Swansea vs Derby Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 25 Nov 2025
Championship Betting Preview: Swansea vs Derby
Swansea take on Derby at Swansea.com Stadium, with kick-off set for 15:45 on Tuesday 25 November.
We will split our stake on the Asian Handicap between 0 and +0.5 when wagering Derby +0.25 at -100 against Swansea. We need a victory for a full payout although the draw means a return is on the cards.
Swansea City lost away in their last game, making it three consecutive losses. Bristol City won 3-0 at Ashton Gate. The Swans had most of the ball boasting 56% possession and five shots on target.
Derby County have enjoyed back-to-back Championship road victories. Their previous league game was a 3-2 home defeat against Watford at Pride Park. John Eustace's men had just 38% of the ball and recorded two shots on goal, while Dion Sanderson and Sondre Klingen Langaas found the net.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Swansea have three straight victories against Derby. Their last encounter was at Swansea.com Stadium, with Swansea claiming a 1-0 home win. The past 9 H2H matches have resulted in four Swansea wins, three draws and two Derby victories.
| Championship | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Derby |
37 | 15 | 9 | 13 | 54 | 48 | 6 | 54:48 | 54 |
| 11 | Swansea |
38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 44:46 | 52 |
2 wins, 5 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 11.6 attempts. Swansea have had 54.2% possession and 4.7 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.7 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 12.7 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.3 corners.
Top goalscorer is Zan Vipotnik on 3 goals, while Goncalo Franco and Adam Idah have both bagged 2. Josh Tymon is the leading assists maker with 2.
Derby have won 5, lost 2 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.4 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 9.4 attempts. The Rams have averaged 42.0% possession, 5.5 corners taken and 6.0 corners against, while conceding 1.0 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 12.1 attempts.
Carlton Morris has landed 6 goals, Patrick Agyemang 2, with Dion Sanderson and two others scoring 1. Joe Ward has been the top assist maker with 4 in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Swansea confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Lawrence Vigouroux (GK), Josh Key, Ben Cabango, Cameron Burgess, Josh Tymon, Liam Cullen, Jay Fulton, Ethan Galbraith, Ronald Pereira, Zan Vipotnik, Ji-Sung Eom.
Derby confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Jacob Widell Zetterstroem (GK), Sondre Klingen Langaas, Danny Batth, Matthew Clarke, Joe Ward, Bobby Clark, Ebou Adams, Callum Elder, Patrick Agyemang, Ben Brereton Diaz, Lars-Joergen Salvesen.
Swansea vs Derby Prediction & Betting Tips
Our Swansea vs Derby betting outlook has it all, including a trusted match forecast, our predicted score, best corners advice, top player prop picks and a hand-picked bet builder.
Match Prediction
Derby have a good chance of winning this Championship clash and we’ll wager them on the Asian Handicap. Take the visitors at -100 with a +0.25 goal start in then expectation that they can perform well.
We study the Championship form as a first port of call and also make sure we’re across any injuries before making our football predictions. Then it’s a case of understanding the sort of narrative that the stats provide.
Key Swansea vs Derby league stats:
If you go by the best football betting sites, our pick has a 50% chance of delivering a return. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.
Those searching for a different wager to betting Derby on the Asian Handicap should consider a Winning Margin bet. Select the right option for you.
Before you make your picks, explore our detailed betting guide filled with free bets, the latest promo codes and welcome bonuses.
Correct Score Prediction
There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing Derby to win 1-0. We can’t pass up the odds of +700 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.
Player Prop Picks
Patrick Agyemang (Derby) can be backed to finish without a shot on goal at -164. It’s difficult to pass up such an appealing price for this Shots on Target pick and we’ll have a play.
Bobby Clark (Derby) can be wagered to be among the goals at +750. We’ll happily take the odds that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
It has been over 9.5 corners in four straight Derby matches. The Total Corners line looks attractive and we’re going to take the -137 that it’s covered.
Swansea
Derby
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
A bet builder always adds excitement and the picks are Derby with an Asian Handicap of +0.25, no more than two goals to be registered merged with no shots on target from Patrick Agyemang (Derby).
It’s now the case that you can wager a bet builder on a specific football match. You require all predictions to be on the money and our readers enjoy placing a tailored wager on a specific encounter taking place.
Swansea vs Derby Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With a 45% chance of winning according to the latest odds, Swansea City are favourites to prosper in this Championship encounter and they’re available at +120 with the bookies. If you’re interested in wagering Derby County, you can get +250 for the underdog.
There’s a Draw No Bet market should you wish to have some insurance and Derby are +133 here. However, if you want to back favourites Swansea, then -192 is on offer.
If you’re anticipating that two goals or less will be netted throughout the contest, then Under 2.5 Goals is a definite runner. A viable alternative is betting the BTTS market and opting for the -141 about Both Teams to Score No.
All of the Championship games see the top betting sites go to town with their service. Bettors can find the best approach from the hundreds of markets which are presented to them each time.
