK), Yukinari Sugawara, Marco Friedl, Niklas Stark, Felix Agu, Cameron Puertas, Senne Lynen, Jens Stage, Justin Njinmah, Keke Topp, Romano Schmid.

St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen Prediction & Betting Tips

Get ahead of the game with our St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen betting rundown, featuring our trusted match prediction, likely score outcome, corners betting edge, standout player prop plays and a fully loaded bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’re backing St. Pauli at -149 in this Bundesliga game with a +0.25 goal start. We think that the home team will have the edge and we can therefore feel confident of a return with this bet.

When it comes to making our expert football predictions, it’s important to study team news and observe the latest form. There are lots of Bundesliga stats that can also help to shape our picks.

Key St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by St. Pauli in 4 consecutive games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by St. Pauli in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by St. Pauli in 11 of their last 19 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Werder in 12 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Werder in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Werder in 14 of their last 19 games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by St. Pauli in 3 of their last 5 games against Werder.

Based on the latest odds from the top bookmakers, our pick carries a 59.9% chance of winning. Based on our tipsters research, we calculate the actual probability to be 65-70%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

If you’re hunting for bigger odds and feel confident your pick is going to perform well, then consider moving the line and land a bigger potential return.

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Our Match Prediction

St. Pauli Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -149 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 20, 17:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

St. Pauli 1 - 0 Werder Bremen

You can secure odds of +600 that St. Pauli are able to land a 1-0 victory. Correct score betting can provide plenty of fun and it’s a way of landing bigger odds.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Romano Schmid Over 1.5 Shots +125

Romano Schmid (Werder) has fired over 1.5 shots in five consecutive Bundesliga matches. He certainly looks capable of covering the line when it comes to this player prop and odds of +125 are currently on offer.

Latest Romano Schmid Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+475

First

+1100

Shots

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

---

Danel Sinani to Score +350

Danel Sinani (St. Pauli) has racked up two goals in his past five Bundesliga games. Based on the numbers, we are looking to bet the +350 for him to find the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Danel Sinani Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+350

First

+800

Shots

Over 2.5

+102

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

St. Pauli Under 5.5 Corners -149

St. Pauli have not covered the 5.5 corners line in ten consecutive games, with Werder Bremen conceding under 5.5 corners in their past three matches. We expect St. Pauli to fall short and this Team Corners wager can be backed at -149.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

St. Pauli

Total

10.50 4.40 6.10

Home

10.10 6.40 3.70

Away

9.60 3.40 6.20

Werder Bremen

Total

9.70 5.00 4.70

Home

8.10 4.80 3.30

Away

11.50 4.90 6.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-120

Under 9.5

-116

St. Pauli Corners

Over 5.5

+105

Under 5.5

-149

Werder Bremen Corners

Over 4.5

+115

Under 4.5

-167

Most Corners

1

-149

X

+650

2

+155

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookmakers have betting odds of +160 for Werder Bremen to triumph in this Bundesliga clash, with St. Pauli trading at a price of +180 if you think they’ll win, while the draw is chalked up at +215.

You can take advantage of the Draw No Bet market if you want a less-risky option. Going down this route means you can back Werder at -128 or instead go for St. Pauli at -110.

A low-scoring contest will be predicted by several which is reflected in the fact that Under 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds. There are always two Both Teams to Score choices, with Yes available at -106 and No at -123.

When it comes to every Bundesliga match, you will find hundreds of markets available. Go through the various attractive options which are available at the best football betting sites.

Full-Time Result

1

+180

X

+215

2

+160

Half-Time Result

1

+240

X

+107

2

+225

Double Chance

1X

-208

12

-286

X2

-238

Draw No Bet

1

-110

2

-128

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-149

2 Hcp -0.25

+120

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-175

Over 2.5

+133

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-106

No

-123

There is +260 available that Keke Maximilian Topp finds the net at any stage. He is available at +550 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.

Keke Maximilian Topp (Werder)

First

+260

Anytime

+550

Jovan Milosevic (Werder)

First

+310

Anytime

+700

Danel Sinani (St. Pauli)

First

+350

Anytime

+800

Marco Grull (Werder)

First

+380

Anytime

+850

Justin Njinmah (Werder)

First

+380

Anytime

+900

Jens Stage (Werder)

First

+400

Anytime

+950

Mathias Pereira Lage (St. Pauli)

First

+420

Anytime

+950

Leonardo Bittencourt (Werder)

First

+460

Anytime

+1100

Romano Schmid (Werder)

First

+475

Anytime

+1100

Samuel Mbangula (Werder)

First

+475

Anytime

+1150

Connor Metcalfe (St. Pauli)

First

+510

Anytime

+1200

Jackson Irvine (St. Pauli)

First

+510

Anytime

+1200

Joel Chima Fujita (St. Pauli)

First

+540

Anytime

+1150

Cameron Puertas (Werder)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Louis Oppie (St. Pauli)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Yukinari Sugawara (Werder)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Mathias Rasmussen (St. Pauli)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

James Sands (St. Pauli)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

Arkadiusz Pyrka (St. Pauli)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Senne Lynen (Werder)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Julián Malatini (Werder)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Olivier Deman (Werder)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Amos Pieper (Werder)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Eric Smith (St. Pauli)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Adam Dźwigała (St. Pauli)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Keke Maximilian Topp (Werder)

Over 2.5

+102

Under 2.5

-

Danel Sinani (St. Pauli)

Over 2.5

+102

Under 2.5

-

Samuel Mbangula (Werder)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Louis Oppie (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-

Jovan Milosevic (Werder)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

-

Jackson Irvine (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Connor Metcalfe (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

+107

Under 1.5

-

Joel Chima Fujita (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-

Romano Schmid (Werder)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Leonardo Bittencourt (Werder)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Mathias Pereira Lage (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

-

Jens Stage (Werder)

Over 1.5

-103

Under 1.5

-

Justin Njinmah (Werder)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-

Marco Grull (Werder)

Over 1.5

-104

Under 1.5

-

Cameron Puertas (Werder)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Yukinari Sugawara (Werder)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Mathias Rasmussen (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

James Sands (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Arkadiusz Pyrka (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-

Senne Lynen (Werder)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-

Julián Malatini (Werder)

Over 0.5

-106

Under 0.5

-

Olivier Deman (Werder)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-

Eric Smith (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Adam Dźwigała (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

-127

Under 0.5

-

St. Pauli have swerved defeat at Millerntor-Stadion in the previous four matches. The Hamburg side have managed four losses, three victories and three draws in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.50.

Werder Bremen have failed to win in their last nine matches on their travels. The Werderaner have finished with six defeats, three draws and one win in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.70.

When the teams previously met at Millerntor-Stadion, Werder defeated St. Pauli 2-0.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
St. Pauli Home Stats		3-3-4	2.40	0.90	1.50	6	4	6	4
Werder Bremen Away Stats		1-3-6	2.60	0.90	1.70	5	5	3	7

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen Lineups & Team News

Don’t miss the latest St. Pauli vs Werder team news before you bet. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Bundesliga along with the latest injury news.

St. Pauli Team Page Werder Bremen Team Page

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