Stoke vs Middlesbrough Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 25 Feb 2025

Back a Close Game

Stoke +0.25 look like a value bet on the Asian Handicap. This involves splitting our stake between 0 and +0.5, with a win against Middlesbrough the desired outcome at betting odds of -105.

Boro Won 2-0 When Teams Last Met

Stoke City were beaten last game and this was on their travels at Carrow Road. Norwich City claimed a 4-2 win. Mark Robins' men had 40% possession and totalled four shots on target, with Lewis Baker scoring both of the goals.

Middlesbrough have now lost five consecutive games. Away from home in their previous game, Bristol City won 2-1 at Ashton Gate. The Teeside team had just 38% possession and totalled four shots on goal, while Tommy Conway found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Middlesbrough won the most recent encounter between these teams. A 2-0 home victory was recorded against Stoke at Riverside Stadium. The previous 10 H2H matches have ended up with four Stoke wins, three Middlesbrough victories and three draws.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
10	Middlesbrough	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
20	Stoke	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

Stoke have 3 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 3.0 shots on goal and 7.1 attempts. The Potters have averaged 39.5% possession and 2.8 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.2 goals from 4.6 shots on goal, 12.5 attempts and 6.5 corners.

Top goalscorer Lewis Baker has found the net 3 times, with Wouter Burger, Joon-Ho Bae, Ali Al Hamadi and Andrew Moran scoring 1 each. The top assist makers are Andrew Moran, Lewis Baker and Million Manhoef, all of whom have 1 on the board.

Middlesbrough have 2 victories, 6 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.0 goals from 9.2 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal. Michael Carrick's side average 53.6% possession, 3.9 corners awarded and 5.2 corners against them, while conceding 1.4 goals from 10.8 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal.

Delano Burgzorg is top scorer on 3, with Hayden Hackney and Emmanuel Latte Lath next on 2. Ben Doak and Delano Burgzorg have had 2 assists in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Stoke confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Viktor Johansson (GK), Ben Wilmot, Ashley Phillips, Michael Rose, Enda Stevens, Lewis Baker, Tatsuki Seko, Million Manhoef, Andrew Moran, Joon-Ho Bae, Nathan Lowe.

Middlesbrough confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Mark Travers (GK), Anfernee Dijksteel, Dael Fry, George Edmundson, Neto Borges, Aidan Morris, Hayden Hackney, Marcus Forss, Finn Azaz, Morgan Whittaker, Tommy Conway.

Stoke vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Betting Tips

We’re backing Stoke at -105 in this Championship game with a +0.25 goal start. We think that the home team will have the edge and we can therefore feel confident of a return with this bet.

The football experts at Sportsgambler.com always keep close tabs on team news. We also use a form guide for our betting tips along with checking out the stats that are going to help inform our final decision.

Key Stoke vs Middlesbrough league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Stoke in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Stoke in 16 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Stoke in 4 consecutive games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Middlesbrough in any of their last 5 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Middlesbrough in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Middlesbrough in 5 consecutive games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Stoke in 7 of their last 10 games against Middlesbrough.

Stoke +0.25 Probability

According to the latest odds, there’s a 51.3% likelihood of our pick winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

We recommend moving the line if you are searching for bigger odds about the same selection. Take your pick and get the juice that you want from your bet in the process.

Our Match Prediction

Stoke Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -105 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Stoke 1 - 0 Middlesbrough

Stoke are available at +850 to secure a 1-0 victory. Many bettors enjoy a correct score wager and there are some nice potential returns to be had.

Corners Prediction

Stoke Under 4.5 Corners -111

In four consecutive games, Stoke have fallen short of 4.5 corners. There’s everything to like about the Stoke Team Corners line which looks too big and we’d expect them to go under at -111.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Stoke

Total

9.30 2.80 6.50

Home

11.00 5.30 5.70

Away

10.40 3.00 7.40

Middlesbrough

Total

9.10 3.90 5.20

Home

8.10 3.60 4.50

Away

11.20 4.70 6.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-138

Under 9.5

-100

Stoke Corners

Over 4.5

-125

Under 4.5

-110

Middlesbrough Corners

Over 4.5

-150

Under 4.5

+110

Most Corners

1

+108

X

+575

2

-111

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Stoke vs Middlesbrough Odds

For this Championship match, the leading bookies’ betting odds mean Middlesbrough are the +120 favourite to win and that means a 45% chance of winning. At +210, Stoke City are regarded as having a lower probability of winning this match.

You can back Over 2.5 Goals or Under 2.5 Goals at similar odds right now.

Should you want to back Stoke City to win this Championship match, then there is +125 available on the Draw No Bet market, with Middlesbrough chalked at -175.

Full-Time Result

1

+210

X

+250

2

+120

Half-Time Result

1

+260

X

+120

2

+187.5

Double Chance

1X

-150

12

-350

X2

-275

Draw No Bet

1

+125

2

-175

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-105

2 Hcp -0.25

-105

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-100

Over 2.5

-125

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-163

No

+120

Stoke vs Middlesbrough Lineups & Team News

Our Stoke vs Middlesbrough team news will highlight the injuries for both squads, with the lineups giving you a helping hand with your bets.

We’re on hand to provide you with full details of the latest Championship squads.

Stoke City Team Page Middlesbrough Team Page