Swansea vs Derby Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 25 Nov 2025

Championship Betting Preview: Swansea vs Derby

Swansea take on Derby at Swansea.com Stadium, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Tuesday 25 November.

We will split our stake on the Asian Handicap between 0 and +0.5 when wagering Derby +0.25 at -100 against Swansea. We need a victory for a full payout although the draw means a return is on the cards.

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Swansea City lost away in their last game, making it three consecutive losses. Bristol City won 3-0 at Ashton Gate. The Swans had most of the ball boasting 56% possession and five shots on target.

Derby County have enjoyed back-to-back Championship road victories. Their previous league game was a 3-2 home defeat against Watford at Pride Park. John Eustace's men had just 38% of the ball and recorded two shots on goal, while Dion Sanderson and Sondre Klingen Langaas found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Swansea have three straight victories against Derby. Their last encounter was at Swansea.com Stadium, with Swansea claiming a 1-0 home win. The past 9 H2H matches have resulted in four Swansea wins, three draws and two Derby victories.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
13	Derby	26	9	8	9	35	35	0	35:35	35
17	Swansea	26	9	5	12	27	33	-6	27:33	32

View Full Table

2 wins, 5 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 11.6 attempts. Swansea have had 54.2% possession and 4.7 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.7 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 12.7 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.3 corners.

Top goalscorer is Zan Vipotnik on 3 goals, while Goncalo Franco and Adam Idah have both bagged 2. Josh Tymon is the leading assists maker with 2.

Derby have won 5, lost 2 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.4 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 9.4 attempts. The Rams have averaged 42.0% possession, 5.5 corners taken and 6.0 corners against, while conceding 1.0 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 12.1 attempts.

Carlton Morris has landed 6 goals, Patrick Agyemang 2, with Dion Sanderson and two others scoring 1. Joe Ward has been the top assist maker with 4 in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Swansea confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Lawrence Vigouroux (GK), Josh Key, Ben Cabango, Cameron Burgess, Josh Tymon, Liam Cullen, Jay Fulton, Ethan Galbraith, Ronald Pereira, Zan Vipotnik, Ji-Sung Eom.

Derby confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Jacob Widell Zetterstroem (GK), Sondre Klingen Langaas, Danny Batth, Matthew Clarke, Joe Ward, Bobby Clark, Ebou Adams, Callum Elder, Patrick Agyemang, Ben Brereton Diaz, Lars-Joergen Salvesen.

Swansea vs Derby Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Swansea vs Derby betting outlook has it all, including a trusted match forecast, our predicted score, best corners advice, top player prop picks and a hand-picked bet builder.

Match Prediction

Derby have a good chance of winning this Championship clash and we’ll wager them on the Asian Handicap. Take the visitors at -100 with a +0.25 goal start in then expectation that they can perform well.

We study the Championship form as a first port of call and also make sure we’re across any injuries before making our football predictions. Then it’s a case of understanding the sort of narrative that the stats provide.

Key Swansea vs Derby league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Derby in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Derby in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Derby in 2 consecutive games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Swansea in 4 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Swansea in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Swansea in 14 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Swansea in 5 of their last 9 games against Derby.

If you go by the best football betting sites, our pick has a 50% chance of delivering a return. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

Those searching for a different wager to betting Derby on the Asian Handicap should consider a Winning Margin bet. Select the right option for you.

Before you make your picks, explore our detailed betting guide filled with free bets, the latest promo codes and welcome bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Derby Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -100 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Swansea 0 - 1 Derby

There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing Derby to win 1-0. We can’t pass up the odds of +700 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Patrick Agyemang Under 0.5 Shots On Target -164

Patrick Agyemang (Derby) can be backed to finish without a shot on goal at -164. It’s difficult to pass up such an appealing price for this Shots on Target pick and we’ll have a play.

Latest Patrick Agyemang Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+320

First

+700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-154

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Bobby Clark To Score +750

Bobby Clark (Derby) can be wagered to be among the goals at +750. We’ll happily take the odds that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Bobby Clark Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+700

First

+1500

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Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -137

It has been over 9.5 corners in four straight Derby matches. The Total Corners line looks attractive and we’re going to take the -137 that it’s covered.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Swansea

Total

9.00 4.70 4.30

Home

8.80 4.50 4.30

Away

9.60 4.80 4.80

Derby

Total

11.50 5.50 6.00

Home

9.90 5.10 4.80

Away

10.60 3.70 6.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-115

Under 9.5

-123

Swansea Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-143

Derby Corners

Over 3.5

-149

Under 3.5

+105

Most Corners

1

-172

X

+650

2

+170

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Swansea vs Derby Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

With a 45% chance of winning according to the latest odds, Swansea City are favourites to prosper in this Championship encounter and they’re available at +120 with the bookies. If you’re interested in wagering Derby County, you can get +250 for the underdog.

