Sweden vs Slovenia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 18 Nov 2025
World Cup qualifying Betting Preview: Sweden vs Slovenia
A Sweden side in poor form meet Slovenia at Strawberry Arena, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Tuesday 18 November. To avoid yellow-card accumulation and potential suspensions for the play-offs, Sweden are making nine changes for this match.
Sweden and Slovenia might play out a low-scoring contest, with Under 2.5 looking like the best pick. We can head to the Total Goals market and secure odds of -116 for this selection.
Bottom-of-the-table Sweden, who have just one point from five games, were beaten in their most recent outing. A 4-1 World Cup qualifying scoreline occurred away from home at Stade de Geneve against Switzerland. Graham Potter's team had 43% possession and recorded three shots on target, while Benjamin Nygren bagged the goal.
Slovenia were defeated in their previous game, being beaten at home to Kosovo by a 2-0 World Cup qualifying scoreline at Stozice Stadium in Ljubljana. The Dragons finished with just 39% possession and didn’t have any shots on goal.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Sweden are unbeaten in the past three matches against Slovenia, with the last encounter ending in a 2-2 draw at Stozice Stadium. The previous 3 H2H games have featured two draws and one Sweden victory.
| Europe World Cup Qualification | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Slovenia |
6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 4 | Sweden |
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 4:12 | 2 |
4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.9 goals from 6.5 shots on goal and 12.9 attempts. Sweden have had 56.9% possession and 7.4 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.4 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 7.5 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 2.6 corners.
Top scorer Viktor Gyoekeres has found the net 8 times, with Yasin Ayari, Dejan Kulusevski, Alexander Isak and Sebastian Nanasi getting 2 goals each. The leading assistor is Viktor Gyoekeres with 4.
Slovenia have 2 victories, 3 defeats and 5 draws, with an average of 0.6 goals from 3.0 shots on goal and 7.6 attempts. Matjaz Kek's side have averaged 42.4% possession, 2.4 corners awarded and 4.6 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.2 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 10.9 attempts.
Adam Gnezda Cerin has scored 2 goals, followed by Sandi Lovric, Zan Vipotnik, Benjamin Sesko and Jan Mlakar on 1. Timi Elsnik, Benjamin Sesko and Dejan Petrovic are top assists providers with 1, while Jan Oblak has recorded 5 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Sweden confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Jacob Widell Zetterstroem (GK), Emil Krafth, Carl Starfelt, Victor Nilsson Lindeloef, Daniel Svensson, Gustav Lundgren, Besfort Zeneli, Mattias Svanberg, Ken Sema, Roony Bardghji, Isac Lidberg.
Slovenia confirmed lineup (5-3-2): Igor Vekic (GK), Vanja Drkusic, Jaka Bijol, Jure Balkovec, Zan Karnicnik, Erik Janza, Adam Gnezda Cerin, Timi Elsnik, Svit Seslar, Andraz Sporar, Danijel Sturm.
Sweden vs Slovenia Prediction & Betting Tips
Discover our expert Sweden vs Slovenia betting tips, featuring a match prediction, correct score suggestion, corners market outlook, top player prop picks and bet builder advice. Scroll down for full analysis.
Match Prediction
There’s a case for betting Under 2.5 Goals for this World Cup qualifying encounter. The numbers suggest that the two teams might struggle to exceed this total and the odds of -116 look more than fair.
The football experts at Sportsgambler.com are aware of injuries that could affect the outcome along with the form guide. We also leave no stone unturned when it comes to presenting the latest World Cup qualifying stats.
Key Sweden vs Slovenia stats:
According to the latest odds, there’s a 53.8% likelihood of our pick winning. However, we think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.
If you want to land a larger price, then there’s a chance to choose Under 2.5 Goals accompanied by a winning team. This is on offer thanks to the Result & Total Goals market.
Make the most of your next wager by unlocking the best betting offers along with the latest sign-up bonuses and promotions.
Correct Score Prediction
Let’s take a chance on the +525 available that Sweden secure a 1-0 victory. There’s a nice potential return waiting if we’re able to predict the correct score.
Player Prop Picks
Anthony Elanga (Sweden) has finished without a shot on goal in three consecutive matches. There’s plenty of evidence that he will go under the line and you can secure odds of +120 for this Shots on Target bet.
Alexander Bernhardsson (Sweden) can be wagered to be among the goals at +300. We’ll have a play on this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look pretty attractive.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered in six consecutive Slovenia away matches, with the last five Sweden games averaging 8.60 corners. We advise betting on the -132 that the sides won’t cover the line, with this Total Corners bet hopefully providing a return.
Sweden
Slovenia
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve got a bet builder with three options: no more than two goals in total, Sweden on the 1x2 combined with Anthony Elanga (Sweden) to not record a shot on target.
The bet builder feature allows football punters to place a multiple wager on the same game. It’s a great bet to have if you’re confident of certain outcomes, especially as the price for each selection is combined.
