Stoke vs Southampton Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 31 Jan 2026

Championship Betting Preview: Stoke vs Southampton

Stoke square off against Southampton at bet365 Stadium, with kick-off set for 07:30 on Saturday 31 January.

We’ll split our stake by backing Stoke +0.25 at odds of -147 for this Asian Handicap wager. It means we have a return if they draw but a nice payout should the home team claim a victory against Southampton.

Confident in our Asian Handicap pick? Read our expert review of BetMGM, then grab the latest promo code before placing your bet.

Stoke City played out a 1-1 draw in their last game. This was away from home at St Andrew's against Birmingham City. The Potters had the majority of the ball enjoying 55% possession and one shot on target, with Phil Neumann (own goal) bagging the goal.

Southampton drew on the road in their previous game. A 1-1 scoreline was played out against Portsmouth at Fratton Park. The South Coast team managed four shots on goal and had 46% possession, with Leo Scienza on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was Stoke who were victorious when they last faced Southampton. At St. Mary's, a 2-1 away victory was recorded. Each team has landed two wins in the previous 4 meetings between them.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
10	Stoke	29	12	6	11	34	26	8	34:26	42
15	Southampton	29	9	10	10	41	41	0	41:41	37

View Full Table

3 wins, 4 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.8 goals from 3.0 shots on goal and 9.5 attempts. Stoke have had 53.0% possession and 5.7 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 0.8 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 12.4 attempts, while being awarded 4.2 corners.

Top scorer Sorba Thomas has found the net 2 times, with Tomas Rigo, Sam Gallagher, Robert Bozenik and Ben Wilmot getting 1 goals each. Lamine Cisse, Sorba Thomas and Million Manhoef have racked up the most assists with 1 each.

Southampton have won 2, lost 4 and drawn 4, with an average of 1.0 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 14.4 attempts. The Saints have averaged 58.9% possession, 5.3 corners taken and 5.4 corners against, while conceding 1.5 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 15.1 attempts.

Leo Scienza got 3 goals, Adam Armstrong notched 2, while Ross Stewart and two other players scored 1. Finn Azaz and Leo Scienza are the top assist makers with 2 in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Stoke predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Tommy Simkin (GK), Sorba Thomas, Ashley Phillips, Maksym Taloverov, Eric Junior Bocat, Tomas Rigo, Steven Nzonzi, Million Manhoef, Tatsuki Seko, Joon-ho Bae, Milan Smit.

Southampton predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Daniel Peretz (GK), James Bree, Taylor Harwood-Bellis, Jack Stephens, Welington, Flynn Downes, Caspar Jander, Tom Fellows, Finn Azaz, Ross Stewart, Adam Armstrong.

Stoke vs Southampton Prediction & Betting Tips

We cover the essential Stoke vs Southampton betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, a corners value pick, correct score guidance, top player prop plays and a carefully crafted bet builder.

Match Prediction

Back Stoke with a +0.25 Asian Handicap at -147 for this Championship encounter. We’re sweet on their chances of outperforming the match winner odds and this bet is a value proposition.

It's important to understand the players who are unavailable for the upcoming Championship action and the respective form of each team. If you want stats, you have come to the right place and they form the basis of our football predictions.

Key Stoke vs Southampton league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Stoke in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Stoke in 14 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Southampton in 6 consecutive games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Southampton in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Southampton in 12 of their last 15 games on the road.

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 59.5% chance of winning. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 65-70%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

Buying and selling goals is something that can be done if you want to move the existing line. Take a position according to your viewpoint, whether you want more risk or reward.

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Our Match Prediction

Stoke Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -147 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (13:38, 29 January 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Stoke 1 - 0 Southampton

Stoke can be backed at +650 to triumph by a 1-0 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Sorba Thomas to Score +220

Sorba Thomas (Stoke) has racked up five goals in his past ten Championship matches on home soil. It’s worth a gamble on the +220 for him to be Anytime Goalscorer as there’s plenty of juice in these betting odds.

Latest Sorba Thomas Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+220

First

+575

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Stoke Over 4.5 Corners -147

The 4.5 corners line has been covered by Stoke in seven consecutive home games, while Southampton have conceded 6.00 corners on average in their last 10 away matches. We’re happy to back the -147 when it comes to Stoke covering the Team Corners line which looks generous.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Stoke

Total

9.90 5.70 4.20

Home

10.30 5.80 4.50

Away

10.50 5.20 5.30

Southampton

Total

10.70 5.30 5.40

Home

11.10 6.40 4.70

Away

10.30 4.30 6.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-149

Under 9.5

+105

Stoke Corners

Over 4.5

-147

Under 4.5

+102

Southampton Corners

Over 4.5

-133

Under 4.5

-105

Most Corners

1

-106

X

+650

2

+106

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Stoke vs Southampton Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

If you’re looking to wager Stoke City to secure victory in the Championship, then the bookmakers have chalked them up at +175. Southampton are on offer at betting odds of +155 and the draw is +230.

Should you want to back Southampton to win but want money back if the game ends level, then there is -130 available on the Draw No Bet market. Opponents Stoke have been chalked up at -109.

If you want to bet on the number of goals, you can get a similar price on Over or Under 2.5 Goals. BTTS Yes is available at -152 for anyone expecting Both Teams to Score.

The leading football betting sites offer hundreds of markets when it comes to Championship matches. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Full-Time Result

1

+175

X

+230

2

+155

Half-Time Result

1

+210

X

+123

2

+205

Double Chance

1X

-208

12

-333

X2

-244

Draw No Bet

1

-109

2

-130

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-147

2 Hcp -0.25

+114

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-115

Over 2.5

-112

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-152

No

+110

There is +200 available that Adam Armstrong finds the net, while he is available at +500 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.

Adam Armstrong (Southampton)

First

+200

Anytime

+500

Sorba Thomas (Stoke)

First

+220

Anytime

+575

Million Manhoef (Stoke)

First

+230

Anytime

+575

Leo Scienza (Southampton)

First

+260

Anytime

+600

Ross Cameron Stewart (Southampton)

First

+260

Anytime

+650

Cameron Archer (Southampton)

First

+300

Anytime

+700

Finn Azaz (Southampton)

First

+320

Anytime

+700

Lewis Baker (Stoke)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Tom Fellows (Southampton)

First

+450

Anytime

+1000

Bae Jun-Ho (Stoke)

First

+450

Anytime

+1150

Shea Charles (Southampton)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Tomás Rigo (Stoke)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Ryan Manning (Southampton)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Caspar Jander (Southampton)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Mads Roerslev Rasmussen (Southampton)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Tatsuki Seko (Stoke)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Nathan Wood (Southampton)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Stoke have finished with four wins, four losses and two draws in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 1.40 goals per game and conceding 0.90.

Southampton are winless over their previous six games on their travels. The South Coast team have six defeats, two victories and two draws in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 2.00.

When the teams previously met at bet365 Stadium, Southampton defeated Stoke 1-0.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Stoke Home Stats		4-2-4	2.30	1.40	0.90	6	4	5	5
Southampton Away Stats		2-2-6	3.50	1.50	2.00	8	2	9	1

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Stoke vs Southampton Lineups & Team News

Before placing any bets on Stoke vs Southampton, check the team news first. We’ll have the predicted and confirmed Championship lineups for you plus all the latest on player injuries.

Stoke City Team Page Southampton Team Page

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