St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 22 Feb 2026
Bundesliga Betting Preview: St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen
St. Pauli clash with Werder Bremen at Millerntor-Stadion, with kick-off set for 11:30 on Sunday 22 February.
We’ll split our stake by backing St. Pauli +0.25 at odds of -149 for this Asian Handicap wager. It means we have a return if they draw but a nice payout should the home team claim a victory against Werder Bremen.
St. Pauli were beaten in their last game. Away from home at BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen claimed a 4-0 win. The Hamburg side had only 31% possession and one shot on target.
Werder Bremen have lost their previous three away outings. In their most recent game, they were beaten 3-0 at home to Bayern Munich at Weserstadion. The Werderaner finished with just 35% possession and didn’t have any shots on goal.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Werder haven’t lost to St. Pauli in their past five games. In their last encounter, Werder enjoyed a 1-0 scoreline on home soil at Weserstadion. The previous 5 H2H games have gone the way of Werder two times along with three draws.
| Bundesliga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Werder Bremen |
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 31:49 | 28 |
| 16 | St. Pauli |
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 25:45 | 25 |
St. Pauli have 2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 9.1 attempts and 3.3 shots on goal. The Kiezkickers have averaged 40.9% possession, 400.5 passes and 4.4 corners per game, conceding 1.5 goals and 6.1 corners from 11.2 attempts and 4.8 shots on goal.
Martijn Kaars is the top scorer with 3 goals, while Danel Sinani and Ricky-Jade Jones both have 2. Leading assistors have been Eric Smith and Joel Chima Fujita with 2, while goalkeeper Nikola Vasilj has 2 clean sheets.
Werder have 7 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 3.4 shots on goal, 14.2 attempts and 0.6 goals. Daniel Thioune's team average 52.1% possession, 479.4 passes, 5.0 corners awarded and 4.7 corners against, while 2.1 goals have been conceded from 12.3 attempts and 5.6 shots on goal.
Justin Njinmah and Jens Stage have top scored with 2 goals, while Keke Topp is next on 1. Romano Schmid has clocked up 3 assists, with Mio Backhaus keeping one clean sheet in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
St. Pauli confirmed lineup (3-4-2-1): Nikola Vasilj (GK), Tomoya Ando, Hauke Wahl, Karol Mets, Manolis Saliakas, Eric Smith, Jackson Irvine, Arkadiusz Pyrka, Joel Chima Fujita, Danel Sinani, Martijn Kaars.
Werder Bremen confirmed lineup (3-4-2-1): Mio Backhaus (GK), Niklas Stark, Senne Lynen, Marco Friedl, Justin Njinmah, Cameron Puertas, Jens Stage, Felix Agu, Romano Schmid, Samuel Mbangula, Marco Grüll.
St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen Prediction & Betting Tips
Get ahead of the game with our St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen betting rundown, featuring our trusted match prediction, likely score outcome, corners betting edge, standout player prop plays and a fully loaded bet builder.
Match Prediction
We’re backing St. Pauli at -149 in this Bundesliga game with a +0.25 goal start. We think that the home team will have the edge and we can therefore feel confident of a return with this bet.
When it comes to making our expert football predictions, it’s important to study team news and observe the latest form. There are lots of Bundesliga stats that can also help to shape our picks.
Key St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen league stats:
Based on the latest odds from the top bookmakers, our pick carries a 59.9% chance of winning. Based on our tipsters research, we calculate the actual probability to be 65-70%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.
If you’re hunting for bigger odds and feel confident your pick is going to perform well, then consider moving the line and land a bigger potential return.
Maximize your betting experience. Explore our bonus guide for the best sportsbook promo codes, free bets, and welcome offers.
Correct Score Prediction
You can secure odds of +600 that St. Pauli are able to land a 1-0 victory. Correct score betting can provide plenty of fun and it’s a way of landing bigger odds.
Player Prop Picks
Romano Schmid (Werder) has fired over 1.5 shots in five consecutive Bundesliga matches. He certainly looks capable of covering the line when it comes to this player prop and odds of +125 are currently on offer.
