Stoke vs Watford Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 01 Mar 2025
Will Hornets Stay in Reach of the Favourites?
Watford +0.25 at -125 on the Asian Handicap could be the bet to have. We’re expecting them to avoid defeat against Stoke, with our stake divided equally between 0 and +0.5 in the hope the away team can land a win.
3-0 Win for Watford in Last H2H Battle
Stoke City have been defeated in back-to-back outings. In a recent home game at Bet365 Stadium, they lost 3-1 to Middlesbrough. Mark Robins' men had 47% possession and managed three shots on target, with Joon-Ho Bae being the goalscorer.
Watford have won their previous two games. The latest was a 2-0 home triumph at Vicarage Road Stadium against Luton Town. The Hornets boasted 54% possession and recorded five shots on goal, while Tom Dele-Bashiru and Edo Kayembe were both on target.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Watford had the edge in the most recent encounter between these teams. At Vicarage Road Stadium, they recorded a 3-0 home win over Stoke. The previous 8 H2H meetings have seen Watford win five times, one draw and two Stoke triumphs.
Championship | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | ![]() |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
22 | ![]() |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 6.8 attempts and 2.9 shots on goal. Stoke have had 39.6% possession and 2.9 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.5 goals from 11.7 attempts and 4.5 shots on goal, while earning 5.4 corners.
Lewis Baker is the top goalscorer with 3, Joon-Ho Bae has 2, with Wouter Burger and two other players on 1. Andrew Moran has recorded the most assists with 2.
Watford – Last 10 League GamesWatford have won 3, lost 5 and drawn 2, with an average of 7.4 attempts, 3.5 shots on goal and 1.1 goals. Tom Cleverley's team average 51.8% possession, 4.3 corners in their favour and 5.3 corners against, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 4.8 shots on goal and 9.5 attempts.
The top scorers have been Tom Dele-Bashiru, Edo Kayembe and Imran Louza, with 2 goals apiece. The top assistors in the last 10 games are Giorgi Chakvetadze, Imran Louza and Edo Kayembe who have all made 1.
Confirmed Lineups
Stoke confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Viktor Johansson (GK), Junior Tchamadeu, Ashley Phillips, Ben Wilmot, Enda Stevens, Ben Pearson, Jordan Thompson, Lewis Koumas, Andrew Moran, Joon-Ho Bae, Ali Al Hamadi.
Watford confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Egil Selvik (GK), Jeremy Ngakia, Matthew Pollock, James Abankwah, Yasser Larouci, Imran Louza, Tom Dele-Bashiru, Thomas Ince, Edo Kayembe, Giorgi Chakvetadze, Mamadou Doumbia.
Stoke vs Watford Prediction & Betting Tips
Watford +0.25 at -125 have the look of a value bet on the Asian Handicap. We give them a good chance of landing a victory in this Championship clash and it’s therefore a pick we’ll back with confidence.
Our football experts study the form, while injuries and suspensions can also affect the potential outcome. Before coming up with a verdict, we combine this data with the latest stats.
Key Stoke vs Watford league stats:
Watford +0.25 Probability
According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 55.6% chance of winning. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 60-65%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.
The Winning Margin market allows you to bet on Watford to record victory by a certain number of goals. It’s a different wager and a viable alternative to Asian Handicap.

Correct Score Prediction
Let’s go for Watford to win 1-0, a bet which is available at +750. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.
Stoke vs Watford Odds
The bookies have betting odds of +160 for Stoke City to win this Championship game, while Watford are +170 and the draw is available at +220.
It’s hard to split the odds between Over 2.5 Goals and Under 2.5 Goals for this match.
You can find hundreds of markets for every Championship match, with the leading football betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and In-Play selections before placing your bets.







- Championship: 17/08 2024 Watford 3 Stoke 0
- Championship: 29/12 2023 Watford 1 Stoke 1
- Championship: 19/08 2023 Stoke 1 Watford 0
- Championship: 08/05 2023 Watford 2 Stoke 0
- Championship: 02/10 2022 Stoke 0 Watford 4
- EFL Cup: 21/09 2021 Watford 1 Stoke 3
- Championship: 22/01 2021 Stoke 1 Watford 2
- Championship: 04/11 2020 Watford 3 Stoke 2


- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 3 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.90 corners awarded and 5.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 5.40 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.30 corners awarded and 5.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 5.40 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 39.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 43.70% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 51.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 49.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Stoke this season are Lewis Baker (5), Andrew Moran (4), Ben Gibson (3)
- Top Assistors for Stoke this season are Joon-Ho Bae (5), Million Manhoef (4), Andrew Moran (3)
Stoke vs Watford Lineups & Team News
Make sure you know the lineups ahead of kick-off, with injuries also playing a part when it comes to Stoke vs Watford team news.
We’re on hand to provide you with full details of the latest Championship squads.
Stoke Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Watford Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Stoke Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Watford Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Stoke Substitutes
- 5Michael Rose
- 12Tatsuki Seko
- 13Jack Bonham
- 17Eric Bocat
- 18Bosun Lawal
- 20Sam Gallagher
- 35Nathan Lowe
- 42Million Manhoef
- 56Favour Fawunmi
Watford Substitutes
- 3Francisco Sierralta
- 11Rocco Vata
- 17Moussa Sissoko
- 19Vakoun Issouf Bayo
- 21Angelo Ogbonna
- 23Jonathan Bond
- 26Caleb Wiley
- 45Ryan Andrews
- 52Leo Ramirez-Espain
Previous Stoke Lineups
Previous Watford Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Birmingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
2 | Blackburn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
3 | Bristol City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
4 | Charlton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
5 | Coventry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
6 | Derby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
7 | Hull | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
8 | Ipswich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
9 | Leicester | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
11 | Millwall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
12 | Norwich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
13 | Oxford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
14 | Portsmouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
15 | Preston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
16 | QPR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
17 | Sheffield Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
18 | Sheffield Wed | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
19 | Southampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
20 | Stoke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
21 | Swansea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
22 | Watford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
23 | West Brom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
24 | Wrexham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Birmingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
2 | Blackburn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
3 | Bristol City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
4 | Charlton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
5 | Coventry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
6 | Derby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
7 | Hull | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
8 | Ipswich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
9 | Leicester | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
11 | Millwall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
12 | Norwich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
13 | Oxford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
14 | Portsmouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
15 | Preston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
16 | QPR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
17 | Sheffield Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
18 | Sheffield Wed | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
19 | Southampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
20 | Stoke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
21 | Swansea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
22 | Watford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
23 | West Brom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
24 | Wrexham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |

















