Stoke vs Derby Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 09 Aug 2025

Championship Betting Preview: Stoke vs Derby

Stoke host Derby in this Championship match at bet365 Stadium, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 9 August 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Strong Case for Rams to Cover the Line

Derby have a strong chance against Stoke and we’ll side with the visitors on the Asian Handicap. It’s worth chancing the -118 with a +0.25 goal headstart, meaning that our stake is split between 0 and +0.5.

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Previous H2H Clash Ended Goalless

Derby County and Stoke City played each other when last in action, with the teams playing out a 0-0 draw. Derby enjoyed 51% possession and were 4-1 winners in term of shots on target.

Looking back to the previous 9 H2H meetings, there has been four draws. Derby have won three games and Stoke two.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
6	Derby	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
20	Stoke	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

Stoke have 4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 7.4 attempts. Mark Robins' side have averaged 47.1% possession and 4.2 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.2 goals from 3.8 shots on goal, 9.2 attempts and 4.0 corners.

Top scorers Million Manhoef and Lewis Baker have found the net 2 times, with Ben Wilmot getting 1. The top assist makers are Jordan Thompson, Junior Tchamadeu and Lewis Baker, all of whom have 1 on the board.

Derby have 5 victories, 2 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 1.3 goals from 3.0 shots on goal and 6.3 attempts. There’s been an average of 37.4% possession, 4.5 corners taken and 4.9 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.7 goals from 2.2 shots on goal and 7.0 attempts.

Jerry Yates and Marcus Harness have top scored with 3, while Nathaniel Phillips is next on 1. Nathaniel Phillips and Callum Elder are the top assist makers, managing 3 in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Stoke predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Viktor Johansson (GK), Junior Tchamadeu, Ben Wilmot, Maksym Taloverov, Aaron Cresswell, Ben Pearson, Tatsuki Seko, Million Manhoef, Joon-ho Bae, Sorba Thomas, Divin Mubama.

Derby predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Jacob Widell Zetterström (GK), Jake Rooney, Ryan Nyambe, Danny Batth, Craig Forsyth, Kenzo Goudmijn, Liam Thompson, Kayden Jackson, Ebou Adams, Corey Blackett-Taylor, Carlton Morris.

Stoke vs Derby Prediction & Betting Tips

Prepare for Stoke vs Derby with our expert betting guide featuring a trusted match prediction, likely scoreline, top corners advice, key player props and a well-crafted bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’re siding with Derby at -118 in this Championship match with a +0.25 goal advantage. It’s expected that they will have an edge and we can therefore feel bullish of a return with this wager.

In order to come up with the best football predictions, we like to know the Championship team news and study the latest form. There are also plenty of numbers to crunch from the available stats.

Key Stoke vs Derby league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Derby in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Derby in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Derby in 3 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Stoke in 3 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Stoke in 14 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Stoke in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Stoke in 7 of their last 9 games against Derby.

The betting apps are estimating that there is a 54.1% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Based on our experts research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

Selling goals can be a great alternative and allows bettors to enjoy a bigger return on a similar selection. For a more conservative pick, you can alternatively buy goals.

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Our Match Prediction

Derby Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -118 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Stoke 0 - 1 Derby

We’ve found an attractive bet at odds of +650 and it involves Derby winning 1-0. We like a wager on correct score as there’s the chance to bank a bigger return.

Player Prop Picks

Million Manhoef Under 0.5 Shots On Target -159

Million Manhoef (Stoke) is available at -159 to fail to register a shot on goal. He looks like an attractive pick and we’ll have a bet on this Shots on Target outcome as the betting odds stand out.

Latest Million Manhoef Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+440

First

+850

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-159

Shots

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

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Carlton Morris To Score +420

Carlton Morris (Derby) is available to score at +420. We think this is the pick of the player props, with generous odds available when it comes to backing him to score at any time.

Latest Carlton Morris Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+420

First

+800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-159

Shots

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Derby Under 4.5 Corners -110

The 4.5 corners line has not been covered by Derby in eight straight away games, with Stoke conceding under 4.5 corners in 4 of their last 5 home matches. We think Derby might fall short of the mark, with odds of -110 available when it comes to this Team Corners pick.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Stoke

Total

8.20 4.20 4.00

Home

8.00 4.10 3.90

Away

8.60 3.70 4.90

Derby

Total

9.40 4.50 4.90

Home

9.00 4.90 4.10

Away

8.80 4.20 4.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-102

Under 10.5

-141

Stoke Corners

Over 4.5

-150

Under 4.5

+110

Derby Corners

Over 4.5

-125

Under 4.5

-110

Most Corners

1

-120

X

+650

2

+140

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Stoke vs Derby Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

1x2 Odds Suggest a Close Encounter

With the bookies giving them a 46% probability of winning, Stoke City might be a popular acca pick. Their current betting odds are +117 when it comes to triumphing in this Championship clash. If you want to get against the market leader, then you’re able to secure +245 for Derby County.

