Stuttgart vs Mainz Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 26 Oct 2025
Bundesliga Betting Preview: Stuttgart vs Mainz
Stuttgart host Mainz in this German Bundesliga fixture at MHPArena, with kick-off set for 11:30 on Sunday 26 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
There’s a Strong Case for Stuttgart to Win
The standout bet can be found on the Full-Time Result market where Stuttgart are currently priced at -141. We think they can overcome Mainz and this looks a value play.
If you are picking Stuttgart, don’t place that bet just yet—snag the latest BetMGM promo code and get insights from our in-depth review.
Mainz 2-0 Win in Previous H2H Encounter
Stuttgart won last time out by a 3-0 scoreline. On their travels against Wolfsburg at Volkswagen Arena, they made it four wins on the bounce. The Swabians had the majority of the ball boasting 59% possession and eight shots on target, while Tiago Tomas, Maximilian Mittelstaedt and Angelo Stiller each scored one goal.
On Thursday night, Stuttgart travelled to Fenerbahce and were defeated 1-0 in the Europa League.
Mainz 05 have suffered three consecutive losses, recently being beaten at home by Bayer Leverkusen 4-3 at MEWA Arena. Bo Henriksen's side managed four shots on goal and had 42% possession, with Jae-Sung Lee, Nadiem Amiri and Armindo Sieb on the scoresheet.
Three days ago, Mainz claimed a 1-0 Europa Conference League victory at home to Zrinjski Mostar.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The last clash between Mainz and Stuttgart saw the former triumph at home. It was a 2-0 scoreline at MEWA Arena. The past 10 H2H matches have included six Stuttgart victories, three draws and one Mainz win.
| Bundesliga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Stuttgart |
7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11:6 | 15 |
| 16 | Mainz 05 |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 8:14 | 4 |
Stuttgart have 8 wins and 2 losses, averaging 1.9 goals from 6.9 shots on goal and 16.9 attempts. Sebastian Hoeness' team have averaged 60.8% possession, 559.0 passes and 6.6 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 0.8 goals from 3.3 shots on goal, 9.9 attempts and 4.9 corners.
Top scorer Ermedin Demirovic has found the net 5 times, Nick Woltemade 3, with Tiago Tomas and Bilal El Khannouss both scoring 2. Leading assistor is Jamie Leweling with 3, while goalkeeper Alexander Nuebel has 6 clean sheets.
Mainz – Last 10 League GamesMainz have 2 victories, 5 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 3.7 shots on goal, 13.8 attempts and 1.5 goals. The Rhineland-Palatinate club average 53.0% possession, 416.1 passes, 6.2 corners taken and 3.6 corners against them, while 1.8 goals have been conceded from 11.3 attempts and 4.6 shots on goal.
Nadiem Amiri, Paul Nebel and Jonathan Burkardt are top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Armindo Sieb is on 2. Look no further than Nadiem Amiri for the top assist maker (2) in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Stuttgart predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Alexander Nubel (GK), Luca Jaquez, Julian Chabot, Ramon Hendriks, Lorenz Assignon, Chema Andrés, Angelo Stiller, Maximilian Mittelstädt, Bilal El Khannouss, Nikolas Nartey, Deniz Undav.
Mainz predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Robin Zentner (GK), Danny da Costa, Stefan Bell, Dominik Kohr, Arnaud Nordin, Kaishu Sano, Nadiem Amiri, Phillipp Mwene, Paul Nebel, Jae-Sung Lee, Benedict Hollerbach.
Stuttgart vs Mainz Prediction & Betting Tips
Get the edge with our best Stuttgart vs Mainz tips: a key match prediction, expert corners pick, correct score recommendation, top player prop bets and a ready-made bet builder.
Match Prediction
If you agree with our verdict that Stuttgart will have the edge in this Bundesliga clash, then you can back the home team at -141. We’re expecting a nice potential return with this match winner bet.
Our Bundesliga experts like to go through the form guide, with injuries and suspensions also having a bearing on the match. Before making our football predictions, we combine this information with the latest numbers.
Key Stuttgart vs Mainz league stats:
Stuttgart to Win Probability
According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 58.5% chance of winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 65-70%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.
A Bet Builder provides you with the opportunity to combine Stuttgart to win with other picks. For every additional selection that you make, the odds are increased until you’re happy with the bet.
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Correct Score Prediction
We’re going for Stuttgart at +750 to secure a 2-0 win. It’s exciting to bet on the correct score and this wager will hopefully be able to land a nice return.
Player Prop Picks
Deniz Undav (Stuttgart) hasn’t registered a shot on goal in three consecutive Bundesliga games. For Shots on Target, we’re anticipating that he might fall short and there’s the chance to get odds of +160.
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Bilal El Khannouss (Stuttgart) has netted two goals in his past five Bundesliga matches. We think there’s value in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop bet at +390 which will hopefully see him find the net.
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Corners Prediction
There has been under 9.5 corners in two consecutive Mainz matches. We’re willing to wager the -103 when it comes to the sides being short of the Total Corners line which looks appealing.