Danel Sinani (St. Pauli) has racked up two goals in his past five Bundesliga games. Based on the numbers, we are looking to bet the +350 for him to find the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
St. Pauli have not covered the 5.5 corners line in ten consecutive games, with Werder Bremen conceding under 5.5 corners in their past three matches. We expect St. Pauli to fall short and this Team Corners wager can be backed at -149.
St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
If you’re keen to place a same-game multi, go for St. Pauli to cover the +0.25 Asian Handicap, two or less goals in total merged with Romano Schmid (Werder) to record Over 1.5 shots.
A bet builder is a single event wager where you select outcomes for a particular football game. You’re able to scan through each market and pick out the selections that make the most appeal. The odds for each pick are multiplied together.
St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The bookmakers have betting odds of +165 for Werder Bremen to triumph in this Bundesliga clash, with St. Pauli trading at a price of +170 if you think they’ll win, while the draw is chalked up at +215.
You can take advantage of the Draw No Bet market if you want a less-risky option. Going down this route means you can back Werder at -122 or instead go for St. Pauli at -118.
A low-scoring contest will be predicted by several which is reflected in the fact that Under 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds. There are always two Both Teams to Score choices, with Yes available at -114 and No at -115.
When it comes to every Bundesliga match, you will find hundreds of markets available. Go through the various attractive options which are available at the best football betting sites.
There is +250 available that Keke Maximilian Topp finds the net at any stage. He is available at +575 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.
St. Pauli have swerved defeat at Millerntor-Stadion in the previous four matches. The Hamburg side have managed four losses, three victories and three draws in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.50.
Werder Bremen have failed to win in their last nine matches on their travels. The Werderaner have finished with six defeats, three draws and one win in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.70.
When the teams previously met at Millerntor-Stadion, Werder defeated St. Pauli 2-0.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Pauli Home Stats |
3-3-4 | 2.40 | 0.90 | 1.50 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 4 | |
Werder Bremen Away Stats |
1-3-6 | 2.60 | 0.90 | 1.70 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 7 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
St. Pauli League Stats
Werder Bremen League Stats
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 7 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 6 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.60 goals scored and 2.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 6.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.40 corners awarded and 3.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 6.60 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 40.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 47.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 52.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 50.20% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for St. Pauli this season are Andreas Hountondji (4), Danel Sinani (4), Martijn Kaars (3)
- Top Assistors for St. Pauli this season are Joel Chima Fujita (3), Danel Sinani (2), Eric Smith (2)
St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen Lineups & Team News
Don’t miss the latest St. Pauli vs Werder team news before you bet. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Bundesliga along with the latest injury news.
St Pauli Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1
Werder Bremen Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1
St Pauli Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1
Werder Bremen Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1
Previous St. Pauli Lineups
Previous Werder Bremen Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
St. Pauli Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Alexander Blessin
Werder Bremen Player Stats & Squad
Bundesliga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 100:27 | 73 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 60:28 | 64 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 55:36 | 53 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 56:38 | 53 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 55:41 | 50 |
| 6 | Leverkusen | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 58:39 | 49 |
| 7 | Frankfurt | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 52:53 | 39 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 41:47 | 37 |
| 9 | Mainz 05 | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 35:43 | 33 |
| 10 | Union Berlin | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 32:47 | 32 |
| 11 | Augsburg | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 34:51 | 32 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 13 | B. M'gladbach | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 35:48 | 30 |
| 14 | Werder Bremen | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 31:49 | 28 |
| 15 | FC Koln | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 40:49 | 27 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 25:45 | 25 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 38:63 | 21 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 28 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 29:63 | 16 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 56:13 | 37 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 33:13 | 35 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 22:14 | 32 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 34:18 | 29 |
| 5 | Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 32:15 | 27 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 29:17 | 25 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26:19 | 25 |
| 8 | Frankfurt | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25:20 | 24 |
| 9 | Hamburger SV | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 21:18 | 21 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:24 | 21 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 19:22 | 18 |
| 12 | Mainz 05 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17:17 | 17 |
| 13 | B. M'gladbach | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18:23 | 17 |
| 14 | FC Koln | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 25:24 | 16 |
| 15 | St. Pauli | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14:20 | 16 |
| 16 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15:25 | 16 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 18:34 | 11 |
| 18 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 20:29 | 9 |
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