Zan Vipotnik is available at +250 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer. The favourite is now priced at odds of +525 to find the net first.
Swansea have managed four draws, four losses and two victories in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.90.
Derby have secured five wins, three draws and two defeats in the last 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.60 goals per game and conceding 1.20.
The last Swansea.com Stadium meeting saw Swansea beat Derby 1-0. In the past 5 H2H matches at Swansea.com Stadium, we have seen three Swansea wins, one Derby victory and one draw.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Swansea Home Stats |
2-4-4 | 3.20 | 1.30 | 1.90 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 1 | |
Derby Away Stats |
5-3-2 | 2.80 | 1.60 | 1.20 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 3 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Championship: 05/04 2025 Swansea 1 Derby 0
- Championship: 27/11 2024 Derby 1 Swansea 2
- Championship: 09/04 2022 Swansea 2 Derby 1
- Championship: 02/10 2021 Derby 0 Swansea 0
- Championship: 01/05 2021 Swansea 2 Derby 1
- Championship: 16/12 2020 Derby 2 Swansea 0
- Championship: 08/02 2020 Swansea 2 Derby 3
- Championship: 10/08 2019 Derby 0 Swansea 0
- Championship: 01/05 2019 Swansea 1 Derby 1
Swansea League Stats
Derby League Stats
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 4.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 4.30 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 6.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.70 corners awarded and 6.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.60 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 9 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 54.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 56.80% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 42.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 37.00% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Swansea this season are Zan Vipotnik (6), Ronald Pereira (3), Adam Idah (2)
- Top Assistors for Swansea this season are Josh Tymon (2), Zeidane Inoussa (2), Adam Idah (1)
Swansea vs Derby Lineups & Team News
Before making your bets, take a look at the Swansea vs Derby team news. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for the Championship along with up-to-date injury news.
Swansea Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Derby Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Swansea Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Derby Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Swansea Substitutes
- 1Andrew Fisher
- 6Marko Stamenic
- 7Melker Widell
- 16Ishe Samuels-Smith
- 17Goncalo Franco
- 21Manuel Benson
- 26Kaelan Casey
- 27Zeidane Inoussa
- 33Adam Idah
Derby Substitutes
- 3Craig Forsyth
- 11C. Blackett-Taylor
- 14Andreas Weimann
- 16Liam Thompson
- 19Kayden Jackson
- 24Ryan Nyambe
- 31Josh Vickers
- 35Curtis Nelson
- 37Owen Eames
Previous Swansea Lineups
Previous Derby Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Swansea Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Alan Sheehan
Derby Player Stats & Squad
Championship Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 37 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 77:38 | 77 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 37 | 20 | 9 | 8 | 58:36 | 69 |
| 3 | Millwall | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 51:41 | 68 |
| 4 | Ipswich | 36 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 64:38 | 65 |
| 5 | Hull | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 59:53 | 63 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 57:47 | 60 |
| 7 | Southampton | 36 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 58:47 | 54 |
| 8 | Derby | 37 | 15 | 9 | 13 | 54:48 | 54 |
| 9 | Watford | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 46:42 | 52 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 47:47 | 52 |
| 11 | Swansea | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 44:46 | 52 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 48:48 | 50 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 37 | 15 | 4 | 18 | 52:51 | 49 |
| 14 | Preston | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 42:46 | 49 |
| 15 | Norwich | 36 | 14 | 6 | 16 | 49:45 | 48 |
| 16 | Stoke | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 42:39 | 48 |
| 17 | Charlton | 37 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 35:44 | 47 |
| 18 | QPR | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 46:59 | 47 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 36:47 | 40 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 34:48 | 39 |
| 21 | Leicester | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 50:57 | 38 |
| 22 | Oxford | 37 | 9 | 11 | 17 | 35:48 | 38 |
| 23 | West Brom | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 37 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 23:74 | -6 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 39:13 | 45 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 35:13 | 42 |
| 3 | Millwall | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 27:21 | 36 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 26:13 | 35 |
| 5 | Swansea | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 28:19 | 35 |
| 6 | Birmingham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 32:18 | 34 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 36:30 | 33 |
| 8 | Watford | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 26:19 | 32 |
| 9 | Southampton | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 26:14 | 30 |
| 10 | Hull | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 29:31 | 30 |
| 11 | Charlton | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 18:18 | 28 |
| 12 | Sheffield Utd | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 29:21 | 27 |
| 13 | Derby | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 26:25 | 27 |
| 14 | Preston | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 23:23 | 27 |
| 15 | Stoke | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 26:20 | 26 |
| 16 | QPR | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 29:30 | 26 |
| 17 | Bristol City | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 28:26 | 25 |
| 18 | Leicester | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25:25 | 25 |
| 19 | West Brom | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 20:23 | 25 |
| 20 | Portsmouth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19:19 | 22 |
| 21 | Norwich | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21:23 | 22 |
| 22 | Oxford | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 16:23 | 21 |
| 23 | Blackburn | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 18:25 | 18 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 19 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 10:39 | 5 |
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