Toluca vs Atlas Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 Sep 2024

We’re Expecting the Net to Bulge Several Times

We can’t pass up the chance to back Over 2.5 on the Total Goals market, with Toluca and Atlas set to score a combined three goals or more. Take odds of -150 that this outcome happens.

4-1 Triumph for Deportivo Toluca in Last H2H

Toluca have enjoyed four consecutive home wins. In their last game, they lost 2-0 away to Santos Laguna at Estadio Nuevo Corona. Despite enjoying 62% possession, they were unable to manage a single shot on target.

Atlas suffered a second straight defeat when losing 1-0 in their previous game. This was at home to Querétaro at Estadio Jalisco. They dominated possession with 71% of the ball and had three shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Deportivo Toluca triumphed 4-1 when they last played Atlas. This head-to-head was played at Estadio Nemesio Diez. Looking back to the previous 10 H2H meetings, there has been four draws. Deportivo Toluca have won four games and Atlas two.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Toluca	3	2	0	1	10	7	3	10:7	6
9	Atlas	3	1	1	1	7	8	-1	7:8	4

View Full Table

5 wins, 1 loss and 4 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 8.9 attempts. Deportivo Toluca have had 49.2% possession and 6.3 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 0.9 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 9.8 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 4.8 corners.

Paulinho is the top scorer with 5 goals, while Alexis Vega, Jesus Angulo and Jesus Gallardo each have 2. Paulinho is the leading assists maker with 3.

Atlas have won 4, lost 4 and drawn 2, with an average of 7.0 attempts, 2.7 shots on goal and 1.1 goals. They average 48.1% possession, 4.5 corners awarded and 4.2 corners against them, while 1.2 goals have been conceded from 3.4 shots on goal and 7.5 attempts.

Eduardo Aguirre has landed 3 goals, Jeremy Marquez 2, with Victor Rios and two others scoring 1. Raymundo Fulgencio and Jose Lozano have been the top assists providers with 2 in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Toluca confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Tiago Volpi (GK), Brian Garcia, Bruno Mendez, Luan Garcia, Jesus Gallardo, Claudio Baeza, Marcel Ruiz, Helinho, Alexis Vega, Isaias Violante, Paulinho.

Atlas confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Camilo Vargas (GK), Edgar Zaldivar, Martin Hugo Nervo, Matheus Doria, Luis Reyes, Jeremy Marquez, Aldo Rocha, Jhon Murillo, Raymundo Fulgencio, Rivaldo Lozano, Eduardo Aguirre.

Toluca vs Atlas Prediction & Betting Tips

Let’s play Over 2.5 goals to be scored at tasty odds of -150 for this Liga MX showdown. There’s every chance that the two sides will deliver a return and we think this is a value wager.

Team news plays a valuable role and we’re always monitoring the players who have an injury concern. We’ve also got a handle on the form guide, with plenty of data provided which puts you in the picture in terms of stats.

Key Toluca vs Atlas league stats:

• The 2.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Toluca games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Toluca games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 4 Toluca games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in all of the last 5 Atlas games on the road.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Atlas games on the road.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 7 Atlas games on the road.

Over 2.5 Probability

According to the odds, there’s a 60% likelihood of our pick winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 65-70%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

If you’re expecting goals to be on the cards, you can include Over 2.5 Goals along with BTTS Yes. It’s a good chance to boost your price and this is available in the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market.

Our Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -150 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Toluca 4 - 1 Atlas

There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing Deportivo Toluca to win 4-1. We can’t pass up the odds of +1400 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.

Toluca vs Atlas Odds

For this Liga MX match, the leading bookies’ betting odds mean Toluca are the -175 favourite to win and that means a 64% chance of winning. Atlas are the +475 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.

A high-scoring match is a possibility and that is reflected in the Over 2.5 Goals odds.

If you fancy Deportivo Toluca but want money back if this Liga MX match is a draw, then you can get -549. You can bet on Atlas at +350 on the Draw No Bet market.

Full-Time Result

1

-175

X

+290

2

+475

Half-Time Result

1

+110

X

+140

2

+450

Double Chance

1X

-800

12

-450

X2

+137.5

Draw No Bet

1

-549

2

+350

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1

-103

2 Hcp +1

-114

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+115

Over 2.5

-150

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-133

No

-100

Toluca vs Atlas Lineups & Team News

It’s good to know about any injuries and this is reflected in our Toluca vs Atlas team news, with this leading to predicted and confirmed lineups.

We’ve got details of the Liga MX squads so that you know every player on the roster.

Toluca Team Page Atlas Team Page