Sweden vs Slovenia Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Sweden are regarded as having a 61% chance of winning this World Cup qualifying clash in the eyes of the bookies. It means that their current betting odds are -154. Slovenia are an outside chance to get the job done and you can now back them at +460.
If Sweden at -0.75 beat Slovenia by one goal, then you get a win with half your stake and the other half refunded. A victory by 2+ goals means a full payout at Asian Handicap odds of -118.
The Total Goals odds suggest that Under 2.5 is the likelier outcome in this contest. A different slant is having a BTTS bet and Both Teams to Score No is chalked up at -130.
It’s fantastic to find hundreds of markets on offer for World Cup qualifying games. You simply need to visit the best sports betting sites and select from the various football options that are presented.
Alexander Isak is priced at +340 when it comes to First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and also available at odds of +135 to find the net anytime.
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. B: 15/11 Switzerland 4 Sweden1
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. B: 13/10 Sweden 0 Kosovo1
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. B: 10/10 Sweden 0 Switzerland2
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. B: 08/09 Kosovo 2 Sweden0
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. B: 05/09 Slovenia 2 Sweden2
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. B: 15/11 Slovenia 0 Kosovo2
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. B: 13/10 Slovenia 0 Switzerland0
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. B: 10/10 Kosovo 0 Slovenia0
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. B: 08/09 Switzerland 3 Slovenia0
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. B: 05/09 Slovenia 2 Sweden2
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
Sweden Stats
Slovenia Stats
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 2 wins, 3 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.60 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 7.40 corners awarded and 2.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.20 corners awarded and 3.40 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.60 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 2.40 corners awarded and 4.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 corners awarded and 5.60 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 7.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.80 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 56.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 54.20% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
Sweden vs Slovenia Lineups & Team News
Check the Sweden vs Slovenia team news before you place your bets. We’ll provide the latest confirmed World Cup qualifying lineups along with injury updates.
Sweden Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Slovenia Confirmed Lineup 5-3-2
Sweden Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Slovenia Confirmed Lineup 5-3-2
Sweden Substitutes
- 2Gustaf Lagerbielke
- 4Isak Hien
- 5Gabriel Gudmundsson
- 6Herman Johansson
- 7Benjamin Nygren
- 9Alexander Isak
- 10Emil Forsberg
- 12Noel Toernqvist
- 16Jesper Karlstroem
- 18Yasin Ayari
- 21A. Bernhardsson
- 23Kristoffer Nordfeldt
Slovenia Substitutes
- 4Dejan Petrovic
- 5Jon Gorenc-Stankovic
- 7Benjamin Verbic
- 8Sandi Lovric
- 12Zan-Luk Leban
- 14David Zec
- 16Martin Turk
- 17Jan Mlakar
- 18Zan Vipotnik
- 19Tomi Horvat
- 20Tamar Svetlin
- 23David Brekalo
Previous Sweden Lineups
Previous Slovenia Lineups
Sweden Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Graham Potter
Slovenia Player Stats & Squad
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16:3 | 15 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 12 |
| 3 | Northern Ireland | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 9 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1:13 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:2 | 14 |
| 2 | Kosovo | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Slovenia | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 4 | Sweden | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:12 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scotland | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:7 | 13 |
| 2 | Denmark | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | 11 |
| 3 | Greece | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:12 | 7 |
| 4 | Belarus | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:17 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Ukraine | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:11 | 10 |
| 3 | Iceland | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13:11 | 7 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:16 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21:2 | 16 |
| 2 | Turkey | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17:12 | 13 |
| 3 | Georgia | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7:15 | 3 |
| 4 | Bulgaria | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:19 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 20:7 | 13 |
| 2 | Ireland | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 3 | Hungary | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 8 |
| 4 | Armenia | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:19 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 27:4 | 20 |
| 2 | Poland | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Finland | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:14 | 10 |
| 4 | Malta | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:19 | 5 |
| 5 | Lithuania | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:15 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austria | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:4 | 19 |
| 2 | Bosnia and H. | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Romania | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Cyprus | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 8 |
| 5 | San Marino | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2:39 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norway | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37:5 | 24 |
| 2 | Italy | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21:12 | 18 |
| 3 | Israel | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 19:20 | 12 |
| 4 | Estonia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:21 | 4 |
| 5 | Moldova | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:32 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 29:7 | 18 |
| 2 | Wales | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 21:11 | 16 |
| 3 | North Macedonia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | 8 |
| 5 | Liechtenstein | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0:31 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 22:0 | 24 |
| 2 | Albania | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 14 |
| 3 | Serbia | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Latvia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 5 | Andorra | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3:16 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Croatia | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 26:4 | 22 |
| 2 | Czech Republic | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Faroe Islands | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11:9 | 12 |
| 4 | Montenegro | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3:28 | 0 |
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