Stuttgart
Mainz
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Bet Builder Tips
Check out our same-game multi. The selections are Stuttgart to claim a victory, two or less goals in total and no shots on target from Deniz Undav (Stuttgart).
A bet builder is a single event wager where you select outcomes for a particular football game. You need all your predictions to be correct and many readers love to place a tailored bet on the clash which interests them most.
Stuttgart vs Mainz Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Bookies Have Stuttgart as Favourites
At betting odds of -141, the bookies make Stuttgart probable winners and there’s a 58% likelihood that the favourites triumph in this Bundesliga encounter. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +325 about Mainz 05.
A 2+ goal margin of victory for Stuttgart against Mainz means a full payout at -110 when backing them on the Asian Handicap -0.75. A one-goal win means half the stake wins and half is refunded.
You can find the shortest odds for Over 2.5 Goals, which means three goals or more being scored. If you’re anticipating that both teams will score, the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -161.
If you’re wanting hundreds of football markets, then the good news is that the best betting apps can provide this. For any Bundesliga game, take your pick and hopefully find a winning angle.
Deniz Undav Heads First Goalscorer Market
Favourite Deniz Undav is priced at +430 to be the first player to find the net. There’s also the opportunity to back him to score any time at odds of +163.
Stuttgart Have the Winning Habit at Home
Stuttgart have enjoyed five straight wins at MHPArena. The Swabians have collected six victories and four defeats in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.80 goals per game and conceding 1.20.
Mainz have finished with five wins, four losses and one draw in the last 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.70 goals per game and conceding 1.70.
Stuttgart drew 3-3 with Mainz in their last MHPArena meeting. We’ve seen the past 6 H2H meetings at MHPArena feature three Stuttgart wins, two draws and one Mainz triumph.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Stuttgart Home Stats |
6-0-4 | 3.00 | 1.80 | 1.20 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 5 | |
Mainz Away Stats |
5-1-4 | 3.40 | 1.70 | 1.70 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 4 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Bundesliga: 25/01 2025 Mainz 2 Stuttgart 0
- Bundesliga: 31/08 2024 Stuttgart 3 Mainz 3
- Bundesliga: 11/02 2024 Stuttgart 3 Mainz 1
- Bundesliga: 16/09 2023 Mainz 1 Stuttgart 3
- Bundesliga: 21/05 2023 Mainz 1 Stuttgart 4
- Bundesliga: 21/01 2023 Stuttgart 1 Mainz 1
- Bundesliga: 16/04 2022 Mainz 0 Stuttgart 0
- Bundesliga: 26/11 2021 Stuttgart 2 Mainz 1
- Bundesliga: 29/01 2021 Stuttgart 2 Mainz 0
- Bundesliga: 26/09 2020 Mainz 1 Stuttgart 4
Stuttgart League Stats
Mainz League Stats
- 8 wins and 2 defeats in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the previous 10 home matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 6.60 corners awarded and 4.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 4.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 11.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.20 corners awarded and 3.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 4.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 60.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 56.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 10 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 53.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 51.60% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Stuttgart this season are Ermedin Demirovic (3), Bilal El Khannouss (2), Tiago Tomas (2)
- Top Assistors for Stuttgart this season are Jamie Leweling (3), Angelo Stiller (2), Bilal El Khannouss (1)
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Stuttgart vs Mainz Lineups & Team News
Know who’s in and who’s out for Stuttgart vs Mainz before making your bets. Receive the predicted and confirmed Bundesliga lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.
Stuttgart Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
Mainz 05 Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
Stuttgart Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
Mainz 05 Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
Previous Stuttgart Lineups
Previous Mainz Lineups
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 27:4 | 21 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10:9 | 16 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11:6 | 15 |
| 4 | Dortmund | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 14 |
| 5 | Leverkusen | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:11 | 14 |
| 6 | FC Koln | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:10 | 11 |
| 7 | Werder Bremen | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:16 | 11 |
| 8 | Frankfurt | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 19:18 | 10 |
| 9 | Hoffenheim | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 10 |
| 10 | Union Berlin | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:15 | 10 |
| 11 | Freiburg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | 8 |
| 13 | Augsburg | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:14 | 7 |
| 14 | St. Pauli | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:12 | 7 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | 5 |
| 16 | Mainz 05 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | 4 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | 4 |
| 18 | B. M'gladbach | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:15 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17:1 | 12 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 9 |
| 4 | Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 7 |
| 5 | Leverkusen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 6 | Union Berlin | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 7 | Werder Bremen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 8 | Hamburger SV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 9 | Freiburg | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 5 |
| 10 | FC Koln | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 4 |
| 11 | St. Pauli | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 12 | Heidenheim | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 13 | Frankfurt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:8 | 3 |
| 14 | Augsburg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 3 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | 2 |
| 16 | B. M'gladbach | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:10 | 2 |
| 17 | Mainz 05 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | 0 |
| 18 | Hoffenheim | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | 0 |
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