Should you want to back Stoke to win but want money back if the game ends level, then there is -192 available on the Draw No Bet market. Opponents Derby have been chalked up at +132.

Under 2.5 Goals is operating at the shortest price for those anticipating two or less goals. The Both Teams to Score No bet is -143 and it’s ideal if you think at least one side will not score during the ninety minutes.

If you’re betting on Championship games, we recommend heading to the best football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

+117

X

+220

2

+245

Half-Time Result

1

+188

X

-100

2

+295

Double Chance

1X

-357

12

-313

X2

-159

Draw No Bet

1

-192

2

+132

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-123

2 Hcp +0.25

-115

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-189

Over 2.5

+145

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+104

No

-143

Róbert Bozeník Top of First Goalscorer List

Róbert Bozeník is the favourite to be First Goalscorer at +600. If you’re interested in backing him to find the net at anytime, then the price is +320.

Róbert Bozeník (Stoke)

First

+320

Anytime

+600

Ryan Mmaee (Stoke)

First

+340

Anytime

+600

Sam Gallagher (Stoke)

First

+360

Anytime

+600

Dajaune Brown (Derby)

First

+420

Anytime

+800

Carlton Morris (Derby)

First

+420

Anytime

+800

Million Manhoef (Stoke)

First

+440

Anytime

+850

Andreas Weimann (Derby)

First

+460

Anytime

+850

Kayden Jackson (Derby)

First

+480

Anytime

+950

Lewis Baker (Stoke)

First

+480

Anytime

+950

Bae Jun-Ho (Stoke)

First

+550

Anytime

+1150

Corey Blackett-Taylor (Derby)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Sorba Thomas (Stoke)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Rhian Brewster (Derby)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Joe Ward (Derby)

First

+950

Anytime

+1800

Ebou Adams (Derby)

First

+950

Anytime

+1900

Tatsuki Seko (Stoke)

First

+950

Anytime

+1900

David Ozoh (Derby)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Kenzo Goudmijn (Derby)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2000

Ben Pearson (Stoke)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Liam Thompson (Derby)

First

+1200

Anytime

+2200

Ben Osborn (Derby)

First

+1200

Anytime

+2200

Róbert Bozeník (Stoke)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-128

Sam Gallagher (Stoke)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-141

Ryan Mmaee (Stoke)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-143

Million Manhoef (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-159

Dajaune Brown (Derby)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-161

Carlton Morris (Derby)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-159

Lewis Baker (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-175

Andreas Weimann (Derby)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-179

Kayden Jackson (Derby)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-185

Bae Jun-Ho (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-233

Corey Blackett-Taylor (Derby)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-278

Sorba Thomas (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-294

Rhian Brewster (Derby)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-333

Joe Ward (Derby)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-476

Tatsuki Seko (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-500

Ebou Adams (Derby)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-556

David Ozoh (Derby)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-556

Kenzo Goudmijn (Derby)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-588

Liam Thompson (Derby)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-667

Ben Pearson (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+360

Under 0.5

-667

Ben Osborn (Derby)

Over 0.5

+400

Under 0.5

-769

Róbert Bozeník (Stoke)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Sam Gallagher (Stoke)

Over 1.5

-137

Under 1.5

-

Dajaune Brown (Derby)

Over 1.5

-110

Under 1.5

-

Carlton Morris (Derby)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

Million Manhoef (Stoke)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Andreas Weimann (Derby)

Over 1.5

-104

Under 1.5

-

Kayden Jackson (Derby)

Over 1.5

-109

Under 1.5

-

Corey Blackett-Taylor (Derby)

Over 1.5

+143

Under 1.5

-

Ryan Mmaee (Stoke)

Over 1.5

-102

Under 1.5

-

David Ozoh (Derby)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-

Liam Thompson (Derby)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Ben Pearson (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

Kenzo Goudmijn (Derby)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-

Sorba Thomas (Stoke)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Tatsuki Seko (Stoke)

Over 0.5

-130

Under 0.5

-

Ebou Adams (Derby)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-

Joe Ward (Derby)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-

Rhian Brewster (Derby)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Ben Osborn (Derby)

Over 0.5

+116

Under 0.5

-

Stoke Have Four Wins From Past Ten Home Clashes

Stoke have four wins, four draws and two losses in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 1.10.

Derby have gone unbeaten away in the last three games. The Rams have clocked up five losses, three wins and two draws in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.10 goals per match and conceding 1.50.

Stoke overcame Derby 2-1 when the sides last met at bet365 Stadium. The previous 4 H2H meetings at bet365 Stadium have involved two Stoke triumphs, one Derby win and one draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Stoke Home Stats		4-4-2	2.50	1.40	1.10	4	6	5	5
Derby Away Stats		3-2-5	2.60	1.10	1.50	5	5	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Stoke vs Derby Lineups & Team News

The Stoke vs Derby team news could change everything — review it before betting. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Championship together with updated injury news.

Stoke City Team Page Derby County Team Page