There’s a Draw No Bet market should you wish to have some insurance and Derby are +133 here. However, if you want to back favourites Swansea, then -192 is on offer.

If you’re anticipating that two goals or less will be netted throughout the contest, then Under 2.5 Goals is a definite runner. A viable alternative is betting the BTTS market and opting for the -141 about Both Teams to Score No.

All of the Championship games see the top betting sites go to town with their service. Bettors can find the best approach from the hundreds of markets which are presented to them each time.

Full-Time Result

1

+120

X

+210

2

+250

Half-Time Result

1

+188

X

+102

2

+290

Double Chance

1X

-357

12

-294

X2

-164

Draw No Bet

1

-192

2

+133

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-116

2 Hcp +0.25

-111

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-189

Over 2.5

+145

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+102

No

-141

Zan Vipotnik is available at +250 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer. The favourite is now priced at odds of +525 to find the net first.

Zan Vipotnik (Swansea)

First

+250

Anytime

+525

Bobby Wales (Swansea)

First

+260

Anytime

+600

Carlton Morris (Derby)

First

+300

Anytime

+650

Patrick Agyemang (Derby)

First

+320

Anytime

+700

Liam Cullen (Swansea)

First

+330

Anytime

+750

Benson Manuel (Swansea)

First

+340

Anytime

+800

Ronald Pereira Martins (Swansea)

First

+400

Anytime

+900

Ben Brereton (Derby)

First

+430

Anytime

+950

Kayden Jackson (Derby)

First

+450

Anytime

+950

Andreas Weimann (Derby)

First

+475

Anytime

+1000

Ji-Sung Eom (Swansea)

First

+500

Anytime

+1100

Malick Junior Yalcouyé (Swansea)

First

+510

Anytime

+1100

Ethan Galbraith (Swansea)

First

+540

Anytime

+1300

Corey Blackett-Taylor (Derby)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Rhian Brewster (Derby)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Melker Widell (Swansea)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Bobby Clark (Derby)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Gonçalo Franco (Swansea)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Marko Stamenic (Swansea)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Jay Fulton (Swansea)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Joe Ward (Derby)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

David Ozoh (Derby)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Kaelan Casey (Swansea)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Benjamin Cabango (Swansea)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Liam Thompson (Derby)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Zan Vipotnik (Swansea)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-111

Bobby Wales (Swansea)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-132

Carlton Morris (Derby)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-149

Patrick Agyemang (Derby)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-154

Liam Cullen (Swansea)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-172

Benson Manuel (Swansea)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-185

Ronald Pereira Martins (Swansea)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-238

Ben Brereton (Derby)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-244

Kayden Jackson (Derby)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-263

Andreas Weimann (Derby)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-263

Ji-Sung Eom (Swansea)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-333

Malick Junior Yalcouyé (Swansea)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-313

Corey Blackett-Taylor (Derby)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-345

Ethan Galbraith (Swansea)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-357

Melker Widell (Swansea)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-455

Gonçalo Franco (Swansea)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-588

Marko Stamenic (Swansea)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-556

Kaelan Casey (Swansea)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-909

Benjamin Cabango (Swansea)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-909

Swansea have managed four draws, four losses and two victories in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.90.

Derby have secured five wins, three draws and two defeats in the last 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.60 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

The last Swansea.com Stadium meeting saw Swansea beat Derby 1-0. In the past 5 H2H matches at Swansea.com Stadium, we have seen three Swansea wins, one Derby victory and one draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Swansea Home Stats		2-4-4	3.20	1.30	1.90	6	4	9	1
Derby Away Stats		5-3-2	2.80	1.60	1.20	6	4	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Swansea vs Derby Lineups & Team News

Before making your bets, take a look at the Swansea vs Derby team news. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for the Championship along with up-to-date injury news.

Swansea City Team Page Derby County Team Page

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