Toluca vs Guadalajara Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 15 Feb 2025

Toluca Might Prove Too Strong

We believe that Toluca will get the better of Guadalajara and the favourites are excellent value at -133. The Full-Time Result odds look really attractive and we’re confident of landing a return here.

Goalless Draw in in Pair’s Previous H2H

Deportivo Toluca played out a 3-3 draw in their last game. This was away from home at Estadio Nou Camp against Club León. Antonio Mohamed's team had most of the ball recording 61% possession and six shots on target, while Robert Morales got two goals and Isaias Violante scored the other.

Guadalajara have lost their previous two away from home. Their most recent game was at home at Estadio Akron where they recorded a 2-1 victory over Club Tijuana. They had 41% possession and managed seven shots on goal, with Alan Pulido and Roberto Alvarado both on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Guadalajara boast an unbeaten record in the past five games against Toluca, with the last clash ending 0-0 at Estadio Akron. The past 10 H2H games have featured six draws, three wins for Guadalajara and just one for Toluca.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Toluca	3	2	0	1	10	7	3	10:7	6
12	Guadalajara	2	1	0	1	4	4	0	4:4	3

View Full Table

3 wins, 4 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 5.9 shots on goal and 12.3 attempts. Deportivo Toluca have had 54.2% possession and 3.9 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.5 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 8.7 attempts, while being awarded 3.8 corners.

Top goalscorer Paulinho has found the net 3 times, with Robert Morales, Helio Junio, Alexis Vega and Jesus Gallardo scoring 2 each. Leading assistor is Alexis Vega with 6.

Chivas have won 3, lost 4 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.1 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 8.5 attempts. There’s been an average of 48.7% possession, 5.0 corners awarded and 4.4 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.1 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 7.4 attempts.

Roberto Alvarado and Jonathan Padilla top the team’s scoring charts on 3 goals, with Alan Pulido on 1. Jose Castillo and Mateo Chavez have both managed 2 assists in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Toluca confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Pau Lopez (GK), Federico Pereira, Brian Garcia, Luan Garcia, Jesus Gallardo, Franco Romero, Jesus Angulo, Marcel Ruiz, Alexis Vega, Paulinho, Robert Morales.

Guadalajara confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Jose Rangel (GK), Alan Mozo, Gilberto Sepulveda, Miguel Tapias, Jose Castillo, Luis Gabriel Rey, Erick Gutierrez, Luis Romo, Roberto Alvarado, Jonathan Padilla, Alan Pulido.

Toluca vs Guadalajara Prediction & Betting Tips

Toluca are priced at -133 to secure a victory and we think these odds look too big. We’re expecting the hosts to land a Liga MX win and a nice potential return could be on the cards.

The football betting tips stem from knowing the team news and the latest form for each side. We work hard to unearth the most pertinent stats which can also act as a guide.

Key Toluca vs Guadalajara league stats:

• Toluca have won 14 of their last 20 games at home.
• Toluca have won 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• Guadalajara have lost 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• Guadalajara have lost 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Guadalajara have lost their last 2 games on the road.

Toluca to Win Probability

According to the odds, there’s a 57.1% likelihood of our pick winning. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 60-65%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

The Match Result & Total market not only gives you an opportunity to bet on Toluca to win but also combine this pick with a prediction for how many goals will be scored.

Our Match Prediction

Toluca To Win @ -133 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Toluca 3 - 1 Guadalajara

An exciting bet could be a 3-1 victory in favor of Toluca at odds of +1100. A correct score wager provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.

Corners Prediction

Toluca Under 5.5 Corners -120

Toluca have failed to cover the 5.5 corners line in ten consecutive matches, with Guadalajara conceding under 5.5 corners in their past eight games. We expect Toluca to fall short and this Team Corners wager can be backed at -120.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Toluca

Total

7.70 3.90 3.80

Home

8.70 4.40 4.30

Away

8.50 4.70 3.80

Guadalajara

Total

9.40 5.00 4.40

Home

10.00 6.10 3.90

Away

10.70 5.30 5.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-150

Under 9.5

+110

Toluca Corners

Over 5.5

-120

Under 5.5

-120

Guadalajara Corners

Over 4.5

+110

Under 4.5

-150

Most Corners

1

-217

X

+575

2

+205

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Toluca vs Guadalajara Odds

Deportivo Toluca are regarded as having a 59% chance of winning this Liga MX match according to the bookies’ latest betting odds who have priced them up at -143. Guadalajara are regarded as the least likely winner at +375.

Bet on Over 2.5 Goals or Under 2.5 Goals at similar odds right now.

The football betting sites offer a Draw No Bet market for all Liga MX matches and you can back Deportivo Toluca at -350 and Guadalajara at +250.

Full-Time Result

1

-143

X

+290

2

+375

Half-Time Result

1

+130

X

+130

2

+375

Double Chance

1X

-549

12

-400

X2

+110

Draw No Bet

1

-350

2

+250

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-108

2 Hcp +0.75

-108

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+107.5

Over 2.5

-138

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-133

No

-100

Toluca vs Guadalajara Lineups & Team News

You’ve found the right place for Toluca vs Chivas team news, with all the latest information available including lineups and injuries so you’re fully informed.

The Liga MX squads highlight the star players operating for every team in the division.

Toluca Team Page Guadalajara Team Page